Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 9 December 2007 at 22:35:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Blackburn vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         16   37  +19      79.99     6.91    42.50    27.88    50.62    68.06    81.19    95.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      80.87     6.86    43.33    32.30    55.54    72.49    84.74    97.16     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      76.76     7.10    36.06    14.37    31.25    49.39    67.24    91.20     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      76.73     7.04    43.16    14.89    32.65    51.47    68.98    91.45     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      75.14     6.79    42.56     9.11    23.88    41.86    60.86    88.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        16   30   +3      60.49     7.42     4.02     0.12     0.49     1.57     3.83    17.50     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.13     7.28    27.56     0.52     2.28     5.92    12.45    41.75     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.56     6.95    26.13     0.66     2.71     7.26    15.42    48.84     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       16   26   +1      59.43     7.31     6.68     0.07     0.28     1.02     2.71    13.72     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        15   22   +8      58.12     7.67    16.16     0.08     0.30     0.97     2.55    12.99     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      46.88     6.75   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.38     0.67R    0.01  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.43     6.93   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    12.10R    0.23  
Tottenham       16   15   -1      43.06     7.10    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     3.38R    0.02  
Bolton          16   14   -7      37.55     7.13   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    13.80R    0.28  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      38.93     7.27   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.87R    0.17  
Middlesbrough   16   14  -13      33.78     6.48   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.34R    1.26  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.36     7.21   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.15R    0.56  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      30.77     6.51   -39.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.45R    2.63  
Wigan           16    9  -18      28.20     6.70   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.54R    7.04  
Derby           16    6  -32      16.10     5.03   -68.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R   87.81  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2007, Stoke vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          21   40   +9      80.39     8.35    18.17    18.23    39.03    81.46    48.57P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.13     8.23    41.63    49.48    69.72    94.47    77.60P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      75.71     8.48    14.59     8.46    20.66    64.29    31.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      71.84     8.42     5.87     3.08     9.39    45.36    17.24P    0.12R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34   +6      73.25     8.49    13.41     4.69    13.29    53.55    23.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.31     8.39     7.86     2.18     6.87    38.88    15.33P    0.18R    0.01  
Burnley          20   32   +5      74.48     8.91    15.34     6.87    17.70    58.95    28.04P    0.08R    0.01  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.76     8.58    11.26     1.92     6.08    34.15    13.78P    0.34R    0.01  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      66.15     8.47     0.52     0.67     2.65    22.05     6.77P    0.90R    0.07  
Southampton      21   30   -5      61.07     8.33   -11.53     0.17     0.70     8.74     2.15P    3.72R    0.39  
Ipswich          20   29   +6      71.00     8.95    16.02     3.40     9.99    44.54    19.31P    0.31R    0.03  
Coventry         20   28   -5      60.74     8.78    -9.75     0.18     0.86     9.14     2.51P    4.89R    0.49  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      62.90     8.49     2.21     0.28     1.17    13.51     4.24P    2.40R    0.28  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.44     8.37    -6.49     0.11     0.43     5.49     1.57P    6.40R    0.72  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.80     8.32    -2.56     0.06     0.27     4.89     1.48P    7.04R    0.73  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.15     8.72    -6.61     0.06     0.31     4.55     1.30P    9.84R    1.37  
Cardiff          20   23   -2      55.84     8.66    -7.05     0.05     0.22     3.52     1.05P   12.40R    1.95  
Blackpool        20   23   -4      54.31     8.71   -10.43     0.03     0.14     2.57     0.72P   16.39R    2.88  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.65     8.24   -14.73     0.01     0.03     1.07     0.27P   24.40R    5.04  
Leicester        20   22   +2      59.00     8.59     4.71     0.08     0.42     6.77     2.40P    5.86R    0.79  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.17     7.81   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   50.67R   15.70  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.54     8.48    -7.27     0.00     0.06     1.79     0.48P   18.07R    3.67  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.37     7.96   -17.85     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.03P   57.86R   20.70  
QPR              20   17  -14      40.27     7.82   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.02R   45.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Crewe vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.65     8.71    38.44    17.51    38.18    93.25    53.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.34     8.63    -3.97     0.21     0.87    23.29     3.27P    0.21R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.51     8.30    48.09    28.96    53.11    96.97    70.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      89.89     7.81    59.25    25.27    52.03    96.96    70.91P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         17   32  +15      89.71     8.99    43.61    26.57    48.80    95.18    63.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.19     8.90    12.44     0.71     2.93    45.25     9.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.74     8.63     6.13     0.08     0.50    19.24     3.99P    0.42R    0.00  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.22     8.71    -4.69     0.02     0.15     9.08     1.39P    1.63R    0.02  
Doncaster        18   27   +6      68.40     9.09    10.88     0.26     1.14    26.27     5.70P    0.33R    0.00  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.44     8.85    12.43     0.18     0.98    29.83     6.89P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         19   27   +3      68.18     8.73     9.65     0.13     0.68    25.09     4.89P    0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.19     8.90     5.11     0.03     0.20    13.66     2.21P    1.20R    0.04  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.20     8.21   -20.77     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.08P   19.20R    1.29  
Swindon          18   23   +3      62.93     9.12     5.78     0.03     0.21    11.63     2.22P    1.82R    0.06  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.44     8.19   -34.06     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.02P   32.03R    3.06  
Gillingham       18   22  -13      54.14     8.93   -24.45     0.01     0.02     1.56     0.15P   14.19R    1.14  
Oldham           17   20   +0      60.53     9.63     1.96     0.03     0.16     8.44     1.83P    4.13R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.82     9.35   -12.19     0.01     0.02     1.97     0.34P   14.36R    1.11  
Northampton      18   19   -7      46.68     8.44   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   38.66R    5.09  
Millwall         18   19   -9      47.93     8.56   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P   33.05R    4.21  
Cheltenham       18   15  -13      42.13     8.50   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.42R   14.50  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.71     9.21    -0.53     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.25P   19.08R    2.07  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      39.10     8.26   -35.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   73.01R   24.18  
Port_Vale        18   12  -14      35.30     7.98   -38.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.63R   43.02  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      96.99     8.15    53.59    43.56    83.34    99.44    88.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.50     8.54    39.43    10.73    48.40    95.02    61.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      95.12     8.26    50.43    32.24    78.30    99.02    86.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      86.97     8.74    38.47     7.84    41.50    92.83    56.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      81.14     8.84    21.46     2.26    17.36    78.98    30.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      76.78     8.79    21.02     0.65     7.80    63.84    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.27     9.18    30.00     2.56    19.83    79.41    34.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      69.57     9.42     6.55     0.10     1.99    30.73     7.35P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.53     9.19     2.97     0.04     0.79    19.82     4.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Wycombe              19   27   -2      61.56     8.89    -5.67     0.00     0.18     8.35     1.60P    0.34R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.33     8.82    -3.32     0.00     0.11     7.74     1.41P    0.36R    0.06  
Barnet               19   25   -3      55.82     8.49   -12.97     0.00     0.02     2.12     0.34P    1.60R    0.45  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.55     9.33    -0.72     0.00     0.18     7.83     1.75P    0.67R    0.19  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.36     9.05    -1.00     0.00     0.19     8.37     1.55P    0.48R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      51.78     8.59   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.14P    5.54R    1.85  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.26     8.86   -15.03     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.27P    3.25R    1.01  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.45     8.89    -9.44     0.00     0.01     1.92     0.34P    2.74R    0.80  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      51.28     8.68   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P    5.79R    1.99  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.62     7.99   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.71R   11.73  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      45.96     8.44   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   17.79R    7.85  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.75     8.14   -33.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   33.74R   16.82  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.41     8.30   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   40.20R   21.64  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      38.58     8.10   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.04R   30.42  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      48.98     9.59   -10.51     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.18P   11.65R    5.01  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Aldershot vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.75     7.76    42.92    39.24    97.55    53.71P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.91     8.06    55.56    43.68    97.23    57.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.71     8.11    31.17     5.24    75.29    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.55     8.37    42.41     8.89    81.74    30.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.46     8.04    29.56     1.88    57.35    15.67P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.15     8.31    21.50     0.85    39.40     7.60P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.37     7.70    11.27     0.03    12.31     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.46     8.36    15.54     0.13    15.10     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.35     8.22    12.11     0.04     9.34     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.37     7.84    -0.42     0.00     1.86     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.26     8.29     1.80     0.00     3.94     0.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.34     8.16     3.17     0.00     1.88     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.01     8.60    -0.44     0.01     3.05     0.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.35     7.54    -7.22     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.41     7.90    -5.64     0.00     0.62     0.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.13     8.20    -7.40     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.01     7.93     7.24     0.00     0.86     0.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.99     8.41     3.37     0.00     1.51     0.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.12     8.63    -4.53     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.26R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.34     7.71   -41.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.54R    1.05  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.18     7.61   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.29R    1.50  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.77     6.70   -46.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.30R   15.63  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.07     6.67   -63.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.85R   25.54  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.60     6.28   -63.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R   56.26