Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 January 2008 at 22:37:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.68     5.28    49.31    57.91    89.62    97.26    99.38    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.44     5.51    46.89    36.87    81.01    93.93    98.22    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.82     5.74    31.39     3.38    16.48    51.70    76.20    95.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.79     6.04    11.06     0.03     0.45     3.29    10.67    39.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.60     5.87    38.64     1.67    10.56    38.24    65.96    90.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.68     5.95    27.97     0.06     0.87     6.94    19.82    57.74     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.11     5.58    22.65     0.05     0.55     4.08    14.16    52.36     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.70     5.87    24.90     0.03     0.46     4.29    13.95    50.62     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.80     6.02     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.69     6.27     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.13     6.28    10.20     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.91     6.63     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.08     5.43   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.66     5.98     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.64     0.09R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.97     5.64   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.36R    0.03  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.61     5.73   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.85R    0.05  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.96     5.32   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.10R    0.17  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.41     5.76   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.99R    0.09  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.02     5.66   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.04R    0.32  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.46     5.34   -36.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.78R    0.86  
Fulham          21   15  -15      30.95     5.60   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.37R    1.15  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.16     4.19   -63.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   97.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.80     6.83    43.79    60.84    80.85    98.28    86.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.19     7.00    15.43    14.21    35.65    83.89    46.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.66     7.00     6.39     8.81    25.84    77.66    36.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.57     7.06    18.43     9.14    27.94    79.43    41.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      68.95     7.10     7.16     1.40     5.60    39.27    13.81P    0.14R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.64     7.20    14.39     2.07     8.62    50.53    19.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.17     7.15    11.58     1.37     5.68    42.22    15.94P    0.18R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.45     6.89     5.79     0.61     2.70    26.46     8.84P    0.32R    0.03  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.76     7.10     4.96     0.73     2.97    27.89     9.48P    0.47R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.59     6.93     2.00     0.26     1.30    18.39     5.91P    0.81R    0.07  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.72     7.02     1.15     0.28     1.10    15.64     4.41P    1.45R    0.14  
Burnley          26   34   -2      60.85     7.01    -3.15     0.08     0.43     8.32     2.22P    3.65R    0.47  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.17     6.99     2.62     0.05     0.35     8.01     2.47P    3.64R    0.44  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      60.97     7.29    -4.35     0.09     0.49     8.87     2.34P    4.41R    0.68  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.18     6.72   -16.76     0.01     0.04     1.98     0.42P   12.52R    2.13  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.82     7.00    -0.44     0.04     0.27     6.51     1.88P    4.84R    0.69  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.65     7.11   -17.44     0.00     0.07     2.41     0.53P   13.17R    2.64  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.13     6.91   -13.05     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.27P   19.79R    4.57  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.29     7.18    -8.39     0.01     0.04     1.55     0.40P   19.03R    4.40  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.08     6.71   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   40.13R   12.89  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.58     6.86    -2.70     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.30P   20.30R    4.78  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.17     6.94   -20.30     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   45.77R   16.61  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.25     6.83   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   42.89R   15.48  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.36     6.67   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   66.40R   33.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2008, Carlisle vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.61     7.45    44.99    60.43    81.10    99.20    86.29P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         23   42  +14      82.46     7.46    28.42    11.94    33.09    90.14    46.11P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.53     7.54    33.60    12.77    34.47    90.56    52.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.35     6.61    49.91    12.67    40.02    94.49    60.98P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.07     7.41    20.45     1.12     5.28    53.87    16.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          24   37   +8      71.60     7.23    14.81     0.56     2.67    44.49    12.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    24   37   -2      63.93     7.16    -6.77     0.03     0.24    10.72     1.70P    0.63R    0.00  
Yeovil           24   35   -1      63.67     7.16    -2.55     0.03     0.23    10.36     1.83P    0.66R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +5      66.96     7.36     9.41     0.11     0.67    22.12     5.13P    0.26R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.29     7.55     7.34     0.14     0.90    23.71     5.09P    0.26R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.51     7.45    -0.67     0.04     0.22    10.69     1.83P    0.97R    0.00  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.94     7.52     3.00     0.03     0.25    10.41     2.02P    1.20R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      66.84     7.69     8.59     0.10     0.69    22.59     5.13P    0.39R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.42     6.87   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P   24.18R    0.91  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.90     7.39     6.03     0.02     0.11    10.00     1.81P    1.32R    0.03  
Northampton      25   28   -8      52.24     6.91   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   18.51R    0.76  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.72     6.60   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   44.45R    3.53  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.63     7.26   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P   20.13R    1.07  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.20     7.78    -3.48     0.01     0.05     3.84     0.74P    5.71R    0.22  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.39     7.32   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   23.74R    1.59  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.71     7.71     1.46     0.00     0.01     1.36     0.35P   12.78R    0.47  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.01     6.92   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.62R   21.55  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.20     6.88   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.99R   17.46  
Port_Vale        25   17  -18      35.88     6.39   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.15R   52.39  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   25   57  +28     102.72     6.34    54.61    83.88    98.62    99.99    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.82     7.19    32.02     2.92    42.53    94.56    57.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   46  +15      84.97     7.41    28.28     2.35    36.96    92.36    52.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         24   43  +15      79.42     7.52    24.75     0.55    15.10    77.37    30.92P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.42     7.23    30.60     1.56    30.11    90.62    46.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   40  +21      90.16     7.41    46.68     8.65    69.35    97.86    80.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +4      70.41     7.35     4.60     0.02     1.39    29.36     6.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            24   39   +5      73.77     7.35    12.01     0.05     3.24    48.08    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              24   36   +3      66.89     7.37     3.66     0.00     0.48    15.90     3.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport            25   36   +1      65.53     7.22     1.46     0.00     0.22    11.51     2.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +4      70.16     8.19     7.15     0.02     1.90    30.91     7.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.11     7.11     2.43     0.00     0.08     6.89     1.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   33   -9      57.00     6.95   -17.56     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.18P    0.29R    0.03  
Brentford            25   32  -10      55.76     6.95   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    0.51R    0.05  
Grimsby              25   30   -8      55.90     6.89   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.10P    0.54R    0.09  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.30     7.24   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    1.50R    0.15  
Bradford             23   27   -4      56.24     7.63    -7.44     0.00     0.02     1.42     0.33P    0.78R    0.11  
Bury                 23   24   -4      50.87     7.55   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    3.51R    0.56  
Notts_County         24   23  -10      48.32     7.28   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    6.81R    1.25  
Macclesfield         25   23  -14      46.64     6.95   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.28R    2.32  
Lincoln_City         25   22  -15      43.34     6.71   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.99R    5.38  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.46     6.43   -40.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.77R   18.83  
Mansfield            22   16   -7      46.76     8.01   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.49R    3.53  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.62     6.26   -45.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.48R   67.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2008, Droylsden vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.73     6.84    39.04    37.25    98.40    50.45P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             24   54  +24      98.33     6.90    51.49    44.85    98.78    57.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.88     6.94    45.78    13.01    92.68    37.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       24   45  +17      84.51     7.31    32.18     2.09    67.19    18.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.66     7.17    29.44     2.62    72.49    21.59P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.33     6.59    13.00     0.01     9.25     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.89     7.19    13.32     0.04    13.04     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.48     6.89    10.15     0.02     6.89     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.96     7.20    18.16     0.03    14.00     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.01     7.25    20.06     0.08    21.17     4.39P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.44     6.63    -4.28     0.00     0.51     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       25   37   +2      68.13     7.05     5.44     0.00     2.95     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          25   36   +1      64.82     7.02     1.31     0.00     0.97     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.07     7.00     2.03     0.00     1.06     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           26   35   -1      62.36     6.82    -1.35     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.33     6.81     7.22     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.17     6.40    -6.84     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.58     7.11    -5.54     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            24   23  -11      49.05     7.16   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.95     6.43   -41.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.34R    0.68  
Altrincham          25   18  -25      34.46     6.20   -50.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.74R    3.11  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.53     5.47   -55.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   28.79  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.19     5.92   -46.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.03R   30.24  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.63     5.83   -59.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.26R   37.17