Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 4 January 2008 at 22:36:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.70     5.25    49.47    58.77    89.54    97.27    99.35    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.24     5.49    46.64    35.36    80.19    93.68    98.14    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.84     5.83    31.48     3.60    16.81    51.65    76.15    94.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.63     5.98    10.80     0.04     0.42     3.04    10.05    39.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.85     5.85    38.99     2.09    11.07    39.34    67.91    91.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.79     5.92    28.13     0.08     0.94     6.87    20.14    58.84     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.00     5.61    22.46     0.04     0.56     3.96    13.80    52.03     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.54     5.79    24.59     0.03     0.45     3.94    13.01    50.05     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.68     5.96     0.49     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.59     6.02     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.21     6.27    10.35     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.84     6.73     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.22     5.47   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.61R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.67     5.97     8.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.61     0.10R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.92     5.61   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.36R    0.04  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.72     5.72   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.10R    0.05  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.85     5.28   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.66R    0.18  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.36     5.78   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.33R    0.12  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.06     5.68   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.54R    0.34  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.34     5.36   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.70R    0.95  
Fulham          21   15  -15      31.03     5.56   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.79R    1.13  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.26     4.22   -63.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   97.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.93     6.77    44.02    62.05    81.77    98.36    87.38P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.24     6.94    15.48    13.89    35.83    84.33    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.68     6.93     6.48     8.57    25.77    77.94    36.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.43     7.11    18.15     8.88    27.77    78.41    41.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.02     7.10     7.27     1.43     5.60    39.96    14.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.63     7.15    14.37     1.89     8.34    50.49    19.40P    0.07R    0.01  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.12     7.15    11.55     1.31     5.56    41.64    15.80P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.60     6.93     5.97     0.52     2.63    27.73     9.26P    0.33R    0.04  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.75     7.11     4.98     0.78     2.91    28.07     9.17P    0.45R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.39     6.84     1.72     0.24     1.18    17.17     5.54P    0.81R    0.08  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.44     6.96     0.76     0.20     0.98    14.67     4.15P    1.38R    0.11  
Burnley          26   34   -2      61.15     7.04    -2.75     0.06     0.40     9.06     2.44P    3.23R    0.46  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.31     6.99     2.82     0.04     0.39     8.15     2.50P    3.54R    0.48  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      60.89     7.28    -4.44     0.08     0.40     8.78     2.24P    4.36R    0.61  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.18     6.78   -16.83     0.01     0.05     2.00     0.39P   12.53R    2.22  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.83     6.97    -0.42     0.05     0.28     6.29     1.84P    4.70R    0.67  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.85     7.15   -17.13     0.00     0.07     2.78     0.55P   12.49R    2.36  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.10     6.88   -13.12     0.00     0.01     1.07     0.30P   19.50R    4.32  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.28     7.19    -8.37     0.00     0.04     1.52     0.37P   19.54R    4.43  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.14     6.73   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   39.76R   12.52  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.62     6.89    -2.72     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.26P   20.05R    4.90  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      48.96     6.97   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   47.39R   17.18  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.32     6.95   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   42.65R   15.53  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.24     6.61   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   66.93R   34.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.48     7.44    44.71    60.52    81.30    99.16    86.28P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.54     7.49    33.66    13.04    35.60    90.99    53.14P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         22   39  +13      82.48     7.69    29.94    13.29    35.29    89.94    48.64P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.09     7.33    20.49     1.24     5.37    54.53    16.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            24   37  +23      82.36     6.88    48.11    10.75    35.77    92.55    57.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   37   +8      71.68     7.14    14.94     0.57     2.92    45.49    12.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    24   37   -2      63.79     7.08    -7.02     0.06     0.31    10.45     1.56P    0.58R    0.01  
Yeovil           24   35   -1      63.68     7.10    -2.53     0.02     0.21    10.30     1.84P    0.69R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +5      66.88     7.30     9.28     0.09     0.69    21.96     5.12P    0.22R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.06     7.53     6.99     0.17     0.91    23.17     4.86P    0.32R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.50     7.46    -0.69     0.05     0.28    10.83     1.80P    1.07R    0.02  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.86     7.48     2.91     0.03     0.28    10.36     2.04P    1.28R    0.02  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.04     7.69     8.95     0.13     0.88    23.53     5.66P    0.39R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.42     6.87   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.02P   24.52R    0.98  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.77     7.41     5.80     0.01     0.14     9.82     1.85P    1.55R    0.03  
Northampton      24   28   -5      53.17     7.19   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.08P   16.20R    0.66  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.68     6.63   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   45.27R    3.75  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.77     7.32   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.08P   20.32R    1.08  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.15     7.78    -3.54     0.01     0.05     3.80     0.74P    5.95R    0.19  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.27     7.19   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   24.14R    1.53  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.61     7.63     1.31     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.29P   12.92R    0.53  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.15     6.81   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.59R   20.33  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.38     6.83   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.64R   16.45  
Port_Vale        24   17  -17      35.71     6.48   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.35R   54.42  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Chester vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   24   54  +27     100.99     6.70    53.68    67.97    95.99    99.95    97.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.38     7.30    31.44     2.96    34.70    92.61    50.65P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         23   43  +16      82.57     7.73    28.59     1.69    23.37    85.14    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.55     7.20    30.87     1.61    25.34    89.83    42.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.77     8.01    26.56     3.35    31.72    89.13    46.60P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      94.22     7.39    52.53    22.22    81.50    99.11    88.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +4      70.75     7.33     5.09     0.01     1.09    28.12     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.19     8.03    13.20     0.12     3.54    47.83    12.72P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              23   35   +3      67.26     7.67     3.70     0.01     0.45    16.23     3.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   34   +3      65.85     7.47     5.48     0.00     0.20    12.18     2.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      70.29     8.73     7.85     0.05     2.02    30.45     7.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.41     7.61   -14.16     0.00     0.03     2.61     0.41P    0.16R    0.01  
Stockport            23   30   -1      61.20     7.82    -2.39     0.00     0.05     4.90     0.95P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.30     7.18   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    1.17R    0.13  
Brentford            24   29  -11      52.77     7.13   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.02P    1.40R    0.22  
Grimsby              24   27   -9      52.40     7.08   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    1.89R    0.30  
Bury                 23   24   -4      50.91     7.50   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.60R    0.41  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.25     7.84   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    1.87R    0.31  
Notts_County         23   23   -9      49.91     7.65   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    4.15R    0.78  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.40     7.51   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    5.92R    1.15  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.54     6.42   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.91R   16.86  
Lincoln_City         24   19  -17      39.67     6.90   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.07R   13.44  
Mansfield            22   16   -7      46.92     7.90    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.37R    3.06  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.73     6.34   -45.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.36R   63.32  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Aldershot vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           25   58  +22      97.52     7.03    40.55    37.76    98.09    51.12P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             24   54  +24      97.92     6.98    50.33    43.01    98.38    55.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           24   49  +26      91.83     7.09    47.51    14.02    91.96    38.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       24   45  +17      84.39     7.31    31.90     2.15    66.22    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.58     7.27    29.11     2.70    71.76    21.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        24   42  +10      76.22     7.50    15.98     0.18    21.68     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              26   41   +6      72.08     6.79    11.54     0.01     7.17     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.04     7.36    19.93     0.10    21.55     4.29P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    25   39   +4      68.93     7.15     5.79     0.00     3.72     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        24   38  +11      73.23     7.44    18.80     0.05    13.01     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
York                25   37   +0      64.16     6.96    -3.72     0.00     0.88     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       24   36   +2      68.22     7.37     4.97     0.01     3.41     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           25   34   -1      62.51     7.11    -1.82     0.00     0.54     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      24   33   +0      62.50     7.39    -0.31     0.00     0.75     0.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          24   33   -3      62.03     7.20    -4.32     0.00     0.45     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   25   30   +4      60.97     7.15     7.54     0.00     0.31     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             24   29   -1      57.35     7.35    -4.01     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              26   28   -6      53.12     6.65    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            23   23   -8      51.46     7.55   -13.47     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.51R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      24   20  -21      40.21     6.69   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.61R    0.60  
Altrincham          24   18  -21      36.48     6.59   -44.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.14R    2.11  
Northwich           25   13  -30      26.75     5.56   -56.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.99R   29.42  
Stafford_Rangers    25   10  -27      26.19     6.03   -48.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.41R   32.84  
Droylsden           24   10  -31      26.28     6.09   -59.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.22R   35.01