Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 December 2007 at 22:07:30 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2007, Blackburn vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         18   43  +21      82.31     6.35    41.96    29.66    61.14    80.75    91.91    98.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   42  +23      85.14     6.05    46.83    51.96    78.44    91.33    96.96    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   37  +15      76.82     6.46    34.66     7.97    25.05    50.15    74.03    94.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   34   +5      62.93     6.95     7.67     0.09     0.61     2.43     6.93    30.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   33  +20      77.07     6.31    45.87     9.35    28.81    55.07    77.90    95.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton         18   30  +14      67.44     6.70    31.50     0.41     2.68     8.63    20.66    62.51     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   30  +10      68.29     6.53    29.59     0.48     2.68     9.05    22.77    67.12     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   29   +8      63.37     6.53    20.87     0.08     0.53     2.21     7.10    35.18     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       18   26   -2      46.75     6.23   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.58R    0.00  
Blackburn       18   26   -2      54.80     6.78     0.08     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.46     5.20     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham        17   25   +7      56.36     7.02    11.94     0.01     0.05     0.30     1.26     9.15     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         18   21  -11      39.78     6.34   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.90R    0.06  
Tottenham       18   18   -1      47.18     6.75     2.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.85R    0.00  
Bolton          18   17   -6      39.37     6.58   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.75R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   18   17  -13      34.43     6.02   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.64R    0.58  
Birmingham      18   15  -12      34.62     6.38   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.80R    0.66  
Fulham          18   14  -10      32.94     6.36   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.31R    1.14  
Sunderland      18   14  -17      30.73     6.06   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.30R    2.54  
Wigan           18   13  -16      33.07     6.41   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.55R    1.75  
Derby           18    7  -33      16.17     4.71   -66.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   93.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Blackpool vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          23   43   +9      79.66     7.82    16.49    17.99    37.08    82.77    47.58P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        23   41  +19      84.85     7.61    39.28    46.62    68.30    95.18    76.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     23   41   +4      75.47     7.88     8.34     7.63    18.88    65.62    29.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   40   +9      78.09     7.87    18.92    12.90    30.91    78.15    42.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         23   38   +6      73.03     7.89    11.28     4.59    12.78    55.45    23.17P    0.08R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   36   +9      73.03     8.03    17.41     5.02    13.62    56.86    25.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   +3      68.37     7.74     6.23     1.18     4.20    31.96    11.67P    0.32R    0.03  
Plymouth         23   34   +6      69.75     7.93    12.31     2.06     6.66    40.40    16.05P    0.25R    0.01  
Burnley          23   33   +2      67.04     7.86     5.61     0.95     3.23    27.07     8.98P    0.68R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   +1      62.28     7.67     0.96     0.20     0.84    11.29     3.54P    2.37R    0.32  
Hull             23   31   +0      62.31     7.92    -0.51     0.25     0.98    11.78     3.59P    2.99R    0.43  
Barnsley         23   31   -3      62.33     7.79    -3.12     0.18     0.77    10.61     2.87P    3.06R    0.49  
Southampton      23   31   -6      58.39     7.63   -13.74     0.04     0.22     4.40     0.97P    7.98R    1.55  
Sheff_Utd        23   30   +0      62.84     7.84     1.87     0.23     0.92    12.91     3.82P    2.64R    0.40  
Cardiff          23   29   -1      59.10     7.77    -3.47     0.09     0.29     5.68     1.67P    6.56R    1.26  
Coventry         22   29   -9      56.69     7.90   -17.25     0.03     0.11     3.15     0.63P   12.92R    2.83  
Blackpool        23   26   -2      54.31     7.83    -7.01     0.02     0.08     1.93     0.55P   17.85R    4.63  
Norwich          23   25  -10      49.63     7.37   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   39.62R   14.11  
Sheff_Wed        22   24   -5      54.02     8.07    -9.09     0.01     0.07     1.83     0.48P   20.16R    5.83  
Preston          23   24   -5      51.00     7.54   -11.09     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.14P   30.91R   10.02  
QPR              23   24  -11      47.65     7.29   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   50.66R   21.08  
Leicester        23   23   -2      53.81     7.65    -2.31     0.01     0.03     1.30     0.40P   18.83R    5.00  
Scunthorpe       23   23   -8      48.56     7.53   -17.22     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   44.21R   17.64  
Colchester       23   21   -6      49.64     7.83   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.12P   37.80R   14.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Cheltenham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottm_Forest     20   37  +21      88.56     7.98    45.04    23.00    45.88    96.13    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.19     8.27    42.95    29.87    54.08    96.81    66.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            21   36  +26      89.21     7.34    56.83    24.98    51.63    97.34    70.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.88     8.33    39.38    20.79    42.20    94.51    57.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    21   35   +0      67.60     8.04    -2.68     0.11     0.53    19.60     2.65P    0.15R    0.00  
Walsall          21   32   +6      70.31     7.96    12.41     0.23     0.98    31.91     7.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Southend         21   32   +2      68.51     8.27     5.29     0.15     0.68    24.46     3.82P    0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil           21   32   +0      65.56     7.95    -0.42     0.05     0.25    14.02     2.19P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster        21   31   +9      69.33     8.13    15.51     0.24     1.09    28.92     6.47P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.32     8.36    16.50     0.46     1.98    42.74     9.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   29  -12      54.66     7.79   -26.17     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.09P    8.77R    0.36  
Tranmere         21   28   +3      65.85     8.07     8.71     0.04     0.24    15.86     3.23P    0.34R    0.01  
Hartlepool       21   27   +2      64.88     8.18     7.83     0.03     0.18    13.89     2.28P    0.57R    0.01  
Oldham           20   27   +2      65.22     8.42     6.41     0.06     0.24    14.93     2.82P    0.50R    0.01  
Swindon          20   26   +1      60.54     8.33    -0.36     0.01     0.06     5.86     0.88P    2.11R    0.07  
Northampton      21   24   -4      52.83     7.92   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.08P   12.52R    0.74  
Crewe            21   24  -12      45.76     7.17   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   41.81R    5.63  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.04     8.00   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   31.98R    4.35  
Bristol_Rovers   19   19   -7      50.83     8.52   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.05P   19.70R    2.12  
Millwall         20   19  -13      44.10     7.67   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    49.90R   10.27  
Cheltenham       20   18  -14      41.27     7.57   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.47R   18.44  
Luton            20   16   -1      51.38     8.53    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P   17.49R    2.15  
Port_Vale        21   16  -15      38.86     7.46   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.57R   27.54  
Bournemouth      21   16  -18      39.00     7.40   -38.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.54R   28.30  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   21   45  +24      96.97     7.54    52.63    39.77    86.11    99.57    90.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   40  +16      88.11     7.93    38.68     7.48    47.98    94.70    60.87P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           19   39  +24      97.47     7.76    55.97    44.52    87.45    99.48    92.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             21   39  +14      84.32     8.09    31.58     3.20    28.38    88.10    44.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   39  +12      82.65     8.59    24.50     2.82    22.01    81.98    36.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              20   35  +10      78.50     8.38    22.14     0.87    10.33    68.26    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         20   34  +12      79.34     8.64    27.37     1.18    13.57    71.63    28.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   33   +1      66.79     8.25     0.29     0.01     0.52    16.06     3.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   31   +3      67.10     8.30     5.60     0.01     0.58    17.66     4.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   30   +2      68.33     8.53     6.19     0.03     0.88    21.73     5.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.43     9.49     6.37     0.11     2.00    27.61     7.00P    0.04R    0.01  
Stockport            21   27   +0      62.35     8.29     0.73     0.01     0.12     7.31     1.37P    0.16R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -9      53.84     7.98   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.12P    2.06R    0.42  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.97     7.92   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    3.33R    0.81  
Bury                 20   23   -1      57.55     8.64    -2.89     0.00     0.05     2.71     0.63P    0.95R    0.21  
Brentford            21   23  -13      48.76     7.84   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    7.68R    2.08  
Notts_County         20   22   -7      50.09     8.34   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.10P    5.75R    1.51  
Macclesfield         21   22   -9      50.02     7.97   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    5.82R    1.58  
Bradford             20   21   -5      53.69     8.48    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.16P    2.50R    0.58  
Grimsby              21   21  -11      49.42     7.90   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    6.92R    2.21  
Lincoln_City         21   18  -15      43.14     7.88   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   24.41R    9.64  
Dag_&_Red            21   18  -18      38.44     7.19   -40.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.34R   23.60  
Wrexham              20   15  -19      34.41     7.07   -44.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.90R   48.80  
Mansfield            19   13   -7      44.38     8.62   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   20.10R    8.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.99     7.66    43.24    40.20    97.87    54.43P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.77     7.88    52.51    41.62    97.36    55.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.99     7.98    44.12    10.50    86.71    33.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.85     8.15    31.35     5.01    75.44    23.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.28     8.19    29.21     1.70    56.20    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      78.97     8.31    21.12     0.73    38.20     7.24P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.29     7.71    11.17     0.04    11.89     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.59     8.35    15.68     0.14    14.95     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.43     8.29    12.15     0.03     9.28     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.57     7.86    -0.20     0.00     1.82     0.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.05     8.36     1.40     0.00     3.81     0.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.52     8.20     3.38     0.00     1.92     0.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.48     8.10    -4.59     0.00     0.96     0.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.52     7.54    -6.94     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.10R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.51     7.91    -5.57     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.93     7.89    -9.06     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.14     7.95     7.39     0.00     0.81     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.76     8.35     2.96     0.00     1.30     0.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.36     8.68    -4.19     0.00     0.47     0.11P    0.26R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.36     7.38   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.64R    1.54  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.02     7.58   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    2.14  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.80     6.78   -46.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.20R   21.75  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.12     6.60   -63.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.66R   33.19  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.75     6.27   -59.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.79R   41.37