Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 December 2007 at 22:39:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         17   40  +20      82.04     6.52    43.65    34.53    65.15    81.60    90.96    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.70     6.50    45.79    47.49    74.45    87.72    94.34    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      74.73     6.88    33.24     6.81    21.11    41.83    62.03    88.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.40     7.16     6.24     0.16     0.89     3.07     7.13    27.22     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   30  +17      74.85     6.78    40.86     7.23    22.75    44.97    64.96    89.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.26     6.94    31.99     1.27     5.30    13.59    26.87    63.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.86     6.69    34.48     2.23     8.85    21.94    40.12    77.44     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.61     6.77    22.70     0.26     1.40     4.60    11.41    40.39     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.49     6.95     1.99     0.00     0.04     0.31     1.07     7.55     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.38     6.51   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.79     0.28R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.88     7.33    11.17     0.00     0.05     0.34     1.01     6.39     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.07     7.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.49     1.20R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.79     6.69   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.24R    0.11  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.42     6.17   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.04R    0.21  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.07     6.80   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.70R    0.17  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.39     6.83   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.09R    0.23  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.86     6.35   -35.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.74R    1.04  
Fulham          17   13  -10      33.93     6.71   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.69R    0.51  
Wigan           17   12  -16      32.86     6.59   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.29R    1.30  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.35     4.52   -70.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   96.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      87.85     7.75    44.06    60.70    79.29    97.31    85.20P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      77.87     8.16    15.17    10.83    28.93    74.57    39.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.58     8.12     7.04     4.17    13.00    55.44    22.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      75.02     8.26    14.62     6.29    18.84    63.60    29.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.33     8.24    12.63     5.45    16.54    59.82    27.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.52     8.31    19.45     5.93    17.84    62.47    29.39P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      72.00     8.31    14.63     3.37    11.21    50.18    22.34P    0.08R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      69.04     8.01     6.69     1.28     4.96    34.24    12.80P    0.23R    0.01  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.26     8.23     3.58     0.79     3.18    23.94     8.07P    0.78R    0.07  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.81     8.17    -1.85     0.30     1.54    15.05     4.57P    1.84R    0.23  
Southampton      22   31   -5      60.97     8.08   -10.96     0.16     0.67     8.56     2.14P    4.04R    0.58  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.77     8.06     3.58     0.31     1.68    18.19     5.83P    1.37R    0.13  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.66     8.11    -2.17     0.19     0.80    10.49     3.10P    3.25R    0.50  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.71     8.39    -9.04     0.13     0.68     8.68     2.29P    5.05R    0.80  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.60     7.98    -1.45     0.06     0.43     6.88     2.08P    4.88R    0.66  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      56.71     8.03    -5.78     0.03     0.14     3.33     0.95P   10.28R    2.02  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.54     8.35    -8.05     0.02     0.17     2.98     0.90P   14.20R    3.11  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.24     7.91   -14.74     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.14P   32.55R   10.05  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.86     7.90   -14.93     0.00     0.02     0.68     0.17P   29.99R    8.77  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.53     7.93    -3.04     0.00     0.03     1.37     0.42P   17.91R    4.23  
Norwich          22   22  -11      47.28     7.67   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   48.16R   18.93  
Colchester       22   21   -5      52.03     8.12    -9.18     0.00     0.03     1.04     0.29P   24.61R    7.03  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.45     7.89   -13.69     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.09P   40.48R   14.34  
QPR              22   21  -12      45.06     7.54   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   60.11R   28.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Doncaster vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.60     8.20    43.35    31.51    56.22    97.25    68.74P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.89     8.26    39.21    20.54    42.13    94.70    57.63P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.81     8.25    44.53    20.96    43.29    94.78    61.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.14     8.45    -2.68     0.19     0.84    22.62     3.22P    0.23R    0.00  
Leeds            20   33  +25      89.07     7.52    58.43    25.36    51.23    96.99    70.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      70.73     8.61     7.61     0.42     1.61    34.18     5.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Yeovil           20   31   +0      65.91     8.50    -0.73     0.09     0.40    16.22     2.67P    0.45R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.42     8.28    16.53     0.46     2.01    42.93    10.07P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.67     8.36     7.87     0.09     0.48    21.95     4.52P    0.29R    0.01  
Doncaster        20   28   +5      65.35     8.52     7.76     0.08     0.37    15.98     2.98P    0.64R    0.02  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      68.33     8.48    11.30     0.13     0.68    25.29     6.00P    0.27R    0.01  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.68     8.56     9.51     0.11     0.49    19.78     3.54P    0.54R    0.02  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.30     7.82   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.03P   20.52R    1.93  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.42     8.84     3.54     0.04     0.17    10.01     1.94P    1.83R    0.09  
Crewe            20   24   -8      48.88     7.78   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   29.03R    3.85  
Swindon          19   23   +0      58.83     8.82    -1.58     0.01     0.07     4.94     0.86P    4.57R    0.30  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.28     7.94   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P   33.26R    5.07  
Northampton      20   21   -7      50.17     8.26   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   24.16R    3.34  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      51.00     8.78   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.11P   21.95R    3.12  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.46     8.17   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   40.26R    8.65  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.44     8.02   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   50.68R   12.94  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.37     7.54   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.12R   30.69  
Bournemouth      20   16  -15      41.14     7.89   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.57R   23.94  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.40     8.76    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P   30.47R    6.03  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   20   44  +24      99.65     7.68    56.95    55.22    91.24    99.86    94.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      88.81     8.25    39.71     8.50    51.13    95.93    64.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.19     8.18    38.70     6.03    42.50    94.79    58.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.94     8.36    50.29    27.42    78.45    99.06    86.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.54     8.84    20.61     1.62    15.50    78.26    29.38P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.60     8.78    20.72     0.46     7.76    64.42    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.23     8.92    24.56     0.66    10.00    66.91    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.17     8.63    -0.70     0.01     0.38    16.23     3.32P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      65.18     8.50     4.18     0.01     0.41    16.11     3.55P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.42     9.46     6.35     0.07     1.96    31.82     7.71P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      63.22     8.77    -1.91     0.00     0.29    11.49     2.28P    0.21R    0.03  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.54     8.68     2.00     0.00     0.23    12.49     2.33P    0.18R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.57     8.34   -18.26     0.00     0.02     2.02     0.28P    1.83R    0.43  
Barnet               20   25   -6      52.05     7.95   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    3.96R    0.93  
Bury                 19   23   +0      58.90     8.98    -1.90     0.00     0.11     5.65     1.23P    0.92R    0.23  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.48     8.34   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.12P    5.31R    1.45  
Brentford            20   22  -13      47.11     7.97   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   13.62R    4.52  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.52     8.73    -9.33     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.32P    2.79R    0.77  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.04     8.59   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P    6.16R    1.77  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      48.95     8.12   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    9.59R    3.35  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      45.05     8.15   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   19.85R    7.75  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.64     7.55   -41.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.31R   27.36  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      35.72     7.47   -42.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.90R   44.54  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.69     9.09   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.08P   16.19R    6.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.79     7.69    42.91    39.28    97.59    53.48P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.85     7.88    52.73    42.38    97.32    55.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.98     8.01    44.13    10.67    86.39    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.73     8.10    31.23     4.91    75.01    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.44     8.07    29.53     1.70    56.88    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.05     8.34    21.22     0.81    38.38     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.34     7.73    11.25     0.04    12.26     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.39     8.31    15.35     0.13    14.09     3.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.68     8.23    12.55     0.05     9.56     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.56     7.83    -0.18     0.00     1.80     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.37     8.40     1.90     0.01     4.16     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.60     8.17     3.45     0.00     1.88     0.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.39     8.22    -4.67     0.00     1.04     0.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.21     7.55    -7.35     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.50     7.87    -5.59     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.95     7.93    -9.01     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.25     7.96     7.63     0.00     0.86     0.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.56     8.47     2.66     0.00     1.40     0.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.39     8.59    -4.12     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.29R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.43     7.48   -38.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.52R    1.43  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.98     7.58   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.97R    2.26  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.80     6.79   -46.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   21.32  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.11     6.68   -63.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.28R   32.99  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.59     6.28   -59.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.10R   42.00