Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 December 2007 at 22:35:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2007, Blackburn vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         18   43  +21      82.44     6.33    42.12    30.27    62.34    81.66    92.30    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   42  +23      85.18     6.11    46.95    51.89    78.35    91.09    96.93    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   37  +15      76.62     6.46    34.38     7.68    24.34    49.15    73.08    94.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   34   +5      62.93     6.92     7.63     0.08     0.67     2.52     7.24    31.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   33  +20      77.00     6.35    45.68     9.11    28.17    55.06    77.59    95.37     0.00     0.00  
Everton         18   30  +14      67.63     6.75    31.88     0.43     2.86     9.20    21.83    63.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   30  +10      68.18     6.56    29.39     0.47     2.72     8.91    22.44    66.87     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   29   +8      63.39     6.45    20.92     0.07     0.50     2.08     7.08    35.03     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       18   26   -2      46.83     6.22   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.61R    0.00  
Blackburn       18   26   -2      54.81     6.79     0.08     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.44     5.25     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        17   25   +7      56.19     6.97    11.64     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.04     8.59     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         18   21  -11      39.68     6.37   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.40R    0.07  
Tottenham       18   18   -1      47.22     6.78     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.77R    0.01  
Bolton          18   17   -6      39.22     6.63   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.46R    0.12  
Middlesbrough   18   17  -13      34.48     6.04   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.64R    0.60  
Birmingham      18   15  -12      34.72     6.39   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.51R    0.68  
Fulham          18   14  -10      32.96     6.34   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.99R    1.27  
Sunderland      18   14  -17      30.90     6.01   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.13R    2.26  
Wigan           18   13  -16      32.99     6.34   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.11R    1.65  
Derby           18    7  -33      16.24     4.70   -65.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   93.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Blackpool vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          23   43   +9      79.83     7.83    16.79    18.62    38.38    83.08    48.65P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        23   41  +19      84.81     7.64    39.21    46.39    68.02    94.94    76.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     23   41   +4      75.29     7.82     8.07     7.03    18.03    64.79    28.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            23   40   +9      78.02     7.92    18.84    12.69    29.91    77.85    42.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         23   38   +6      73.23     7.93    11.61     5.06    13.42    56.32    23.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Ipswich          23   36   +9      73.02     8.02    17.42     4.97    13.71    57.13    24.97P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    23   35   +3      68.12     7.78     5.92     1.17     3.93    30.84    10.99P    0.34R    0.04  
Plymouth         23   34   +6      69.96     7.99    12.62     2.17     6.96    41.42    16.42P    0.20R    0.02  
Burnley          23   33   +2      67.00     7.96     5.53     0.98     3.25    26.99     9.02P    0.76R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   +1      62.09     7.68     0.70     0.14     0.76    10.91     3.19P    2.59R    0.34  
Hull             23   31   +0      62.26     7.93    -0.61     0.19     0.92    11.75     3.59P    2.98R    0.42  
Barnsley         23   31   -3      62.36     7.85    -3.11     0.16     0.75    11.02     3.02P    3.18R    0.50  
Southampton      23   31   -6      58.51     7.72   -13.63     0.04     0.23     4.79     1.05P    7.87R    1.46  
Sheff_Utd        23   30   +0      62.88     7.78     1.94     0.22     0.96    12.74     3.97P    2.29R    0.40  
Cardiff          23   29   -1      59.06     7.82    -3.60     0.10     0.41     5.61     1.69P    6.73R    1.29  
Coventry         22   29   -9      56.73     7.89   -17.22     0.02     0.15     3.31     0.70P   12.61R    2.77  
Blackpool        23   26   -2      54.39     7.72    -6.89     0.02     0.08     1.71     0.48P   17.45R    4.32  
Norwich          23   25  -10      49.83     7.41   -19.14     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   38.39R   13.37  
Sheff_Wed        22   24   -5      53.91     8.02    -9.19     0.01     0.07     1.75     0.50P   20.51R    5.92  
Preston          23   24   -5      50.93     7.56   -11.18     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.13P   31.49R   10.30  
QPR              23   24  -11      47.36     7.33   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   52.06R   22.55  
Leicester        23   23   -2      53.91     7.72    -2.14     0.01     0.04     1.35     0.45P   18.77R    5.06  
Scunthorpe       23   23   -8      48.56     7.48   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   44.28R   17.27  
Colchester       23   21   -6      49.72     7.83   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.10P   37.32R   13.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Cheltenham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottm_Forest     20   37  +21      88.34     8.04    44.71    22.28    44.84    95.82    63.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.32     8.20    43.19    29.98    54.16    97.13    66.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            21   36  +26      89.49     7.32    57.32    26.15    53.13    97.61    71.25P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      88.00     8.25    39.54    20.49    42.17    94.91    57.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    21   35   +0      67.33     7.99    -3.10     0.07     0.39    18.64     2.36P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          21   32   +6      70.25     8.05    12.34     0.23     0.94    32.24     7.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Southend         21   32   +2      68.18     8.27     4.77     0.10     0.62    23.60     3.53P    0.14R    0.00  
Yeovil           21   32   +0      65.82     7.98    -0.02     0.03     0.21    14.72     2.35P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster        21   31   +9      68.92     8.12    14.88     0.16     0.83    27.31     5.69P    0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.36     8.34    16.55     0.40     1.94    43.04     9.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   29  -12      54.82     7.72   -25.81     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.10P    8.01R    0.32  
Tranmere         21   28   +3      65.97     8.19     8.89     0.04     0.25    16.57     3.49P    0.35R    0.01  
Hartlepool       21   27   +2      64.98     8.21     8.05     0.03     0.19    14.19     2.33P    0.48R    0.03  
Oldham           20   27   +2      65.29     8.43     6.46     0.04     0.27    15.11     2.98P    0.51R    0.01  
Swindon          20   26   +1      60.62     8.36    -0.25     0.01     0.05     5.95     0.95P    2.03R    0.06  
Northampton      21   24   -4      52.93     7.90   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.08P   11.92R    0.72  
Crewe            21   24  -12      45.47     7.13   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   43.49R    6.10  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      47.71     7.90   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   33.10R    4.47  
Bristol_Rovers   19   19   -7      50.83     8.55   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.11P   19.80R    2.21  
Millwall         20   19  -13      44.32     7.75   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   48.70R   10.00  
Cheltenham       20   18  -14      41.49     7.60   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.19R   17.94  
Luton            20   16   -1      51.41     8.59    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P   17.71R    2.20  
Port_Vale        21   16  -15      38.49     7.26   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.42R   28.87  
Bournemouth      21   16  -18      39.29     7.44   -37.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.56R   27.03  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   21   45  +24      96.96     7.53    52.62    39.19    86.40    99.56    90.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   40  +16      88.10     7.86    38.68     7.11    47.89    95.00    60.93P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           19   39  +24      97.87     7.65    56.59    46.15    88.86    99.66    93.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             21   39  +14      84.20     8.02    31.44     2.90    27.54    87.95    43.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   39  +12      82.54     8.52    24.26     2.69    21.54    82.06    35.93P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              20   35  +10      78.56     8.44    22.22     0.77    10.58    68.82    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         20   34  +12      79.16     8.67    27.06     1.06    13.24    70.81    28.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   33   +1      66.97     8.17     0.58     0.00     0.53    16.45     3.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   31   +3      66.76     8.27     5.10     0.00     0.48    16.81     3.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   30   +2      68.59     8.53     6.62     0.03     0.91    22.84     5.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.31     9.29     6.28     0.08     1.86    26.84     6.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport            21   27   +0      62.30     8.34     0.68     0.00     0.13     7.16     1.42P    0.13R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -9      53.84     8.03   -19.89     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.12P    2.20R    0.48  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.79     8.00   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P    3.44R    0.75  
Bury                 20   23   -1      57.64     8.60    -2.84     0.00     0.02     2.79     0.65P    0.90R    0.18  
Brentford            21   23  -13      48.82     7.83   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    7.53R    2.02  
Notts_County         20   22   -7      50.28     8.24   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    5.23R    1.40  
Macclesfield         21   22   -9      49.99     8.00   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    5.75R    1.58  
Bradford             20   21   -5      53.64     8.50    -9.47     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.21P    2.37R    0.61  
Grimsby              21   21  -11      49.49     7.90   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    7.06R    2.33  
Lincoln_City         21   18  -15      42.99     7.82   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   24.86R    9.42  
Dag_&_Red            21   18  -18      38.35     7.16   -41.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.93R   24.06  
Wrexham              20   15  -19      34.42     7.14   -44.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.29R   48.59  
Mansfield            19   13   -7      44.41     8.67   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   20.24R    8.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.95     7.68    43.13    39.28    97.83    53.78P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.96     7.83    52.91    42.11    97.54    55.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      90.13     8.02    44.40    10.88    86.94    34.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.92     8.13    31.48     5.09    75.69    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.27     8.10    29.20     1.57    55.82    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.15     8.29    21.40     0.82    38.86     7.34P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.34     7.65    11.21     0.04    11.70     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.47     8.37    15.45     0.16    14.63     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.27     8.30    11.99     0.04     9.06     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.72     7.81     0.03     0.00     1.94     0.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.15     8.32     1.54     0.00     3.78     0.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.28     8.12     3.03     0.00     1.75     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.48     8.19    -4.66     0.00     0.94     0.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.15     7.54    -7.44     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.12R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.43     7.91    -5.70     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.79     8.01    -9.37     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.16     7.96     7.48     0.00     0.84     0.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.74     8.42     2.93     0.00     1.34     0.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.51     8.66    -3.87     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.29R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.47     7.51   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.77R    1.54  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.94     7.64   -37.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.19R    2.32  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.75     6.75   -46.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.60R   21.77  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.25     6.70   -63.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.95R   33.04  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.79     6.25   -59.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.80R   41.33