Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 December 2007 at 22:35:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 December 2007, Man_City vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         19   45  +27      86.99     5.71    51.46    64.01    87.73    96.05    98.84    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   44  +21      82.40     5.99    42.00    24.91    64.25    84.30    93.62    99.31     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   38  +15      74.70     6.24    32.85     3.18    15.04    38.08    64.41    92.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   36  +21      76.97     6.22    44.07     7.21    26.94    57.30    78.56    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        19   35   +5      61.68     6.56     6.17     0.03     0.26     1.50     4.90    24.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton         19   33  +16      68.77     6.36    32.68     0.41     3.49    11.96    27.94    71.07     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      19   31  +10      68.24     6.14    29.65     0.22     1.85     8.38    23.36    68.72     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   30   +8      63.85     6.19    22.64     0.04     0.43     2.25     7.53    38.18     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       19   27   -2      55.02     6.38     1.05     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.32     4.44     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        18   26   +7      54.24     6.72     9.07     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.45     4.63     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       19   26   -3      45.22     5.89   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.71R    0.00  
Reading         19   22  -11      40.54     6.14   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.41R    0.05  
Tottenham       19   21   +3      49.34     6.48     7.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.96     0.17R    0.00  
Birmingham      19   18   -9      37.60     6.18   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.94R    0.15  
Bolton          19   17   -8      38.74     6.39   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.53R    0.13  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -16      32.34     5.51   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.12R    1.07  
Wigan           19   16  -15      34.57     6.07   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.38R    0.81  
Fulham          19   14  -14      31.20     6.02   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.31R    2.10  
Sunderland      19   14  -21      29.46     5.79   -40.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.30R    3.80  
Derby           19    7  -34      16.47     4.72   -63.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   91.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Barnsley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        24   44  +22      86.56     7.27    42.56    59.84    79.69    97.73    85.47P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          24   44   +9      78.65     7.54    15.50    14.12    35.38    82.12    46.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            24   41   +9      77.63     7.60    18.84    10.91    31.24    79.42    43.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     24   41   +1      73.15     7.62     4.05     3.64    12.54    57.43    21.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton         24   39   +6      72.43     7.66    10.89     3.88    12.35    55.37    23.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   37   +7      71.14     7.72    12.92     2.74     9.43    50.15    20.46P    0.07R    0.01  
Ipswich          24   36   +7      70.48     7.74    13.47     2.45     8.62    47.07    18.62P    0.13R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    24   35   +1      65.76     7.52     2.56     0.50     2.10    22.68     7.59P    0.73R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   24   34   +3      65.09     7.53     4.62     0.42     1.94    21.10     6.88P    0.96R    0.10  
Burnley          24   34   +2      65.88     7.62     4.36     0.64     2.51    24.10     7.63P    0.83R    0.11  
Hull             24   34   +2      64.81     7.65     2.74     0.51     2.05    19.67     6.43P    1.30R    0.16  
Barnsley         24   32   -3      62.16     7.59    -2.99     0.13     0.70    11.06     3.06P    3.05R    0.40  
Southampton      24   32   -6      58.30     7.40   -13.17     0.04     0.23     4.47     1.09P    7.68R    1.31  
Sheff_Utd        24   31   +0      61.87     7.42     0.96     0.10     0.61    10.91     3.30P    2.67R    0.37  
Cardiff          24   30   -1      59.34     7.49    -2.66     0.06     0.32     6.31     1.82P    5.76R    0.96  
Coventry         23   29  -11      54.53     7.55   -20.42     0.01     0.06     1.82     0.35P   19.28R    4.92  
Blackpool        24   27   -2      54.56     7.51    -6.05     0.00     0.05     2.05     0.61P   16.67R    3.98  
Leicester        24   26   +0      56.96     7.37     1.64     0.01     0.10     3.17     1.06P    9.51R    1.94  
Scunthorpe       24   26   -7      51.10     7.29   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P   31.51R    9.58  
Norwich          24   26  -10      49.70     7.08   -18.84     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   40.07R   13.74  
Sheff_Wed        23   25   -5      54.25     7.74    -8.08     0.01     0.05     1.93     0.51P   19.06R    5.24  
Preston          24   24   -6      48.70     7.21   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.08P   43.56R   16.52  
QPR              24   24  -12      47.12     7.12   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   54.33R   24.22  
Colchester       24   22   -6      48.86     7.50   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P   42.72R   16.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          20   40  +20      90.99     7.97    44.94    39.38    64.28    98.18    74.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     21   38  +21      87.54     7.75    43.85    22.78    47.30    96.15    65.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            22   37  +26      87.65     7.10    54.79    22.72    49.68    97.24    68.90P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         20   36  +14      84.91     8.11    34.77    14.09    33.00    91.92    49.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    22   35   -2      64.08     7.60    -8.23     0.02     0.16    10.67     1.23P    0.46R    0.00  
Doncaster        22   34  +11      71.04     7.80    17.56     0.39     1.91    39.12     9.26P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          22   33   +6      69.29     7.68    11.51     0.14     0.79    29.61     6.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         22   33   +2      67.31     7.91     4.03     0.09     0.49    21.56     3.21P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil           22   32   -1      63.04     7.67    -2.95     0.01     0.10     8.77     1.35P    0.72R    0.01  
Tranmere         22   31   +5      69.52     7.85    13.57     0.15     0.87    31.65     7.39P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         21   30   +3      68.40     8.01     9.68     0.14     0.71    26.78     5.33P    0.15R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   30  -12      53.75     7.39   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.08P   11.44R    0.52  
Swindon          21   29   +2      63.19     8.09     2.33     0.02     0.15    10.77     1.81P    1.03R    0.02  
Hartlepool       22   28   +2      65.81     7.89    10.13     0.04     0.28    17.71     3.21P    0.36R    0.02  
Oldham           21   28   +2      65.79     8.05     7.65     0.04     0.28    17.46     3.43P    0.39R    0.01  
Crewe            22   25  -12      46.12     6.99   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.95R    6.36  
Northampton      22   24   -6      51.65     7.68   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P   17.37R    1.49  
Gillingham       21   23  -15      47.75     7.55   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   35.98R    5.13  
Millwall         21   22  -10      48.73     7.75   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   30.15R    4.20  
Bristol_Rovers   20   20   -7      50.23     8.15   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P   23.56R    3.08  
Bournemouth      22   19  -16      42.58     7.32   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.08R   16.84  
Cheltenham       21   18  -17      40.43     7.39   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.29R   26.35  
Luton            21   17   -1      50.95     8.16    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P   20.39R    2.52  
Port_Vale        22   17  -15      38.68     7.06   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.30R   33.46  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Barnet vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   22   48  +25      97.28     7.26    51.49    46.50    89.01    99.63    92.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             22   42  +15      85.35     7.76    31.54     4.39    35.16    89.39    49.88P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   40  +24      96.02     7.59    54.48    39.74    86.00    99.24    91.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +14      84.41     7.79    32.66     3.60    30.78    87.48    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +12      83.60     8.24    26.47     3.20    26.77    83.52    41.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         21   37  +13      81.22     8.24    28.75     1.86    19.50    76.56    34.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   36   +3      68.85     7.96     2.93     0.04     0.88    19.71     4.34P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              21   35   +8      75.03     8.19    16.98     0.33     5.18    48.21    14.35P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34   +5      69.54     7.90     9.00     0.02     1.07    22.80     5.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   33   +4      71.86     8.29    11.06     0.09     2.33    32.51     8.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             19   31   +4      71.62     9.08     9.40     0.21     3.25    33.03     9.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   29   -8      56.83     7.84   -16.78     0.00     0.02     1.25     0.25P    0.50R    0.06  
Barnet               21   28   -4      54.23     7.79   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    1.04R    0.17  
Stockport            22   27   -2      60.06     8.05    -2.81     0.00     0.05     3.32     0.67P    0.22R    0.03  
Bradford             21   24   -4      54.75     8.20    -9.31     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.18P    1.03R    0.22  
Bury                 21   23   -2      55.91     8.22    -4.08     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.29P    0.92R    0.15  
Brentford            22   23  -15      46.51     7.46   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.91R    2.47  
Notts_County         21   22   -8      49.75     7.94   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    4.37R    0.98  
Macclesfield         22   22  -10      49.18     7.71   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    5.50R    1.32  
Grimsby              22   21  -12      47.25     7.54   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.89R    2.53  
Lincoln_City         22   18  -16      41.50     7.44   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.31R    9.73  
Dag_&_Red            22   18  -20      36.77     6.84   -43.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.60R   26.07  
Mansfield            20   16   -5      49.19     8.46    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    6.71R    2.16  
Wrexham              21   15  -21      32.74     6.66   -47.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.97R   54.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Altrincham vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           23   55  +22      99.22     7.42    43.45    51.24    98.52    62.60P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             22   48  +22      95.37     7.56    49.95    29.69    95.95    44.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       22   44  +14      88.45     7.72    32.27     7.22    81.48    27.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           22   43  +21      88.93     7.72    42.69     8.43    84.30    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       22   41  +16      84.16     7.75    32.78     2.58    65.08    18.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        22   39  +10      78.16     8.00    20.33     0.56    32.13     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              24   38   +6      70.99     7.36    10.26     0.02     7.58     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              22   37  +10      75.38     7.90    19.02     0.26    21.23     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    23   33   +0      64.40     7.52    -0.01     0.00     1.33     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        22   32   +5      68.26     7.95     9.90     0.00     4.77     1.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       22   32   +1      66.66     7.99     3.16     0.01     3.31     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          22   32   -1      63.92     7.94    -2.27     0.00     1.51     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
York                23   31   -3      60.96     7.55    -6.61     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      22   30   +2      62.73     7.81     2.72     0.00     1.05     0.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              24   28   -4      55.24     7.20    -7.64     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Salisbury           23   28   -5      57.52     7.63    -8.99     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   23   27   +4      61.43     7.65     8.51     0.00     0.63     0.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             22   26   -2      57.38     7.93    -4.82     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Weymouth            21   23   -3      56.75     8.24    -4.44     0.00     0.24     0.08P    0.26R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      22   20  -15      43.72     7.45   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.18R    0.35  
Altrincham          22   15  -18      36.26     7.21   -40.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.63R    4.18  
Northwich           23   13  -28      28.98     6.18   -55.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.36R   22.77  
Stafford_Rangers    23   10  -25      27.19     6.36   -49.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.06R   31.87  
Droylsden           22   10  -29      26.36     6.36   -63.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R   40.82