Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 3 January 2008 at 22:35:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.74     5.25    49.50    58.71    89.59    97.23    99.32    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.33     5.47    46.80    35.71    80.39    93.78    98.22    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.90     5.78    31.51     3.50    16.63    52.04    76.31    95.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.80     6.06    11.08     0.04     0.45     3.33    10.87    40.23     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.77     5.89    38.85     1.93    11.09    38.64    66.89    91.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.67     5.94    27.94     0.06     0.86     6.59    19.64    57.68     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.17     5.60    22.82     0.04     0.55     4.17    14.34    53.23     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.59     5.82    24.62     0.02     0.42     3.97    12.99    49.74     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.67     5.95     0.46     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.65     5.99     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      55.88     6.24     9.86     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.74     6.09     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.16     5.47   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.56R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.71     5.96     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.13R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.92     5.62   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.03  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.59     5.71   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.76R    0.05  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.88     5.27   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.56R    0.20  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.32     5.72   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.63R    0.13  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.09     5.68   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.51R    0.33  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.51     5.35   -35.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.46R    0.88  
Fulham          21   15  -15      31.05     5.58   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.74R    1.07  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.23     4.25   -63.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   97.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      86.08     6.76    44.30    62.60    82.33    98.45    87.89P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.12     7.02    15.33    13.55    35.03    83.97    46.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.66     7.01     6.42     8.47    25.61    77.89    35.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.50     7.07    18.30     8.90    28.00    79.15    41.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.07     7.10     7.33     1.35     5.65    40.18    14.23P    0.11R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.72     7.20    14.48     2.02     8.71    50.94    19.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.17     7.04    11.60     1.29     5.42    42.22    15.61P    0.18R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.50     6.91     5.82     0.56     2.55    26.88     8.93P    0.33R    0.02  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.48     7.03     4.53     0.59     2.67    26.62     8.60P    0.47R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.36     6.93     1.68     0.23     1.25    17.59     5.58P    0.91R    0.07  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.58     7.01     0.91     0.20     1.04    15.31     4.48P    1.44R    0.15  
Burnley          26   34   -2      61.04     7.00    -2.90     0.05     0.42     8.73     2.28P    3.34R    0.41  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.14     7.04     2.57     0.06     0.40     8.08     2.46P    3.78R    0.48  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.00     7.23    -4.29     0.06     0.48     8.96     2.35P    4.08R    0.57  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.24     6.75   -16.68     0.00     0.03     2.03     0.41P   12.39R    2.10  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.63     6.99    -0.70     0.04     0.24     5.96     1.73P    5.09R    0.77  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.84     7.18   -17.16     0.01     0.07     2.73     0.55P   12.92R    2.52  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.03     6.85   -13.24     0.01     0.03     1.08     0.26P   20.04R    4.65  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.38     7.15    -8.22     0.01     0.03     1.52     0.44P   18.75R    4.29  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.22     6.70   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   39.19R   12.43  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.64     6.90    -2.67     0.00     0.02     0.96     0.26P   20.34R    4.85  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.10     7.01   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.08P   46.66R   16.77  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.20     6.92   -13.13     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.07P   43.39R   16.00  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.31     6.63   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   66.48R   33.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.59     7.56    44.97    61.02    81.55    99.05    86.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.61     7.48    33.76    13.24    36.30    90.96    53.54P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         22   39  +13      82.48     7.68    29.99    12.94    34.82    89.98    48.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      72.98     7.34    20.32     1.20     5.39    53.71    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            24   37  +23      82.28     6.87    47.95    10.47    35.35    92.38    56.63P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   37   +8      71.75     7.15    15.04     0.56     2.93    45.80    12.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    24   37   -2      63.75     7.13    -7.13     0.02     0.23    10.29     1.60P    0.69R    0.00  
Yeovil           24   35   -1      63.50     7.10    -2.77     0.04     0.24     9.95     1.80P    0.69R    0.01  
Tranmere         24   34   +5      66.90     7.33     9.30     0.14     0.69    22.36     5.29P    0.21R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.26     7.59     7.24     0.14     1.01    24.19     5.21P    0.31R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.49     7.55    -0.69     0.04     0.28    11.06     1.86P    1.17R    0.01  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.77     7.57     2.76     0.02     0.22    10.45     1.98P    1.38R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      66.88     7.74     8.67     0.15     0.76    22.91     5.26P    0.39R    0.01  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.39     6.85   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   24.77R    1.01  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.80     7.40     5.80     0.03     0.17     9.78     1.84P    1.47R    0.01  
Northampton      24   28   -5      53.20     7.17   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.10P   16.01R    0.61  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.74     6.64   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   45.10R    3.76  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.78     7.34   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.05P   20.38R    0.96  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.12     7.82    -3.65     0.00     0.04     3.92     0.77P    6.14R    0.16  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.58     7.28   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P   23.48R    1.60  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.64     7.68     1.38     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.32P   13.15R    0.51  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.04     6.83   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.07R   20.52  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.44     6.91   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.03R   16.42  
Port_Vale        24   17  -17      35.71     6.48   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.56R   54.40  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Chester vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   24   54  +27     101.22     6.66    54.09    68.81    96.34    99.96    97.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.52     7.19    31.69     2.66    34.73    93.23    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         23   43  +16      82.74     7.77    28.86     1.68    23.79    85.15    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.46     7.09    30.70     1.42    24.32    89.70    41.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.74     7.99    26.56     3.12    31.50    89.19    45.85P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      94.36     7.35    52.83    22.12    81.97    99.26    89.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +4      70.65     7.35     4.97     0.01     1.07    27.76     6.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.26     7.95    13.22     0.11     3.46    48.19    12.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              23   35   +3      67.33     7.65     3.85     0.01     0.45    16.35     3.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   34   +3      65.86     7.45     5.50     0.00     0.22    12.28     2.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      70.14     8.85     7.69     0.06     2.10    29.90     7.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.38     7.59   -14.32     0.00     0.02     2.72     0.41P    0.19R    0.02  
Stockport            23   30   -1      60.95     7.79    -2.93     0.00     0.04     4.49     0.87P    0.12R    0.01  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.18     7.30   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    1.27R    0.15  
Brentford            24   29  -11      52.95     7.15   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    1.39R    0.14  
Grimsby              24   27   -9      52.45     7.06   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    1.66R    0.29  
Bury                 23   24   -4      50.99     7.53   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    2.83R    0.49  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.13     7.82   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P    1.76R    0.26  
Notts_County         23   23   -9      49.87     7.63   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    4.20R    0.81  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.56     7.48   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.45R    1.12  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.48     6.39   -40.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.42R   16.95  
Lincoln_City         24   19  -17      39.79     6.93   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.95R   12.97  
Mansfield            22   16   -7      46.62     7.92   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.12R    3.41  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.69     6.25   -45.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.63R   63.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Aldershot vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           25   58  +22      97.72     6.97    40.85    38.10    98.27    51.86P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             24   54  +24      98.13     6.96    50.73    43.60    98.59    56.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           24   49  +26      91.98     7.04    47.71    13.68    92.63    38.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       24   45  +17      84.31     7.26    31.71     1.90    66.37    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.52     7.20    29.06     2.47    71.54    21.22P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        24   42  +10      76.11     7.45    15.82     0.13    21.57     3.58P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              26   41   +6      71.84     6.84    11.19     0.01     7.04     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.81     7.28    19.55     0.09    20.79     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    25   39   +4      68.89     7.12     5.73     0.00     3.78     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        24   38  +11      73.24     7.38    18.77     0.02    12.63     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
York                25   37   +0      64.27     7.04    -3.55     0.00     0.98     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       24   36   +2      68.44     7.37     5.25     0.00     3.65     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           25   34   -1      62.54     7.10    -1.81     0.00     0.55     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      24   33   +0      62.53     7.31    -0.27     0.00     0.68     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          24   33   -3      61.79     7.22    -4.68     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   25   30   +4      61.13     7.11     7.74     0.00     0.38     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             24   29   -1      57.40     7.32    -3.90     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              26   28   -6      53.05     6.66    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            23   23   -8      51.46     7.44   -13.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.49R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      24   20  -21      40.09     6.74   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.45R    0.64  
Altrincham          24   18  -21      36.51     6.57   -43.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.61R    1.99  
Northwich           25   13  -30      26.68     5.57   -56.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.01R   30.37  
Stafford_Rangers    25   10  -27      26.21     6.00   -48.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.60R   32.75  
Droylsden           24   10  -31      26.35     6.05   -59.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.72R   34.25