Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 December 2007 at 22:35:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2007, Derby vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         20   47  +24      85.29     5.57    47.52    50.74    83.00    94.78    98.74    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +26      83.88     5.67    47.98    39.55    77.06    92.16    97.90    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   41  +16      74.99     6.07    31.57     3.92    15.92    43.49    73.67    94.43     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   37  +21      76.07     5.94    42.28     5.59    21.99    56.17    81.09    96.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   36   +5      62.27     6.44     7.64     0.02     0.28     1.81     6.62    31.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton         20   33  +13      65.43     6.23    26.48     0.10     0.79     4.78    15.93    55.45     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     20   33   +9      65.14     5.96    23.15     0.05     0.54     3.56    12.71    53.51     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   31   +9      64.12     6.19    23.09     0.02     0.38     2.75    10.68    46.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   -1      56.13     6.22     1.26     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.75     7.50     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        19   29   +8      57.39     6.51    12.07     0.00     0.03     0.39     1.80    12.89     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -4      45.01     5.82   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.05R    0.00  
Tottenham       20   24   +5      50.25     6.28     7.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.67     0.10R    0.00  
Reading         20   22  -13      40.35     5.91   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.96R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   20   20  -15      36.24     5.58   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.23R    0.21  
Birmingham      20   19   -9      36.37     5.81   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.71R    0.19  
Bolton          20   17  -10      36.02     6.02   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.87R    0.31  
Sunderland      20   17  -19      32.24     5.60   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.25R    1.13  
Wigan           20   16  -16      33.58     5.73   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.48R    1.04  
Fulham          20   15  -14      31.44     5.77   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.74R    1.60  
Derby           20    7  -35      16.10     4.55   -63.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   95.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2007, Hull vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        25   47  +27      88.61     6.97    48.56    73.30    88.40    99.12    92.02P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   44   +7      75.00     7.31     9.83     5.38    19.84    69.00    30.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     25   44   +2      75.68     7.31     6.40     5.25    21.51    71.69    32.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            25   42   +9      77.60     7.34    19.42     8.75    33.24    81.35    45.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         25   40   +6      72.33     7.43    11.30     2.93    12.51    56.75    23.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         25   38   +7      70.70     7.39    12.87     1.64     8.33    49.22    19.56P    0.10R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   37   +4      67.56     7.18     6.85     0.62     3.58    31.73    11.14P    0.24R    0.02  
Hull             25   37   +3      66.43     7.39     3.73     0.63     2.97    26.37     8.84P    0.51R    0.03  
Ipswich          25   36   +6      68.10     7.46    10.85     0.87     4.86    36.11    13.00P    0.27R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    25   36   +1      65.20     7.22     2.30     0.24     1.87    20.83     6.93P    0.65R    0.04  
Burnley          25   34   +1      63.61     7.29     1.98     0.17     1.10    16.12     4.83P    1.41R    0.15  
Cardiff          25   33   +0      61.19     7.22    -1.29     0.07     0.48     8.99     2.54P    3.07R    0.42  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.49     7.25    -3.53     0.06     0.44     9.38     2.52P    3.25R    0.46  
Southampton      25   33   -6      58.62     7.14   -12.13     0.02     0.20     4.68     1.08P    6.31R    0.94  
Coventry         24   32  -10      57.52     7.33   -17.16     0.02     0.15     3.57     0.75P    9.80R    1.71  
Sheff_Utd        25   31   -1      59.68     7.20    -1.22     0.03     0.23     6.56     1.82P    4.64R    0.66  
Blackpool        25   30   +0      57.22     7.30    -2.38     0.02     0.17     3.95     1.18P    8.22R    1.35  
Leicester        25   27   +0      56.50     7.18     1.44     0.00     0.08     2.68     0.93P   10.02R    1.94  
QPR              25   27  -10      50.91     7.01   -17.24     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   32.21R    9.55  
Norwich          25   27  -10      49.73     6.88   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   38.98R   12.45  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      48.95     6.99   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   43.73R   15.09  
Sheff_Wed        24   25   -6      52.62     7.45    -9.41     0.00     0.02     0.99     0.27P   24.44R    6.75  
Preston          25   24   -7      46.83     6.88   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   54.21R   22.03  
Colchester       25   22   -8      46.11     7.01   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   57.88R   26.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          21   43  +21      92.67     7.65    46.37    52.87    77.35    99.12    83.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     21   38  +21      87.69     7.75    43.82    24.74    53.27    96.51    69.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            23   37  +25      85.76     6.86    53.33    14.94    42.93    96.03    64.56P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        23   37  +13      73.05     7.62    20.12     0.75     3.46    50.68    13.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         21   36  +11      80.55     7.92    27.21     5.87    18.04    82.66    32.88P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          23   36   +8      72.40     7.46    15.53     0.40     2.20    46.60    11.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    23   36   -2      64.83     7.33    -6.24     0.03     0.19    12.09     1.58P    0.31R    0.00  
Yeovil           23   35   +0      65.59     7.40    -0.76     0.04     0.29    14.58     2.54P    0.25R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +6      69.68     7.55    12.42     0.19     0.97    31.93     7.80P    0.07R    0.00  
Southend         23   33   +0      65.56     7.66     1.50     0.04     0.35    15.37     2.24P    0.41R    0.00  
Swindon          22   30   +2      62.64     7.77     1.92     0.01     0.16     9.12     1.58P    1.02R    0.01  
Brighton         22   30   +2      66.57     7.88     7.85     0.08     0.55    20.17     4.17P    0.33R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   30  -13      51.70     6.98   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.02P   17.98R    0.80  
Hartlepool       23   29   +2      64.20     7.58     8.06     0.04     0.16    12.30     2.32P    0.72R    0.01  
Oldham           22   28   +0      62.39     7.91     2.61     0.00     0.07     8.75     1.64P    1.50R    0.03  
Northampton      23   27   -5      54.30     7.44   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.09P   10.07R    0.46  
Millwall         22   25   -8      50.69     7.44   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   22.21R    1.90  
Crewe            23   25  -14      44.48     6.69   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.53R    8.53  
Bristol_Rovers   21   23   -4      55.04     8.07    -6.99     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.29P   10.01R    0.62  
Gillingham       21   23  -15      48.10     7.63   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   36.75R    4.55  
Luton            22   20   +0      52.90     7.95     0.01     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.16P   14.57R    1.07  
Bournemouth      23   20  -16      42.55     7.01   -32.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.72R   15.50  
Cheltenham       22   18  -18      39.63     7.20   -35.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.57R   28.44  
Port_Vale        23   17  -16      37.64     6.81   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.98R   38.06  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Barnet vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   23   51  +26     100.54     6.91    54.91    66.00    94.98    99.93    96.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             23   45  +17      86.99     7.43    33.57     4.86    42.48    93.78    56.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.71     7.96    26.54     3.34    30.09    87.57    44.68P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      93.94     7.51    52.14    22.22    79.65    98.80    87.57P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         22   40  +15      82.73     7.98    30.40     1.93    23.64    82.95    40.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   40  +13      82.12     7.57    30.20     1.36    19.93    82.93    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   39   +4      71.87     7.64     6.10     0.03     1.72    31.42     7.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.27     8.02    13.23     0.13     3.58    44.59    11.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              22   35   +5      70.80     7.88     9.20     0.04     1.42    27.75     6.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   34   +4      67.00     7.71     6.09     0.01     0.49    14.41     3.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      70.24     8.76     7.86     0.07     1.94    27.97     7.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.29     7.53   -14.44     0.00     0.02     2.19     0.36P    0.17R    0.01  
Stockport            23   30   -1      61.11     7.81    -2.65     0.00     0.05     4.07     0.80P    0.12R    0.01  
Barnet               22   28   -6      52.81     7.43   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    1.73R    0.24  
Brentford            23   26  -12      51.00     7.41   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    3.29R    0.60  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.38     7.83   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    1.78R    0.29  
Grimsby              23   24  -11      48.94     7.24   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.74R    1.22  
Bury                 22   23   -4      52.01     7.83    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    2.55R    0.45  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.72     7.52   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.33R    1.01  
Notts_County         22   22   -9      49.00     7.91   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    6.27R    1.31  
Dag_&_Red            23   21  -18      40.10     6.73   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.53R   12.70  
Lincoln_City         23   18  -17      39.58     7.16   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.84R   15.21  
Mansfield            21   16   -6      47.08     8.14   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   10.75R    3.20  
Wrexham              22   15  -22      31.83     6.38   -46.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.86R   63.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Altrincham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           24   55  +21      96.87     7.20    40.99    37.99    97.28    51.45P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             23   51  +23      96.66     7.26    50.49    39.31    97.15    52.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           23   46  +25      90.69     7.38    47.12    13.15    88.71    36.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       23   45  +14      88.04     7.40    31.94     6.27    80.10    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       23   42  +16      83.98     7.56    32.89     2.45    62.93    18.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        23   42  +11      78.01     7.75    17.72     0.48    28.77     4.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              23   40  +11      76.86     7.68    19.91     0.31    24.73     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              25   38   +5      69.24     7.08     8.69     0.01     3.85     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    24   36   +1      65.58     7.27     0.45     0.00     1.51     0.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        23   35   +9      71.24     7.67    16.18     0.03     8.12     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
York                24   34   -1      63.23     7.28    -3.36     0.00     0.73     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      23   33   +3      65.72     7.61     5.45     0.00     2.05     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       23   33   +1      66.18     7.56     3.15     0.00     2.07     0.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          23   33   -1      63.71     7.58    -1.88     0.00     1.09     0.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury           24   31   -4      59.38     7.32    -7.45     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   24   30   +5      62.05     7.40     8.02     0.00     0.53     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              25   28   -5      54.17     6.84    -7.92     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax             23   26   -3      55.36     7.63    -6.70     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.12R    0.00  
Weymouth            22   23   -5      54.59     7.93    -7.70     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.27R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      23   20  -19      41.64     7.02   -37.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.38R    0.45  
Altrincham          23   15  -22      34.86     6.80   -45.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.88R    4.95  
Northwich           24   13  -29      28.01     5.87   -55.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.37R   24.49  
Stafford_Rangers    24   10  -26      26.12     6.09   -50.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.52R   36.02  
Droylsden           23   10  -30      26.74     6.26   -59.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.36R   34.08