Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 December 2007 at 22:35:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2007, Derby vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         20   47  +24      85.39     5.56    47.74    50.11    83.24    94.87    98.81    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +26      84.27     5.57    48.58    41.02    78.93    93.36    98.40    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   41  +16      75.07     6.04    31.71     3.52    15.40    44.07    74.24    94.67     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   37  +21      75.97     5.96    42.19     5.17    20.53    54.59    80.81    96.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        20   36   +5      62.25     6.45     7.62     0.02     0.27     1.91     6.41    31.61     0.00     0.00  
Everton         20   33  +13      65.42     6.23    26.49     0.07     0.76     4.78    16.07    55.84     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     20   33   +9      64.99     5.93    22.82     0.06     0.50     3.32    12.13    52.53     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   31   +9      64.07     6.17    23.03     0.01     0.32     2.58    10.41    46.77     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   -1      55.95     6.20     0.94     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.68     7.20     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        19   29   +8      57.50     6.53    12.28     0.00     0.03     0.40     1.93    13.48     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -4      45.02     5.81   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.95R    0.00  
Tottenham       20   24   +5      50.23     6.27     7.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.63     0.12R    0.00  
Reading         20   22  -13      40.42     5.93   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.72R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   20   20  -15      36.24     5.57   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.06R    0.20  
Birmingham      20   19   -9      36.32     5.87   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.63R    0.15  
Bolton          20   17  -10      36.10     6.03   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.43R    0.26  
Sunderland      20   17  -19      32.29     5.56   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.68R    1.00  
Wigan           20   16  -16      33.51     5.69   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.73R    1.01  
Fulham          20   15  -14      31.28     5.78   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.00R    1.62  
Derby           20    7  -35      16.04     4.49   -63.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   95.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2007, Hull vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        25   47  +27      88.64     6.98    48.60    73.17    88.48    99.10    92.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   44   +7      74.96     7.28     9.72     5.22    19.85    68.70    30.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     25   44   +2      75.59     7.32     6.29     5.33    21.05    71.00    31.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            25   42   +9      77.61     7.33    19.43     8.62    32.87    81.40    45.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         25   40   +6      72.36     7.46    11.30     3.07    12.80    56.84    24.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         25   38   +7      70.72     7.38    12.87     1.72     8.35    49.37    19.54P    0.09R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   37   +4      67.61     7.19     6.90     0.62     3.72    31.88    11.52P    0.26R    0.01  
Hull             25   37   +3      66.49     7.36     3.84     0.58     2.89    26.28     8.64P    0.53R    0.06  
Ipswich          25   36   +6      67.97     7.59    10.56     0.89     4.93    35.59    12.97P    0.39R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    25   36   +1      65.34     7.32     2.44     0.33     1.98    21.52     7.23P    0.68R    0.07  
Burnley          25   34   +1      63.44     7.37     1.70     0.20     1.21    15.78     4.86P    1.57R    0.17  
Cardiff          25   33   +0      61.46     7.29    -0.94     0.11     0.60     9.97     2.87P    2.87R    0.33  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.30     7.23    -3.79     0.06     0.46     9.05     2.35P    3.23R    0.47  
Southampton      25   33   -6      58.56     7.07   -12.26     0.02     0.20     4.54     1.05P    6.20R    0.86  
Coventry         24   32  -10      57.43     7.33   -17.25     0.02     0.12     3.44     0.75P    9.91R    1.83  
Sheff_Utd        25   31   -1      60.07     7.20    -0.65     0.02     0.28     6.98     1.97P    4.18R    0.65  
Blackpool        25   30   +0      57.31     7.24    -2.25     0.01     0.14     4.07     1.15P    7.93R    1.32  
Leicester        25   27   +0      56.30     7.11     1.22     0.01     0.05     2.51     0.80P   10.28R    1.94  
QPR              25   27  -10      51.02     7.05   -17.08     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   32.20R    8.94  
Norwich          25   27  -10      49.75     6.87   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   38.95R   12.04  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.00     6.99   -20.60     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   43.50R   15.06  
Sheff_Wed        24   25   -6      52.32     7.49    -9.84     0.00     0.02     0.99     0.25P   25.95R    7.56  
Preston          25   24   -7      46.88     6.90   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   53.80R   22.22  
Colchester       25   22   -8      46.14     7.08   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   57.40R   26.43  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          21   43  +21      92.79     7.64    46.54    52.56    77.64    99.16    83.74P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     21   38  +21      87.81     7.83    44.04    25.29    53.60    96.48    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            23   37  +25      85.60     6.96    53.07    14.48    41.85    95.96    63.44P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        23   37  +13      73.03     7.58    20.08     0.73     3.44    50.62    13.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle         21   36  +11      80.52     8.09    27.18     6.14    18.44    82.19    33.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          23   36   +8      72.58     7.42    15.77     0.40     2.36    47.25    12.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    23   36   -2      64.72     7.37    -6.42     0.03     0.25    11.90     1.59P    0.30R    0.00  
Yeovil           23   35   +0      65.36     7.34    -1.08     0.04     0.25    13.93     2.28P    0.21R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +6      69.63     7.59    12.34     0.14     0.94    32.00     7.66P    0.07R    0.00  
Southend         23   33   +0      65.71     7.74     1.65     0.06     0.35    16.43     2.47P    0.37R    0.01  
Swindon          22   30   +2      62.58     7.69     1.90     0.02     0.12     8.87     1.55P    0.97R    0.02  
Brighton         22   30   +2      66.44     7.70     7.64     0.08     0.47    19.07     3.79P    0.30R    0.00  
Huddersfield     23   30  -13      51.64     7.03   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.02P   18.48R    0.94  
Hartlepool       23   29   +2      64.12     7.63     7.88     0.02     0.16    12.49     2.37P    0.67R    0.02  
Oldham           22   28   +0      62.71     7.98     3.08     0.01     0.10     9.65     1.78P    1.20R    0.03  
Northampton      23   27   -5      54.22     7.41   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.11P   10.12R    0.49  
Millwall         22   25   -8      50.57     7.52   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   22.85R    2.09  
Crewe            23   25  -14      44.29     6.59   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.45R    9.05  
Bristol_Rovers   21   23   -4      54.76     8.09    -7.37     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.29P   10.60R    0.73  
Gillingham       21   23  -15      47.96     7.56   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   37.26R    4.73  
Luton            22   20   +0      53.22     7.91     0.49     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.18P   13.64R    0.95  
Bournemouth      23   20  -16      42.65     7.01   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.17R   15.53  
Cheltenham       22   18  -18      39.71     7.23   -35.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.61R   28.79  
Port_Vale        23   17  -16      37.99     6.92   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.70R   36.62  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Barnet vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   23   51  +26     100.41     6.95    54.63    65.06    94.70    99.92    96.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             23   45  +17      87.18     7.52    33.95     5.25    43.71    93.78    57.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.71     8.00    26.48     3.50    30.13    87.72    44.99P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      94.08     7.40    52.35    22.66    80.29    98.97    88.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         22   40  +15      82.71     7.92    30.43     2.04    23.47    83.17    40.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   40  +13      81.89     7.48    29.82     1.24    18.79    82.41    35.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   39   +4      72.02     7.68     6.29     0.08     1.80    31.96     7.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.24     7.97    13.25     0.10     3.26    45.28    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              22   35   +5      70.63     7.98     8.94     0.04     1.53    27.31     6.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   34   +4      66.92     7.73     5.98     0.00     0.40    14.59     3.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      69.95     8.72     7.35     0.05     1.85    27.18     6.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.35     7.59   -14.31     0.00     0.02     2.23     0.36P    0.20R    0.02  
Stockport            23   30   -1      60.87     7.77    -3.06     0.00     0.05     3.80     0.69P    0.13R    0.01  
Barnet               22   28   -6      53.04     7.50   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P    1.65R    0.20  
Brentford            23   26  -12      51.10     7.40   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    3.38R    0.58  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.48     7.98   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.11P    2.00R    0.35  
Grimsby              23   24  -11      49.00     7.29   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    5.95R    1.30  
Bury                 22   23   -4      51.90     7.80   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    2.71R    0.49  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.73     7.55   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    5.46R    1.14  
Notts_County         22   22   -9      49.13     7.80   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    5.83R    1.18  
Dag_&_Red            23   21  -18      40.15     6.86   -38.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.73R   12.68  
Lincoln_City         23   18  -17      39.88     7.13   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.42R   13.78  
Mansfield            21   16   -6      47.04     8.02   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.80R    3.14  
Wrexham              22   15  -22      31.67     6.41   -47.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.72R   65.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Altrincham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           24   55  +21      96.80     7.19    40.86    37.78    97.16    51.49P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             23   51  +23      96.58     7.36    50.35    39.40    97.04    51.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           23   46  +25      90.60     7.37    46.98    13.03    88.50    36.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       23   45  +14      87.95     7.46    31.78     6.25    79.76    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       23   42  +16      84.25     7.52    33.30     2.62    64.16    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        23   42  +11      78.00     7.75    17.71     0.51    28.71     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              23   40  +11      76.86     7.62    19.89     0.36    24.18     4.88P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              25   38   +5      69.36     7.13     8.86     0.01     4.07     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    24   36   +1      65.65     7.34     0.57     0.00     1.60     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        23   35   +9      71.18     7.65    16.09     0.03     7.99     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
York                24   34   -1      63.37     7.32    -3.15     0.00     0.79     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      23   33   +3      65.85     7.66     5.65     0.00     2.09     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       23   33   +1      66.19     7.68     3.13     0.01     2.24     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          23   33   -1      63.52     7.55    -2.14     0.00     0.88     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           24   31   -4      59.51     7.30    -7.26     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   24   30   +5      61.79     7.40     7.68     0.00     0.54     0.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking              25   28   -5      54.05     6.83    -8.08     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax             23   26   -3      55.40     7.59    -6.64     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Weymouth            22   23   -5      54.51     7.92    -7.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.26R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      23   20  -19      41.53     6.98   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.51  
Altrincham          23   15  -22      34.77     6.87   -45.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.99R    5.31  
Northwich           24   13  -29      28.06     5.89   -55.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.17R   24.85  
Stafford_Rangers    24   10  -26      26.22     6.12   -49.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.04R   35.59  
Droylsden           23   10  -30      26.91     6.31   -59.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.51R   33.73