Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 December 2007 at 22:35:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2007, Blackburn vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         18   43  +21      82.44     6.27    42.13    30.58    62.03    81.61    92.55    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   42  +23      84.97     6.10    46.66    50.72    77.24    90.61    96.99    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   37  +15      76.84     6.36    34.58     8.23    25.33    50.15    74.26    95.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   34   +5      62.86     6.92     7.51     0.08     0.64     2.45     6.93    31.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   33  +20      77.07     6.33    45.85     9.52    28.88    55.23    78.04    95.47     0.00     0.00  
Everton         18   30  +14      67.39     6.73    31.44     0.39     2.68     8.54    20.42    62.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   30  +10      68.14     6.54    29.30     0.42     2.57     8.77    22.25    66.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   29   +8      63.32     6.50    20.82     0.07     0.55     2.21     6.91    35.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       18   26   -2      46.79     6.25   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.62R    0.00  
Blackburn       18   26   -2      54.82     6.76     0.09     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.40     5.25     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        17   25   +7      56.48     6.98    12.11     0.01     0.06     0.34     1.23     9.25     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         18   21  -11      39.84     6.33   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.84R    0.06  
Tottenham       18   18   -1      47.24     6.81     2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.82R    0.00  
Bolton          18   17   -6      39.39     6.64   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.97R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   18   17  -13      34.36     5.94   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.08R    0.56  
Birmingham      18   15  -12      34.79     6.41   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.91R    0.64  
Fulham          18   14  -10      32.81     6.35   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.83R    1.20  
Sunderland      18   14  -17      30.77     6.06   -36.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.63R    2.41  
Wigan           18   13  -16      33.00     6.37   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.95R    1.80  
Derby           18    7  -33      16.17     4.69   -65.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.32R   93.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Blackpool vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          23   43   +9      79.70     7.85    16.55    18.16    37.35    82.55    47.75P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   41  +19      84.85     7.63    39.30    46.64    68.09    95.22    76.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     23   41   +4      75.33     7.89     8.14     7.15    18.19    65.16    28.18P    0.03R    0.01  
Stoke            23   40   +9      77.95     7.90    18.70    12.38    29.88    77.45    42.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         23   38   +6      73.07     7.98    11.31     5.12    13.36    55.39    23.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Ipswich          23   36   +9      73.16     8.02    17.64     5.03    13.98    57.42    25.40P    0.08R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    23   35   +3      68.34     7.83     6.18     1.33     4.41    31.89    11.75P    0.32R    0.03  
Plymouth         23   34   +6      69.81     8.01    12.40     2.17     6.88    40.75    16.12P    0.27R    0.02  
Burnley          23   33   +2      66.94     8.02     5.47     0.95     3.36    26.85     9.11P    0.81R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   +1      62.06     7.72     0.64     0.16     0.80    10.78     3.29P    2.68R    0.31  
Hull             23   31   +0      62.43     7.93    -0.34     0.29     1.01    12.13     3.68P    2.86R    0.46  
Barnsley         23   31   -3      62.40     7.91    -3.05     0.24     0.88    11.31     3.30P    3.11R    0.46  
Southampton      23   31   -6      58.50     7.71   -13.67     0.06     0.27     4.67     1.09P    7.82R    1.53  
Sheff_Utd        23   30   +0      62.91     7.81     1.93     0.21     0.88    12.94     3.91P    2.38R    0.39  
Cardiff          23   29   -1      58.97     7.83    -3.68     0.06     0.30     5.63     1.54P    7.03R    1.33  
Coventry         22   29   -9      56.70     7.90   -17.27     0.02     0.15     3.17     0.74P   12.82R    2.82  
Blackpool        23   26   -2      54.30     7.71    -7.05     0.01     0.06     1.75     0.47P   17.48R    4.50  
Norwich          23   25  -10      49.79     7.37   -19.19     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   38.64R   13.54  
Sheff_Wed        22   24   -5      53.97     8.06    -9.12     0.01     0.06     1.83     0.48P   20.46R    6.01  
Preston          23   24   -5      51.07     7.59   -10.97     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.17P   30.85R   10.07  
QPR              23   24  -11      47.49     7.25   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   51.55R   21.79  
Leicester        23   23   -2      53.84     7.68    -2.24     0.00     0.03     1.32     0.42P   18.90R    5.05  
Scunthorpe       23   23   -8      48.60     7.49   -17.16     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   44.13R   17.33  
Colchester       23   21   -6      49.68     7.84   -11.88     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.14P   37.70R   14.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Cheltenham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottm_Forest     20   37  +21      88.38     7.98    44.70    22.17    45.20    95.78    63.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.32     8.22    43.15    30.23    54.37    97.04    66.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            21   36  +26      89.42     7.28    57.23    26.09    52.62    97.53    71.25P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.88     8.22    39.36    20.30    41.83    94.80    57.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    21   35   +0      67.33     8.09    -3.09     0.11     0.54    18.89     2.61P    0.19R    0.00  
Walsall          21   32   +6      70.30     8.00    12.35     0.23     0.90    31.89     6.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Southend         21   32   +2      68.50     8.32     5.35     0.11     0.68    24.36     3.69P    0.16R    0.00  
Yeovil           21   32   +0      65.26     7.98    -0.85     0.04     0.18    13.44     2.04P    0.31R    0.00  
Doncaster        21   31   +9      69.29     8.07    15.38     0.18     0.92    28.73     6.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.40     8.28    16.68     0.41     1.93    42.75     9.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   29  -12      54.91     7.73   -25.74     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.06P    8.10R    0.31  
Tranmere         21   28   +3      66.00     8.13     8.89     0.04     0.29    16.50     3.51P    0.28R    0.01  
Hartlepool       21   27   +2      64.88     8.21     7.83     0.03     0.18    13.80     2.31P    0.57R    0.01  
Oldham           20   27   +2      65.44     8.43     6.64     0.06     0.29    15.67     3.03P    0.48R    0.02  
Swindon          20   26   +1      60.34     8.35    -0.74     0.01     0.06     5.75     0.94P    2.17R    0.09  
Northampton      21   24   -4      52.91     7.91   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.07P   12.03R    0.72  
Crewe            21   24  -12      45.81     7.17   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   41.59R    5.38  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      47.73     7.88   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   33.10R    4.28  
Bristol_Rovers   19   19   -7      50.99     8.51   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.08P   19.15R    2.11  
Millwall         20   19  -13      44.38     7.80   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   48.50R    9.95  
Cheltenham       20   18  -14      41.14     7.57   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.34R   19.14  
Luton            20   16   -1      51.39     8.52    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P   17.44R    2.09  
Port_Vale        21   16  -15      38.48     7.28   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.59R   29.00  
Bournemouth      21   16  -18      39.25     7.41   -37.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.84R   26.90  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   21   45  +24      96.99     7.48    52.66    39.86    86.59    99.59    90.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   40  +16      88.13     7.91    38.73     7.31    48.24    94.96    61.66P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           19   39  +24      97.56     7.85    56.14    45.00    87.55    99.51    92.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             21   39  +14      84.09     8.10    31.20     3.04    27.63    87.56    43.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   39  +12      82.61     8.54    24.32     2.76    22.02    81.89    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              20   35  +10      78.42     8.39    22.05     0.78    10.35    67.73    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         20   34  +12      79.24     8.61    27.19     1.12    13.44    70.99    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   33   +1      66.85     8.26     0.32     0.01     0.55    16.24     3.57P    0.01R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           21   31   +3      66.80     8.30     5.14     0.01     0.58    16.89     3.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   30   +2      68.31     8.60     6.19     0.02     0.86    21.88     5.37P    0.03R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.91     9.25     7.20     0.09     2.01    29.18     7.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport            21   27   +0      62.69     8.35     1.30     0.00     0.13     7.75     1.49P    0.13R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -9      53.80     8.04   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.12P    2.02R    0.43  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.72     7.95   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.05P    3.56R    0.87  
Bury                 20   23   -1      57.61     8.50    -2.83     0.00     0.03     2.68     0.55P    0.78R    0.16  
Brentford            21   23  -13      48.94     7.89   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    7.25R    2.05  
Notts_County         20   22   -7      49.82     8.24   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    5.90R    1.69  
Macclesfield         21   22   -9      50.32     8.06   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    5.45R    1.50  
Bradford             20   21   -5      53.71     8.46    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.21P    2.42R    0.63  
Grimsby              21   21  -11      49.50     7.86   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    6.90R    2.12  
Lincoln_City         21   18  -15      42.87     7.84   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   25.45R    9.93  
Dag_&_Red            21   18  -18      38.28     7.16   -41.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.03R   24.14  
Wrexham              20   15  -19      34.43     7.09   -44.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.39R   48.24  
Mansfield            19   13   -7      44.38     8.54   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   19.65R    8.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.85     7.73    43.04    39.82    97.56    54.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.69     7.91    52.41    41.61    97.24    55.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.74     8.07    43.76    10.28    85.76    32.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.78     8.14    31.33     5.32    75.01    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.48     8.09    29.52     1.85    56.78    15.41P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.19     8.26    21.57     0.89    38.90     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.58     7.67    11.66     0.05    12.17     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.66     8.33    15.88     0.13    14.99     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.49     8.31    12.30     0.05     9.60     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.55     7.83    -0.20     0.00     1.73     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      65.94     8.33     1.16     0.01     3.60     0.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.52     8.12     3.36     0.00     1.87     0.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.65     8.20    -4.36     0.00     1.00     0.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.35     7.54    -7.19     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.12R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.19     7.87    -6.11     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.99     7.92    -8.95     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.12R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.19     7.98     7.48     0.00     0.91     0.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.72     8.53     2.89     0.00     1.46     0.33P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.29     8.62    -4.22     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.26R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.47     7.49   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.63R    1.56  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.17     7.67   -36.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.31R    2.15  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.70     6.71   -46.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.60R   21.76  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.03     6.63   -63.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.00R   33.67  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.76     6.29   -59.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.75R   40.85