Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 December 2007 at 22:37:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      80.03     6.87    42.53    28.19    50.68    68.21    81.65    96.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      80.81     6.85    43.26    32.29    55.44    72.48    84.77    97.06     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      76.70     6.99    35.92    13.71    30.75    49.31    67.17    91.24     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.64     6.98    43.02    14.51    32.38    50.73    68.56    91.37     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      75.19     6.85    42.65     9.82    24.70    42.56    61.26    88.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   30   +3      60.18     7.52     3.58     0.08     0.49     1.54     3.65    16.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.02     7.28    27.35     0.61     2.26     5.88    12.29    41.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.67     6.97    26.32     0.63     2.67     7.32    15.65    49.81     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       16   26   +1      59.33     7.26     6.52     0.05     0.30     0.96     2.44    13.42     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        15   22   +8      58.34     7.64    16.40     0.10     0.33     1.01     2.51    13.29     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      46.94     6.84   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.41     0.80R    0.00  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.60     6.93   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.73R    0.22  
Tottenham       16   15   -1      42.72     7.05    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     3.50R    0.04  
Bolton          16   14   -7      37.52     7.11   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    14.26R    0.31  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      39.23     7.31   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    10.44R    0.16  
Middlesbrough   16   14  -13      33.73     6.47   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.01R    1.29  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.48     7.24   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.82R    0.51  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      30.67     6.51   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.14R    2.74  
Wigan           16    9  -18      28.36     6.64   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.60R    6.75  
Derby           16    6  -32      16.07     4.99   -68.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.70R   87.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2007, Blackpool vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          21   40   +9      80.56     8.47    18.39    19.33    40.82    82.40    50.27P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.15     8.21    41.50    50.08    70.72    94.88    78.52P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      75.96     8.61    14.94     9.59    22.35    66.11    33.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      72.02     8.47     6.18     3.45    10.22    47.33    18.55P    0.12R    0.01  
Stoke            21   34   +6      73.10     8.55    13.13     4.50    13.68    53.95    24.22P    0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.19     8.31     7.68     2.15     6.87    39.66    15.63P    0.22R    0.02  
Ipswich          21   32   +8      73.37     8.55    19.22     5.09    14.69    56.67    25.84P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          21   32   +3      69.81     8.62     8.07     2.19     7.13    38.99    14.64P    0.37R    0.03  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.60     8.61    11.00     1.78     6.05    34.57    13.58P    0.47R    0.04  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      65.88     8.46     0.11     0.71     2.68    21.73     6.87P    1.20R    0.13  
Southampton      21   30   -5      61.13     8.45   -11.41     0.22     0.86     9.63     2.47P    4.18R    0.53  
Coventry         20   28   -5      60.97     8.86    -9.39     0.22     0.97    10.16     2.76P    5.12R    0.72  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      62.63     8.53     1.83     0.27     1.25    13.72     4.33P    2.77R    0.37  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.77     8.45    -6.04     0.12     0.45     6.26     1.90P    7.04R    1.16  
Cardiff          21   26   -1      58.42     8.32    -4.36     0.12     0.36     5.51     1.57P    7.36R    1.06  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.77     8.33    -2.61     0.06     0.26     5.11     1.48P    7.94R    1.24  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.41     8.82    -6.22     0.09     0.37     5.35     1.57P   10.56R    2.09  
Blackpool        21   23   -5      51.76     8.26   -13.01     0.01     0.06     1.21     0.34P   25.04R    6.18  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.59     8.19   -14.89     0.01     0.04     1.08     0.32P   26.35R    6.74  
Leicester        21   22   +0      56.45     8.34     1.09     0.02     0.13     3.53     1.18P   10.58R    2.02  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.30     7.84   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   52.62R   20.07  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.49     8.46    -7.45     0.00     0.04     1.75     0.43P   19.46R    5.10  
QPR              21   20  -12      44.90     7.85   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   59.56R   26.00  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.53     8.00   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   58.78R   26.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 December 2007, Cheltenham vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.43     8.80    38.01    19.21    40.51    93.11    55.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.54     8.66    -3.55     0.26     1.15    24.93     3.76P    0.19R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.63     8.38    48.09    32.88    57.54    96.99    72.82P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         18   33  +15      86.73     8.71    39.66    17.51    37.60    92.43    53.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      89.72     7.88    58.87    28.29    55.06    96.98    72.68P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.28     8.87    12.58     1.00     3.68    46.39    10.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster        19   28   +6      68.47     8.84    11.44     0.24     1.14    26.80     6.07P    0.34R    0.01  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.98     8.66     6.53     0.10     0.62    20.83     4.60P    0.40R    0.01  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.33     8.72    -4.52     0.05     0.18     9.39     1.64P    1.72R    0.04  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.29     8.72    12.14     0.19     1.05    29.91     7.00P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         19   27   +3      67.86     8.81     9.11     0.16     0.74    24.13     5.10P    0.40R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.37     8.83     5.43     0.05     0.29    14.40     2.51P    1.26R    0.03  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.34     8.26   -20.45     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.07P   20.18R    1.82  
Swindon          18   23   +3      63.29     9.15     6.28     0.04     0.31    12.66     2.72P    1.81R    0.07  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.76     8.15   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02P   32.35R    4.33  
Gillingham       19   22  -14      50.76     8.52   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.04P   24.68R    3.10  
Oldham           18   21   +0      59.98     9.15     1.67     0.02     0.08     6.80     1.55P    4.07R    0.19  
Northampton      19   20   -7      48.09     8.33   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   33.36R    5.05  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.65     9.14   -12.53     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.29P   15.33R    1.59  
Millwall         18   19   -9      48.13     8.58   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P   33.81R    5.36  
Cheltenham       19   18  -12      44.67     8.19   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   49.94R   11.30  
Port_Vale        19   15  -13      39.04     7.77   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.37R   29.60  
Luton            19   13   -2      48.54     8.92    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.09P   30.47R    5.56  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      39.08     8.24   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.04R   31.95  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 14 December 2007, Wycombe vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      97.20     8.11    53.86    44.59    84.24    99.55    89.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.30     8.59    39.06    10.35    47.80    94.88    61.47P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.13     8.31    50.58    32.25    78.40    99.07    86.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      87.07     8.57    38.49     7.43    41.97    93.43    56.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.70     8.85    20.81     1.93    15.84    78.11    29.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      77.00     8.82    21.32     0.71     8.51    65.07    21.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.37     9.18    30.09     2.60    20.01    80.13    35.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              20   30   +0      65.26     8.57    -0.57     0.01     0.40    15.04     3.12P    0.06R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.67     9.38     6.75     0.11     2.00    31.53     7.65P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            19   27   -1      62.89     8.85    -2.39     0.01     0.24    10.24     2.06P    0.23R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.65     8.86    -2.83     0.00     0.16     8.34     1.64P    0.38R    0.08  
Barnet               19   25   -3      56.19     8.48   -12.40     0.00     0.02     2.28     0.44P    1.37R    0.37  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.38     9.31    -1.00     0.01     0.20     7.42     1.67P    0.81R    0.19  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.12     9.09    -1.52     0.00     0.14     8.40     1.49P    0.52R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      51.87     8.51   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.13P    5.24R    1.65  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.85     8.79   -14.05     0.00     0.03     2.00     0.33P    2.59R    0.78  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.03     8.86   -10.11     0.00     0.02     1.89     0.39P    3.00R    0.92  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.01     8.68   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.14P    6.33R    2.13  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.44     8.06   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.18R   12.80  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      45.93     8.48   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   17.96R    7.89  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.72     8.10   -33.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.14R   17.22  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.24     8.12   -33.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.50R   21.71  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      39.04     8.13   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.60R   28.81  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      48.80     9.51   -10.74     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.17P   12.06R    5.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      98.01     7.66    43.30    40.22    97.81    54.65P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.82     7.93    52.70    41.84    97.41    55.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.80     7.99    43.81    10.14    86.16    33.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.81     8.12    31.33     5.11    75.61    24.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.39     8.06    29.40     1.71    56.62    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      78.99     8.32    21.08     0.74    38.23     7.35P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.42     7.69    11.37     0.06    12.09     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.52     8.32    15.61     0.14    14.61     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.51     8.31    12.32     0.03     9.62     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.32     7.80    -0.54     0.00     1.60     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.17     8.36     1.60     0.01     3.85     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.62     8.17     3.47     0.00     1.86     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.62     8.12    -4.42     0.00     1.00     0.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.33     7.63    -7.21     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.14R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.47     7.95    -5.67     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      57.87     7.97    -9.14     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.11R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.19     8.04     7.46     0.00     0.89     0.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.73     8.33     2.88     0.00     1.27     0.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.18     8.61    -4.46     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.30R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.59     7.50   -38.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.34R    1.43  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.92     7.63   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.31R    2.33  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.82     6.78   -46.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.29R   21.58  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.24     6.71   -63.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.19R   32.75  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.67     6.25   -59.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.17R   41.91