Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 December 2007 at 22:35:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Arsenal vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         18   43  +21      82.43     6.42    42.06    34.42    64.98    82.90    92.56    98.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.87     6.42    46.10    46.71    74.09    87.96    95.11    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      74.77     6.81    33.11     6.13    19.63    40.57    63.81    89.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        18   34   +5      62.96     6.87     7.68     0.11     0.79     2.91     7.45    30.71     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   33  +20      77.09     6.30    45.93    10.91    31.88    59.13    78.91    95.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.45     6.87    32.02     1.01     4.81    13.39    27.94    66.91     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   30  +10      68.19     6.51    29.52     0.60     3.06    10.02    24.12    65.90     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   29   +8      63.32     6.42    20.77     0.08     0.58     2.37     7.54    34.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.43     6.98     1.80     0.00     0.08     0.33     1.16     8.50     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        17   25   +7      56.39     7.00    11.99     0.02     0.10     0.40     1.27     8.68     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.39     6.48   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.91     0.22R    0.00  
Reading         18   21  -11      39.76     6.33   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.11R    0.03  
Tottenham       18   18   -1      47.40     6.81     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.61     0.78R    0.00  
Bolton          18   17   -6      39.22     6.61   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.58R    0.06  
Middlesbrough   18   17  -13      34.43     5.93   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.89R    0.30  
Birmingham      18   15  -12      34.77     6.34   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.41R    0.34  
Fulham          18   14  -10      32.78     6.30   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.59R    0.55  
Sunderland      18   14  -17      30.80     5.99   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.01R    1.24  
Wigan           18   13  -16      33.37     6.36   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.69R    0.86  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.11     4.47   -70.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68R   96.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Blackpool vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          23   43   +9      79.78     7.82    16.70    18.36    38.08    82.86    48.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        23   41  +19      84.80     7.66    39.18    46.17    67.86    95.02    76.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     23   41   +4      75.36     7.79     8.15     7.15    18.07    65.56    28.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            23   40   +9      78.13     7.92    18.94    12.93    30.75    77.98    43.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         23   38   +6      72.99     7.94    11.22     4.77    12.93    54.95    22.92P    0.08R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   36   +9      73.04     8.03    17.45     5.20    13.82    56.96    24.91P    0.11R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    23   35   +3      68.43     7.74     6.29     1.38     4.28    32.13    11.50P    0.31R    0.02  
Plymouth         23   34   +6      70.03     7.92    12.74     2.23     7.03    41.71    16.70P    0.23R    0.02  
Burnley          23   33   +2      66.73     7.96     5.13     0.86     3.01    26.23     8.54P    0.80R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   23   31   +1      62.19     7.66     0.85     0.19     0.76    11.05     3.35P    2.48R    0.30  
Hull             23   31   +0      62.20     7.86    -0.68     0.24     0.90    11.22     3.52P    3.00R    0.47  
Barnsley         23   31   -3      62.37     7.93    -3.14     0.15     0.76    11.27     3.12P    3.26R    0.57  
Southampton      23   31   -6      58.33     7.76   -13.88     0.04     0.26     4.55     1.11P    8.30R    1.66  
Sheff_Utd        23   30   +0      62.94     7.84     2.00     0.22     0.90    13.04     3.84P    2.45R    0.32  
Cardiff          23   29   -1      59.00     7.78    -3.61     0.07     0.30     5.40     1.52P    6.68R    1.30  
Coventry         22   29   -9      56.90     7.87   -16.96     0.02     0.13     3.29     0.72P   12.26R    2.70  
Blackpool        23   26   -2      54.24     7.75    -7.04     0.00     0.04     1.86     0.53P   17.87R    4.50  
Norwich          23   25  -10      49.75     7.41   -19.28     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   38.89R   13.60  
Sheff_Wed        22   24   -5      54.09     8.07    -8.95     0.02     0.06     1.92     0.48P   19.94R    5.67  
Preston          23   24   -5      50.91     7.63   -11.22     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.16P   31.68R   10.59  
QPR              23   24  -11      47.56     7.31   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   50.95R   21.43  
Leicester        23   23   -2      53.86     7.66    -2.28     0.01     0.03     1.28     0.39P   18.73R    5.19  
Scunthorpe       23   23   -8      48.43     7.53   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   45.09R   17.74  
Colchester       23   21   -6      49.83     7.83   -11.66     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.13P   36.89R   13.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Cheltenham vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottm_Forest     20   37  +21      88.31     8.01    44.61    22.28    45.23    95.72    63.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.17     8.19    42.84    29.70    54.06    96.99    66.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            21   36  +26      89.23     7.30    56.99    25.52    51.90    97.44    70.56P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.96     8.27    39.38    21.25    42.60    94.71    57.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    21   35   +0      67.58     8.01    -2.69     0.09     0.48    19.53     2.62P    0.15R    0.00  
Walsall          21   32   +6      70.07     8.12    12.10     0.20     1.03    30.86     6.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Southend         21   32   +2      68.47     8.36     5.32     0.12     0.76    24.40     3.80P    0.17R    0.00  
Yeovil           21   32   +0      65.57     8.03    -0.37     0.05     0.24    14.31     2.24P    0.32R    0.00  
Doncaster        21   31   +9      69.08     8.19    15.09     0.21     0.90    28.05     6.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.28     8.33    16.42     0.46     1.92    42.72     9.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     21   29  -12      54.89     7.77   -25.68     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.10P    8.21R    0.31  
Tranmere         21   28   +3      65.70     8.14     8.58     0.04     0.25    15.73     3.32P    0.33R    0.00  
Hartlepool       21   27   +2      65.20     8.27     8.44     0.03     0.29    14.84     2.57P    0.48R    0.01  
Oldham           20   27   +2      65.47     8.45     6.74     0.03     0.28    15.55     3.24P    0.51R    0.01  
Swindon          20   26   +1      60.60     8.36    -0.34     0.01     0.06     5.92     0.94P    2.03R    0.05  
Northampton      21   24   -4      53.03     7.86   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.07P   11.52R    0.61  
Crewe            21   24  -12      45.52     7.17   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    43.21R    5.85  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      47.65     7.92   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   33.36R    4.67  
Bristol_Rovers   19   19   -7      51.30     8.59   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.09P   18.28R    1.94  
Millwall         20   19  -13      43.99     7.78   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   50.19R   10.67  
Cheltenham       20   18  -14      41.34     7.60   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   64.30R   18.01  
Luton            20   16   -1      51.22     8.54    -1.38     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P   17.94R    2.16  
Port_Vale        21   16  -15      38.79     7.39   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.72R   28.03  
Bournemouth      21   16  -18      39.12     7.50   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.10R   27.66  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   21   45  +24      97.01     7.55    52.64    40.18    86.21    99.60    90.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         21   40  +16      88.11     7.83    38.66     7.38    48.71    95.00    61.88P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           19   39  +24      97.42     7.81    55.89    44.34    87.15    99.50    92.12P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             21   39  +14      84.15     8.19    31.30     3.22    27.81    87.63    43.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            20   39  +12      82.73     8.51    24.61     2.75    22.30    82.37    36.71P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              20   35  +10      78.29     8.52    21.87     0.87    10.33    67.38    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         20   34  +12      79.24     8.59    27.18     1.10    13.34    71.53    28.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              21   33   +1      66.84     8.16     0.40     0.01     0.50    15.92     3.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   31   +3      66.78     8.29     5.10     0.01     0.62    17.05     4.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   30   +2      68.36     8.51     6.25     0.02     0.85    21.90     5.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.59     9.46     6.69     0.13     2.03    28.53     7.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport            21   27   +0      62.41     8.38     0.84     0.00     0.12     7.60     1.52P    0.14R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -9      53.71     8.01   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.12P    2.11R    0.45  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.93     7.98   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    3.42R    0.77  
Bury                 20   23   -1      57.65     8.60    -2.74     0.00     0.02     2.63     0.54P    0.91R    0.18  
Brentford            21   23  -13      48.81     7.78   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    7.31R    1.99  
Notts_County         20   22   -7      50.01     8.28   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    5.79R    1.54  
Macclesfield         21   22   -9      50.26     7.92   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    5.36R    1.40  
Bradford             20   21   -5      53.88     8.62    -9.18     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.25P    2.50R    0.60  
Grimsby              21   21  -11      49.47     7.94   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    6.80R    2.01  
Lincoln_City         21   18  -15      43.03     7.83   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.03R    9.67  
Dag_&_Red            21   18  -18      38.28     7.10   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.36R   24.03  
Wrexham              20   15  -19      34.39     7.09   -44.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.66R   49.19  
Mansfield            19   13   -7      44.55     8.65   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   19.53R    8.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.90     7.71    43.09    39.81    97.54    54.05P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.79     7.83    52.57    41.64    97.55    55.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.88     8.11    43.93    10.63    85.91    33.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.91     8.13    31.45     5.14    75.54    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.34     8.11    29.29     1.72    56.41    15.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.03     8.33    21.16     0.79    38.67     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.40     7.68    11.29     0.06    12.01     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.53     8.40    15.69     0.16    15.19     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.51     8.21    12.32     0.03     9.27     1.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.59     7.80    -0.12     0.00     1.75     0.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.12     8.31     1.50     0.01     3.68     0.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.38     8.17     3.21     0.00     1.88     0.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.52     8.21    -4.54     0.00     1.02     0.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.32     7.52    -7.20     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.12R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.31     7.93    -5.90     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.07     7.98    -8.78     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.10R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.28     8.01     7.65     0.00     0.92     0.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.66     8.35     2.90     0.00     1.28     0.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.62     8.58    -3.77     0.00     0.43     0.07P    0.28R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.42     7.44   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.81R    1.50  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.89     7.60   -37.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.03R    2.24  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.69     6.77   -46.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.38R   21.76  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.26     6.70   -63.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.92R   32.03  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.57     6.30   -59.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.23R   42.47