Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 January 2008 at 22:36:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.91     5.29    49.74    59.14    90.07    97.43    99.40    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.42     5.45    46.94    35.46    80.96    94.27    98.32    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.98     5.77    31.69     3.50    16.70    52.97    77.03    95.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.69     6.02    10.90     0.03     0.42     3.17    10.40    39.53     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.52     5.90    38.56     1.73    10.09    37.38    65.56    90.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.54     5.97    27.77     0.06     0.77     6.33    19.36    56.96     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.24     5.58    22.92     0.05     0.57     4.33    15.02    54.10     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.61     5.78    24.63     0.02     0.42     3.84    13.46    50.22     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.78     5.94     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.59     6.07     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.22     6.24    10.36     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.84     6.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.01     5.46   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.70R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.66     5.97     8.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.60     0.07R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.84     5.58   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.46R    0.02  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.67     5.72   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.56R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.95     5.27   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.87R    0.19  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.28     5.73   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.89R    0.14  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.01     5.68   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.79R    0.36  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.47     5.30   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.53R    0.92  
Fulham          21   15  -15      30.95     5.58   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.33R    1.24  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.25     4.25   -63.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   97.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.84     6.75    43.89    61.50    81.54    98.37    87.19P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.17     6.97    15.39    14.08    35.51    84.13    46.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.58     7.07     6.32     8.54    25.64    77.36    35.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.43     7.07    18.18     8.88    27.60    78.78    41.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.07     7.09     7.36     1.59     5.90    40.03    14.25P    0.13R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.71     7.13    14.49     2.00     8.67    50.98    19.71P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.26     7.06    11.67     1.44     5.75    42.47    16.03P    0.12R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.43     6.90     5.73     0.56     2.55    26.36     8.84P    0.35R    0.02  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.64     7.05     4.79     0.69     2.82    27.38     8.90P    0.45R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.42     6.90     1.78     0.25     1.22    17.86     5.62P    0.85R    0.07  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.67     7.06     1.08     0.21     1.10    15.46     4.46P    1.47R    0.14  
Burnley          26   34   -2      60.92     7.02    -3.05     0.08     0.38     8.47     2.28P    3.59R    0.42  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.32     6.99     2.81     0.07     0.37     8.22     2.55P    3.50R    0.46  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.04     7.26    -4.21     0.07     0.50     9.15     2.49P    4.01R    0.59  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.10     6.78   -16.89     0.01     0.06     2.00     0.44P   12.88R    2.25  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.91     6.93    -0.33     0.03     0.23     6.29     1.79P    4.53R    0.64  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.62     7.10   -17.43     0.01     0.10     2.51     0.60P   13.20R    2.62  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.11     6.86   -13.08     0.01     0.03     1.07     0.22P   19.90R    4.49  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.18     7.12    -8.55     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.40P   19.26R    4.30  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.02     6.72   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   40.50R   13.34  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.65     6.84    -2.66     0.01     0.02     0.93     0.29P   19.88R    4.65  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.19     7.03   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   45.90R   16.70  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.37     6.93   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   42.74R   15.41  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.31     6.65   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   66.66R   33.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2008, Carlisle vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.69     7.45    45.09    60.75    81.33    99.12    86.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         23   42  +14      82.39     7.49    28.28    11.51    31.91    90.02    45.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.67     7.53    33.78    12.79    34.86    90.65    52.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.57     6.55    50.23    12.72    40.61    94.63    61.69P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.05     7.37    20.40     1.17     5.17    53.77    16.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          24   37   +8      71.76     7.19    15.08     0.56     2.75    45.17    12.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    24   37   -2      63.86     7.11    -6.92     0.03     0.22    10.27     1.49P    0.61R    0.01  
Yeovil           24   35   -1      63.62     7.14    -2.62     0.02     0.21    10.19     1.81P    0.65R    0.01  
Tranmere         24   34   +5      66.89     7.23     9.27     0.08     0.58    21.26     4.94P    0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.29     7.61     7.37     0.17     0.98    24.04     5.12P    0.26R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.28     7.45    -1.02     0.03     0.21    10.14     1.59P    1.12R    0.00  
Swindon          23   31   +2      63.05     7.54     3.20     0.03     0.22    10.69     2.07P    1.13R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.19     7.65     9.12     0.12     0.79    23.58     5.46P    0.34R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.35     6.88   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.02P   24.29R    1.01  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.82     7.49     5.92     0.01     0.11    10.08     1.92P    1.48R    0.02  
Northampton      25   28   -8      52.21     6.92   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   18.22R    0.77  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.56     6.63   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   45.11R    4.08  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.51     7.31   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.05P   21.02R    1.17  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.01     7.79    -3.75     0.00     0.04     3.65     0.76P    6.05R    0.19  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.26     7.27   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P   24.26R    1.64  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.47     7.62     1.14     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.27P   12.88R    0.56  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.17     6.90   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.77R   20.96  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.45     6.89   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.31R   16.72  
Port_Vale        25   17  -18      35.93     6.38   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.29R   52.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   25   57  +28     102.76     6.29    54.73    84.01    98.64    99.99    99.14P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.78     7.30    31.98     2.86    42.11    94.12    56.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   46  +15      85.17     7.43    28.58     2.52    37.81    92.55    53.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         24   43  +15      79.36     7.59    24.66     0.57    15.04    76.43    30.72P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.46     7.20    30.70     1.46    29.80    90.63    45.80P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   40  +21      90.26     7.36    46.86     8.49    69.51    98.04    80.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +4      70.41     7.30     4.61     0.01     1.32    29.21     6.68P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            24   39   +5      73.84     7.32    12.13     0.05     3.10    48.50    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              24   36   +3      67.04     7.41     3.91     0.01     0.48    16.69     3.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport            25   36   +1      65.32     7.23     1.14     0.00     0.18    11.12     1.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +4      70.15     8.24     7.17     0.03     1.94    31.10     7.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.02     7.13     2.34     0.00     0.07     6.79     1.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   33   -9      57.00     6.94   -17.52     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.16P    0.27R    0.02  
Brentford            25   32  -10      55.86     6.99   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.09P    0.49R    0.05  
Grimsby              25   30   -8      55.83     6.90   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.11P    0.56R    0.07  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.03     7.26   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    1.73R    0.22  
Bradford             23   27   -4      56.51     7.66    -7.01     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.31P    0.68R    0.09  
Bury                 23   24   -4      50.92     7.49   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    3.40R    0.54  
Notts_County         24   23  -10      48.21     7.30   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.01R    1.36  
Macclesfield         25   23  -14      46.48     6.95   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.72R    2.50  
Lincoln_City         25   22  -15      43.45     6.75   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   21.44R    5.42  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.40     6.42   -40.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.99R   19.14  
Mansfield            22   16   -7      46.60     7.94   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   12.89R    3.70  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.75     6.27   -45.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.78R   66.90  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 January 2008, Torquay vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.69     6.81    38.95    41.92    98.38    53.71P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.32     6.70    49.12    35.96    97.83    50.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.82     7.00    45.70    15.37    91.90    38.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.79     6.88    34.30     3.51    77.51    22.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.59     7.13    29.29     2.97    70.70    21.33P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.28     6.55    12.97     0.02     8.01     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.82     7.22    13.23     0.06    11.82     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.58     6.81    10.35     0.01     6.07     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      74.06     7.15    18.37     0.06    12.93     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.04     7.26    20.11     0.12    19.59     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.57     6.71    -4.02     0.00     0.55     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       25   37   +2      67.91     7.07     5.13     0.00     2.49     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          25   36   +1      64.62     7.01     1.06     0.00     0.76     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.16     7.03     2.15     0.00     0.98     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           26   35   -1      62.41     6.82    -1.20     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.31     6.80     7.22     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.16     6.39    -6.82     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.49     7.14    -5.72     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            24   23  -11      49.33     7.21   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.85     6.49   -41.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.94R    0.75  
Altrincham          25   18  -25      34.37     6.18   -50.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.01R    3.37  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.49     5.45   -55.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.14R   28.98  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.27     5.93   -46.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.61R   29.90  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.70     5.87   -58.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.63R   37.00