Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 December 2007 at 22:37:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Newcastle vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         15   37  +20      84.02     7.03    48.90    37.70    63.28    79.77    89.79    98.20     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   33  +18      80.69     6.83    42.97    18.78    42.50    65.87    81.93    96.50     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      76.08     7.28    36.40     7.47    20.09    38.20    59.29    88.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   30  +20      83.06     6.67    53.52    32.35    59.74    78.51    89.73    98.22     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.31     7.86     5.63     0.11     0.65     2.00     5.45    22.92     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      71.98     7.29    37.15     2.40     8.36    19.86    37.24    74.94     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.66     7.13    31.59     0.95     4.14    11.45    24.54    63.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.26     7.56    10.02     0.09     0.41     1.62     4.58    22.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      62.98     7.57    23.68     0.14     0.76     2.45     6.50    28.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.78     8.12    12.64     0.01     0.07     0.28     0.94     6.74     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       15   19   -4      45.52     7.07   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.95R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   14   -8      40.55     7.75   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     6.47R    0.13  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.13     6.85   -42.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.09R    1.15  
Fulham          15   13   -6      38.31     7.52   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     9.26R    0.18  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.51     6.66   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.88R    1.78  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.50     7.39    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     4.14R    0.09  
Bolton          15   11  -10      33.67     7.11   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    24.31R    0.87  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.60     6.43   -39.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.52R    3.80  
Wigan           15    9  -15      30.21     6.94   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.83R    3.26  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.43     4.82   -68.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.48R   88.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Barnsley vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          20   39   +9      80.85     8.80    18.53    22.51    41.56    80.16    49.73P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   35  +18      84.11     8.56    39.89    39.35    59.98    90.44    69.62P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         20   34   +6      72.77     8.95    10.67     5.86    13.56    48.69    21.89P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_City     20   34   +2      71.84     8.91     5.35     3.99    10.36    43.73    17.67P    0.14R    0.01  
Stoke            20   33   +6      73.53     8.89    13.32     6.22    15.64    52.65    24.69P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   33   +4      72.87     8.54    10.56     4.75    12.04    48.78    22.18P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   30   +6      69.85     8.93    12.44     3.13     8.42    37.53    16.28P    0.29R    0.01  
Barnsley         20   30   -1      67.10     8.90     1.26     1.32     4.02    25.09     8.44P    0.84R    0.07  
Ipswich          19   29   +8      73.42     9.20    19.72     6.62    15.88    53.65    26.07P    0.13R    0.01  
Burnley          19   29   +4      71.34     9.17    12.03     4.02    10.80    43.40    18.86P    0.25R    0.03  
Coventry         20   28   -5      60.84     8.65    -9.43     0.14     0.69     8.40     2.14P    3.73R    0.33  
Hull             20   27   +2      62.97     8.83     2.51     0.51     1.57    13.79     4.71P    2.19R    0.17  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +1      65.80     8.81     5.63     0.93     3.06    21.50     7.58P    1.19R    0.10  
Southampton      20   27   -9      56.52     8.61   -20.57     0.06     0.25     3.46     0.80P   10.28R    1.24  
Crystal_Palace   20   24   -1      57.46     8.69    -3.75     0.09     0.35     4.68     1.42P    7.54R    0.78  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.60     8.77    -5.90     0.09     0.33     4.80     1.44P    8.00R    1.00  
Leicester        19   22   +3      60.94     8.99     6.53     0.28     1.01    10.26     3.99P    3.91R    0.45  
Scunthorpe       20   22   -6      52.86     8.43   -13.18     0.01     0.05     1.38     0.34P   18.50R    3.27  
Colchester       20   20   -2      56.64     8.87    -1.15     0.06     0.22     4.21     1.15P   10.06R    1.54  
Cardiff          19   20   -5      51.83     9.00   -13.69     0.02     0.11     1.46     0.43P   24.19R    4.79  
Blackpool        19   20   -5      51.85     9.03   -12.84     0.03     0.11     1.62     0.49P   23.78R    5.00  
Preston          20   18   -6      47.10     8.43   -15.17     0.01     0.01     0.24     0.07P   41.62R   11.44  
Norwich          20   18  -12      42.98     8.06   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   63.95R   24.16  
QPR              19   16  -14      39.23     8.02   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.16R   45.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Southend vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.61     8.74    38.41    20.29    42.00    93.11    55.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   32  +15      89.50     8.94    43.18    29.30    52.29    94.89    65.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    18   31   -1      66.60     8.99    -6.26     0.23     0.89    18.70     2.81P    0.66R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     17   30  +17      87.83     8.86    44.27    23.03    44.68    93.12    62.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            18   29  +21      88.52     8.18    55.68    24.55    49.73    95.14    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         18   29   +5      71.55     9.18    11.34     0.71     2.72    38.04     7.84P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster        18   27   +6      68.88     9.07    11.51     0.41     1.50    27.74     6.53P    0.32R    0.00  
Brighton         18   27   +5      70.61     8.98    13.36     0.61     2.17    34.20     8.59P    0.18R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +3      68.02     9.12     7.33     0.31     1.22    23.99     5.54P    0.45R    0.00  
Yeovil           18   25   -3      58.30     8.85    -9.72     0.00     0.03     4.34     0.68P    5.38R    0.22  
Hartlepool       18   24   +2      67.24     9.36     9.91     0.21     0.95    23.22     4.69P    0.80R    0.02  
Tranmere         18   24   +2      67.32     9.25     9.77     0.18     0.90    22.80     5.41P    0.68R    0.02  
Swindon          17   23   +4      64.59     9.61     7.11     0.13     0.69    16.69     3.68P    1.57R    0.05  
Crewe            18   23   -5      51.33     8.56   -21.59     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.09P   21.34R    1.77  
Huddersfield     18   23  -11      49.84     8.41   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P   27.99R    2.59  
Gillingham       18   22  -13      53.94     8.94   -24.75     0.01     0.02     1.50     0.14P   15.59R    1.34  
Oldham           17   20   +0      60.07     9.57     1.30     0.03     0.15     7.83     1.77P    4.48R    0.22  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.35     9.29   -12.89     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.27P   16.72R    1.47  
Northampton      18   19   -7      46.64     8.44   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   40.60R    5.57  
Millwall         18   19   -9      48.15     8.56   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   33.51R    4.37  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.80     8.93   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   54.43R   12.27  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.80     9.31    -0.32     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.29P   20.04R    2.33  
Bournemouth      18   13  -14      40.32     8.60   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    68.73R   21.74  
Port_Vale        18   12  -14      35.27     7.96   -38.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.37R   46.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   18   38  +18      93.18     8.65    44.44    30.11    69.53    97.70    77.73P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.46     8.43    49.68    36.06    75.59    98.32    83.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   36  +11      85.40     9.06    27.79     7.73    33.39    87.20    46.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +15      85.76     9.01    36.53     8.81    36.66    88.80    50.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             18   33  +14      86.19     9.02    38.06     9.23    39.19    89.33    52.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              18   32  +10      79.23     9.12    23.79     2.27    14.13    69.80    27.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         17   30  +11      83.16     9.45    32.82     5.54    27.21    81.69    40.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              18   27   +4      69.12     9.36     9.85     0.11     1.75    26.33     7.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.27     9.27     2.70     0.05     0.93    16.86     4.03P    0.06R    0.01  
Rochdale             17   25   +0      64.30     9.65    -0.68     0.04     0.66    13.50     3.07P    0.20R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      64.10     9.29    -0.04     0.02     0.50    11.92     2.62P    0.20R    0.04  
Barnet               18   24   -3      56.87     9.14   -11.52     0.00     0.07     2.86     0.59P    1.45R    0.37  
Bury                 18   23   +1      61.20     9.39     0.43     0.03     0.24     7.31     1.64P    0.45R    0.08  
Accrington_Stanley   18   23   -4      55.94     9.19   -12.87     0.00     0.06     2.58     0.47P    1.99R    0.56  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      55.31     9.22   -13.41     0.00     0.03     2.14     0.31P    2.48R    0.73  
Bradford             18   20   -4      53.03     9.12   -12.34     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.24P    3.69R    1.07  
Stockport            18   20   -8      53.46     9.18   -18.00     0.00     0.02     1.33     0.19P    3.98R    1.27  
Brentford            18   19  -14      45.70     8.59   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   17.69R    7.21  
Notts_County         18   18   -8      48.31     8.99   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   10.59R    3.79  
Wrexham              17   15  -11      42.68     8.83   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   28.49R   13.96  
Lincoln_City         18   15  -12      40.83     8.46   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.45R   17.64  
Grimsby              18   14  -13      43.63     8.90   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   25.14R   12.36  
Dag_&_Red            18   14  -17      36.93     8.07   -41.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.04R   35.91  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      47.94     9.38   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P   12.05R    4.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 6 December 2007, Kidderminster vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           21   49  +20      98.37     7.81    45.44    40.87    97.63    56.31P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      98.13     8.00    56.15    42.89    97.37    56.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       21   41  +13      86.74     8.13    31.20     4.63    74.27    22.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.76     8.34    42.91     8.13    81.92    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              22   38   +8      75.09     7.90    14.40     0.16    19.90     3.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.51     8.40    30.86     2.35    60.35    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.63     8.69    19.72     0.86    35.74     6.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.45     8.26    12.18     0.03     8.88     1.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      66.86     8.07     2.19     0.00     3.50     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.39     8.58     7.99     0.04     6.48     1.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       21   31   +1      66.14     8.39     1.43     0.01     3.74     0.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.38     8.15     3.17     0.00     1.68     0.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.13     8.54    -0.36     0.01     2.67     0.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.12     8.24    -7.50     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.10R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.68     8.83    10.04     0.01     4.17     1.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.17     7.69   -10.46     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.42R    0.00  
York                21   25   -5      57.68     8.12    -8.74     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.18R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   21   23   +1      59.00     8.25     3.62     0.00     0.48     0.11P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.28     8.60    -4.36     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.26R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.25     7.58   -41.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.42R    1.25  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.20     7.59   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.22R    1.51  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      27.85     6.67   -48.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.49R   20.55  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.88     7.04   -58.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.41R   18.76  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.75     6.34   -63.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.36R   57.92