Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 December 2007 at 22:35:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      80.01     6.95    42.43    28.38    50.75    68.08    81.28    96.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      80.77     6.78    43.24    31.87    55.83    72.71    84.86    97.10     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      76.65     7.18    35.91    14.35    31.27    49.36    66.71    90.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.65     6.99    42.89    14.58    32.12    51.02    68.78    91.38     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      75.01     6.76    42.31     9.24    23.63    41.50    60.46    88.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   30   +3      60.39     7.57     3.90     0.14     0.64     1.72     4.20    17.67     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.24     7.24    27.76     0.64     2.37     6.34    13.07    42.05     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.53     7.01    26.07     0.69     2.77     7.21    15.43    49.07     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       16   26   +1      59.40     7.28     6.63     0.04     0.26     0.98     2.52    13.61     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        15   22   +8      58.28     7.67    16.34     0.08     0.35     1.08     2.67    13.52     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      47.00     6.72   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38     0.67R    0.00  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.56     6.95   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    12.04R    0.17  
Tottenham       16   15   -1      43.10     7.11    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     3.16R    0.03  
Bolton          16   14   -7      37.52     7.13   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    14.24R    0.29  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      38.99     7.33   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.88R    0.17  
Middlesbrough   16   14  -13      33.95     6.47   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.51R    1.18  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.25     7.17   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.63R    0.46  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      30.88     6.48   -39.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.82R    2.25  
Wigan           16    9  -18      28.09     6.65   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.25R    6.98  
Derby           16    6  -32      15.96     5.02   -68.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R   88.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2007, Blackpool vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          21   40   +9      80.51     8.46    18.38    19.38    40.54    82.39    49.79P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.26     8.16    41.73    50.21    71.08    95.09    78.94P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      75.94     8.53    14.92     9.39    22.26    65.85    33.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      71.87     8.56     5.88     3.49    10.11    46.59    18.21P    0.18R    0.01  
Stoke            21   34   +6      73.23     8.64    13.35     4.77    13.93    54.46    24.60P    0.12R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.44     8.30     8.01     2.17     7.13    40.56    15.97P    0.19R    0.01  
Ipswich          21   32   +8      73.40     8.58    19.24     5.08    14.80    56.82    26.11P    0.10R    0.01  
Burnley          21   32   +3      69.51     8.61     7.61     1.95     6.61    37.58    13.86P    0.40R    0.04  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.90     8.55    11.44     1.90     6.21    35.69    14.13P    0.35R    0.02  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      65.90     8.49     0.13     0.71     2.76    21.84     7.07P    1.14R    0.13  
Southampton      21   30   -5      60.99     8.42   -11.62     0.19     0.80     9.27     2.42P    4.24R    0.50  
Coventry         20   28   -5      61.25     8.79    -8.93     0.18     0.92    10.50     2.83P    4.67R    0.64  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      62.61     8.48     1.75     0.27     1.17    13.36     4.18P    2.90R    0.40  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.55     8.46    -6.37     0.09     0.44     6.00     1.80P    7.33R    1.14  
Cardiff          21   26   -1      58.50     8.46    -4.19     0.10     0.38     6.10     1.72P    7.40R    1.18  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.72     8.26    -2.74     0.04     0.26     4.88     1.50P    7.77R    1.14  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.23     8.71    -6.50     0.06     0.32     5.07     1.45P   10.32R    2.01  
Blackpool        21   23   -5      51.63     8.16   -13.24     0.00     0.04     1.01     0.30P   25.81R    6.25  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.54     8.23   -14.92     0.00     0.02     1.07     0.24P   26.63R    6.89  
Leicester        21   22   +0      56.51     8.28     1.20     0.03     0.16     3.59     1.24P   10.12R    1.94  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.24     7.88   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   52.77R   20.59  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.59     8.48    -7.27     0.01     0.06     1.92     0.55P   19.31R    5.01  
QPR              21   20  -12      44.89     7.82   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   59.70R   25.80  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.62     8.04   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   58.54R   26.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Crewe vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.14     8.74    37.54    17.43    37.95    92.84    53.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.30     8.68    -3.92     0.26     1.07    23.93     3.56P    0.21R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.91     8.35    48.55    33.23    58.48    97.15    73.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         18   33  +15      86.99     8.65    40.02    18.18    38.28    92.91    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      90.00     7.80    59.33    28.98    56.03    97.29    73.53P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.60     8.91    13.16     1.00     3.80    47.43    10.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster        19   28   +6      68.58     8.76    11.62     0.25     1.11    26.94     6.31P    0.22R    0.00  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.75     8.60     6.18     0.10     0.55    19.66     4.16P    0.44R    0.01  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      61.89     8.51    -5.12     0.03     0.16     8.13     1.32P    1.65R    0.04  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.47     8.78    12.44     0.23     1.20    30.54     6.96P    0.26R    0.01  
Brighton         19   27   +3      68.17     8.78     9.64     0.19     0.76    25.45     5.42P    0.35R    0.01  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.08     9.02     4.90     0.05     0.27    14.05     2.60P    1.53R    0.06  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.42     8.32   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.10P   19.65R    1.82  
Swindon          18   23   +3      63.04     9.03     5.97     0.06     0.24    12.01     2.40P    1.67R    0.08  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.56     8.15   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   32.41R    3.94  
Gillingham       19   22  -14      50.85     8.50   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.04P   23.97R    2.91  
Oldham           18   21   +0      60.01     9.12     1.72     0.01     0.08     6.84     1.48P    3.82R    0.16  
Northampton      19   20   -7      48.04     8.35   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.01P   33.03R    4.56  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.38     9.18   -12.83     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.24P   15.72R    1.72  
Millwall         18   19   -9      47.81     8.53   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   34.70R    5.50  
Port_Vale        19   15  -13      39.17     7.82   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.87R   27.59  
Cheltenham       18   15  -13      42.23     8.58   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.55R   18.16  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.52     9.27    -0.81     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.22P   20.67R    3.09  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      39.01     8.23   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.21R   30.34  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      97.03     8.11    53.62    44.22    83.86    99.46    89.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.35     8.54    39.18    10.72    47.79    94.89    61.22P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.83     8.30    50.01    31.19    77.57    98.90    86.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      87.08     8.58    38.68     7.96    41.83    93.13    56.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      81.04     8.82    21.32     2.33    16.53    78.72    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.97     8.79    21.20     0.73     8.31    64.35    21.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.44     9.20    30.20     2.71    20.70    79.77    36.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.86     9.34     7.00     0.08     1.90    31.82     7.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.29     9.17     2.58     0.03     0.77    19.07     4.37P    0.09R    0.02  
Wycombe              19   27   -2      61.75     8.84    -5.36     0.01     0.18     8.44     1.65P    0.32R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.24     8.91    -3.42     0.00     0.14     7.68     1.49P    0.42R    0.11  
Barnet               19   25   -3      56.05     8.57   -12.59     0.00     0.02     2.25     0.39P    1.62R    0.45  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.19     9.35    -1.33     0.01     0.24     7.30     1.70P    0.76R    0.19  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.08     9.04    -1.57     0.00     0.13     7.77     1.42P    0.53R    0.15  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      52.12     8.65   -22.31     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.17P    4.85R    1.49  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.61     8.85   -14.46     0.00     0.02     1.88     0.35P    2.81R    0.90  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.26     8.77    -9.78     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.32P    2.73R    0.80  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.09     8.67   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    6.23R    2.12  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.49     8.07   -34.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.77R   12.45  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      46.01     8.46   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   17.53R    7.74  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.56     8.14   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    34.84R   17.37  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.33     8.17   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    40.25R   21.69  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      38.73     8.14   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.23R   29.82  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      49.12     9.42   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.15P   10.98R    4.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Aldershot vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.80     7.63    42.92    38.80    97.68    53.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.89     8.05    55.38    43.06    97.32    56.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           21   42  +21      89.73     8.12    43.80    10.33    85.57    32.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.87     8.06    31.40     5.04    75.76    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.43     8.08    29.48     1.65    56.39    15.31P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.35     8.37    21.78     0.83    39.94     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.31     7.67    11.14     0.05    11.79     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.51     8.35    15.54     0.18    14.48     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.43     8.30    12.17     0.05     9.25     2.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.70     7.83    -0.00     0.01     1.78     0.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      65.92     8.28     1.14     0.01     3.64     0.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.21     8.18     2.93     0.00     1.69     0.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          21   29   -2      61.66     8.13    -4.33     0.00     1.06     0.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.39     7.58    -7.13     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.44     7.93    -5.75     0.00     0.62     0.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Salisbury           22   27   -5      58.01     7.96    -9.01     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.12     8.08     7.35     0.00     0.84     0.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.63     8.42     2.80     0.00     1.32     0.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.53     8.59    -3.83     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.22R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.39     7.68   -41.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.87R    1.66  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.85     7.63   -37.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.58R    2.30  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.79     6.79   -46.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.92R   21.76  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.25     6.66   -63.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.77R   32.78  
Northwich           22   10  -29      25.78     6.30   -59.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.26R   41.49