Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 December 2007 at 22:40:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      79.84     6.89    42.17    27.44    49.90    67.28    81.06    95.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      80.64     6.81    43.07    31.56    54.57    71.75    83.97    96.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      77.03     7.08    36.50    15.40    33.18    51.23    68.71    91.62     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.78     6.95    43.22    15.04    32.93    51.90    69.40    91.86     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      74.99     6.75    42.24     8.99    23.30    41.26    60.11    88.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   30   +3      60.47     7.45     3.98     0.11     0.52     1.55     3.86    17.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.12     7.30    27.52     0.61     2.25     5.92    12.70    41.55     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.51     6.97    25.95     0.71     2.81     7.15    15.05    48.70     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       16   26   +1      59.35     7.34     6.50     0.06     0.26     0.97     2.53    13.73     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        15   22   +8      58.09     7.77    16.05     0.07     0.28     0.98     2.57    13.17     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      46.86     6.76   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.35     0.78R    0.00  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.61     6.95   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    11.72R    0.21  
Tottenham       16   15   -1      43.00     7.09    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     3.20R    0.03  
Bolton          16   14   -7      37.66     7.11   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    13.87R    0.25  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      38.99     7.34   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.15R    0.22  
Middlesbrough   16   14  -13      33.77     6.48   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.61R    1.20  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.50     7.14   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.42R    0.43  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      30.74     6.52   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.78R    2.65  
Wigan           16    9  -18      28.19     6.64   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.73R    7.11  
Derby           16    6  -32      16.03     5.09   -68.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.71R   87.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2007, Blackpool vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          21   40   +9      80.51     8.43    18.34    19.12    40.15    82.25    49.58P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.22     8.18    41.71    50.22    70.90    95.01    78.52P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      76.18     8.46    15.19     9.54    22.81    67.17    33.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      71.89     8.48     5.93     3.16     9.71    46.68    18.04P    0.16R    0.01  
Stoke            21   34   +6      73.33     8.55    13.47     4.89    13.95    54.67    24.45P    0.07R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.12     8.40     7.57     2.04     6.74    38.60    15.04P    0.27R    0.02  
Ipswich          21   32   +8      73.57     8.59    19.51     5.31    15.31    57.10    26.28P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          21   32   +3      69.60     8.64     7.73     2.11     6.73    37.55    14.00P    0.36R    0.04  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.80     8.60    11.22     1.74     5.98    35.15    14.13P    0.45R    0.03  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      66.13     8.55     0.49     0.79     2.92    22.63     7.57P    1.13R    0.13  
Southampton      21   30   -5      61.16     8.44   -11.43     0.23     0.85     9.40     2.33P    4.10R    0.55  
Coventry         20   28   -5      61.05     8.85    -9.26     0.17     0.85    10.47     2.83P    4.97R    0.62  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      62.79     8.51     2.03     0.35     1.42    13.91     4.65P    2.66R    0.40  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.40     8.34    -6.66     0.09     0.43     5.49     1.57P    7.20R    1.10  
Cardiff          21   26   -1      58.50     8.39    -4.22     0.09     0.36     5.69     1.60P    7.13R    1.14  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.69     8.41    -2.74     0.06     0.29     5.05     1.60P    8.23R    1.32  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.41     8.65    -6.26     0.06     0.30     5.06     1.42P    9.79R    1.82  
Blackpool        21   23   -5      51.40     8.27   -13.53     0.01     0.03     1.03     0.25P   26.72R    6.94  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.63     8.24   -14.80     0.01     0.04     1.14     0.33P   26.21R    6.67  
Leicester        21   22   +0      56.37     8.37     0.95     0.03     0.16     3.65     1.24P   10.45R    2.00  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.12     7.80   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   52.98R   20.70  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.64     8.44    -7.14     0.01     0.05     1.92     0.53P   18.76R    4.82  
QPR              21   20  -12      44.87     7.80   -26.18     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   59.61R   25.69  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.62     8.03   -17.51     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   58.63R   26.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Crewe vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.34     8.79    37.91    18.23    39.44    93.05    54.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.37     8.63    -3.87     0.22     1.01    24.33     3.62P    0.23R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.84     8.35    48.44    33.24    58.19    97.23    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         18   33  +15      86.97     8.59    39.94    18.11    38.44    92.90    54.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      89.81     7.86    59.01    28.33    55.00    96.99    73.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.11     8.98    12.30     0.93     3.47    45.63     9.55P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster        19   28   +6      68.00     8.86    10.73     0.23     1.03    25.16     5.69P    0.33R    0.01  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.87     8.71     6.34     0.12     0.63    20.68     4.38P    0.42R    0.00  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.36     8.63    -4.46     0.02     0.16     9.20     1.54P    1.61R    0.04  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.40     8.88    12.31     0.24     1.10    30.90     7.33P    0.25R    0.01  
Brighton         19   27   +3      68.28     8.72     9.77     0.18     0.81    25.81     5.57P    0.40R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.02     8.90     4.80     0.07     0.28    13.73     2.25P    1.44R    0.07  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.60     8.29   -19.88     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.10P   19.13R    1.73  
Swindon          18   23   +3      63.22     9.14     6.20     0.06     0.32    12.73     2.57P    1.77R    0.06  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.70     8.22   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P   32.35R    3.88  
Gillingham       19   22  -14      50.99     8.54   -28.55     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.07P   23.60R    2.75  
Oldham           18   21   +0      59.67     9.08     1.27     0.01     0.07     6.38     1.31P    4.11R    0.20  
Northampton      19   20   -7      48.09     8.28   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   32.81R    4.36  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.73     9.32   -12.34     0.00     0.02     2.00     0.36P   15.13R    1.62  
Millwall         18   19   -9      47.73     8.50   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   35.15R    5.46  
Port_Vale        19   15  -13      39.12     7.79   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.09R   27.64  
Cheltenham       18   15  -13      42.18     8.51   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.97R   18.28  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.60     9.35    -0.64     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.27P   20.72R    3.00  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      38.94     8.30   -35.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.40R   30.91  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      97.11     8.03    53.79    44.10    84.35    99.53    89.40P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.48     8.49    39.35    10.72    48.62    95.23    62.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.84     8.39    50.08    31.47    77.39    98.72    85.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      87.00     8.69    38.56     7.97    41.34    92.98    55.82P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.80     8.84    20.97     2.05    16.04    78.06    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.99     8.86    21.25     0.79     8.66    64.58    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.37     9.18    30.15     2.74    20.23    80.00    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.40     9.35     6.31     0.09     1.81    30.08     6.83P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.49     9.10     2.91     0.04     0.80    19.52     4.59P    0.08R    0.01  
Wycombe              19   27   -2      61.96     9.00    -5.00     0.01     0.21     9.23     1.81P    0.26R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.22     8.81    -3.45     0.00     0.14     7.42     1.44P    0.40R    0.09  
Barnet               19   25   -3      55.98     8.44   -12.76     0.00     0.02     2.06     0.36P    1.52R    0.42  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.48     9.34    -0.87     0.00     0.20     7.91     1.85P    0.74R    0.19  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.10     9.02    -1.59     0.01     0.15     8.03     1.40P    0.51R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      52.13     8.68   -22.24     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.17P    5.07R    1.60  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.57     8.91   -14.47     0.00     0.01     1.90     0.30P    3.02R    0.89  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.28     8.82    -9.73     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.38P    2.80R    0.84  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.02     8.67   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.13P    6.10R    2.03  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.89     8.10   -34.25     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.60R   11.09  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      46.18     8.53   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   17.34R    7.56  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.35     8.09   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   35.43R   17.94  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.35     8.24   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    40.18R   21.32  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      38.43     8.12   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.73R   31.19  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      49.08     9.54   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.16P   11.19R    4.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.84     7.72    42.99    39.48    97.60    53.33P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.81     7.96    52.67    41.99    97.28    55.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.89     8.03    43.97    10.50    86.22    33.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      87.01     8.14    31.63     5.23    75.88    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.52     8.04    29.62     1.71    57.04    15.52P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.13     8.43    21.44     0.84    38.85     7.55P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.28     7.70    11.10     0.03    11.71     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.41     8.36    15.34     0.16    14.31     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.43     8.29    12.17     0.04     9.24     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.37     7.84    -0.45     0.00     1.69     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.15     8.31     1.49     0.01     3.82     0.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.36     8.16     3.15     0.00     1.83     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.50     8.18    -4.55     0.00     0.89     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.30     7.50    -7.21     0.00     0.12     0.04P    0.09R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.47     7.98    -5.65     0.00     0.60     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.04     7.92    -8.89     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.10R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.07     8.01     7.29     0.00     0.87     0.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.93     8.39     3.22     0.00     1.35     0.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.57     8.63    -3.79     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.25R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.51     7.42   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.98R    1.52  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.85     7.61   -37.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.38R    2.30  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.58     6.68   -46.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.19R   22.34  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.15     6.75   -63.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.19R   33.76  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.88     6.25   -59.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.63R   40.07