Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 21 December 2007 at 22:35:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         17   40  +20      82.12     6.59    43.72    35.02    65.69    82.19    91.04    98.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.79     6.45    46.01    47.65    75.07    88.04    94.49    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      74.86     6.78    33.38     6.72    21.54    42.63    63.41    89.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.15     7.19     5.90     0.13     0.80     2.88     7.15    26.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   30  +17      74.59     6.83    40.53     6.97    21.88    43.74    63.65    89.07     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.26     6.97    31.95     1.26     5.34    13.79    27.10    64.01     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.58     6.66    33.98     2.00     8.16    21.12    38.75    76.33     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.74     6.78    22.99     0.23     1.40     4.96    12.18    41.79     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.48     6.91     1.95     0.01     0.08     0.35     1.17     7.58     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.45     6.47   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.84     0.29R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.57     7.46    10.74     0.00     0.04     0.27     0.95     6.28     0.10R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.29     6.99     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.60     1.13R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.83     6.64   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    13.05R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.53     6.23   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.99R    0.21  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.49     6.77   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.19R    0.13  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.41     6.79   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.27R    0.24  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.73     6.31   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R    1.05  
Fulham          17   13  -10      33.88     6.67   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.29R    0.52  
Wigan           17   12  -16      32.98     6.57   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.74R    1.12  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.12     4.45   -70.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.74R   96.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      88.06     7.85    44.40    61.55    79.62    97.36    85.32P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      77.91     8.19    15.26    10.87    29.01    74.81    39.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.46     8.08     6.84     3.90    12.68    54.45    21.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      75.18     8.22    14.89     6.36    19.30    63.85    30.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.19     8.21    12.39     5.12    16.11    59.26    26.77P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.43     8.27    19.24     5.77    17.73    61.97    29.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      72.09     8.21    14.77     3.16    10.90    50.71    22.17P    0.11R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      69.10     8.01     6.72     1.30     5.16    34.20    12.85P    0.25R    0.02  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.45     8.27     3.86     0.75     3.16    24.84     8.24P    0.81R    0.07  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.79     8.10    -1.84     0.27     1.37    14.71     4.50P    1.83R    0.25  
Southampton      22   31   -5      60.87     8.10   -11.09     0.12     0.69     8.43     2.11P    4.29R    0.57  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.90     8.06     3.81     0.34     1.78    18.55     6.09P    1.24R    0.16  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.53     8.17    -2.40     0.21     0.82    10.32     3.05P    3.27R    0.44  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.63     8.37    -9.21     0.12     0.69     8.59     2.32P    4.95R    0.71  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.72     8.03    -1.30     0.08     0.50     7.08     2.24P    4.59R    0.61  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      56.55     8.02    -6.08     0.03     0.16     3.19     0.96P   10.47R    2.08  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.86     8.45    -7.61     0.03     0.18     3.48     0.97P   13.49R    2.99  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.35     7.91   -14.52     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.15P   31.79R    9.66  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.88     7.89   -14.92     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.18P   29.52R    8.56  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.54     7.93    -3.01     0.01     0.05     1.39     0.47P   17.87R    4.33  
Norwich          22   22  -11      47.11     7.59   -21.93     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.05P   49.26R   18.98  
Colchester       22   21   -5      51.84     8.19    -9.53     0.01     0.03     1.01     0.27P   25.46R    7.41  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.51     7.87   -13.56     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   39.72R   14.10  
QPR              22   21  -12      44.92     7.51   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.91R   29.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 21 December 2007, Northampton vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.16     8.18    42.72    30.42    54.99    97.10    67.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      88.23     8.16    39.67    22.44    44.62    95.22    59.77P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.28     8.39    43.68    19.85    41.33    93.73    59.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.56     8.39    -1.93     0.17     0.85    23.86     3.34P    0.19R    0.01  
Leeds            20   33  +25      88.92     7.57    58.24    25.72    51.49    96.91    70.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      71.07     8.64     8.25     0.43     1.85    35.50     6.33P    0.09R    0.00  
Yeovil           20   31   +0      65.56     8.39    -1.18     0.06     0.32    15.46     2.43P    0.53R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.37     8.30    16.49     0.44     2.12    42.37    10.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.74     8.42     8.01     0.14     0.61    22.14     4.81P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster        20   28   +5      65.65     8.43     8.30     0.09     0.41    16.15     3.40P    0.53R    0.01  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      68.23     8.48    11.13     0.13     0.67    24.70     5.55P    0.30R    0.00  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.52     8.54     9.30     0.08     0.49    19.33     3.51P    0.46R    0.01  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.56     7.88   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.03P   19.38R    1.70  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.52     8.82     3.70     0.03     0.16     9.95     1.96P    1.77R    0.07  
Northampton      21   24   -4      52.94     7.96   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.10P   13.47R    0.93  
Crewe            20   24   -8      48.83     7.72   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P   28.94R    3.36  
Swindon          19   23   +0      59.10     8.72    -1.22     0.01     0.07     4.90     0.87P    4.03R    0.23  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      47.96     7.96   -32.17     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   34.71R    4.96  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      50.77     8.73   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P   22.61R    2.90  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.37     8.13   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   41.01R    7.88  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.40     8.15   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   51.11R   12.17  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.12     7.48   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.43R   28.97  
Bournemouth      21   16  -18      38.94     7.45   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.86R   31.94  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.81     8.66    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   28.27R    4.86  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 21 December 2007, Milton_Keynes_Dons vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   21   45  +24      96.81     7.53    52.23    42.62    86.21    99.71    90.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      88.72     8.23    39.62    10.88    51.64    95.97    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.14     8.17    38.45     7.61    43.04    94.66    58.05P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.23     8.26    50.79    34.94    80.13    99.08    87.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.74     8.89    20.90     2.18    16.89    78.73    30.69P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.79     8.79    20.96     0.70     8.52    65.06    22.06P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.21     8.94    24.55     0.91    10.03    67.09    24.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.22     8.64    -0.53     0.01     0.45    15.99     3.29P    0.09R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      64.86     8.58     3.60     0.01     0.42    15.28     3.32P    0.09R    0.02  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.41     9.36     6.39     0.12     2.00    31.61     7.64P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      63.05     8.87    -2.15     0.00     0.29    11.31     2.40P    0.31R    0.06  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.52     8.65     2.02     0.01     0.24    12.37     2.34P    0.17R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.45     8.36   -18.37     0.00     0.01     2.06     0.27P    1.89R    0.44  
Barnet               20   25   -6      52.09     7.99   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    4.13R    1.13  
Bury                 19   23   +0      59.22     8.92    -1.37     0.00     0.09     5.87     1.36P    0.84R    0.20  
Brentford            21   23  -13      48.88     7.89   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    9.02R    2.61  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.63     8.32   -18.78     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.14P    5.49R    1.60  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.22     8.82    -9.77     0.00     0.01     1.90     0.34P    3.16R    0.89  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.08     8.81   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.16P    6.80R    2.13  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      48.92     8.24   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   10.26R    3.74  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      45.01     8.15   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   20.50R    7.70  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.62     7.49   -41.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.27R   27.83  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      36.08     7.62   -41.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.80R   43.94  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.16     9.02   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P   18.13R    7.68  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.96     7.68    43.17    40.34    97.82    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.69     7.86    52.40    40.89    97.32    54.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.94     8.05    44.10    10.67    85.86    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.85     8.09    31.35     5.09    75.16    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.66     8.05    29.88     1.88    57.44    15.77P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.25     8.31    21.63     0.88    39.37     7.59P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.36     7.61    11.29     0.04    11.49     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.59     8.39    15.75     0.15    14.76     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.42     8.29    12.13     0.04     9.26     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.57     7.80    -0.17     0.00     1.78     0.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.26     8.35     1.73     0.01     3.77     0.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.49     8.16     3.30     0.01     1.79     0.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.41     8.19    -4.76     0.00     0.89     0.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.50     7.51    -6.95     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.10R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.34     7.90    -5.86     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.77     7.91    -9.39     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.11R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.04     7.95     7.23     0.00     0.80     0.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.51     8.46     2.58     0.00     1.24     0.28P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.51     8.66    -3.99     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.29R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.41     7.53   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.93R    1.52  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.13     7.57   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.83R    2.11  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.55     6.72   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.24R   22.37  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.13     6.69   -63.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   33.27  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.78     6.29   -59.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.85R   40.73