Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 December 2007 at 22:35:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2007, Blackburn vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         18   43  +21      82.35     6.36    41.94    30.36    61.74    81.16    91.98    98.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   42  +23      85.04     6.17    46.79    51.60    77.98    90.94    96.73    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   37  +15      76.72     6.39    34.45     7.65    24.92    49.98    73.97    94.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   34   +5      62.83     6.87     7.48     0.08     0.55     2.31     6.88    30.73     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   33  +20      77.00     6.40    45.65     9.39    28.82    54.90    77.35    95.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton         18   30  +14      67.50     6.72    31.62     0.44     2.78     9.16    21.59    63.14     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   30  +10      68.15     6.52    29.29     0.44     2.65     8.82    22.48    66.36     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   29   +8      63.41     6.52    21.03     0.04     0.50     2.31     7.21    35.86     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       18   26   -2      46.83     6.27   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.39     0.62R    0.00  
Blackburn       18   26   -2      54.84     6.74     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.47     5.28     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham        17   25   +7      56.28     7.09    11.77     0.00     0.05     0.32     1.28     9.23     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         18   21  -11      39.80     6.38   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.08R    0.07  
Tottenham       18   18   -1      47.30     6.80     2.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.57     0.81R    0.00  
Bolton          18   17   -6      39.42     6.57   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.86R    0.07  
Middlesbrough   18   17  -13      34.36     5.99   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.45R    0.62  
Birmingham      18   15  -12      34.74     6.41   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.12R    0.64  
Fulham          18   14  -10      32.93     6.45   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.67R    1.30  
Sunderland      18   14  -17      30.77     5.98   -36.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.01R    2.40  
Wigan           18   13  -16      33.12     6.40   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.11R    1.60  
Derby           18    7  -33      16.16     4.69   -65.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.23R   93.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Blackpool vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          23   43   +9      79.52     7.86    16.29    17.44    36.78    81.93    47.11P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   41  +19      84.88     7.63    39.33    47.08    68.35    95.02    76.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     23   41   +4      75.44     7.94     8.29     7.47    18.71    65.15    28.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   40   +9      78.16     7.89    19.06    12.97    31.00    78.14    43.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         23   38   +6      73.14     7.88    11.44     4.74    12.89    55.56    23.27P    0.05R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   36   +9      73.10     8.01    17.59     5.11    13.76    57.04    25.12P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    23   35   +3      68.39     7.69     6.26     1.19     4.10    31.77    11.29P    0.29R    0.02  
Plymouth         23   34   +6      69.67     7.97    12.22     1.98     6.64    40.07    15.90P    0.20R    0.01  
Burnley          23   33   +2      67.08     8.01     5.64     1.00     3.44    27.37     9.28P    0.74R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   +1      62.11     7.72     0.75     0.21     0.78    10.95     3.42P    2.57R    0.33  
Hull             23   31   +0      62.30     7.87    -0.54     0.22     0.87    11.57     3.44P    2.92R    0.48  
Barnsley         23   31   -3      62.55     7.88    -2.81     0.18     0.81    11.63     3.30P    2.95R    0.45  
Southampton      23   31   -6      58.57     7.72   -13.47     0.05     0.27     4.75     1.09P    7.80R    1.41  
Sheff_Utd        23   30   +0      62.93     7.87     1.98     0.21     0.94    13.17     3.93P    2.50R    0.41  
Cardiff          23   29   -1      59.07     7.89    -3.61     0.08     0.32     5.84     1.67P    6.80R    1.31  
Coventry         22   29   -9      56.66     7.97   -17.33     0.03     0.17     3.31     0.74P   13.05R    2.96  
Blackpool        23   26   -2      54.10     7.79    -7.36     0.00     0.03     1.70     0.41P   18.14R    4.78  
Norwich          23   25  -10      49.82     7.31   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   38.15R   12.92  
Sheff_Wed        22   24   -5      53.97     8.09    -9.17     0.01     0.05     1.84     0.49P   20.44R    5.87  
Preston          23   24   -5      50.92     7.57   -11.25     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.16P   31.05R   10.28  
QPR              23   24  -11      47.53     7.21   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   50.87R   21.36  
Leicester        23   23   -2      53.93     7.77    -2.20     0.01     0.03     1.46     0.48P   18.97R    5.38  
Scunthorpe       23   23   -8      48.42     7.54   -17.39     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   44.88R   17.79  
Colchester       23   21   -6      49.68     7.86   -11.91     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.13P   37.51R   14.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Cheltenham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottm_Forest     20   37  +21      88.44     7.99    44.82    22.66    45.51    95.97    63.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.34     8.22    43.25    30.18    54.50    97.10    66.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            21   36  +26      89.50     7.20    57.40    26.24    53.26    97.79    71.78P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.71     8.29    39.05    19.68    40.79    94.48    56.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    21   35   +0      67.27     8.02    -3.17     0.09     0.43    18.70     2.43P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          21   32   +6      70.38     7.97    12.52     0.19     0.86    32.34     7.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         21   32   +2      68.42     8.38     5.18     0.14     0.67    24.65     3.75P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           21   32   +0      65.53     8.08    -0.43     0.05     0.26    14.15     2.33P    0.34R    0.00  
Doncaster        21   31   +9      69.26     8.23    15.41     0.20     1.03    29.02     6.42P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.20     8.37    16.32     0.47     1.94    42.01     9.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   29  -12      54.91     7.79   -25.65     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.09P    8.00R    0.37  
Tranmere         21   28   +3      65.83     8.13     8.70     0.04     0.23    15.83     3.19P    0.38R    0.01  
Hartlepool       21   27   +2      64.84     8.18     7.81     0.03     0.20    13.65     2.20P    0.56R    0.02  
Oldham           20   27   +2      65.37     8.47     6.60     0.04     0.26    15.51     2.90P    0.46R    0.01  
Swindon          20   26   +1      60.33     8.40    -0.68     0.00     0.05     5.55     0.89P    2.20R    0.10  
Northampton      21   24   -4      52.99     7.92   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.08P   11.88R    0.72  
Crewe            21   24  -12      45.79     7.25   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   42.01R    5.83  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      47.86     7.99   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   32.84R    4.38  
Bristol_Rovers   19   19   -7      51.14     8.66   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.08P   19.17R    2.10  
Millwall         20   19  -13      44.09     7.71   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.20R   10.48  
Cheltenham       20   18  -14      41.43     7.61   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.81R   18.11  
Luton            20   16   -1      51.04     8.47    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P   18.37R    2.24  
Port_Vale        21   16  -15      38.68     7.31   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.39R   28.53  
Bournemouth      21   16  -18      39.24     7.46   -37.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.90R   27.10  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   21   45  +24      96.87     7.48    52.52    39.08    86.18    99.60    90.72P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   40  +16      88.07     7.84    38.58     7.26    48.15    95.13    61.56P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           19   39  +24      97.69     7.77    56.26    45.66    87.86    99.59    92.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             21   39  +14      84.04     8.06    31.11     3.03    27.14    87.67    42.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   39  +12      82.87     8.54    24.83     2.87    22.98    82.75    37.41P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              20   35  +10      78.22     8.51    21.70     0.92    10.20    67.08    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         20   34  +12      79.15     8.57    27.09     1.02    13.16    70.86    28.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   33   +1      66.93     8.23     0.50     0.01     0.56    16.14     3.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   31   +3      66.88     8.36     5.29     0.01     0.61    17.55     4.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   30   +2      68.34     8.63     6.27     0.03     0.88    21.94     5.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.61     9.46     6.73     0.10     2.09    28.41     7.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport            21   27   +0      62.24     8.38     0.54     0.00     0.14     7.24     1.44P    0.14R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -9      53.75     8.04   -20.01     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.13P    2.12R    0.49  
Barnet               20   25   -6      52.14     8.00   -20.37     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.08P    3.38R    0.88  
Bury                 20   23   -1      57.68     8.53    -2.70     0.00     0.01     2.69     0.57P    0.78R    0.17  
Brentford            21   23  -13      48.65     7.83   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    7.75R    2.13  
Notts_County         20   22   -7      50.16     8.32   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    5.65R    1.51  
Macclesfield         21   22   -9      50.16     8.08   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    5.96R    1.56  
Bradford             20   21   -5      53.68     8.50    -9.42     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.21P    2.56R    0.61  
Grimsby              21   21  -11      49.41     7.84   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    6.83R    2.08  
Lincoln_City         21   18  -15      42.97     7.79   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.10R    9.71  
Dag_&_Red            21   18  -18      38.48     7.18   -40.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.15R   23.72  
Wrexham              20   15  -19      34.40     7.10   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.98R   49.07  
Mansfield            19   13   -7      44.55     8.56   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   19.54R    8.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      98.01     7.71    43.33    39.91    97.72    54.12P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.91     7.84    52.81    41.98    97.64    55.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.76     8.06    43.79    10.24    86.09    32.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      87.09     8.09    31.70     5.28    76.68    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.23     8.10    29.12     1.62    55.73    14.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.04     8.37    21.20     0.78    38.74     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.34     7.62    11.28     0.04    11.92     2.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.49     8.29    15.55     0.10    14.46     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.23     8.23    11.90     0.03     8.86     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.45     7.88    -0.34     0.00     1.80     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.31     8.34     1.82     0.00     3.94     0.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.67     8.14     3.54     0.00     1.87     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.57     8.21    -4.51     0.00     1.05     0.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.27     7.58    -7.32     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.11R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.29     7.90    -5.96     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.02     8.00    -8.99     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.12R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.24     8.02     7.59     0.00     0.93     0.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.53     8.32     2.71     0.00     1.21     0.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.34     8.54    -4.23     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.27R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.63     7.52   -38.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.26R    1.51  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.94     7.58   -37.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    2.21  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.78     6.69   -46.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.37R   21.47  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.19     6.68   -63.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.42R   33.00  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.70     6.25   -59.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.12R   41.81