Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 December 2007 at 22:35:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Birmingham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         20   47  +24      85.44     5.54    47.70    48.48    81.69    94.60    98.88    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +26      84.36     5.63    48.69    40.33    77.10    92.74    98.31    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   41  +16      74.95     6.08    31.41     3.47    14.03    40.45    73.11    94.51     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   36  +21      76.92     6.33    43.51     7.54    25.44    59.91    82.92    96.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        19   35   +5      62.16     6.65     6.91     0.03     0.28     2.01     6.86    32.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton         20   33  +13      65.43     6.31    26.47     0.07     0.69     4.56    16.11    56.39     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     20   33   +9      65.03     5.88    22.92     0.06     0.44     2.97    11.64    52.83     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   31   +9      64.02     6.21    22.98     0.02     0.29     2.35     9.92    46.69     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        19   29   +8      57.27     6.57    11.86     0.00     0.03     0.32     1.56    12.46     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       19   27   -2      55.29     6.50     1.43     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.58     6.82     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -4      45.00     5.81   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.98R    0.00  
Tottenham       20   24   +5      50.38     6.22     7.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.81     0.13R    0.00  
Reading         20   22  -13      40.30     5.94   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.45R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   20   20  -15      36.06     5.58   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.14R    0.23  
Birmingham      20   19   -9      36.35     5.82   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.71R    0.24  
Bolton          20   17  -10      36.24     6.00   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.70R    0.28  
Sunderland      20   17  -19      32.35     5.63   -36.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.55R    1.31  
Wigan           20   16  -16      33.58     5.75   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.92R    1.22  
Fulham          20   15  -14      31.43     5.75   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.95R    1.73  
Derby           19    7  -34      16.41     4.66   -63.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   94.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Barnsley vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        25   47  +27      88.86     6.96    48.91    74.29    89.15    99.23    92.67P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   44   +7      75.00     7.25     9.88     5.12    19.99    69.37    30.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     25   44   +2      75.68     7.28     6.41     5.10    21.48    72.21    32.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            25   42   +9      77.74     7.35    19.64     8.71    34.08    82.10    46.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         25   40   +6      72.02     7.39    10.75     2.59    11.52    55.74    22.58P    0.05R    0.01  
Plymouth         25   38   +7      70.73     7.36    12.88     1.65     8.46    49.94    20.25P    0.10R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   37   +4      67.60     7.15     6.88     0.59     3.63    32.43    11.29P    0.23R    0.02  
Ipswich          25   36   +6      68.15     7.48    10.91     0.85     4.92    36.71    13.10P    0.35R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    25   36   +1      65.13     7.13     2.19     0.30     1.70    20.30     6.45P    0.66R    0.06  
Hull             24   34   +2      64.81     7.67     2.75     0.42     2.09    21.26     7.06P    1.37R    0.12  
Burnley          25   34   +1      63.51     7.33     1.81     0.15     1.10    16.09     4.70P    1.54R    0.17  
Cardiff          25   33   +0      61.25     7.30    -1.31     0.07     0.53     9.81     2.64P    3.16R    0.38  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.49     7.25    -3.53     0.07     0.46     9.82     2.62P    3.00R    0.38  
Southampton      25   33   -6      58.74     7.14   -11.91     0.02     0.18     5.03     1.14P    6.17R    0.86  
Coventry         24   32  -10      57.54     7.42   -17.13     0.01     0.15     3.87     0.83P   10.21R    1.82  
Sheff_Utd        25   31   -1      59.73     7.24    -1.12     0.04     0.27     6.78     1.89P    4.76R    0.76  
Blackpool        25   30   +0      57.27     7.30    -2.32     0.01     0.16     4.15     1.30P    8.31R    1.36  
Leicester        25   27   +0      56.27     7.07     1.11     0.00     0.06     2.34     0.72P   10.44R    1.98  
QPR              25   27  -10      50.89     7.07   -17.29     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.10P   33.21R    9.51  
Norwich          25   27  -10      49.68     6.88   -18.51     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   40.03R   12.54  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.06     7.05   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   43.85R   15.01  
Sheff_Wed        23   25   -5      53.93     7.69    -8.53     0.00     0.05     1.76     0.49P   20.48R    5.37  
Preston          25   24   -7      46.86     7.01   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   54.31R   22.75  
Colchester       25   22   -8      46.15     7.13   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   57.76R   26.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          21   43  +21      92.88     7.70    46.75    52.84    77.58    99.17    83.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     21   38  +21      88.05     7.72    44.34    25.53    54.31    96.87    70.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            23   37  +25      85.76     6.87    53.27    14.66    42.53    96.05    63.97P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        23   37  +13      72.74     7.61    19.70     0.66     3.05    49.37    12.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle         21   36  +11      80.54     7.95    27.15     5.57    17.71    82.59    32.95P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          23   36   +8      72.44     7.50    15.56     0.39     2.26    46.56    12.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    23   36   -2      64.73     7.32    -6.40     0.04     0.23    11.97     1.58P    0.32R    0.01  
Yeovil           23   35   +0      65.48     7.35    -0.91     0.04     0.24    13.87     2.34P    0.25R    0.00  
Tranmere         23   34   +6      69.54     7.49    12.19     0.13     0.89    31.65     7.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         23   33   +0      65.69     7.71     1.66     0.04     0.28    16.04     2.35P    0.38R    0.00  
Swindon          22   30   +2      62.49     7.77     1.71     0.01     0.16     9.13     1.55P    1.04R    0.02  
Brighton         22   30   +2      66.65     7.80     8.00     0.08     0.46    20.41     3.91P    0.27R    0.01  
Huddersfield     23   30  -13      51.58     6.98   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   18.52R    0.89  
Hartlepool       23   29   +2      64.15     7.70     7.93     0.01     0.15    12.76     2.33P    0.72R    0.02  
Oldham           22   28   +0      62.76     7.92     3.16     0.01     0.13     9.53     1.90P    1.17R    0.02  
Northampton      23   27   -5      54.11     7.42   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P   10.26R    0.45  
Millwall         22   25   -8      50.73     7.47   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   21.95R    1.87  
Crewe            23   25  -14      44.22     6.56   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.57R    9.05  
Bristol_Rovers   21   23   -4      55.11     8.04    -6.98     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.32P    9.83R    0.66  
Gillingham       21   23  -15      47.99     7.59   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   37.18R    4.70  
Luton            22   20   +0      52.91     7.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.18P   14.42R    1.04  
Bournemouth      23   20  -16      42.70     6.95   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   64.06R   14.89  
Cheltenham       22   18  -18      39.74     7.16   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   77.36R   28.14  
Port_Vale        23   17  -16      37.73     6.81   -33.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.64R   38.22  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Barnet vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   23   51  +26     100.29     6.99    54.46    64.81    94.59    99.91    96.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             23   45  +17      87.01     7.53    33.62     5.18    43.13    93.43    56.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   43  +13      84.60     8.04    26.35     3.47    30.06    87.09    44.52P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           21   40  +23      93.93     7.38    52.14    22.85    79.98    98.91    88.17P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         22   40  +15      82.66     7.97    30.28     2.14    23.88    82.81    40.01P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   40  +13      82.02     7.46    30.01     1.24    19.23    82.89    36.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              23   39   +4      71.91     7.65     6.13     0.04     1.76    31.62     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            22   36   +5      74.11     7.98    13.00     0.12     3.29    44.34    11.63P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              22   35   +5      70.47     7.95     8.73     0.03     1.50    26.62     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   34   +4      67.30     7.72     6.58     0.00     0.43    15.56     3.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   32   +4      70.44     8.73     8.14     0.10     2.04    28.54     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   32   -7      59.32     7.54   -14.39     0.00     0.02     2.27     0.34P    0.19R    0.01  
Stockport            23   30   -1      61.22     7.80    -2.42     0.00     0.07     4.21     0.87P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnet               22   28   -6      53.02     7.48   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.08P    1.68R    0.30  
Brentford            23   26  -12      51.15     7.37   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    3.27R    0.59  
Bradford             22   24   -6      53.40     7.92   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P    1.82R    0.32  
Grimsby              23   24  -11      48.75     7.19   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    5.94R    1.22  
Bury                 22   23   -4      52.01     7.79    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    2.54R    0.47  
Macclesfield         23   23  -10      49.86     7.61   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    5.38R    1.04  
Notts_County         22   22   -9      48.94     7.76   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    6.19R    1.29  
Dag_&_Red            23   21  -18      40.35     6.79   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.00R   12.10  
Lincoln_City         23   18  -17      39.39     7.04   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.82R   15.24  
Mansfield            21   16   -6      47.05     8.14   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   10.91R    3.21  
Wrexham              22   15  -22      31.83     6.34   -46.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.16R   64.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2007, Altrincham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           24   55  +21      96.70     7.23    40.68    37.12    97.13    50.68P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             23   51  +23      96.58     7.36    50.40    39.46    96.97    52.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           23   46  +25      90.82     7.36    47.32    13.57    89.11    37.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       23   45  +14      87.85     7.48    31.62     6.29    79.19    26.48P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       23   42  +16      84.16     7.56    33.17     2.65    63.92    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        23   42  +11      78.13     7.75    17.96     0.52    29.37     5.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              23   40  +11      76.80     7.62    19.80     0.34    24.24     4.86P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              25   38   +5      69.38     7.11     8.90     0.01     4.00     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    24   36   +1      65.39     7.31     0.18     0.00     1.30     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        23   35   +9      71.11     7.71    15.89     0.03     8.07     1.80P    0.00R    0.00  
York                24   34   -1      63.39     7.21    -3.05     0.00     0.73     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      23   33   +3      65.57     7.53     5.27     0.00     1.82     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       23   33   +1      66.48     7.70     3.58     0.00     2.33     0.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          23   33   -1      63.63     7.53    -1.97     0.00     0.92     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           24   31   -4      59.46     7.32    -7.31     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   24   30   +5      62.06     7.40     8.01     0.00     0.55     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              25   28   -5      53.95     6.83    -8.19     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax             23   26   -3      55.33     7.59    -6.78     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            22   23   -5      54.42     7.85    -7.93     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.23R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      23   20  -19      41.80     7.00   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    0.43  
Altrincham          23   15  -22      34.70     6.84   -45.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.41R    5.18  
Northwich           24   13  -29      28.10     5.91   -55.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.09R   24.52  
Stafford_Rangers    24   10  -26      26.10     6.09   -50.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   36.21  
Droylsden           23   10  -30      26.93     6.31   -59.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.56R   33.66