Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 December 2007 at 22:35:30 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Birmingham vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         19   45  +27      87.04     5.73    51.59    64.35    87.83    96.06    98.78    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   44  +21      82.35     6.01    41.96    24.90    63.93    83.81    93.58    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   38  +15      74.48     6.29    32.59     3.08    14.82    37.08    62.43    91.24     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   36  +21      76.91     6.26    43.88     7.01    27.06    57.05    77.52    95.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   34   +5      63.02     6.96     7.70     0.05     0.65     2.91     8.01    30.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         19   33  +16      68.79     6.39    32.73     0.37     3.50    12.24    28.17    69.52     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      19   31  +10      68.14     6.18    29.50     0.20     1.74     8.31    22.79    66.40     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   30   +8      63.98     6.15    23.04     0.04     0.45     2.36     7.74    37.59     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        18   26   +7      54.06     6.74     8.80     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.45     4.39     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       18   26   -2      54.67     6.70    -0.05     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.46     4.65     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       19   26   -3      45.05     5.89   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.74R    0.00  
Reading         19   22  -11      40.45     6.15   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.75R    0.02  
Tottenham       19   21   +3      49.33     6.49     7.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.99     0.15R    0.00  
Birmingham      19   18   -9      37.74     6.16   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.83R    0.12  
Bolton          19   17   -8      39.02     6.39   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.81R    0.08  
Middlesbrough   19   17  -16      32.27     5.50   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.73R    1.11  
Wigan           19   16  -15      34.63     6.02   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.04R    0.78  
Fulham          19   14  -14      31.22     6.01   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.49R    1.94  
Sunderland      19   14  -21      29.47     5.75   -40.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.19R    3.59  
Derby           19    7  -34      16.41     4.68   -64.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R   92.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Barnsley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        24   44  +22      86.64     7.29    42.73    60.62    80.37    97.77    86.06P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          24   44   +9      78.52     7.52    15.26    13.82    35.18    81.83    46.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            24   41   +9      77.41     7.62    18.45    10.57    30.45    78.51    42.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     24   41   +1      73.07     7.55     3.98     3.51    12.35    57.26    21.39P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         24   39   +6      72.53     7.69    11.08     4.05    12.74    56.12    23.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   37   +7      70.83     7.68    12.51     2.55     8.92    48.58    19.87P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich          24   36   +7      70.71     7.84    13.85     2.66     9.62    48.50    19.90P    0.18R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    24   35   +1      65.59     7.38     2.30     0.42     1.94    21.74     6.98P    0.77R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   24   34   +3      64.98     7.43     4.45     0.36     1.70    20.76     6.63P    0.90R    0.09  
Burnley          24   34   +2      65.89     7.63     4.32     0.56     2.52    24.51     7.76P    0.87R    0.10  
Hull             24   34   +2      64.89     7.65     2.85     0.51     2.10    20.26     6.65P    1.28R    0.12  
Barnsley         24   32   -3      62.28     7.52    -2.80     0.14     0.68    11.36     3.09P    2.97R    0.47  
Southampton      24   32   -6      58.30     7.40   -13.14     0.03     0.18     4.63     1.10P    7.78R    1.36  
Sheff_Utd        24   31   +0      61.90     7.44     0.99     0.11     0.65    11.25     3.35P    2.82R    0.41  
Cardiff          24   30   -1      59.38     7.48    -2.61     0.07     0.30     6.38     1.77P    5.89R    0.95  
Coventry         23   29  -11      54.43     7.50   -20.53     0.00     0.05     1.69     0.35P   19.78R    5.03  
Blackpool        24   27   -2      54.35     7.53    -6.37     0.01     0.07     1.98     0.57P   17.76R    4.41  
Leicester        24   26   +0      56.90     7.39     1.59     0.01     0.11     3.33     1.08P    9.66R    2.03  
Scunthorpe       24   26   -7      51.49     7.28   -14.18     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.11P   29.96R    8.88  
Norwich          24   26  -10      49.90     7.09   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   38.87R   13.47  
Sheff_Wed        23   25   -5      54.33     7.74    -7.99     0.01     0.06     1.91     0.53P   18.91R    5.07  
Preston          24   24   -6      49.03     7.24   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P   41.94R   15.25  
QPR              24   24  -12      46.91     7.11   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   56.09R   25.16  
Colchester       24   22   -6      48.73     7.52   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.09P   43.34R   17.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          20   40  +20      91.17     7.90    45.09    40.37    65.07    98.40    74.69P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     21   38  +21      87.87     7.61    44.25    23.57    48.91    96.68    66.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            22   37  +26      87.65     7.13    54.85    22.23    49.18    97.15    68.21P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         20   36  +14      84.63     8.02    34.35    12.77    31.12    91.33    47.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    22   35   -2      64.07     7.62    -8.32     0.02     0.13    10.83     1.31P    0.48R    0.01  
Doncaster        22   34  +11      71.09     7.92    17.64     0.41     1.86    39.73     9.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          22   33   +6      69.53     7.67    11.86     0.14     0.82    30.73     6.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Southend         22   33   +2      67.32     7.96     4.09     0.08     0.50    21.58     3.33P    0.22R    0.00  
Yeovil           22   32   -1      62.93     7.61    -3.13     0.03     0.12     8.63     1.38P    0.67R    0.01  
Tranmere         22   31   +5      69.25     7.86    13.18     0.15     0.74    30.54     6.80P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         21   30   +3      68.29     8.09     9.54     0.13     0.81    26.39     5.19P    0.15R    0.00  
Huddersfield     22   30  -12      53.72     7.38   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.07P   11.43R    0.54  
Swindon          21   29   +2      63.16     8.07     2.27     0.02     0.18    10.58     1.75P    0.98R    0.03  
Hartlepool       22   28   +2      65.58     7.94     9.72     0.03     0.25    16.94     2.95P    0.49R    0.01  
Oldham           21   28   +2      65.95     8.12     7.87     0.05     0.30    18.07     3.83P    0.40R    0.01  
Crewe            22   25  -12      45.84     6.88   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.15R    6.75  
Northampton      22   24   -6      51.78     7.68   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.04P   17.21R    1.48  
Gillingham       21   23  -15      47.96     7.62   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   35.25R    5.15  
Millwall         21   22  -10      48.47     7.64   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   31.60R    4.59  
Bristol_Rovers   20   20   -7      50.11     8.18   -14.62     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.07P   24.26R    3.28  
Bournemouth      22   19  -16      42.56     7.29   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.19R   17.22  
Cheltenham       21   18  -17      40.62     7.45   -35.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   71.09R   26.43  
Luton            21   17   -1      51.01     8.17    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P   20.17R    2.39  
Port_Vale        22   17  -15      38.97     7.11   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.07R   32.09  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Barnet vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   22   48  +25      97.45     7.34    51.76    48.31    89.02    99.64    92.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             22   42  +15      85.48     7.78    31.71     4.66    36.13    89.90    50.66P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           20   40  +24      95.70     7.57    53.99    37.83    85.20    99.24    90.89P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +14      84.25     7.74    32.31     3.30    30.13    87.49    45.59P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            21   40  +12      83.49     8.31    26.28     3.32    26.99    83.17    41.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         21   37  +13      81.16     8.29    28.59     1.90    19.75    76.39    35.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              22   36   +3      68.92     7.94     3.02     0.03     0.93    20.11     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              21   35   +8      74.88     8.26    16.75     0.34     5.30    47.76    14.23P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   34   +5      69.46     7.98     8.84     0.04     1.09    22.70     5.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   33   +4      71.98     8.25    11.24     0.08     2.17    33.54     8.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             19   31   +4      71.38     9.11     9.06     0.18     3.20    31.97     9.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   29   -8      56.52     7.83   -17.21     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.21P    0.51R    0.07  
Barnet               21   28   -4      54.58     7.84   -16.94     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.11P    1.04R    0.17  
Stockport            22   27   -2      60.15     8.01    -2.69     0.00     0.04     3.21     0.61P    0.21R    0.03  
Bradford             21   24   -4      54.88     8.26    -9.14     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.21P    1.21R    0.23  
Bury                 21   23   -2      55.90     8.18    -4.10     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.26P    0.89R    0.15  
Brentford            22   23  -15      46.86     7.46   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    9.31R    2.43  
Notts_County         21   22   -8      49.58     8.12   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    4.88R    1.04  
Macclesfield         22   22  -10      49.15     7.74   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    5.79R    1.34  
Grimsby              22   21  -12      47.33     7.56   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    8.84R    2.49  
Lincoln_City         22   18  -16      41.53     7.48   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.76R   10.16  
Dag_&_Red            22   18  -20      36.93     6.80   -43.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.84R   25.20  
Mansfield            20   16   -5      49.14     8.49    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.07P    6.76R    2.12  
Wrexham              21   15  -21      32.73     6.80   -47.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.95R   54.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2007, Altrincham vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           23   55  +22      99.14     7.37    43.34    50.58    98.52    61.95P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             22   48  +22      95.32     7.46    49.79    29.72    95.99    45.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       22   44  +14      88.61     7.76    32.46     7.50    81.78    27.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           22   43  +21      89.03     7.71    42.84     8.86    84.35    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       22   41  +16      84.25     7.71    32.95     2.57    65.47    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        22   39  +10      78.25     7.96    20.52     0.53    32.24     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              24   38   +6      71.05     7.38    10.31     0.02     7.32     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              22   37  +10      75.31     7.88    18.91     0.19    20.77     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    23   33   +0      64.39     7.65    -0.01     0.00     1.37     0.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        22   32   +5      68.24     7.95     9.91     0.01     4.86     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       22   32   +1      66.49     7.97     2.89     0.01     3.10     0.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          22   32   -1      64.22     7.85    -1.83     0.01     1.44     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
York                23   31   -3      60.87     7.61    -6.79     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      22   30   +2      62.73     7.94     2.73     0.00     1.11     0.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              24   28   -4      55.28     7.27    -7.54     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Salisbury           23   28   -5      57.48     7.67    -9.01     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   23   27   +4      61.16     7.63     8.08     0.00     0.51     0.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             22   26   -2      57.24     7.95    -5.06     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.14R    0.00  
Weymouth            21   23   -3      57.20     8.29    -3.64     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.20R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      22   20  -15      43.66     7.38   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.75R    0.32  
Altrincham          22   15  -18      36.03     7.23   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.58R    4.64  
Northwich           23   13  -28      28.80     6.12   -55.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.82R   23.33  
Stafford_Rangers    23   10  -25      27.18     6.33   -49.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.45R   32.00  
Droylsden           22   10  -29      26.50     6.34   -62.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.80R   39.69