Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 January 2008 at 22:35:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.77     5.28    49.61    58.21    89.58    97.18    99.29    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.42     5.45    46.88    36.03    80.84    94.02    98.28    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.93     5.80    31.59     3.66    16.82    52.52    77.05    95.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.71     6.05    10.92     0.03     0.41     3.23    10.49    40.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.61     5.90    38.65     1.92    10.43    37.74    66.19    91.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.58     5.99    27.80     0.08     0.92     6.93    19.71    57.23     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.07     5.57    22.56     0.03     0.50     4.02    14.08    52.37     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.64     5.82    24.74     0.03     0.49     4.04    13.37    50.47     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.78     5.96     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.64     6.27     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.32     6.27    10.49     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.87     6.96     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.16     5.50   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.65R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.72     5.94     8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.10R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.91     5.61   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.45R    0.04  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.51     5.73   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.43R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.83     5.31   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.92R    0.15  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.18     5.67   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.66R    0.11  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.03     5.67   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.94R    0.33  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.62     5.34   -35.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.62R    0.82  
Fulham          21   15  -15      31.03     5.58   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.41R    1.12  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.16     4.23   -63.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   97.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.92     6.75    44.04    61.47    81.83    98.45    87.58P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.22     6.99    15.47    13.96    35.75    84.27    47.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.68     7.01     6.47     8.63    25.78    77.96    35.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.38     7.12    18.12     9.04    27.47    78.55    40.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      68.87     7.12     7.07     1.43     5.59    39.11    13.86P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.69     7.21    14.45     2.03     8.76    50.82    20.10P    0.10R    0.01  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.21     7.07    11.66     1.43     5.60    42.13    15.72P    0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.59     6.88     5.95     0.55     2.52    27.05     9.05P    0.34R    0.02  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.67     7.09     4.80     0.73     2.67    27.76     9.01P    0.49R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.44     6.91     1.78     0.29     1.37    17.75     5.70P    0.87R    0.07  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.50     7.01     0.80     0.21     1.02    14.99     4.28P    1.45R    0.14  
Burnley          26   34   -2      60.80     6.95    -3.22     0.05     0.38     8.06     2.03P    3.57R    0.43  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.31     7.01     2.79     0.05     0.38     8.23     2.47P    3.55R    0.45  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.12     7.26    -4.13     0.08     0.44     9.25     2.43P    4.03R    0.61  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.15     6.78   -16.84     0.01     0.04     2.01     0.44P   12.83R    2.08  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.87     7.00    -0.38     0.04     0.26     6.53     1.89P    4.87R    0.73  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.88     7.12   -17.07     0.02     0.08     2.88     0.55P   12.43R    2.49  
QPR              26   30   -8      53.98     6.87   -13.23     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.23P   20.13R    4.55  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.34     7.25    -8.29     0.00     0.04     1.62     0.44P   19.16R    4.48  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.23     6.64   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   38.96R   12.47  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.78     6.82    -2.48     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.28P   18.98R    4.60  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.14     6.99   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   46.36R   16.87  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.02     6.82   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   44.49R   16.01  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.25     6.62   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   67.09R   33.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.64     7.53    44.98    61.10    81.76    99.11    86.57P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.61     7.47    33.69    13.22    35.92    91.28    53.51P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         22   39  +13      82.50     7.71    29.97    12.76    35.22    90.01    48.73P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.13     7.43    20.54     1.27     5.71    54.71    16.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            24   37  +23      82.25     6.86    47.99    10.51    35.07    92.43    56.40P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   37   +8      71.66     7.21    14.90     0.65     2.99    45.34    12.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    24   37   -2      63.92     7.16    -6.83     0.03     0.25    11.06     1.70P    0.62R    0.00  
Yeovil           24   35   -1      63.88     7.11    -2.26     0.04     0.25    10.84     1.96P    0.60R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   34   +5      66.81     7.30     9.14     0.08     0.65    21.68     5.01P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.12     7.54     7.05     0.15     0.96    23.36     4.95P    0.32R    0.01  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.35     7.41    -0.92     0.02     0.20    10.30     1.72P    1.19R    0.01  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.95     7.54     3.01     0.03     0.20    11.07     2.08P    1.27R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      66.61     7.66     8.28     0.11     0.64    21.51     4.81P    0.46R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.49     6.87   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.02P   24.45R    0.99  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.86     7.44     5.94     0.02     0.14    10.28     1.95P    1.49R    0.01  
Northampton      24   28   -5      53.30     7.19   -13.27     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.08P   15.76R    0.53  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.58     6.62   -31.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    45.99R    3.76  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.77     7.21   -21.85     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.06P   19.79R    0.95  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.07     7.81    -3.68     0.00     0.04     3.76     0.73P    6.29R    0.18  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.48     7.27   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   23.77R    1.57  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.79     7.65     1.60     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.31P   12.50R    0.48  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.09     6.90   -34.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.69R   20.30  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.30     6.88   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.75R   16.51  
Port_Vale        24   17  -17      35.53     6.47   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.80R   54.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Chester vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   24   54  +27     101.15     6.70    53.88    68.79    96.05    99.96    97.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.59     7.23    31.77     2.91    35.70    93.08    52.14P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         23   43  +16      82.80     7.68    28.89     1.73    23.62    85.84    40.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.32     7.25    30.49     1.46    24.46    89.00    41.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.76     8.06    26.58     3.40    31.35    89.23    45.97P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      94.15     7.38    52.41    21.50    81.43    99.11    88.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +4      70.47     7.46     4.69     0.02     1.16    27.50     6.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.33     7.95    13.40     0.11     3.62    48.85    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              23   35   +3      67.27     7.60     3.75     0.01     0.44    16.11     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   34   +3      65.96     7.43     5.68     0.00     0.19    12.68     2.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      69.98     8.77     7.37     0.08     1.89    29.16     7.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.33     7.57   -14.26     0.00     0.02     2.59     0.40P    0.19R    0.01  
Stockport            23   30   -1      61.10     7.87    -2.59     0.00     0.08     4.85     0.89P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.21     7.23   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    1.22R    0.13  
Brentford            24   29  -11      53.05     7.16   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    1.38R    0.18  
Grimsby              24   27   -9      52.57     7.04   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    1.67R    0.29  
Bury                 23   24   -4      51.02     7.46   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    2.56R    0.43  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.19     7.92   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    1.87R    0.28  
Notts_County         23   23   -9      49.99     7.65   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    4.01R    0.72  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.61     7.54   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    5.63R    1.12  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.54     6.39   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.95R   16.48  
Lincoln_City         24   19  -17      39.66     6.90   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.69R   13.58  
Mansfield            22   16   -7      46.58     7.89   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   11.24R    3.28  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.68     6.33   -45.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.46R   63.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Aldershot vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           25   58  +22      97.54     6.90    40.51    37.02    98.16    50.89P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             24   54  +24      98.15     6.99    50.86    44.37    98.62    57.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           24   49  +26      91.87     7.08    47.52    13.72    92.22    38.27P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       24   45  +17      84.40     7.26    31.85     1.95    66.62    17.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.63     7.24    29.24     2.65    72.00    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        24   42  +10      76.18     7.40    15.91     0.16    21.41     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              26   41   +6      71.86     6.79    11.20     0.01     6.83     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.96     7.26    19.76     0.08    20.71     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    25   39   +4      69.11     7.08     6.06     0.00     3.86     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        24   38  +11      73.45     7.46    19.15     0.04    13.35     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                25   37   +0      64.20     6.97    -3.66     0.00     0.91     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       24   36   +2      68.19     7.34     4.87     0.00     3.25     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           25   34   -1      62.42     7.12    -2.00     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      24   33   +0      62.46     7.38    -0.41     0.00     0.68     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          24   33   -3      61.76     7.27    -4.72     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   25   30   +4      60.99     7.08     7.57     0.00     0.26     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             24   29   -1      57.35     7.39    -3.98     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              26   28   -6      53.13     6.69    -8.41     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            23   23   -8      51.52     7.36   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      24   20  -21      40.11     6.67   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.08R    0.60  
Altrincham          24   18  -21      36.46     6.56   -44.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.78R    2.00  
Northwich           25   13  -30      26.85     5.60   -56.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.57R   29.43  
Stafford_Rangers    25   10  -27      26.04     5.93   -48.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.15R   33.20  
Droylsden           24   10  -31      26.31     6.12   -59.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R   34.76