Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 December 2007 at 22:35:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Birmingham vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      80.00     6.96    42.04    28.90    52.81    70.90    83.88    96.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      81.00     6.85    43.49    34.30    59.43    76.58    87.71    97.64     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      76.87     7.18    35.62    15.54    34.05    53.66    71.19    92.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        17   33   +5      62.22     7.20     5.97     0.22     0.94     2.80     6.66    25.87     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.90     7.11    43.12    16.54    36.14    56.33    73.52    92.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton         17   30  +15      68.36     7.02    32.08     1.58     5.93    13.74    26.63    64.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   30  +13      70.61     6.76    34.01     2.59     8.94    20.68    37.28    75.85     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   28   +8      64.67     6.81    22.75     0.32     1.62     4.74    11.30    40.61     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1      56.49     6.93     1.93     0.01     0.06     0.30     0.95     7.50     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       17   25   -2      49.56     6.52   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.85     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham        16   22   +6      54.61     7.29    10.75     0.00     0.07     0.25     0.79     5.61     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham       17   18   +0      47.13     6.94     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.52     1.02R    0.00  
Reading         17   18  -12      38.85     6.68   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    13.11R    0.09  
Middlesbrough   17   17  -12      35.50     6.21   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.97R    0.19  
Birmingham      17   15   -9      37.21     6.81   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.12R    0.19  
Bolton          17   14   -9      36.30     6.83   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.94R    0.25  
Sunderland      17   14  -16      31.73     6.33   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.02R    1.03  
Fulham          17   13  -10      34.17     6.80   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.15R    0.49  
Wigan           17   12  -16      33.01     6.55   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.54R    1.03  
Derby           17    6  -33      14.13     4.45   -70.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   96.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Blackpool vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        22   41  +21      87.84     7.84    44.03    60.93    78.83    97.21    84.68P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   40   +8      77.84     8.12    15.15    10.75    28.73    74.54    39.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     22   38   +3      73.51     8.13     6.91     3.96    12.95    54.73    22.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37   +7      75.07     8.19    14.63     6.19    18.96    63.53    30.12P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton         22   37   +6      74.34     8.28    12.57     5.65    16.84    59.98    27.31P    0.06R    0.01  
Ipswich          22   35   +9      74.56     8.22    19.52     5.91    17.97    62.73    29.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   34   +7      71.96     8.26    14.59     3.22    11.07    49.91    22.17P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   34   +3      69.12     8.13     6.79     1.39     5.34    34.86    13.52P    0.26R    0.02  
Burnley          22   32   +2      66.19     8.27     3.39     0.77     3.13    23.75     8.05P    0.94R    0.09  
Barnsley         22   31   -2      63.78     8.13    -1.88     0.29     1.43    14.94     4.38P    1.91R    0.26  
Southampton      22   31   -5      61.05     8.19   -10.84     0.18     0.66     9.11     2.28P    4.23R    0.65  
Sheff_Utd        22   30   +1      64.60     8.11     3.30     0.34     1.66    17.61     5.65P    1.51R    0.18  
Hull             22   30   +0      61.87     8.18    -1.85     0.21     0.94    11.05     3.34P    3.09R    0.40  
Coventry         21   29   -5      60.53     8.36    -9.30     0.09     0.61     8.25     2.11P    4.99R    0.76  
Crystal_Palace   22   28   +0      59.63     8.01    -1.37     0.07     0.46     6.89     2.10P    4.83R    0.65  
Cardiff          22   26   -2      56.85     8.05    -5.61     0.03     0.16     3.49     1.00P   10.10R    1.93  
Sheff_Wed        21   24   -4      55.87     8.39    -7.50     0.02     0.16     3.21     0.96P   13.52R    3.04  
Blackpool        22   23   -6      50.27     7.89   -14.65     0.00     0.03     0.64     0.19P   32.30R    9.93  
Scunthorpe       22   23   -7      50.80     7.89   -14.96     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.18P   29.91R    8.79  
Leicester        22   22   -2      53.51     7.84    -2.99     0.00     0.02     1.28     0.41P   17.53R    4.35  
Norwich          22   22  -11      47.02     7.55   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   49.81R   19.34  
Colchester       22   21   -5      51.92     8.18    -9.37     0.00     0.02     1.04     0.27P   25.11R    7.35  
Preston          22   21   -6      48.54     7.84   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.09P   39.77R   13.84  
QPR              22   21  -12      45.06     7.53   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   59.89R   28.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Bournemouth vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          19   37  +17      90.20     8.29    42.77    31.19    55.72    96.73    67.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         19   36  +16      87.76     8.29    38.89    21.02    42.82    94.36    58.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     19   34  +19      87.31     8.29    43.76    20.28    42.03    93.88    60.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    20   34   +0      68.39     8.34    -2.22     0.14     0.80    22.96     3.36P    0.14R    0.00  
Leeds            20   33  +25      88.86     7.53    58.08    25.72    51.32    96.80    70.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         20   32   +3      70.63     8.58     7.51     0.44     1.66    33.34     5.91P    0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         20   30   +6      72.58     8.31    16.81     0.53     2.23    43.14    10.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          20   29   +3      67.73     8.26     7.97     0.11     0.57    21.53     4.55P    0.19R    0.00  
Doncaster        19   28   +6      68.65     8.75    11.79     0.26     1.17    26.60     5.93P    0.26R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   28   +4      68.25     8.49    11.18     0.16     0.76    24.68     5.76P    0.26R    0.00  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.51     8.59    -4.20     0.02     0.16     9.05     1.39P    1.64R    0.05  
Hartlepool       20   27   +3      66.73     8.54     9.63     0.10     0.53    20.01     3.71P    0.52R    0.02  
Huddersfield     20   26  -14      51.37     7.96   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.03P   20.57R    2.14  
Oldham           19   24   +1      62.59     8.85     3.78     0.02     0.14    10.01     1.94P    1.91R    0.08  
Crewe            20   24   -8      49.06     7.87   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P   28.41R    3.69  
Swindon          19   23   +0      58.97     8.72    -1.43     0.01     0.07     4.56     0.85P    4.39R    0.30  
Gillingham       20   22  -15      48.24     7.93   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   33.31R    5.19  
Northampton      20   21   -7      50.30     8.22   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   23.57R    3.14  
Bristol_Rovers   18   19   -6      50.96     8.70   -15.57     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.11P   21.99R    3.01  
Millwall         19   19  -10      46.53     8.15   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   40.26R    8.33  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.40     8.09   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   51.12R   13.09  
Port_Vale        20   16  -13      39.20     7.46   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.08R   31.18  
Bournemouth      20   16  -15      41.19     7.98   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.13R   23.76  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.44     8.78    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P   30.08R    6.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   20   44  +24      99.64     7.60    56.80    54.18    91.12    99.87    94.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             20   39  +17      88.78     8.26    39.61     8.08    49.87    96.00    63.76P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   37  +15      87.39     8.20    39.07     5.92    42.89    94.70    58.16P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.43     8.26    51.01    29.14    80.09    99.22    87.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.41     8.88    20.41     1.44    15.32    77.21    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      77.10     8.79    21.48     0.54     8.33    66.62    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         19   31  +10      77.05     8.96    24.32     0.61     9.23    66.10    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.22     8.62    -0.55     0.01     0.40    16.05     3.35P    0.07R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           20   28   +2      65.39     8.59     4.46     0.01     0.47    16.63     3.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.40     9.29     6.32     0.05     1.68    31.36     7.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      62.97     8.83    -2.22     0.01     0.25    11.06     2.25P    0.23R    0.03  
Stockport            20   26   +0      63.73     8.63     2.36     0.00     0.24    12.63     2.45P    0.16R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -8      55.53     8.37   -18.29     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.34P    1.73R    0.37  
Barnet               20   25   -6      51.63     7.90   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.05P    4.34R    1.16  
Bury                 19   23   +0      59.06     8.96    -1.72     0.00     0.07     5.71     1.22P    0.85R    0.19  
Macclesfield         20   22   -8      51.63     8.25   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.11P    5.01R    1.39  
Brentford            20   22  -13      47.10     7.96   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   13.41R    4.65  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.21     8.78    -9.79     0.00     0.02     1.98     0.40P    2.88R    0.80  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      50.74     8.69   -18.57     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.13P    6.85R    2.00  
Grimsby              20   20  -11      49.00     8.26   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    9.70R    3.40  
Lincoln_City         20   18  -11      44.98     8.15   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   19.99R    7.66  
Dag_&_Red            20   17  -18      38.70     7.52   -41.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.76R   27.02  
Wrexham              19   15  -16      35.86     7.47   -41.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.96R   44.17  
Mansfield            18   13   -5      46.35     8.89   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   16.93R    7.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.82     7.75    42.98    39.69    97.42    53.79P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.87     7.86    52.73    42.33    97.40    55.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.84     8.02    43.88    10.04    85.91    33.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.79     8.09    31.28     5.18    75.56    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.49     8.02    29.59     1.71    57.08    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.05     8.30    21.21     0.76    38.43     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.34     7.69    11.23     0.04    11.76     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.68     8.38    15.85     0.17    15.03     3.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.68     8.26    12.55     0.04     9.65     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.40     7.84    -0.43     0.00     1.76     0.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.18     8.38     1.60     0.01     3.87     0.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.33     8.22     3.14     0.00     1.76     0.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.37     8.17    -4.75     0.00     0.91     0.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.45     7.51    -7.10     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.11R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.33     7.93    -5.87     0.00     0.64     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.04     7.99    -8.88     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.09     8.01     7.34     0.00     0.84     0.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.65     8.39     2.79     0.00     1.24     0.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.36     8.64    -4.13     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.32R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.37     7.47   -39.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.23R    1.50  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.98     7.59   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.17R    2.20  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.93     6.77   -45.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.88R   21.10  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.09     6.61   -63.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.55R   34.51  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.90     6.29   -59.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.46R   40.68