Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 December 2007 at 22:35:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         17   40  +20      81.91     6.57    43.40    34.16    64.49    81.04    90.45    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   39  +22      83.67     6.41    45.88    47.37    74.77    87.84    94.46    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   34  +14      75.04     6.82    33.75     7.36    22.20    43.55    63.87    89.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.21     7.15     5.99     0.16     0.76     2.77     6.79    26.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   30  +17      74.75     6.81    40.73     7.18    22.33    44.15    64.31    89.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.42     6.92    32.18     1.33     5.35    13.74    27.28    64.49     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.78     6.67    34.36     2.17     8.62    21.64    39.28    76.66     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.68     6.76    22.87     0.25     1.36     4.67    11.45    40.85     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.58     6.96     2.14     0.01     0.06     0.27     1.00     7.62     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.42     6.50   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.78     0.28R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.74     7.35    10.97     0.02     0.06     0.30     0.99     6.13     0.07R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.11     6.93     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.57     1.03R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.62     6.60   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.54R    0.08  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.50     6.23   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.05R    0.21  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.24     6.79   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.94R    0.13  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.33     6.82   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.55R    0.21  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.91     6.31   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.97R    0.91  
Fulham          17   13  -10      33.82     6.77   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.01R    0.56  
Wigan           17   12  -16      33.14     6.56   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.78R    0.97  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.10     4.40   -70.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   96.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      87.74     7.84    43.79    60.07    78.56    97.12    84.24P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      77.79     8.20    15.06    10.91    28.86    74.17    39.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.67     8.17     7.21     4.43    13.67    55.58    23.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      75.15     8.23    14.79     6.63    19.42    63.92    30.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.39     8.26    12.70     5.79    16.95    60.03    27.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.39     8.33    19.18     5.95    17.70    61.64    29.18P    0.06R    0.01  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      71.97     8.32    14.59     3.14    10.72    50.07    22.18P    0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      68.86     7.91     6.44     1.16     4.70    33.36    12.24P    0.27R    0.01  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.23     8.25     3.55     0.61     2.93    24.10     7.86P    0.90R    0.10  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.99     8.15    -1.56     0.31     1.50    15.67     4.87P    1.78R    0.24  
Southampton      22   31   -5      60.80     8.01   -11.19     0.14     0.65     8.09     2.02P    4.16R    0.61  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.84     8.12     3.74     0.37     1.92    18.76     6.10P    1.43R    0.19  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.74     8.13    -2.07     0.24     0.93    10.64     3.27P    3.06R    0.38  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.41     8.38    -9.55     0.09     0.57     8.25     2.00P    5.45R    0.96  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.76     8.04    -1.21     0.07     0.45     7.16     2.25P    4.56R    0.67  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      57.02     8.11    -5.35     0.05     0.20     3.74     1.11P    9.86R    1.84  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.76     8.43    -7.73     0.02     0.17     3.36     0.95P   13.86R    3.11  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.35     7.94   -14.49     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.17P   31.97R    9.66  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.89     7.90   -14.86     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.18P   29.78R    8.60  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.52     7.83    -2.99     0.00     0.03     1.30     0.42P   17.65R    4.23  
Norwich          22   22  -11      47.16     7.57   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   49.16R   19.18  
Colchester       22   21   -5      51.77     8.15    -9.62     0.00     0.03     1.05     0.27P   25.57R    7.57  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.40     7.91   -13.77     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.09P   40.92R   14.58  
QPR              22   21  -12      45.19     7.57   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   59.33R   28.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2007, Doncaster vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.34     8.30    43.01    30.82    55.42    96.92    67.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.97     8.30    39.30    21.34    42.93    94.69    58.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.58     8.28    44.13    20.59    42.34    94.48    60.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.11     8.33    -2.71     0.14     0.73    22.08     3.09P    0.19R    0.00  
Leeds            20   33  +25      89.11     7.58    58.48    25.75    52.08    96.88    71.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      70.90     8.60     7.98     0.35     1.61    34.91     5.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Yeovil           20   31   +0      65.91     8.39    -0.75     0.07     0.36    16.15     2.72P    0.40R    0.01  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.61     8.37    16.86     0.51     2.33    43.98    10.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.59     8.46     7.79     0.11     0.52    21.90     4.64P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster        20   28   +5      65.59     8.45     8.13     0.08     0.41    16.17     3.25P    0.55R    0.01  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      68.10     8.37    10.96     0.11     0.56    23.95     5.26P    0.25R    0.00  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.78     8.63     9.66     0.09     0.48    20.63     3.74P    0.49R    0.02  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.43     7.93   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.05P   20.17R    1.98  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.59     8.79     3.80     0.03     0.17    10.17     1.95P    1.76R    0.08  
Crewe            20   24   -8      48.86     7.70   -25.35     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   28.49R    3.68  
Swindon          19   23   +0      58.69     8.68    -1.84     0.01     0.05     4.40     0.73P    4.47R    0.27  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.16     7.96   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   33.59R    5.28  
Northampton      20   21   -7      50.17     8.26   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P   24.09R    3.26  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      51.17     8.75   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.12P   21.09R    2.91  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.52     8.29   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   40.60R    8.54  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.44     8.10   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   50.84R   12.79  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.15     7.46   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.41R   31.14  
Bournemouth      20   16  -15      40.98     7.83   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.33R   24.27  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.55     8.81    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   29.92R    5.75  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   20   44  +24      99.70     7.54    56.85    54.80    91.65    99.86    94.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      88.93     8.24    39.98     8.48    51.11    96.11    64.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.23     8.16    38.69     5.54    42.13    94.65    57.81P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.23     8.33    50.74    28.31    79.03    99.13    87.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.51     8.92    20.58     1.66    15.63    77.84    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.85     8.73    21.08     0.51     7.82    65.71    21.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.11     8.94    24.40     0.59     9.37    66.75    23.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.42     8.62    -0.27     0.01     0.47    16.76     3.47P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      65.20     8.60     4.17     0.01     0.43    16.13     3.50P    0.06R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.34     9.36     6.27     0.08     1.80    31.17     7.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      62.95     8.76    -2.28     0.01     0.23    10.65     2.23P    0.22R    0.03  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.63     8.72     2.22     0.00     0.25    12.67     2.47P    0.20R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.41     8.36   -18.44     0.00     0.01     2.01     0.26P    1.89R    0.48  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.95     8.03   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    4.15R    1.08  
Bury                 19   23   +0      58.90     8.81    -1.94     0.00     0.06     5.33     1.13P    0.90R    0.19  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.85     8.34   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.13P    5.00R    1.31  
Brentford            20   22  -13      46.94     8.00   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   13.80R    4.70  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.39     8.78    -9.47     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.42P    2.66R    0.66  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      50.77     8.73   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.16P    6.90R    2.18  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      49.14     8.26   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P    9.50R    3.32  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      45.19     8.18   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   19.30R    7.20  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.41     7.44   -41.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.99R   28.26  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      35.84     7.47   -41.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.86R   43.72  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.33     8.90   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   16.51R    6.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.75     7.69    42.76    38.95    97.73    53.26P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.98     7.91    52.96    43.09    97.48    56.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.81     7.99    43.85    10.09    86.28    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.87     8.06    31.42     5.10    75.87    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.52     8.07    29.64     1.79    56.89    15.41P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      78.94     8.32    21.06     0.77    37.79     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.32     7.67    11.23     0.03    11.84     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.32     8.34    15.25     0.12    14.01     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.80     8.28    12.74     0.02     9.93     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.57     7.86    -0.13     0.00     1.94     0.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.14     8.33     1.54     0.02     3.77     0.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.56     8.11     3.40     0.00     1.84     0.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.23     8.12    -4.95     0.00     0.90     0.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.47     7.65    -7.02     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.10R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.24     7.86    -6.10     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.82     7.89    -9.23     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.11R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.44     8.04     7.95     0.00     1.07     0.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.88     8.40     3.16     0.00     1.30     0.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.71     8.58    -3.58     0.00     0.44     0.09P    0.23R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.32     7.43   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.79R    1.50  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.03     7.62   -37.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    2.12  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.65     6.68   -46.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.74R   21.67  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      26.94     6.67   -63.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.48R   34.32  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.75     6.22   -59.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.94R   40.39