Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 December 2007 at 22:35:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         17   40  +20      81.98     6.58    43.49    34.66    65.18    81.46    90.69    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.78     6.39    45.97    47.88    75.59    88.52    94.74    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      74.79     6.72    33.37     6.55    20.87    42.32    63.12    89.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.24     7.15     5.98     0.18     0.88     2.95     7.20    26.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   30  +17      74.74     6.77    40.77     7.13    22.23    44.29    64.48    89.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.30     6.87    31.96     1.19     5.07    13.45    26.78    64.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.64     6.74    34.18     2.16     8.64    21.50    39.00    76.04     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.77     6.74    23.02     0.23     1.41     4.86    11.72    41.45     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.54     7.03     2.05     0.01     0.07     0.33     1.19     7.95     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.57     6.50   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.83     0.26R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.77     7.41    11.03     0.01     0.07     0.29     0.96     6.44     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.04     6.94    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.49     1.13R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.68     6.63   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.41R    0.08  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.60     6.22   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    24.70R    0.18  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.46     6.83   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.27R    0.13  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.41     6.84   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.21R    0.22  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.71     6.28   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.08R    0.93  
Fulham          17   13  -10      33.77     6.72   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    0.56  
Wigan           17   12  -16      33.11     6.61   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.00R    1.00  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.05     4.41   -70.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   96.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      87.72     7.82    43.82    59.74    78.36    97.16    84.37P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      78.08     8.13    15.52    11.15    29.63    75.37    40.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.68     8.17     7.14     4.34    13.49    55.34    22.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      75.12     8.22    14.80     6.60    19.02    63.74    30.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.38     8.19    12.69     5.62    16.41    59.79    27.11P    0.05R    0.00  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.59     8.28    19.52     6.09    18.07    62.67    29.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      71.79     8.21    14.30     3.10    10.35    48.83    21.12P    0.11R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      69.11     8.13     6.78     1.39     5.28    34.73    13.25P    0.32R    0.02  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.34     8.31     3.66     0.74     3.24    24.65     8.16P    0.81R    0.08  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.81     8.10    -1.83     0.28     1.34    14.63     4.46P    1.87R    0.26  
Southampton      22   31   -5      61.11     8.00   -10.70     0.12     0.61     8.44     2.13P    3.65R    0.53  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.67     8.17     3.45     0.36     1.82    18.20     5.93P    1.44R    0.21  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.66     8.16    -2.14     0.20     0.93    10.34     3.06P    3.27R    0.46  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.60     8.33    -9.24     0.11     0.63     8.45     2.22P    4.93R    0.74  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.69     7.93    -1.29     0.09     0.44     6.75     2.13P    4.41R    0.58  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      56.92     8.03    -5.50     0.03     0.15     3.49     1.00P    9.70R    1.88  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.85     8.39    -7.59     0.02     0.13     3.17     0.86P   13.17R    3.05  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.33     7.97   -14.58     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.15P   32.35R    9.83  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.72     7.86   -15.07     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.17P   29.89R    8.71  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.56     7.89    -2.94     0.00     0.03     1.47     0.49P   17.51R    4.20  
Norwich          22   22  -11      46.94     7.51   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   49.80R   19.31  
Colchester       22   21   -5      51.66     8.11    -9.79     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.30P   25.66R    7.36  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.39     7.88   -13.70     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.10P   40.53R   14.28  
QPR              22   21  -12      44.98     7.58   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   60.39R   28.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Doncaster vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.41     8.15    43.12    31.42    56.17    97.28    68.21P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      88.03     8.28    39.38    21.39    43.29    94.75    58.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.52     8.21    44.07    20.10    41.45    94.61    60.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.37     8.38    -2.33     0.17     0.73    23.64     3.25P    0.20R    0.00  
Leeds            20   33  +25      89.07     7.53    58.41    25.53    51.79    96.91    70.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      70.77     8.66     7.64     0.40     1.64    34.51     6.01P    0.11R    0.01  
Yeovil           20   31   +0      65.77     8.36    -0.94     0.04     0.29    15.86     2.48P    0.47R    0.01  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.53     8.42    16.70     0.52     2.27    43.81    10.52P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.28     8.43     7.38     0.09     0.52    20.85     4.33P    0.33R    0.00  
Doncaster        20   28   +5      65.56     8.42     8.15     0.09     0.42    15.95     3.27P    0.49R    0.01  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      68.01     8.39    10.80     0.12     0.69    23.71     5.31P    0.25R    0.01  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.64     8.57     9.49     0.09     0.52    19.95     3.67P    0.51R    0.01  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.31     7.96   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.05P   20.77R    2.10  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.66     8.90     3.90     0.03     0.17    10.75     2.14P    1.78R    0.07  
Crewe            20   24   -8      49.11     7.80   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   27.92R    3.37  
Swindon          19   23   +0      58.96     8.68    -1.41     0.01     0.05     4.73     0.79P    4.13R    0.21  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.26     8.03   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   33.55R    5.15  
Northampton      20   21   -7      50.33     8.19   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   23.33R    3.04  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      51.04     8.80   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.11P   21.69R    3.05  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.49     8.24   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   40.87R    8.62  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.33     8.16   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   51.47R   13.29  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.24     7.51   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.94R   31.16  
Bournemouth      20   16  -15      41.06     7.84   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.79R   23.87  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.51     8.83    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.10P   30.35R    6.02  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   20   44  +24      99.66     7.64    56.88    54.40    91.32    99.83    94.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      88.96     8.28    39.97     8.61    51.11    95.94    64.61P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.21     8.22    38.72     5.74    41.87    94.65    57.44P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.38     8.25    51.08    28.52    79.78    99.20    87.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.60     8.86    20.70     1.58    15.32    78.06    29.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.89     8.77    21.13     0.51     7.94    65.53    22.26P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.35     8.83    24.82     0.57     9.53    67.56    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.35     8.61    -0.39     0.01     0.43    15.76     3.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      64.98     8.62     3.85     0.00     0.40    15.60     3.43P    0.10R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.31     9.36     6.25     0.05     1.70    31.28     7.13P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      62.98     8.77    -2.31     0.01     0.23    10.99     2.24P    0.18R    0.03  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.81     8.68     2.50     0.00     0.25    12.87     2.46P    0.16R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.46     8.38   -18.41     0.00     0.02     2.12     0.33P    1.83R    0.41  
Barnet               20   25   -6      52.08     8.05   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.11P    3.97R    0.99  
Bury                 19   23   +0      59.03     8.95    -1.72     0.00     0.09     5.76     1.27P    0.88R    0.20  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.59     8.39   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.12P    5.30R    1.57  
Brentford            20   22  -13      46.97     7.90   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   13.41R    4.49  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.53     8.79    -9.31     0.00     0.01     1.95     0.41P    2.74R    0.76  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      50.59     8.64   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.11P    6.89R    2.15  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      48.96     8.19   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P    9.80R    3.39  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      45.01     8.16   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P   19.80R    7.61  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.60     7.51   -41.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.10R   27.50  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      35.86     7.47   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.34R   43.46  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.16     8.92   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   17.41R    7.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.87     7.75    43.03    40.02    97.49    54.27P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.62     7.86    52.20    40.87    97.29    54.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.93     8.12    44.12    11.00    86.08    33.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      87.00     8.08    31.60     5.37    76.11    24.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.50     8.03    29.61     1.75    56.96    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.06     8.31    21.25     0.76    38.18     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.46     7.67    11.38     0.04    12.09     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.57     8.29    15.68     0.12    14.28     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.63     8.28    12.46     0.04     9.73     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.48     7.85    -0.23     0.00     1.80     0.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.14     8.28     1.48     0.01     3.81     0.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.36     8.17     3.18     0.00     1.73     0.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.20     8.12    -5.01     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.32     7.55    -7.21     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.13R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.52     7.97    -5.56     0.00     0.69     0.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.94     7.90    -9.12     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.15     7.95     7.42     0.00     0.82     0.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.69     8.40     2.88     0.00     1.28     0.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.48     8.66    -3.94     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.25R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.50     7.51   -38.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.43R    1.38  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.99     7.55   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.37R    2.25  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.60     6.68   -46.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.51R   22.18  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.08     6.65   -63.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.62R   33.62  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.89     6.32   -59.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.40R   40.56