Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 December 2007 at 22:54:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      79.84     6.96    42.19    27.40    49.44    66.61    80.41    95.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      80.70     6.83    43.17    31.69    55.00    72.00    84.66    97.05     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      76.85     7.10    36.25    14.79    32.28    50.15    67.25    91.05     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.75     7.02    43.25    15.03    32.82    51.59    68.83    91.61     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      75.28     6.72    42.85     9.54    24.28    42.91    62.00    89.13     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   30   +3      60.17     7.46     3.51     0.09     0.43     1.45     3.65    16.52     0.00     0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.30     7.31    27.74     0.68     2.47     6.34    13.07    42.25     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.72     6.88    26.47     0.67     2.71     7.16    15.35    50.06     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       16   26   +1      59.35     7.27     6.52     0.04     0.28     0.83     2.42    13.46     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        15   22   +8      58.11     7.70    16.10     0.07     0.28     0.95     2.33    12.56     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      46.96     6.82   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.33     0.73R    0.00  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.58     7.01   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.98R    0.20  
Tottenham       16   15   -1      43.08     7.08    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     3.22R    0.03  
Bolton          16   14   -7      37.63     7.06   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.44R    0.23  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      39.02     7.30   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.68R    0.21  
Middlesbrough   16   14  -13      33.89     6.42   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.68R    1.13  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.27     7.15   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    0.46  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      30.59     6.48   -40.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.45R    2.74  
Wigan           16    9  -18      28.16     6.70   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.76R    6.95  
Derby           16    6  -32      16.00     5.01   -68.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   88.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2007, Blackpool vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          21   40   +9      80.47     8.46    18.29    18.92    40.28    82.01    49.71P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.28     8.12    41.82    50.63    71.48    95.19    79.09P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      76.05     8.57    15.02     9.59    22.39    66.53    33.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      71.91     8.45     5.97     3.30     9.79    46.55    17.73P    0.13R    0.01  
Stoke            21   34   +6      73.27     8.54    13.43     4.93    14.03    54.41    24.43P    0.07R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.33     8.36     7.86     2.11     7.17    40.16    16.04P    0.23R    0.02  
Ipswich          21   32   +8      73.39     8.56    19.27     4.98    14.66    56.70    25.78P    0.07R    0.01  
Burnley          21   32   +3      69.61     8.56     7.75     2.02     6.82    37.50    14.09P    0.40R    0.03  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.81     8.58    11.26     1.82     6.10    35.47    14.16P    0.45R    0.03  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      65.76     8.53    -0.03     0.72     2.62    21.57     6.93P    1.37R    0.13  
Southampton      21   30   -5      61.10     8.43   -11.54     0.14     0.75     9.51     2.40P    4.20R    0.58  
Coventry         20   28   -5      61.31     8.85    -8.82     0.20     0.97    10.89     2.84P    4.62R    0.66  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      62.84     8.48     2.09     0.30     1.18    13.85     4.47P    2.61R    0.37  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.54     8.50    -6.43     0.11     0.47     5.92     1.84P    7.51R    1.12  
Cardiff          21   26   -1      58.48     8.42    -4.27     0.08     0.39     5.78     1.63P    7.37R    1.16  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.81     8.26    -2.58     0.06     0.26     5.01     1.56P    7.51R    1.07  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.17     8.75    -6.61     0.06     0.34     4.90     1.43P   10.44R    2.01  
Blackpool        21   23   -5      51.72     8.22   -13.08     0.00     0.05     1.10     0.31P   25.38R    6.42  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.37     8.18   -15.17     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.21P   26.87R    7.05  
Leicester        21   22   +0      56.69     8.34     1.34     0.02     0.18     3.85     1.38P    9.86R    1.79  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.15     7.82   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   53.24R   20.49  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.48     8.50    -7.43     0.01     0.05     1.82     0.54P   19.60R    4.98  
QPR              21   20  -12      44.72     7.83   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   59.93R   26.83  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.64     7.95   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   58.12R   25.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Crewe vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.17     8.73    37.68    17.12    37.83    92.99    52.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.51     8.62    -3.64     0.25     1.03    24.27     3.53P    0.22R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      91.12     8.39    48.87    33.85    59.33    97.24    74.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         18   33  +15      86.79     8.72    39.59    17.51    37.14    92.30    53.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      90.22     7.77    59.66    29.60    56.98    97.41    74.39P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.45     8.95    12.89     0.90     3.45    47.07    10.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster        19   28   +6      68.36     8.75    11.35     0.21     1.07    26.39     5.67P    0.31R    0.01  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.75     8.73     6.20     0.09     0.62    20.43     4.57P    0.45R    0.00  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.28     8.62    -4.62     0.02     0.16     9.00     1.57P    1.71R    0.03  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.16     8.81    12.00     0.21     1.04    29.71     6.85P    0.27R    0.01  
Brighton         19   27   +3      68.14     8.79     9.60     0.15     0.75    25.57     5.37P    0.36R    0.01  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.22     8.90     5.14     0.04     0.29    14.03     2.58P    1.36R    0.07  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.51     8.18   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.06P   19.10R    1.70  
Swindon          18   23   +3      62.91     9.06     5.71     0.04     0.23    11.86     2.37P    1.88R    0.06  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.43     8.19   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.02P   33.36R    4.13  
Gillingham       19   22  -14      50.72     8.38   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.06P   23.85R    2.77  
Oldham           18   21   +0      59.84     9.16     1.52     0.01     0.08     6.83     1.46P    4.19R    0.22  
Northampton      19   20   -7      47.95     8.30   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   33.39R    4.70  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.64     9.19   -12.37     0.00     0.01     1.89     0.29P   15.07R    1.61  
Millwall         18   19   -9      47.80     8.48   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   34.62R    5.33  
Port_Vale        19   15  -13      39.11     7.71   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.27R   27.57  
Cheltenham       18   15  -13      42.15     8.52   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   61.18R   18.48  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.76     9.20    -0.40     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.24P   19.51R    2.80  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      39.01     8.26   -35.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.83R   30.51  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      97.08     8.17    53.70    44.76    83.91    99.44    89.16P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.35     8.54    39.15    10.44    47.63    94.91    61.08P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.60     8.47    49.77    30.66    76.31    98.66    84.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      87.06     8.74    38.59     8.28    42.41    92.75    56.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      81.20     8.96    21.56     2.43    17.80    78.92    31.49P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      77.09     8.84    21.42     0.71     8.60    65.20    22.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.04     9.28    29.54     2.52    19.56    78.59    34.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.87     9.40     6.99     0.13     2.19    32.09     7.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.48     9.25     2.90     0.04     0.86    19.72     4.79P    0.10R    0.02  
Wycombe              19   27   -2      61.45     8.84    -5.81     0.01     0.18     8.18     1.52P    0.31R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.21     8.90    -3.47     0.01     0.15     7.58     1.45P    0.46R    0.11  
Barnet               19   25   -3      55.93     8.57   -12.83     0.00     0.04     2.31     0.42P    1.68R    0.46  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.41     9.27    -0.96     0.01     0.19     7.44     1.74P    0.70R    0.18  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.03     9.08    -1.64     0.00     0.13     7.77     1.47P    0.60R    0.15  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      52.11     8.56   -22.34     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.13P    4.81R    1.50  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.42     8.82   -14.80     0.00     0.02     1.87     0.31P    3.13R    0.90  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.19     8.79    -9.86     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.31P    2.94R    0.81  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.02     8.74   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.17P    6.44R    2.15  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.78     8.05   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   25.78R   11.73  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      46.08     8.50   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   17.72R    7.78  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.81     8.04   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.59R   16.52  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.40     8.19   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   40.46R   21.92  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      38.58     8.10   -36.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.36R   31.02  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      49.36     9.50    -9.92     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.17P   10.91R    4.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 December 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.77     7.71    42.85    38.97    97.66    53.37P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             21   48  +23      97.86     7.85    52.74    42.30    97.48    55.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.93     8.00    44.05    10.59    86.42    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      87.03     8.18    31.73     5.43    76.16    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.23     8.04    29.16     1.61    55.56    14.80P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      78.97     8.36    21.09     0.89    38.46     7.35P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.38     7.72    11.34     0.04    12.09     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.36     8.40    15.30     0.11    14.53     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.37     8.20    12.09     0.04     8.97     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.60     7.91    -0.14     0.00     1.97     0.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.35     8.40     1.91     0.01     4.19     0.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.75     8.14     3.66     0.00     2.06     0.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.56     8.14    -4.51     0.00     1.03     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.47     7.57    -6.99     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.10R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.43     7.87    -5.74     0.00     0.60     0.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.00     7.98    -8.93     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.24     8.04     7.57     0.00     0.89     0.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.46     8.40     2.54     0.00     1.16     0.23P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.36     8.66    -4.13     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.23R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      21   17  -18      39.48     7.43   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.21R    1.41  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.99     7.56   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.47R    2.07  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.55     6.66   -46.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.32R   21.94  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.04     6.65   -63.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.60R   34.11  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.81     6.26   -59.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.77R   40.47