Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 7 December 2007 at 22:35:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Newcastle vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         15   37  +20      84.34     6.95    49.53    39.01    64.72    81.14    90.92    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   33  +18      80.41     6.86    42.57    17.98    40.67    63.91    80.52    96.20     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      76.13     7.38    36.43     7.52    20.36    38.49    59.37    87.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   30  +20      83.08     6.73    53.58    31.93    59.93    78.55    89.53    98.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.26     7.91     5.50     0.12     0.69     2.09     5.43    22.98     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      71.86     7.34    37.03     2.19     7.99    19.50    36.70    74.30     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.77     7.16    31.83     1.03     4.45    11.88    25.41    64.52     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.14     7.62     9.85     0.08     0.44     1.66     4.59    22.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      63.05     7.58    23.80     0.13     0.68     2.53     6.69    28.65     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.59     7.92    12.41     0.01     0.06     0.25     0.78     5.90     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       15   19   -4      45.63     7.08   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.28     0.91R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   14   -8      40.39     7.70   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     6.49R    0.10  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.08     6.79   -42.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.55R    1.17  
Fulham          15   13   -6      38.32     7.52   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.31R    0.20  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.48     6.71   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.74R    1.95  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.72     7.37    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     3.68R    0.08  
Bolton          15   11  -10      34.14     7.25   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    22.78R    0.91  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.29     6.30   -39.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.01R    3.83  
Wigan           15    9  -15      29.99     7.02   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.04R    3.88  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.54     4.87   -68.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   87.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Barnsley vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          20   39   +9      80.65     8.75    18.18    21.66    40.34    79.69    48.55P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   35  +18      83.94     8.53    39.62    38.98    59.55    89.96    69.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         20   34   +6      72.91     8.94    10.88     6.32    14.24    48.94    22.72P    0.10R    0.01  
Bristol_City     20   34   +2      72.17     8.84     5.85     4.31    10.92    44.93    18.15P    0.13R    0.00  
Stoke            20   33   +6      73.85     8.83    13.85     6.58    15.95    53.72    25.14P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   33   +4      72.66     8.54    10.25     4.35    11.56    47.75    21.50P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   30   +6      69.54     8.86    11.92     2.85     7.67    35.78    15.12P    0.29R    0.01  
Barnsley         20   30   -1      67.06     8.86     1.20     1.32     3.92    24.63     8.29P    0.77R    0.05  
Ipswich          19   29   +8      73.66     9.14    20.08     7.00    16.59    54.38    26.70P    0.12R    0.01  
Burnley          19   29   +4      71.52     9.19    12.32     4.40    11.32    44.39    19.85P    0.28R    0.02  
Coventry         20   28   -5      61.11     8.67    -9.01     0.17     0.78     8.78     2.34P    3.70R    0.29  
Hull             20   27   +2      63.03     8.85     2.60     0.57     1.79    14.05     4.91P    2.16R    0.16  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +1      66.11     8.74     6.05     0.95     3.06    22.03     7.80P    1.06R    0.08  
Southampton      20   27   -9      56.33     8.48   -20.81     0.06     0.19     3.16     0.67P   10.05R    1.13  
Crystal_Palace   20   24   -1      57.46     8.58    -3.73     0.06     0.29     4.43     1.31P    7.28R    0.68  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.29     8.73    -6.44     0.03     0.29     4.53     1.25P    8.30R    0.99  
Leicester        19   22   +3      60.73     9.01     6.26     0.28     1.05     9.79     3.88P    3.84R    0.40  
Scunthorpe       20   22   -6      52.95     8.45   -12.95     0.01     0.09     1.46     0.39P   17.97R    3.15  
Colchester       20   20   -2      56.79     8.87    -0.96     0.05     0.22     4.28     1.18P    9.65R    1.42  
Cardiff          19   20   -5      51.76     9.02   -13.76     0.02     0.07     1.42     0.37P   24.18R    4.93  
Blackpool        19   20   -5      51.76     9.10   -12.99     0.02     0.08     1.59     0.50P   24.06R    5.09  
Preston          20   18   -6      47.03     8.40   -15.18     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.07P   41.83R   11.00  
Norwich          20   18  -12      42.98     8.00   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   63.84R   23.53  
QPR              19   16  -14      38.88     7.97   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.22R   47.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 7 December 2007, Brighton vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.78     8.82    38.69    18.71    39.87    93.42    54.30P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     18   33  +19      90.95     8.32    48.73    32.01    56.81    97.15    72.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         17   32  +15      89.26     8.92    42.78    25.38    47.84    94.86    62.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    18   31   -1      66.47     8.94    -6.50     0.14     0.64    18.71     2.50P    0.69R    0.01  
Leeds            18   29  +21      88.67     8.15    55.87    22.12    47.02    95.60    66.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         18   29   +5      71.37     9.29    11.00     0.57     2.46    38.45     7.67P    0.19R    0.00  
Doncaster        18   27   +6      68.75     9.11    11.39     0.31     1.37    28.35     6.54P    0.31R    0.00  
Brighton         19   27   +3      67.98     8.80     9.29     0.15     0.70    24.79     5.12P    0.37R    0.01  
Walsall          18   27   +3      67.42     8.98     6.50     0.14     0.70    22.43     4.61P    0.52R    0.00  
Yeovil           18   25   -3      58.76     8.98    -9.01     0.01     0.06     5.17     0.78P    4.99R    0.19  
Hartlepool       18   24   +2      67.57     9.35    10.48     0.17     0.98    24.80     5.18P    0.72R    0.01  
Tranmere         18   24   +2      67.69     9.27    10.28     0.15     0.83    24.85     5.81P    0.60R    0.02  
Swindon          17   23   +4      64.52     9.55     7.05     0.13     0.59    16.87     3.39P    1.56R    0.05  
Crewe            18   23   -5      51.20     8.59   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.11P   21.53R    1.75  
Huddersfield     18   23  -11      50.07     8.49   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.05P   26.87R    2.36  
Gillingham       18   22  -13      54.11     9.00   -24.41     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.15P   15.24R    1.40  
Oldham           17   20   +0      60.41     9.41     1.78     0.01     0.12     8.10     1.75P    4.14R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.44     9.23   -12.73     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.27P   15.77R    1.39  
Northampton      18   19   -7      46.48     8.47   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   41.01R    5.84  
Millwall         18   19   -9      47.99     8.63   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P   34.33R    4.64  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.68     8.99   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   54.61R   12.50  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.68     9.27    -0.59     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.24P   20.51R    2.45  
Bournemouth      18   13  -14      39.85     8.47   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    70.46R   22.84  
Port_Vale        18   12  -14      35.50     7.98   -37.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   85.57R   44.34  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   18   38  +18      92.94     8.81    43.99    29.00    67.76    97.38    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.81     8.31    50.18    37.44    77.17    98.63    85.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   36  +11      85.22     9.00    27.50     7.41    32.53    86.96    45.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +15      86.07     8.90    37.14     8.86    37.77    89.59    51.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             18   33  +14      86.25     8.95    38.17     9.23    39.05    89.96    52.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              18   32  +10      78.96     9.14    23.38     2.00    13.67    68.49    26.49P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         17   30  +11      83.22     9.59    33.07     5.75    27.71    81.93    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              18   27   +4      69.54     9.30    10.47     0.16     2.01    28.03     7.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.01     9.20     2.33     0.06     0.78    16.26     3.79P    0.06R    0.01  
Rochdale             17   25   +0      64.22     9.82    -0.76     0.06     0.75    13.50     3.15P    0.29R    0.07  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      63.94     9.25    -0.29     0.02     0.42    11.48     2.41P    0.20R    0.04  
Barnet               18   24   -3      56.61     9.02   -11.90     0.00     0.05     2.59     0.50P    1.48R    0.32  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.87     9.35    -0.09     0.01     0.23     7.18     1.55P    0.50R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley   18   23   -4      55.72     9.02   -13.27     0.00     0.05     2.24     0.40P    1.92R    0.49  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      55.33     9.32   -13.40     0.00     0.03     2.24     0.39P    2.67R    0.76  
Bradford             18   20   -4      52.84     8.99   -12.70     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.24P    3.96R    1.17  
Stockport            18   20   -8      53.54     9.08   -17.79     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.18P    3.94R    1.26  
Brentford            18   19  -14      45.60     8.51   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   18.31R    7.36  
Notts_County         18   18   -8      48.50     8.87   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P   10.16R    3.85  
Wrexham              17   15  -11      42.93     8.88   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.92R   13.93  
Lincoln_City         18   15  -12      40.92     8.53   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   35.93R   18.13  
Grimsby              18   14  -13      43.66     8.73   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   24.91R   11.80  
Dag_&_Red            18   14  -17      37.05     8.08   -41.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   55.75R   35.79  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      48.13     9.43   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.10P   11.98R    4.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 6 December 2007, Kidderminster vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           21   49  +20      98.20     7.84    45.10    40.26    97.66    55.57P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      98.12     8.02    56.19    43.12    97.35    56.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.52     8.14    30.92     4.62    73.29    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.75     8.29    42.83     8.35    82.30    30.11P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              22   38   +8      75.10     7.95    14.44     0.19    19.87     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.57     8.38    30.99     2.51    60.85    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.53     8.65    19.50     0.83    35.56     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.25     8.25    11.80     0.03     8.72     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      67.27     8.15     2.79     0.00     3.99     0.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.41     8.61     8.06     0.05     6.63     1.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.08     8.33     1.39     0.01     3.57     0.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.11     8.13     2.84     0.01     1.50     0.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.14     8.58    -0.22     0.01     2.92     0.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.08     8.27    -7.58     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.09R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.68     8.77    10.01     0.01     3.95     0.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.26     7.78   -10.38     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.45R    0.00  
York                21   25   -5      57.66     8.22    -8.71     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.20R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   21   23   +1      59.12     8.22     3.84     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.52     8.66    -3.97     0.00     0.43     0.10P    0.25R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.28     7.73   -41.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.83R    1.26  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.24     7.55   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.73R    1.56  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      28.04     6.75   -48.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.72R   19.94  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.75     6.91   -59.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.96R   19.48  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.71     6.30   -63.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.64R   57.75