Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 December 2007 at 22:35:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Aston_Villa vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         15   37  +20      84.14     6.97    48.71    45.02    68.24    82.13    90.98    98.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   36  +21      81.13     6.80    43.86    25.35    51.67    70.69    84.07    96.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   34  +15      76.72     7.13    35.99    10.61    25.99    44.74    63.53    89.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   30  +18      77.03     6.99    43.68    11.23    28.69    48.37    67.01    90.82     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   30  +14      75.41     6.71    43.07     6.70    20.36    38.78    58.85    88.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.52     8.00     5.91     0.27     1.09     3.08     6.78    24.45     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         16   27  +13      65.02     7.18    27.35     0.33     1.45     4.40    10.11    37.85     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   27   +8      66.38     6.98    25.59     0.38     1.78     5.50    12.64    44.45     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.02     7.65     9.70     0.11     0.60     1.89     4.85    21.80     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       16   22   -3      46.89     6.76   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.30     0.52R    0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      55.06     8.12    12.99     0.01     0.13     0.40     1.16     7.04     0.06R    0.00  
Reading         16   17  -12      38.60     7.09   -32.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.85R    0.21  
Birmingham      16   14   -9      38.96     7.23   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.69R    0.15  
Fulham          16   13   -9      36.65     7.24   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.17R    0.39  
Sunderland      16   13  -16      31.01     6.50   -39.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.42R    2.13  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.12     7.43    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     4.80R    0.11  
Bolton          15   11  -10      33.86     7.29   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.85R    1.09  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.45     6.45   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.42R    4.55  
Wigan           15    9  -15      30.31     7.00   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.88R    3.81  
Derby           16    6  -32      15.92     4.95   -68.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.32R   87.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnsley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          20   39   +9      80.48     8.75    17.75    18.94    38.99    80.34    48.04P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        21   38  +19      86.20     8.15    41.70    48.16    68.98    94.84    77.20P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         21   37   +8      75.94     8.54    14.97     8.69    20.97    64.73    32.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City     21   35   +2      72.10     8.51     6.23     3.18     9.66    46.02    17.56P    0.14R    0.01  
Stoke            20   33   +6      73.62     8.91    13.38     5.74    15.13    54.75    24.95P    0.10R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    21   33   +3      70.24     8.49     7.76     2.12     6.75    38.73    15.37P    0.22R    0.01  
Burnley          20   32   +5      74.52     8.89    15.37     6.34    17.12    59.23    27.78P    0.11R    0.01  
Plymouth         21   31   +6      68.81     8.63    11.34     1.83     6.02    34.07    13.74P    0.39R    0.02  
Barnsley         21   31   -1      65.71     8.46    -0.09     0.67     2.32    20.15     6.35P    1.06R    0.07  
Southampton      21   30   -5      61.20     8.44   -11.29     0.16     0.74     9.09     2.20P    3.72R    0.34  
Ipswich          20   29   +6      71.17     8.99    16.21     3.33     9.77    45.42    19.50P    0.35R    0.02  
Coventry         20   28   -5      60.95     8.78    -9.45     0.21     0.83     9.57     2.55P    4.43R    0.45  
Sheff_Utd        21   27   +0      62.73     8.38     1.98     0.25     1.03    12.66     3.76P    2.35R    0.22  
Hull             21   27   -2      58.48     8.32    -6.40     0.08     0.33     5.22     1.41P    6.31R    0.75  
Crystal_Palace   21   25   -1      57.36     8.28    -3.21     0.04     0.21     4.19     1.25P    7.75R    0.83  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.69     8.68    -5.76     0.07     0.28     5.07     1.36P    8.54R    1.17  
Cardiff          20   23   -2      55.81     8.63    -7.12     0.03     0.19     3.41     0.89P   12.19R    1.84  
Blackpool        20   23   -4      54.14     8.68   -10.64     0.03     0.13     2.34     0.64P   16.89R    2.83  
Scunthorpe       21   23   -6      51.74     8.21   -14.58     0.01     0.03     1.01     0.25P   23.90R    4.58  
Leicester        20   22   +2      59.12     8.69     4.88     0.12     0.47     7.23     2.64P    5.73R    0.79  
Norwich          21   21  -11      46.38     7.85   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   50.28R   14.87  
Colchester       21   20   -5      53.43     8.48    -7.44     0.01     0.05     1.70     0.44P   18.49R    3.73  
Preston          21   18   -7      44.43     8.02   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   57.81R   20.90  
QPR              20   17  -14      39.97     7.72   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.19R   46.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Crewe vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.64     8.75    38.47    17.78    38.30    93.22    53.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    19   34   +1      68.17     8.61    -4.17     0.21     0.86    22.39     3.09P    0.21R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.19     8.38    47.70    28.04    52.36    96.45    69.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            19   32  +25      90.08     7.75    59.57    27.24    53.73    97.28    72.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         17   32  +15      89.29     8.83    42.85    25.10    47.37    94.96    62.39P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         19   32   +6      73.33     8.88    12.66     0.80     3.14    45.53     9.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          19   28   +3      66.82     8.70     6.24     0.09     0.50    19.57     4.14P    0.40R    0.00  
Yeovil           19   28   -1      62.25     8.67    -4.61     0.02     0.12     8.70     1.33P    1.59R    0.03  
Doncaster        18   27   +6      68.68     9.05    11.29     0.28     1.14    27.22     6.04P    0.32R    0.01  
Tranmere         19   27   +4      69.66     8.79    12.73     0.19     1.05    30.76     7.05P    0.16R    0.01  
Brighton         19   27   +3      68.45     8.86    10.03     0.14     0.79    25.92     5.49P    0.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   24   +0      64.19     8.82     5.13     0.03     0.22    13.17     2.19P    1.26R    0.04  
Crewe            19   24   -5      51.33     8.24   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P   18.79R    1.21  
Swindon          18   23   +3      63.00     9.11     5.91     0.04     0.24    11.66     2.21P    1.72R    0.05  
Huddersfield     19   23  -15      48.54     8.23   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   31.60R    2.86  
Gillingham       18   22  -13      54.49     8.99   -23.96     0.01     0.02     1.69     0.16P   13.35R    1.10  
Oldham           17   20   +0      60.02     9.54     1.30     0.02     0.13     7.44     1.55P    4.26R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.55     9.21   -12.64     0.00     0.03     1.74     0.28P   14.84R    1.12  
Northampton      18   19   -7      46.40     8.50   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   40.09R    5.47  
Millwall         18   19   -9      48.03     8.53   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   32.51R    3.97  
Cheltenham       18   15  -13      42.14     8.48   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   60.26R   14.37  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.79     9.20    -0.40     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.23P   18.92R    1.88  
Bournemouth      19   13  -16      38.98     8.20   -35.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.53R   24.73  
Port_Vale        18   12  -14      35.25     7.89   -38.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.84R   42.98  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   19   41  +23      97.06     8.12    53.72    44.71    84.06    99.47    89.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         19   37  +16      88.39     8.53    39.17    10.85    47.89    94.87    61.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.81     8.22    49.95    30.99    77.58    98.87    85.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             19   36  +16      86.97     8.54    38.51     7.52    41.42    92.93    55.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            19   36   +9      80.99     8.85    21.23     2.30    16.70    78.05    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              19   32   +9      77.27     8.79    21.69     0.77     8.52    65.43    22.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   31  +11      81.33     9.16    30.13     2.68    20.05    79.37    35.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             18   28   +2      70.02     9.46     7.29     0.12     2.24    32.10     7.98P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.52     9.34     2.93     0.04     0.88    19.83     4.82P    0.09R    0.02  
Wycombe              19   27   -2      61.66     8.77    -5.46     0.00     0.17     8.12     1.51P    0.31R    0.07  
Shrewsbury           19   25   -2      61.20     8.86    -3.52     0.00     0.11     7.50     1.51P    0.45R    0.10  
Barnet               19   25   -3      56.10     8.63   -12.52     0.00     0.03     2.22     0.41P    1.70R    0.41  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.26     9.28    -1.21     0.01     0.17     7.17     1.58P    0.79R    0.20  
Stockport            19   23   -2      61.16     9.09    -1.40     0.00     0.13     8.00     1.45P    0.55R    0.14  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -9      51.93     8.58   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.14P    5.18R    1.56  
Macclesfield         19   22   -6      54.61     8.91   -14.48     0.00     0.03     1.86     0.34P    3.00R    0.91  
Bradford             19   21   -4      54.24     8.78    -9.81     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.29P    2.69R    0.86  
Notts_County         19   21   -7      50.63     8.71   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.10P    6.77R    2.33  
Brentford            19   19  -15      43.79     8.05   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   24.98R   11.36  
Grimsby              19   17  -12      46.09     8.47   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.68R    7.77  
Dag_&_Red            19   17  -14      41.69     8.07   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   34.15R   17.02  
Lincoln_City         19   15  -14      40.43     8.26   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   39.88R   21.61  
Wrexham              18   15  -14      38.54     8.06   -36.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.30R   30.74  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      48.84     9.40   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.14P   11.44R    4.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2007, Aldershot vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           22   52  +21      97.69     7.72    42.80    39.50    97.50    53.56P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.83     8.01    55.31    43.27    97.34    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.87     8.07    31.46     5.42    75.80    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.53     8.40    42.37     8.84    81.66    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       21   38  +13      82.35     8.05    29.40     1.68    56.62    15.38P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        21   38  +10      79.30     8.36    21.73     1.00    40.05     7.91P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              23   38   +7      72.44     7.62    11.40     0.06    11.98     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              21   34   +9      72.60     8.34    15.80     0.15    15.21     3.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.44     8.28    12.22     0.04     9.50     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    22   32   +0      64.30     7.81    -0.52     0.00     1.66     0.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.21     8.36     1.70     0.02     3.88     0.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.16     8.18     2.92     0.00     1.76     0.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.16     8.52    -0.22     0.01     3.21     0.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              23   28   -3      56.44     7.53    -7.08     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
York                22   28   -4      60.38     7.90    -5.82     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      58.90     8.27    -7.87     0.00     0.54     0.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   22   26   +4      61.31     8.03     7.75     0.00     1.00     0.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             21   26   +1      61.67     8.37     2.81     0.00     1.29     0.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.48     8.55    -4.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    0.23R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.19     7.61   -41.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.68R    1.16  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      38.90     7.62   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.45R    1.59  
Stafford_Rangers    22   10  -22      28.85     6.70   -46.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.93R   15.27  
Droylsden           21   10  -28      27.25     6.70   -63.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.75R   24.45  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.47     6.34   -63.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.67R   57.53