Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 December 2007 at 22:40:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         17   40  +20      81.99     6.67    43.60    34.58    64.39    81.25    90.58    98.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.83     6.44    46.07    47.83    75.33    87.97    94.62    99.25     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      75.08     6.77    33.81     6.96    22.33    43.82    64.43    89.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.38     7.16     6.22     0.14     0.79     2.82     7.38    27.08     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   30  +17      74.84     6.74    40.88     7.07    22.45    44.67    64.94    89.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.26     6.90    31.86     1.18     5.27    13.71    26.80    63.81     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.54     6.70    33.96     1.98     8.00    20.53    37.76    75.78     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.64     6.70    22.82     0.25     1.32     4.57    11.30    41.03     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.48     6.94     2.00     0.00     0.06     0.31     1.11     7.32     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.36     6.50   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.78     0.30R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.75     7.40    11.01     0.01     0.07     0.31     0.98     6.34     0.08R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.04     6.99    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.55     1.20R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.69     6.68   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    13.34R    0.11  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.46     6.28   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.43R    0.22  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.29     6.81   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.95R    0.20  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.36     6.87   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.37R    0.24  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.75     6.37   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.60R    1.09  
Fulham          17   13  -10      33.89     6.65   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.09R    0.53  
Wigan           17   12  -16      33.10     6.54   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.94R    1.05  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.22     4.46   -70.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70R   96.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      87.98     7.85    44.21    60.68    79.20    97.31    85.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      77.80     8.19    15.14    10.97    28.71    74.15    39.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.70     8.13     7.17     4.11    13.33    55.86    22.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      75.04     8.17    14.67     6.27    18.60    63.14    29.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.38     8.27    12.69     5.63    16.85    59.79    27.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.79     8.26    19.86     6.24    18.83    63.49    30.44P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      71.84     8.21    14.38     2.93    10.20    49.19    21.31P    0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      69.14     8.06     6.83     1.32     5.24    34.47    13.30P    0.21R    0.01  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.17     8.29     3.40     0.71     2.94    23.71     7.69P    0.87R    0.08  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.87     8.08    -1.72     0.27     1.41    15.02     4.50P    1.79R    0.25  
Southampton      22   31   -5      60.89     8.07   -11.08     0.10     0.57     8.46     2.05P    4.10R    0.54  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.81     8.08     3.63     0.30     1.67    18.41     5.88P    1.37R    0.15  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.73     8.15    -2.14     0.17     0.94    10.57     3.19P    3.09R    0.38  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.70     8.43    -9.10     0.12     0.72     9.02     2.39P    5.04R    0.81  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.73     7.94    -1.25     0.08     0.38     6.81     1.98P    4.56R    0.62  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      56.89     7.99    -5.48     0.05     0.16     3.45     0.98P    9.65R    1.79  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.58     8.30    -7.99     0.03     0.15     3.02     0.87P   13.51R    3.08  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.09     7.88   -14.91     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.16P   33.06R    9.90  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.72     7.90   -15.14     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.18P   29.95R    9.19  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.43     7.89    -3.14     0.00     0.03     1.34     0.42P   18.02R    4.29  
Norwich          22   22  -11      47.32     7.61   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   48.00R   18.51  
Colchester       22   21   -5      51.94     8.10    -9.37     0.00     0.03     1.03     0.29P   24.94R    7.17  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.18     7.84   -14.04     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   41.66R   14.93  
QPR              22   21  -12      45.05     7.47   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   59.93R   28.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Doncaster vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.37     8.19    43.02    31.04    55.84    97.19    67.92P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.79     8.32    39.02    20.51    42.33    94.47    57.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.65     8.30    44.25    21.17    42.87    94.54    61.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.56     8.35    -1.98     0.15     0.83    23.65     3.32P    0.19R    0.00  
Leeds            20   33  +25      89.02     7.52    58.35    25.65    51.63    96.95    70.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      70.87     8.61     7.85     0.43     1.68    34.89     5.98P    0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           20   31   +0      65.71     8.42    -1.02     0.05     0.34    15.86     2.53P    0.50R    0.01  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.42     8.32    16.54     0.56     2.13    43.08    10.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.48     8.42     7.66     0.09     0.55    21.52     4.41P    0.31R    0.01  
Doncaster        20   28   +5      65.56     8.50     8.15     0.08     0.42    16.25     3.23P    0.59R    0.01  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      67.97     8.47    10.74     0.12     0.66    23.76     5.38P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.83     8.57     9.77     0.11     0.53    20.49     3.93P    0.44R    0.01  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.34     7.85   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.03P   20.67R    1.87  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.62     8.73     3.83     0.02     0.15    10.33     2.16P    1.62R    0.06  
Crewe            20   24   -8      48.99     7.76   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   28.59R    3.37  
Swindon          19   23   +0      58.80     8.65    -1.67     0.01     0.04     4.60     0.75P    4.47R    0.26  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.34     7.98   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   33.01R    5.03  
Northampton      20   21   -7      50.07     8.21   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   24.35R    3.19  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      51.13     8.84   -15.29     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.13P   21.73R    2.98  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.70     8.22   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   39.63R    8.05  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.54     8.20   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P   50.01R   12.88  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.01     7.55   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.46R   32.35  
Bournemouth      20   16  -15      40.85     7.82   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    68.01R   24.32  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.59     8.80    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   29.96R    5.59  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   20   44  +24      99.63     7.65    56.80    53.83    91.19    99.83    94.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      89.00     8.13    40.01     8.39    51.55    96.33    64.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.18     8.20    38.72     5.82    41.68    94.55    57.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.41     8.32    51.04    29.16    79.76    99.19    87.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.26     8.87    20.20     1.56    14.58    77.07    28.16P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      77.27     8.74    21.73     0.51     8.32    67.30    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.28     8.92    24.71     0.64     9.58    67.53    23.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.16     8.63    -0.70     0.01     0.36    15.73     3.27P    0.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      64.78     8.51     3.55     0.01     0.37    14.59     3.24P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.29     9.40     6.17     0.08     1.93    31.23     7.58P    0.05R    0.01  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      63.30     8.75    -1.76     0.01     0.32    11.44     2.41P    0.20R    0.03  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.83     8.66     2.59     0.00     0.26    13.14     2.48P    0.17R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.45     8.32   -18.49     0.00     0.02     2.02     0.31P    1.82R    0.45  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.97     7.93   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P    4.10R    1.00  
Bury                 19   23   +0      58.72     8.93    -2.20     0.00     0.07     5.28     1.17P    0.93R    0.22  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.43     8.23   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    5.31R    1.57  
Brentford            20   22  -13      47.07     7.91   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   13.32R    4.23  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.44     8.75    -9.46     0.00     0.02     1.93     0.41P    2.79R    0.80  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      50.76     8.60   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    6.65R    2.00  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      48.88     8.27   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P   10.10R    3.59  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      45.14     8.16   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   19.61R    7.43  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.63     7.46   -41.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.34R   27.64  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      35.85     7.44   -41.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.88R   44.03  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.45     8.88   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   16.58R    6.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.81     7.62    42.92    39.23    97.72    53.29P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.80     7.87    52.63    42.08    97.46    55.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.85     8.07    43.89    10.51    85.87    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.98     8.11    31.62     5.33    75.98    24.69P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.50     8.08    29.57     1.83    57.01    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.00     8.38    21.15     0.78    38.22     7.41P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.35     7.71    11.27     0.07    11.87     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.50     8.35    15.55     0.12    14.62     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.58     8.28    12.40     0.05     9.60     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.18     7.71    -0.68     0.00     1.54     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.13     8.27     1.54     0.01     3.71     0.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.71     8.14     3.61     0.00     1.97     0.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.21     8.18    -5.04     0.00     1.03     0.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.61     7.57    -6.83     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.27     7.93    -5.94     0.00     0.60     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.02     7.90    -8.86     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.33     7.90     7.72     0.00     0.83     0.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.73     8.33     2.96     0.00     1.17     0.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.42     8.61    -4.08     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.25R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.48     7.48   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.37R    1.56  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.89     7.63   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.40R    2.49  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.57     6.76   -46.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.18R   22.64  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.26     6.65   -63.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.34R   32.49  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.89     6.32   -59.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.09R   40.81