Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 January 2008 at 22:35:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.77     5.28    49.54    58.28    87.45    96.54    99.33    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.11     5.49    46.39    33.60    75.77    91.90    97.90    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.87     5.81    31.66     3.50    15.75    45.75    75.40    95.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   37  +21      76.04     6.03    42.29     4.49    19.23    51.94    78.30    95.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.65     5.96    27.95     0.06     0.80     5.51    17.54    59.92     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.11     5.59    22.73     0.04     0.48     3.48    12.74    55.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   36   +5      62.32     6.35     7.75     0.02     0.20     1.41     5.29    27.65     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.58     5.89    24.69     0.01     0.31     3.30    12.19    52.43     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   -1      55.98     6.29     1.05     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.53     6.10     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.05     6.28    10.10     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.74     7.02     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -4      45.24     5.75   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.71R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.66     5.98     8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.70     0.09R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.94     5.63   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.03R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.77     5.23   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.33R    0.24  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.27     5.72   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.76R    0.18  
Bolton          20   17  -10      36.20     5.99   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.47R    0.25  
Sunderland      20   17  -19      32.19     5.60   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.61R    1.08  
Wigan           20   16  -16      33.81     5.78   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.38R    0.90  
Fulham          21   15  -15      30.97     5.55   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.08R    1.51  
Derby           20    7  -35      15.94     4.51   -63.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   95.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.71     6.75    43.70    61.06    81.12    98.34    86.96P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.05     7.00    15.19    13.79    35.11    83.55    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.72     7.00     6.49     8.91    26.44    78.16    36.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.42     7.03    18.20     9.17    27.70    79.09    41.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.05     7.16     7.32     1.54     5.99    40.26    14.55P    0.15R    0.01  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.69     7.15    14.46     2.03     8.63    50.89    19.87P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      68.96     7.07    11.29     1.33     5.32    41.16    15.09P    0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.52     6.98     5.88     0.63     2.85    27.32     9.44P    0.36R    0.03  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.79     7.08     5.01     0.75     2.87    28.12     9.47P    0.44R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.57     6.99     2.00     0.31     1.42    18.45     5.91P    0.86R    0.07  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.42     6.99     0.71     0.23     0.99    14.52     4.09P    1.48R    0.15  
Burnley          26   34   -2      61.01     7.02    -2.89     0.06     0.45     8.73     2.34P    3.24R    0.47  
Barnsley         26   34   -3      60.50     6.98    -4.55     0.05     0.31     7.33     1.89P    3.95R    0.52  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.28     6.99     2.80     0.09     0.40     8.22     2.54P    3.53R    0.42  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.32     6.74   -16.55     0.00     0.05     2.08     0.41P   12.16R    2.00  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      60.05     7.04    -0.11     0.04     0.23     6.93     2.02P    4.46R    0.64  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.65     7.13   -17.41     0.01     0.06     2.60     0.54P   13.21R    2.60  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.05     6.92   -13.19     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.23P   20.14R    4.57  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.42     7.21    -8.19     0.00     0.04     1.61     0.36P   18.69R    4.32  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.24     6.73   -17.24     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   39.13R   12.51  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.64     6.91    -2.68     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.29P   19.97R    4.87  
Scunthorpe       26   27  -12      48.93     6.74   -20.26     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   47.32R   16.64  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.07     6.85   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P   44.00R   16.22  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.29     6.58   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   66.65R   33.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Brighton vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.37     7.43    44.57    60.14    81.27    99.15    86.09P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.43     7.49    33.48    12.97    35.62    90.56    52.87P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         22   39  +13      82.29     7.76    29.62    13.13    34.90    89.27    47.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.20     7.43    20.67     1.39     6.08    54.95    17.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            24   37  +23      82.26     6.90    47.98    11.19    35.49    92.09    56.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          24   37   +8      71.69     7.16    14.95     0.57     2.90    45.38    12.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    24   37   -2      63.72     7.12    -7.14     0.04     0.27    10.35     1.53P    0.68R    0.00  
Yeovil           24   35   -1      63.54     7.14    -2.71     0.03     0.23    10.17     1.95P    0.70R    0.01  
Tranmere         24   34   +5      67.08     7.27     9.58     0.11     0.68    22.56     5.37P    0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.11     7.57     7.07     0.18     0.98    23.30     5.10P    0.29R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.67     7.50    -0.37     0.03     0.27    11.48     1.98P    1.00R    0.00  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.90     7.52     2.99     0.03     0.27    10.57     2.06P    1.25R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.07     7.71     8.99     0.14     0.86    23.49     5.54P    0.42R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.51     6.90   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   24.14R    1.00  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.77     7.38     5.82     0.02     0.11     9.79     1.75P    1.43R    0.02  
Northampton      24   28   -5      53.18     7.12   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P   15.66R    0.60  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.54     6.58   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   45.77R    3.89  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.76     7.31   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.06P   19.94R    0.96  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.11     7.83    -3.59     0.01     0.05     3.75     0.75P    6.12R    0.23  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.05     7.26   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   25.26R    1.81  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.96     7.66     1.85     0.00     0.01     1.44     0.37P   12.04R    0.46  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.14     6.85   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.18R   17.87  
Cheltenham       22   18  -18      39.48     7.13   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.18R   31.38  
Port_Vale        23   17  -16      37.50     6.86   -33.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.74R   41.75  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Chester vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   24   54  +27     101.23     6.68    54.02    69.18    96.27    99.96    97.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.63     7.24    31.85     2.83    35.90    93.20    51.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         23   43  +16      82.59     7.81    28.59     1.68    23.23    84.91    39.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.38     7.21    30.67     1.40    24.75    89.26    41.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.59     8.05    26.34     3.14    30.48    88.69    45.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      94.23     7.30    52.50    21.56    81.89    99.20    89.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              24   40   +4      70.81     7.27     5.16     0.03     1.08    28.61     6.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.30     7.97    13.41     0.11     3.69    48.71    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              23   35   +3      67.25     7.66     3.73     0.00     0.47    16.11     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   34   +3      65.92     7.44     5.62     0.00     0.22    12.66     2.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      70.00     8.79     7.48     0.06     1.92    29.48     7.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.55     7.67   -13.91     0.00     0.04     2.75     0.42P    0.19R    0.01  
Stockport            23   30   -1      61.01     7.76    -2.78     0.00     0.05     4.59     0.83P    0.12R    0.01  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.08     7.22   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    1.29R    0.14  
Brentford            24   29  -11      52.92     7.31   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    1.44R    0.22  
Grimsby              24   27   -9      52.48     7.05   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    1.68R    0.31  
Bury                 23   24   -4      50.98     7.51   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    2.59R    0.42  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.19     7.89   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.13P    1.99R    0.31  
Notts_County         23   23   -9      49.85     7.63   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    4.40R    0.81  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.50     7.57   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    5.72R    1.18  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.48     6.44   -40.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.43R   17.02  
Lincoln_City         24   19  -17      39.83     6.87   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.99R   12.74  
Mansfield            22   16   -7      46.83     7.89    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.27R    2.97  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.65     6.27   -45.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.87R   63.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Aldershot vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           25   58  +22      97.58     6.99    40.66    37.61    98.25    51.10P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             24   54  +24      98.19     6.90    50.85    43.87    98.65    56.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           24   49  +26      91.88     7.08    47.58    13.90    92.15    38.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       24   45  +17      84.45     7.27    31.99     1.94    66.75    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.29     7.22    28.72     2.40    70.02    20.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        24   42  +10      76.36     7.45    16.17     0.14    22.48     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              26   41   +6      71.93     6.84    11.31     0.01     7.08     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.98     7.40    19.82     0.09    21.56     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    25   39   +4      69.07     7.10     5.97     0.00     3.81     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        24   38  +11      73.38     7.40    18.99     0.04    12.97     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
York                25   37   +0      64.14     7.04    -3.75     0.00     0.84     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       24   36   +2      68.31     7.32     5.06     0.00     3.42     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           25   34   -1      62.59     7.09    -1.73     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      24   33   +0      62.43     7.25    -0.42     0.00     0.64     0.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          24   33   -3      61.53     7.27    -5.08     0.00     0.37     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   25   30   +4      61.01     7.13     7.56     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             24   29   -1      57.46     7.37    -3.88     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              26   28   -6      52.86     6.61    -8.78     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Weymouth            23   23   -8      51.56     7.50   -13.38     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.46R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      24   20  -21      40.20     6.74   -39.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.19R    0.70  
Altrincham          24   18  -21      36.48     6.61   -44.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.85R    2.06  
Northwich           25   13  -30      26.72     5.57   -56.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.09R   30.21  
Stafford_Rangers    25   10  -27      26.26     6.04   -48.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.23R   32.44  
Droylsden           24   10  -31      26.33     6.10   -59.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.05R   34.58