Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 December 2007 at 22:35:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 December 2007, Man_City vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         19   45  +27      87.02     5.68    51.47    64.15    87.77    96.10    98.88    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   44  +21      82.45     6.02    42.12    24.74    64.16    83.97    93.53    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   38  +15      74.66     6.24    32.79     3.34    15.17    38.06    63.80    92.18     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   36  +21      76.90     6.25    43.85     7.14    26.88    57.02    78.06    95.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        19   35   +5      61.76     6.63     6.28     0.02     0.30     1.60     5.19    24.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         19   33  +16      68.88     6.41    32.91     0.41     3.51    12.36    28.68    71.09     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      19   31  +10      68.19     6.19    29.49     0.17     1.74     8.39    22.99    67.93     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   30   +8      64.03     6.17    23.13     0.04     0.45     2.31     7.95    39.26     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       19   27   -2      55.01     6.37     1.12     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.38     4.42     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        18   26   +7      54.13     6.69     8.92     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.49     4.59     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       19   26   -3      45.00     5.85   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.71R    0.00  
Reading         19   22  -11      40.48     6.18   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.33R    0.03  
Tottenham       19   21   +3      49.14     6.51     6.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.95     0.21R    0.00  
Birmingham      19   18   -9      37.59     6.26   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.49R    0.15  
Bolton          19   17   -8      38.91     6.43   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.08R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -16      32.24     5.52   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.93R    1.26  
Wigan           19   16  -15      34.56     6.06   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.33R    1.01  
Fulham          19   14  -14      31.32     5.98   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.48R    2.07  
Sunderland      19   14  -21      29.46     5.74   -40.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.37R    3.88  
Derby           19    7  -34      16.61     4.79   -63.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   91.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Barnsley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        24   44  +22      86.31     7.27    42.16    58.85    79.12    97.72    85.20P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          24   44   +9      78.53     7.62    15.31    14.34    35.14    81.39    46.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            24   41   +9      77.69     7.57    18.92    11.20    31.36    79.61    43.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     24   41   +1      73.16     7.57     4.10     3.82    12.52    57.40    21.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         24   39   +6      72.38     7.67    10.78     3.95    12.42    54.81    23.10P    0.07R    0.01  
Plymouth         24   37   +7      71.15     7.67    12.96     2.80     9.71    49.86    20.82P    0.10R    0.01  
Ipswich          24   36   +7      70.59     7.78    13.69     2.61     8.90    47.46    19.04P    0.17R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    24   35   +1      65.57     7.47     2.32     0.47     2.01    21.79     7.07P    0.75R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   24   34   +3      65.23     7.51     4.82     0.48     2.12    21.48     7.28P    0.78R    0.07  
Burnley          24   34   +2      65.82     7.63     4.26     0.62     2.50    23.81     7.54P    0.87R    0.07  
Hull             24   34   +2      64.91     7.65     2.89     0.50     1.98    20.25     6.46P    1.22R    0.11  
Barnsley         24   32   -3      62.32     7.57    -2.77     0.13     0.72    11.78     3.13P    2.91R    0.45  
Southampton      24   32   -6      58.13     7.38   -13.41     0.03     0.21     4.39     1.02P    7.86R    1.26  
Sheff_Utd        24   31   +0      62.06     7.51     1.26     0.12     0.69    11.45     3.35P    2.85R    0.42  
Cardiff          24   30   -1      59.51     7.51    -2.38     0.05     0.30     6.36     1.78P    5.80R    1.00  
Coventry         23   29  -11      54.60     7.56   -20.35     0.01     0.07     1.83     0.37P   19.07R    4.86  
Blackpool        24   27   -2      54.54     7.43    -6.11     0.01     0.05     1.92     0.54P   16.52R    3.93  
Leicester        24   26   +0      56.80     7.47     1.46     0.01     0.09     3.10     0.99P   10.18R    2.22  
Scunthorpe       24   26   -7      51.24     7.26   -14.51     0.00     0.02     0.61     0.15P   30.58R    9.05  
Norwich          24   26  -10      49.86     7.14   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P   39.02R   13.23  
Sheff_Wed        23   25   -5      54.33     7.82    -8.04     0.01     0.07     2.01     0.56P   18.85R    5.13  
Preston          24   24   -6      48.63     7.28   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P   43.83R   16.53  
QPR              24   24  -12      46.97     7.06   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   55.23R   24.59  
Colchester       24   22   -6      48.75     7.53   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P   43.28R   16.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          20   40  +20      91.23     7.95    45.31    40.58    65.46    98.38    74.98P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     21   38  +21      87.89     7.66    44.32    23.33    48.58    96.72    66.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            22   37  +26      87.77     7.04    55.00    22.26    49.70    97.28    69.22P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         20   36  +14      84.50     8.17    34.15    12.81    30.72    91.06    47.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    22   35   -2      64.17     7.67    -8.15     0.04     0.19    11.03     1.31P    0.48R    0.00  
Doncaster        22   34  +11      71.06     7.81    17.62     0.35     1.71    39.45     9.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall          22   33   +6      69.35     7.72    11.60     0.12     0.76    30.31     6.44P    0.06R    0.00  
Southend         22   33   +2      67.17     7.93     3.85     0.08     0.51    21.06     3.17P    0.19R    0.01  
Yeovil           22   32   -1      63.03     7.60    -2.98     0.01     0.08     8.82     1.32P    0.61R    0.01  
Tranmere         22   31   +5      69.20     7.87    13.09     0.16     0.78    30.17     6.89P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         21   30   +3      68.22     8.07     9.41     0.13     0.72    26.34     5.20P    0.19R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   30  -12      53.55     7.34   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.05P   11.77R    0.52  
Swindon          21   29   +2      63.26     8.12     2.46     0.03     0.19    10.96     1.83P    1.00R    0.02  
Hartlepool       22   28   +2      65.78     7.92    10.05     0.03     0.23    17.80     3.09P    0.45R    0.01  
Oldham           21   28   +2      65.90     8.09     7.82     0.06     0.34    18.21     3.61P    0.40R    0.01  
Crewe            22   25  -12      45.90     6.95   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    45.07R    6.56  
Northampton      22   24   -6      51.82     7.72   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P   16.99R    1.44  
Gillingham       21   23  -15      47.84     7.61   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   36.08R    5.33  
Millwall         21   22  -10      48.67     7.65   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   30.00R    4.03  
Bristol_Rovers   20   20   -7      50.43     8.19   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P   23.08R    2.87  
Bournemouth      22   19  -16      42.68     7.30   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.37R   16.62  
Cheltenham       21   18  -17      40.25     7.34   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.20R   27.16  
Luton            21   17   -1      51.05     8.22    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P   20.35R    2.50  
Port_Vale        22   17  -15      38.83     7.10   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   78.61R   32.91  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Barnet vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   22   48  +25      97.55     7.34    51.88    48.20    89.48    99.64    92.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             22   42  +15      85.34     7.74    31.48     4.29    35.61    89.74    50.52P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   40  +24      95.87     7.65    54.22    38.69    85.69    99.17    91.24P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +14      84.50     7.65    32.72     3.47    31.50    88.23    47.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +12      82.94     8.32    25.44     2.82    24.71    81.77    38.51P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         21   37  +13      81.23     8.21    28.71     1.84    20.04    76.94    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   36   +3      68.91     7.94     3.03     0.02     0.94    20.07     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              21   35   +8      74.96     8.28    16.83     0.34     5.38    48.23    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34   +5      69.58     8.01     9.02     0.03     1.21    23.62     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            21   33   +4      71.98     8.32    11.23     0.14     2.33    33.08     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             19   31   +4      71.25     9.01     8.86     0.16     3.05    31.50     8.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   29   -8      56.77     7.75   -16.84     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.22P    0.46R    0.06  
Barnet               21   28   -4      54.61     7.78   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.10P    0.99R    0.13  
Stockport            22   27   -2      60.01     8.06    -2.88     0.00     0.03     3.39     0.65P    0.19R    0.03  
Bradford             21   24   -4      55.16     8.20    -8.67     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.26P    1.03R    0.22  
Bury                 21   23   -2      55.78     8.15    -4.27     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.22P    0.92R    0.15  
Brentford            22   23  -15      46.58     7.50   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    10.00R    2.55  
Notts_County         21   22   -8      49.68     8.04   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    4.62R    1.04  
Macclesfield         22   22  -10      49.06     7.71   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    5.67R    1.42  
Grimsby              22   21  -12      47.33     7.52   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.78R    2.55  
Lincoln_City         22   18  -16      41.74     7.51   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.86R    9.49  
Dag_&_Red            22   18  -20      36.86     6.78   -43.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.54R   25.96  
Mansfield            20   16   -5      48.83     8.52    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    7.38R    2.46  
Wrexham              21   15  -21      32.83     6.72   -47.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.55R   53.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Altrincham vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           23   55  +22      99.28     7.38    43.68    51.37    98.68    63.08P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             22   48  +22      95.39     7.49    49.99    29.66    96.02    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       22   44  +14      88.25     7.79    31.95     6.77    80.56    26.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           22   43  +21      89.00     7.68    42.85     8.49    84.21    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       22   41  +16      84.29     7.86    33.02     2.88    65.17    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        22   39  +10      78.28     8.00    20.56     0.55    32.79     6.00P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              24   38   +6      71.02     7.37    10.23     0.02     7.50     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              22   37  +10      75.26     7.94    18.85     0.23    20.96     4.31P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    23   33   +0      64.17     7.59    -0.26     0.00     1.35     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        22   32   +5      68.17     8.02     9.76     0.01     4.88     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       22   32   +1      66.58     7.97     3.05     0.00     3.26     0.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          22   32   -1      63.95     7.86    -2.31     0.00     1.43     0.27P    0.01R    0.00  
York                23   31   -3      60.95     7.55    -6.64     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      22   30   +2      63.06     7.87     3.16     0.00     1.29     0.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking              24   28   -4      55.09     7.26    -7.83     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.12R    0.00  
Salisbury           23   28   -5      57.47     7.62    -9.05     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   23   27   +4      61.68     7.68     8.89     0.00     0.73     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             22   26   -2      57.22     8.00    -5.11     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.12R    0.00  
Weymouth            21   23   -3      56.95     8.32    -4.13     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.22R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      22   20  -15      43.66     7.47   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.06R    0.40  
Altrincham          22   15  -18      36.25     7.26   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.60R    4.41  
Northwich           23   13  -28      28.58     6.08   -56.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.10R   24.81  
Stafford_Rangers    23   10  -25      27.25     6.33   -49.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.49R   31.29  
Droylsden           22   10  -29      26.64     6.43   -62.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.16R   39.09