Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 December 2007 at 22:39:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         17   40  +20      82.24     6.56    44.08    35.79    66.51    82.53    91.36    98.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.87     6.34    46.05    47.45    75.97    88.82    95.11    99.35     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      74.88     6.77    33.45     6.67    21.21    43.14    63.43    89.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.39     7.13     6.22     0.15     0.87     2.94     7.36    27.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   30  +17      74.47     6.79    40.38     6.49    20.66    42.42    63.08    88.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.15     6.95    31.71     1.14     4.89    13.31    26.37    63.01     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.69     6.68    34.23     2.04     8.42    21.46    39.30    76.39     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.77     6.75    23.09     0.26     1.37     4.79    11.86    41.64     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.38     7.01     1.73     0.01     0.05     0.30     1.08     7.60     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.40     6.52   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.83     0.28R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.76     7.35    11.01     0.01     0.05     0.28     0.96     6.30     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.17     6.96     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.53     1.01R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.60     6.58   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.47R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.54     6.28   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    24.93R    0.20  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.35     6.77   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.38R    0.14  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.57     6.80   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.31R    0.20  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.65     6.43   -36.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.32R    1.21  
Fulham          17   13  -10      33.96     6.75   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.05R    0.57  
Wigan           17   12  -16      32.86     6.58   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.47R    1.29  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.25     4.51   -70.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68R   96.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      88.02     7.83    44.36    61.57    79.54    97.41    85.29P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      77.83     8.14    15.11    10.57    28.65    74.57    39.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.75     8.10     7.25     4.12    13.31    56.07    23.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      74.99     8.25    14.54     6.28    18.75    63.25    30.12P    0.03R    0.01  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.19     8.24    12.38     5.25    16.18    59.39    26.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.66     8.33    19.65     6.07    18.49    63.11    30.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      71.66     8.25    14.12     2.95    10.35    48.57    20.95P    0.11R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      69.04     8.02     6.68     1.30     5.12    34.14    12.91P    0.23R    0.01  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.11     8.26     3.35     0.68     3.03    23.55     7.79P    0.79R    0.07  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.93     8.30    -1.63     0.32     1.63    15.72     5.02P    2.00R    0.25  
Southampton      22   31   -5      61.21     8.11   -10.48     0.11     0.68     9.02     2.21P    3.85R    0.50  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.84     8.06     3.69     0.35     1.81    18.31     5.97P    1.31R    0.20  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.74     8.11    -2.09     0.18     0.91    10.46     3.23P    3.09R    0.39  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.80     8.38    -8.90     0.12     0.68     8.95     2.33P    4.72R    0.74  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.64     7.89    -1.40     0.07     0.44     6.55     2.01P    4.52R    0.62  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      56.79     8.05    -5.72     0.03     0.16     3.49     1.00P   10.34R    2.02  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.74     8.44    -7.72     0.03     0.17     3.32     0.92P   13.70R    3.05  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.22     7.91   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.16P   32.64R    9.73  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.80     7.94   -15.03     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.18P   29.90R    8.89  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.28     7.91    -3.27     0.00     0.03     1.34     0.39P   18.56R    4.47  
Norwich          22   22  -11      47.12     7.58   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   49.03R   19.18  
Colchester       22   21   -5      51.76     8.08    -9.63     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.23P   25.36R    7.42  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.69     7.89   -13.32     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.09P   39.03R   13.68  
QPR              22   21  -12      44.94     7.49   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   60.66R   28.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Doncaster vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.20     8.24    42.71    30.52    54.95    97.05    67.38P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.86     8.30    39.12    21.00    42.91    94.67    58.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.59     8.31    44.18    20.93    42.68    94.34    61.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.38     8.33    -2.33     0.17     0.78    23.53     3.36P    0.21R    0.00  
Leeds            20   33  +25      89.06     7.53    58.55    26.10    52.28    97.03    70.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      70.71     8.56     7.53     0.38     1.61    34.18     5.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Yeovil           20   31   +0      65.65     8.33    -1.10     0.06     0.31    15.47     2.41P    0.41R    0.01  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.40     8.29    16.51     0.45     2.14    43.00    10.18P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.66     8.34     7.91     0.09     0.53    21.79     4.64P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster        20   28   +5      65.58     8.43     8.12     0.06     0.37    16.11     3.19P    0.51R    0.01  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      67.99     8.48    10.80     0.13     0.64    24.13     5.51P    0.30R    0.00  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.74     8.55     9.66     0.08     0.55    20.45     3.71P    0.45R    0.01  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.52     7.95   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.03P   19.91R    1.94  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.71     8.90     3.95     0.03     0.18    10.65     2.18P    1.81R    0.05  
Crewe            20   24   -8      49.11     7.82   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   28.18R    3.63  
Swindon          19   23   +0      58.82     8.80    -1.61     0.01     0.07     4.95     0.83P    4.56R    0.29  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.50     8.03   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.01P   32.57R    4.95  
Northampton      20   21   -7      50.31     8.25   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P   23.66R    3.09  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      50.81     8.78   -15.82     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.12P   22.77R    3.28  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.36     8.22   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   41.44R    8.61  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.32     8.12   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   51.34R   13.18  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.09     7.49   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.65R   31.53  
Bournemouth      20   16  -15      41.10     7.90   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.79R   23.96  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.67     8.69    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P   29.09R    5.45  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   20   44  +24      99.49     7.61    56.57    54.09    90.86    99.85    93.74P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      88.77     8.29    39.60     8.58    50.63    95.86    64.13P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.17     8.19    38.72     5.91    41.93    94.56    57.55P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.19     8.29    50.62    28.41    79.30    99.07    87.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.74     8.91    20.89     1.79    16.39    78.58    30.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.94     8.82    21.20     0.49     8.29    65.69    22.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.21     8.97    24.60     0.61     9.30    66.83    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.37     8.57    -0.32     0.01     0.41    16.32     3.28P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      65.25     8.57     4.29     0.01     0.43    16.37     3.68P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.34     9.35     6.25     0.08     1.87    31.10     7.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      63.02     8.76    -2.19     0.01     0.23    11.01     2.27P    0.20R    0.03  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.57     8.69     2.10     0.01     0.27    12.49     2.37P    0.22R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.59     8.45   -18.24     0.00     0.01     2.16     0.33P    1.87R    0.43  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.92     7.94   -20.79     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.09P    4.02R    1.00  
Bury                 19   23   +0      58.63     8.87    -2.26     0.00     0.06     5.10     1.12P    0.90R    0.20  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.73     8.39   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.13P    5.23R    1.51  
Brentford            20   22  -13      46.94     7.86   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   13.70R    4.53  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.41     8.76    -9.49     0.00     0.02     1.99     0.37P    2.59R    0.67  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      50.92     8.65   -18.22     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.14P    6.67R    1.96  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      49.12     8.21   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    9.33R    3.24  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      45.14     8.13   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   19.47R    7.31  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.61     7.55   -41.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   51.99R   27.29  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      35.66     7.41   -42.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.89R   44.74  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.40     8.95   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   16.77R    7.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.86     7.72    43.01    39.32    97.64    53.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.75     7.87    52.56    41.70    97.36    55.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      90.05     8.03    44.23    10.80    86.55    33.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      87.08     8.10    31.70     5.38    76.49    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.52     8.02    29.59     1.79    56.64    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.20     8.35    21.55     0.78    38.59     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.39     7.74    11.28     0.03    12.01     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.45     8.40    15.44     0.15    14.29     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.44     8.34    12.23     0.03     9.04     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.27     7.79    -0.59     0.00     1.71     0.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.19     8.34     1.62     0.01     3.71     0.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.42     8.14     3.22     0.00     1.73     0.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.50     8.10    -4.60     0.00     0.87     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.22     7.48    -7.35     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.43     7.92    -5.74     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.80     7.92    -9.31     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.12R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.18     7.97     7.44     0.00     0.77     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.54     8.40     2.59     0.00     1.24     0.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.50     8.64    -3.91     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.29R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.34     7.47   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.07R    1.56  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.24     7.66   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.05R    2.22  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.59     6.71   -46.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R   22.68  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.31     6.70   -63.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.06R   32.41  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.83     6.26   -59.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.80R   41.14