Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 December 2007 at 23:19:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      79.68     6.88    41.88    26.24    48.45    66.29    80.20    95.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      80.97     6.81    43.50    33.28    56.47    73.13    85.17    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      77.00     7.10    36.44    15.39    32.97    50.85    68.14    91.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.69     6.98    43.11    14.55    32.52    51.37    69.03    91.26     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      75.12     6.68    42.54     8.99    23.52    41.90    60.91    89.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   30   +3      60.41     7.43     3.89     0.13     0.48     1.52     3.83    17.27     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.19     7.29    27.64     0.65     2.40     5.96    12.64    42.08     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.46     6.91    25.90     0.64     2.60     6.99    14.85    47.97     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       16   26   +1      59.66     7.23     7.09     0.06     0.27     0.95     2.57    14.12     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        15   22   +8      58.25     7.71    16.31     0.07     0.31     1.02     2.62    13.38     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      46.93     6.71   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34     0.64R    0.00  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.59     6.95   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.68R    0.18  
Tottenham       16   15   -1      43.03     7.11    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.14     3.14R    0.03  
Bolton          16   14   -7      37.47     7.10   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    14.38R    0.22  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      38.82     7.26   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.05R    0.15  
Middlesbrough   16   14  -13      33.58     6.41   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.35R    1.24  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.49     7.17   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.56R    0.48  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      30.78     6.45   -39.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.83R    2.50  
Wigan           16    9  -18      28.15     6.72   -37.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.46R    6.82  
Derby           16    6  -32      15.94     4.96   -68.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   88.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Stoke vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          21   40   +9      80.45     8.37    18.33    18.10    39.29    81.68    48.93P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.23     8.11    41.75    49.64    70.16    94.99    78.12P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      75.80     8.54    14.72     8.66    20.78    64.58    31.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      71.97     8.54     6.09     3.29     9.78    45.99    17.76P    0.13R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34   +6      73.10     8.49    13.23     4.34    12.77    52.99    22.97P    0.09R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.28     8.28     7.83     2.10     6.54    38.53    15.02P    0.16R    0.01  
Burnley          20   32   +5      74.63     8.98    15.54     7.16    18.02    59.86    28.43P    0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.56     8.59    10.97     1.75     5.72    33.51    13.38P    0.36R    0.02  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      65.84     8.50     0.06     0.69     2.51    20.96     6.55P    1.14R    0.09  
Southampton      21   30   -5      60.94     8.41   -11.75     0.18     0.76     8.71     2.12P    3.93R    0.35  
Ipswich          20   29   +6      70.99     8.91    15.95     3.30     9.75    44.71    19.02P    0.30R    0.02  
Coventry         20   28   -5      60.96     8.67    -9.36     0.16     0.83     9.55     2.46P    4.18R    0.42  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      63.05     8.42     2.46     0.27     1.24    13.64     4.26P    2.14R    0.19  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.58     8.34    -6.22     0.08     0.34     5.39     1.45P    6.45R    0.75  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.48     8.27    -3.02     0.05     0.25     4.43     1.37P    7.43R    0.85  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.58     8.63    -5.99     0.07     0.33     4.93     1.39P    8.78R    1.13  
Cardiff          20   23   -2      55.56     8.64    -7.41     0.04     0.18     3.22     0.92P   12.87R    2.21  
Blackpool        20   23   -4      53.95     8.61   -10.89     0.02     0.11     2.26     0.64P   17.31R    3.09  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.73     8.21   -14.62     0.01     0.04     1.06     0.27P   24.13R    4.72  
Leicester        20   22   +2      59.11     8.66     4.85     0.07     0.51     7.10     2.65P    5.86R    0.82  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.37     7.87   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   50.30R   15.23  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.39     8.44    -7.55     0.02     0.07     1.64     0.46P   18.46R    3.74  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.48     7.98   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   57.48R   20.70  
QPR              20   17  -14      40.19     7.83   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   78.38R   45.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Crewe vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.26     8.82    37.74    17.77    39.03    92.78    54.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.22     8.67    -4.15     0.26     1.05    23.74     3.47P    0.23R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.88     8.29    48.59    33.24    58.21    97.37    73.36P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         18   33  +15      86.74     8.71    39.66    17.19    37.07    92.36    53.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      90.17     7.75    59.63    29.71    56.75    97.42    74.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.36     9.01    12.74     0.98     3.59    46.89    10.13P    0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster        19   28   +6      68.57     8.72    11.55     0.24     1.09    26.93     6.07P    0.30R    0.01  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.78     8.59     6.20     0.09     0.50    19.87     4.08P    0.39R    0.00  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.05     8.58    -4.92     0.01     0.14     8.47     1.41P    1.85R    0.05  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.49     8.80    12.48     0.25     1.17    30.87     7.45P    0.22R    0.00  
Brighton         19   27   +3      68.13     8.72     9.55     0.15     0.78    25.02     5.20P    0.37R    0.01  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.26     8.91     5.24     0.03     0.23    14.25     2.53P    1.31R    0.07  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.42     8.32   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P   19.48R    1.81  
Swindon          18   23   +3      63.16     9.00     6.16     0.06     0.26    12.21     2.47P    1.65R    0.05  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.61     8.20   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.02P   32.43R    3.94  
Gillingham       19   22  -14      50.79     8.48   -28.89     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.06P   23.81R    2.90  
Oldham           18   21   +0      59.86     9.13     1.57     0.00     0.08     6.74     1.35P    4.06R    0.20  
Northampton      19   20   -7      48.25     8.38   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   32.26R    4.38  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.28     9.34   -12.98     0.00     0.03     1.84     0.29P   16.53R    1.77  
Millwall         18   19   -9      47.62     8.47   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   35.48R    5.57  
Port_Vale        19   15  -13      39.29     7.82   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.05R   27.09  
Cheltenham       18   15  -13      42.02     8.49   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   61.59R   18.81  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.78     9.30    -0.36     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.27P   19.78R    2.97  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      39.00     8.27   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.13R   30.38  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      97.18     8.11    53.89    44.93    84.08    99.50    89.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.50     8.55    39.37    11.03    48.09    94.95    61.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.68     8.28    49.82    30.22    76.84    98.90    85.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      87.43     8.59    39.19     8.36    43.64    93.57    58.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.80     8.80    20.93     1.98    16.17    77.96    29.49P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.91     8.78    21.15     0.78     8.15    64.49    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.19     9.19    29.85     2.55    19.46    79.35    35.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.83     9.38     6.98     0.10     2.01    31.46     7.53P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.25     9.14     2.56     0.04     0.78    18.87     4.32P    0.08R    0.01  
Wycombe              19   27   -2      62.04     8.93    -4.99     0.00     0.22     9.21     1.81P    0.30R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.34     8.90    -3.27     0.00     0.17     7.91     1.58P    0.37R    0.09  
Barnet               19   25   -3      56.15     8.46   -12.42     0.00     0.03     2.17     0.43P    1.53R    0.41  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.20     9.34    -1.31     0.00     0.20     7.26     1.67P    0.76R    0.21  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.01     9.03    -1.75     0.01     0.10     7.87     1.32P    0.56R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      52.14     8.56   -22.32     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.12P    4.70R    1.48  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.45     8.77   -14.73     0.00     0.02     1.76     0.29P    2.81R    0.89  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.37     8.90    -9.59     0.00     0.01     1.98     0.37P    2.63R    0.75  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.11     8.66   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.11P    5.98R    1.93  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.63     8.09   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   25.72R   11.60  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      46.16     8.55   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   17.33R    7.57  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.51     8.12   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.84R   17.14  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.24     8.14   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    40.29R   21.45  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      38.13     7.95   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.52R   31.74  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      49.35     9.47    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.18P   10.55R    4.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Aldershot vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.78     7.69    42.89    39.74    97.69    53.91P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.77     8.06    55.32    43.24    97.25    57.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.82     8.08    31.35     5.16    75.70    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.47     8.37    42.31     8.88    81.87    30.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.38     8.07    29.45     1.86    56.62    15.28P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.19     8.35    21.56     0.83    39.39     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.43     7.65    11.36     0.08    12.26     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.43     8.40    15.51     0.13    14.92     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.34     8.28    12.07     0.04     9.53     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.40     7.80    -0.32     0.00     1.75     0.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.17     8.35     1.64     0.01     4.01     0.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.44     8.20     3.32     0.01     1.94     0.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.29     8.55     0.02     0.01     3.14     0.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.26     7.52    -7.29     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.11R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.39     7.87    -5.76     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.02     8.24    -7.62     0.00     0.60     0.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      60.98     7.94     7.17     0.00     0.82     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.77     8.39     2.98     0.00     1.38     0.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.46     8.65    -3.96     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.24R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.33     7.68   -41.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.44R    1.16  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.11     7.58   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.61R    1.58  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.73     6.73   -46.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.45R   15.67  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.16     6.64   -63.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.46R   24.84  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.56     6.35   -63.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.50R   56.74