Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 December 2007 at 22:36:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Newcastle vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         15   37  +20      84.27     7.01    49.35    38.75    64.40    80.65    90.49    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   33  +18      80.69     6.83    43.02    18.47    42.04    65.37    81.73    96.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      75.95     7.34    36.39     7.28    19.85    37.41    58.01    87.60     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   30  +20      83.07     6.70    53.30    31.98    59.47    78.51    89.57    98.04     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.40     7.90     5.72     0.10     0.66     2.10     5.33    23.14     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      72.09     7.19    37.40     2.18     8.08    19.53    37.38    74.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.79     7.19    31.98     1.02     4.27    12.00    25.17    63.93     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.20     7.53     9.94     0.08     0.44     1.57     4.50    21.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      63.11     7.60    23.99     0.14     0.71     2.57     6.83    28.84     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.73     8.10    12.68     0.01     0.07     0.28     0.96     6.37     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       15   19   -4      45.44     7.07   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26     0.97R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   14   -8      40.29     7.68   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     6.44R    0.09  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.41     6.82   -42.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.08R    0.98  
Fulham          15   13   -6      38.25     7.67   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.82R    0.30  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.21     6.55   -40.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.06R    1.69  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.35     7.36    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     4.01R    0.10  
Bolton          15   11  -10      33.88     7.27   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.80R    0.94  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.48     6.40   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.26R    3.51  
Wigan           15    9  -15      30.18     7.03   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.99R    3.42  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.41     4.81   -68.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   88.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Barnsley vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          20   39   +9      80.42     8.72    17.84    21.07    39.32    78.76    47.55P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   35  +18      84.42     8.52    40.35    40.81    61.85    90.97    71.12P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         20   34   +6      72.48     8.84    10.26     5.36    12.84    47.30    21.03P    0.12R    0.02  
Bristol_City     20   34   +2      72.04     8.87     5.60     3.99    10.86    44.68    18.13P    0.13R    0.00  
Stoke            20   33   +6      73.82     8.88    13.79     6.54    15.99    53.83    25.11P    0.11R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    20   33   +4      72.77     8.71    10.44     4.89    12.12    48.43    22.13P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   30   +6      70.04     8.94    12.72     3.05     8.48    38.62    16.66P    0.26R    0.02  
Barnsley         20   30   -1      67.10     8.78     1.24     1.25     3.73    24.64     8.11P    0.80R    0.06  
Ipswich          19   29   +8      73.30     9.25    19.55     6.60    16.00    53.09    25.72P    0.13R    0.00  
Burnley          19   29   +4      71.38     9.15    12.09     4.15    10.69    43.67    19.02P    0.29R    0.02  
Coventry         20   28   -5      61.25     8.78    -8.84     0.25     0.92     9.44     2.74P    3.74R    0.30  
Hull             20   27   +2      63.31     8.89     3.10     0.53     1.90    14.73     5.31P    1.99R    0.17  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +1      65.80     8.78     5.54     0.85     2.88    21.62     7.56P    1.13R    0.10  
Southampton      20   27   -9      56.22     8.52   -21.09     0.05     0.21     3.04     0.71P   10.71R    1.44  
Crystal_Palace   20   24   -1      57.29     8.64    -4.00     0.09     0.35     4.39     1.42P    7.64R    0.78  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.30     8.75    -6.40     0.08     0.34     4.46     1.27P    8.63R    1.06  
Leicester        19   22   +3      60.83     8.93     6.45     0.35     1.06     9.84     4.00P    3.85R    0.42  
Scunthorpe       20   22   -6      52.92     8.43   -13.05     0.02     0.08     1.42     0.38P   18.37R    3.31  
Colchester       20   20   -2      56.46     8.79    -1.46     0.04     0.20     3.82     1.17P   10.27R    1.63  
Cardiff          19   20   -5      51.61     9.01   -14.08     0.02     0.07     1.32     0.34P   24.49R    5.18  
Blackpool        19   20   -5      51.80     9.00   -12.88     0.01     0.09     1.58     0.43P   23.97R    4.99  
Preston          20   18   -6      47.15     8.45   -15.07     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.09P   41.86R   11.19  
Norwich          20   18  -12      43.21     8.06   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   62.81R   23.72  
QPR              19   16  -14      39.34     8.05   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.64R   45.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Southend vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.38     8.81    38.12    19.95    41.36    92.77    54.90P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         17   32  +15      89.43     8.98    42.99    29.20    52.39    94.74    65.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    18   31   -1      66.74     9.04    -6.06     0.25     0.95    19.36     2.99P    0.66R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     17   30  +17      87.76     8.88    44.23    23.12    44.74    93.16    62.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            18   29  +21      88.58     8.26    55.75    24.88    50.07    95.19    68.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         18   29   +5      71.46     9.35    11.16     0.83     2.99    38.10     8.35P    0.16R    0.00  
Doncaster        18   27   +6      68.78     9.00    11.48     0.35     1.47    27.03     6.43P    0.35R    0.01  
Brighton         18   27   +5      70.57     8.98    13.24     0.52     2.13    34.41     8.48P    0.21R    0.00  
Walsall          18   27   +3      67.61     9.08     6.80     0.22     0.96    23.27     5.11P    0.49R    0.00  
Yeovil           18   25   -3      58.44     9.00    -9.51     0.01     0.09     4.76     0.84P    5.39R    0.20  
Hartlepool       18   24   +2      67.40     9.12    10.18     0.23     0.99    23.12     4.80P    0.69R    0.03  
Tranmere         18   24   +2      67.41     9.18     9.96     0.20     0.83    23.21     5.38P    0.66R    0.01  
Swindon          17   23   +4      64.43     9.82     6.89     0.20     0.78    16.75     3.75P    1.95R    0.08  
Crewe            18   23   -5      51.61     8.55   -20.91     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.10P   20.19R    1.47  
Huddersfield     18   23  -11      49.98     8.53   -30.16     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.05P   27.34R    2.54  
Gillingham       18   22  -13      53.94     9.11   -24.81     0.00     0.02     1.54     0.16P   16.26R    1.49  
Oldham           17   20   +0      60.58     9.54     2.04     0.03     0.18     8.20     1.90P    4.29R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.03     9.20   -13.28     0.00     0.01     1.45     0.23P   17.10R    1.54  
Northampton      18   19   -7      46.68     8.47   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   40.66R    5.53  
Millwall         18   19   -9      48.26     8.59   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   33.31R    4.30  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.73     9.01   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   54.54R   12.51  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.93     9.25    -0.17     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.28P   19.56R    2.11  
Bournemouth      18   13  -14      40.00     8.60   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   70.20R   22.73  
Port_Vale        18   12  -14      35.37     8.01   -38.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.98R   45.23  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 December 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   18   38  +18      93.08     8.68    44.34    29.39    69.09    97.59    77.24P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.50     8.42    49.75    36.43    75.89    98.45    84.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            18   36  +11      85.26     9.15    27.49     7.58    33.19    86.83    46.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +15      85.87     9.03    36.75     9.14    37.33    89.08    50.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             18   33  +14      86.08     8.97    37.81     9.05    38.52    89.46    52.04P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              18   32  +10      78.76     9.21    23.04     2.15    13.35    67.65    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         17   30  +11      83.27     9.55    33.08     5.93    28.07    82.25    41.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              18   27   +4      69.11     9.31     9.83     0.17     1.84    26.89     7.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      66.09     9.31     2.50     0.07     0.90    16.68     3.89P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             17   25   +0      64.32     9.85    -0.60     0.06     0.88    14.14     3.49P    0.23R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      64.07     9.33    -0.04     0.02     0.54    12.55     2.71P    0.20R    0.04  
Barnet               18   24   -3      56.88     8.92   -11.50     0.00     0.06     2.69     0.51P    1.31R    0.31  
Bury                 18   23   +1      60.93     9.25    -0.02     0.00     0.21     7.00     1.53P    0.49R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   18   23   -4      56.01     9.11   -12.75     0.00     0.06     2.55     0.52P    1.88R    0.48  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      55.08     9.27   -13.83     0.00     0.03     2.26     0.37P    2.84R    0.82  
Bradford             18   20   -4      53.04     9.11   -12.33     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.29P    3.92R    1.19  
Stockport            18   20   -8      53.49     9.22   -17.85     0.00     0.02     1.41     0.24P    4.01R    1.29  
Brentford            18   19  -14      45.56     8.55   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   18.38R    7.43  
Notts_County         18   18   -8      48.61     8.94   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P    9.91R    3.54  
Wrexham              17   15  -11      42.98     8.78   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.62R   13.55  
Lincoln_City         18   15  -12      40.94     8.55   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   35.82R   17.92  
Grimsby              18   14  -13      43.93     8.86   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.29R   11.63  
Dag_&_Red            18   14  -17      36.90     8.02   -41.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.82R   36.59  
Mansfield            17   13   -4      48.09     9.40   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P   12.18R    5.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Rushden_&_D'monds vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           21   49  +20      98.54     7.82    45.64    40.11    97.73    55.49P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      98.07     8.08    56.13    39.97    97.17    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.61     8.39    34.92     8.71    82.31    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.98     8.35    43.39     8.02    81.93    29.78P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              22   38   +8      74.94     7.94    14.15     0.14    18.05     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.48     8.44    30.83     2.20    59.09    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.71     8.63    19.83     0.76    34.95     6.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.06     8.28    11.53     0.02     7.61     1.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      66.88     8.24     2.20     0.01     3.41     0.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.42     8.63     7.97     0.04     6.34     1.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.49     8.19     3.31     0.00     1.60     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.30     8.50    -0.07     0.01     2.76     0.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.99     8.63    -2.33     0.00     1.90     0.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.06     8.16    -7.64     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.11R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.66     8.73     9.99     0.00     3.66     0.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.35     7.76   -10.23     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.41R    0.00  
York                21   25   -5      57.71     8.22    -8.61     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.21R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   21   23   +1      58.96     8.24     3.60     0.00     0.47     0.11P    0.12R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.44     8.61    -4.08     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.25R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.26     7.62   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.20R    1.15  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.30     7.63   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.85R    1.52  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      27.59     6.64   -49.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.41R   21.12  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.89     7.05   -59.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.04R   18.61  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.69     6.39   -63.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.32R   57.59