Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 December 2007 at 22:35:37 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2007, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         14   36  +20      86.49     7.26    53.52    49.07    73.40    86.40    93.64    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   33  +18      80.77     6.93    43.16    16.23    40.53    64.92    81.58    96.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      75.96     7.36    36.19     6.18    17.71    36.13    57.81    87.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   30  +20      82.84     6.74    53.13    25.68    55.72    76.48    88.62    98.05     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.38     7.95     5.69     0.15     0.68     2.20     5.52    23.51     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      71.90     7.34    36.93     1.76     7.15    18.59    36.29    74.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.75     7.20    31.79     0.78     3.84    11.49    25.10    64.33     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.18     7.53     9.88     0.04     0.33     1.43     4.53    22.28     0.00     0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      62.81     7.55    23.38     0.11     0.59     2.14     6.03    27.58     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.84     8.05    12.78     0.01     0.05     0.22     0.86     6.65     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   -4      44.21     7.35   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.93R    0.02  
Birmingham      15   14   -8      40.35     7.69   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     6.54R    0.11  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.30     6.86   -42.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.69R    1.12  
Fulham          15   13   -6      38.43     7.56   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.22R    0.21  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.49     6.69   -39.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.74R    1.67  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.54     7.43    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     4.01R    0.08  
Bolton          15   11  -10      33.82     7.25   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.12R    0.93  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.39     6.40   -39.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.97R    3.91  
Wigan           15    9  -15      30.36     7.10   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.19R    3.40  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.45     4.80   -68.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R   88.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Barnsley vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          20   39   +9      80.41     8.84    17.82    21.07    39.50    78.64    47.73P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        20   35  +18      84.45     8.45    40.41    40.88    61.60    90.99    71.28P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         20   34   +6      72.88     8.90    10.78     5.83    13.77    48.99    22.37P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City     20   34   +2      71.98     8.85     5.53     3.79    10.37    44.18    17.76P    0.15R    0.00  
Stoke            20   33   +6      73.91     8.88    13.92     6.73    16.22    54.56    25.62P    0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   33   +4      72.75     8.52    10.37     4.40    11.60    48.19    21.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   30   +6      69.56     8.94    11.96     2.79     7.80    36.11    15.19P    0.32R    0.01  
Barnsley         20   30   -1      67.12     8.91     1.28     1.34     3.89    24.82     8.38P    0.82R    0.06  
Ipswich          19   29   +8      73.56     9.15    19.90     6.69    16.24    54.05    26.39P    0.12R    0.01  
Burnley          19   29   +4      71.67     9.24    12.52     4.41    11.41    45.07    20.19P    0.27R    0.02  
Coventry         20   28   -5      61.13     8.71    -9.03     0.20     0.81     9.12     2.31P    3.62R    0.35  
Hull             20   27   +2      63.04     8.84     2.59     0.46     1.71    14.02     4.75P    2.17R    0.14  
Sheff_Utd        20   27   +1      65.96     8.83     5.79     0.93     2.97    21.88     7.49P    1.13R    0.10  
Southampton      20   27   -9      56.38     8.48   -20.71     0.05     0.20     3.12     0.65P   10.37R    1.29  
Crystal_Palace   20   24   -1      57.35     8.62    -3.89     0.07     0.32     4.47     1.39P    7.44R    0.73  
Sheff_Wed        20   24   -3      57.37     8.66    -6.26     0.08     0.29     4.38     1.20P    8.13R    0.93  
Leicester        19   22   +3      60.37     8.93     5.78     0.21     0.91     9.00     3.50P    4.32R    0.49  
Scunthorpe       20   22   -6      52.78     8.42   -13.20     0.01     0.07     1.29     0.33P   18.62R    3.38  
Colchester       20   20   -2      56.55     8.82    -1.31     0.03     0.17     3.89     1.07P   10.02R    1.59  
Cardiff          19   20   -5      51.95     9.01   -13.43     0.02     0.07     1.38     0.39P   23.30R    4.62  
Blackpool        19   20   -5      51.50     9.06   -13.35     0.02     0.08     1.49     0.40P   25.22R    5.52  
Preston          20   18   -6      47.18     8.50   -15.04     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P   41.43R   10.97  
Norwich          20   18  -12      43.24     8.03   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   62.90R   23.09  
QPR              19   16  -14      39.16     8.06   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.39R   46.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Carlisle vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          18   34  +14      87.78     8.83    38.77    21.37    43.34    93.41    56.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   32  +15      89.35     8.94    42.94    28.54    51.63    94.90    64.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    18   31   -1      66.60     8.95    -6.34     0.16     0.82    19.13     2.86P    0.66R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     17   30  +17      88.01     8.90    44.65    23.80    45.87    93.57    63.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            18   29  +21      88.35     8.16    55.17    23.87    48.70    95.33    66.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        18   27   +6      68.74     9.15    11.38     0.35     1.49    28.34     6.88P    0.42R    0.01  
Brighton         18   27   +5      70.45     9.13    13.08     0.59     2.24    34.96     8.84P    0.24R    0.01  
Walsall          18   27   +3      67.52     9.11     6.68     0.21     0.96    23.28     5.06P    0.52R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      68.82     9.64     6.44     0.49     1.90    29.22     5.88P    0.60R    0.02  
Yeovil           18   25   -3      58.54     8.83    -9.41     0.01     0.06     4.64     0.79P    5.15R    0.21  
Hartlepool       18   24   +2      67.78     9.32    10.77     0.25     1.10    25.26     5.35P    0.76R    0.02  
Tranmere         18   24   +2      67.89     9.15    10.59     0.20     1.10    25.31     6.18P    0.61R    0.02  
Swindon          17   23   +4      64.75     9.55     7.37     0.12     0.56    17.43     3.71P    1.52R    0.06  
Crewe            18   23   -5      51.31     8.62   -21.60     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.09P   21.92R    1.83  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.24     9.11   -24.95     0.01     0.03     1.42     0.16P   20.86R    1.81  
Gillingham       18   22  -13      53.55     9.01   -25.38     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.17P   17.24R    1.65  
Oldham           17   20   +0      60.20     9.53     1.55     0.03     0.16     8.04     1.71P    4.41R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.07     9.22   -13.25     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.30P   17.34R    1.58  
Northampton      18   19   -7      46.57     8.52   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   41.69R    5.77  
Millwall         18   19   -9      48.15     8.53   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   34.09R    4.47  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.62     8.95   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00P   55.63R   12.53  
Luton            18   13   -1      51.61     9.27    -0.70     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.25P   20.84R    2.52  
Bournemouth      18   13  -14      40.28     8.59   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   69.34R   22.13  
Port_Vale        18   12  -14      35.45     7.95   -37.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.14R   45.17  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Brentford vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   18   38  +18      92.89     8.85    43.95    28.19    68.12    97.20    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           18   36  +20      94.57     8.38    50.07    35.67    76.28    98.52    84.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +15      85.98     8.90    36.86     8.52    37.24    90.08    51.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             18   33  +14      85.96     8.92    37.59     8.74    37.48    90.01    52.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   33   +9      81.04     9.71    21.75     3.84    19.91    74.82    32.24P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              18   32  +10      78.70     9.25    22.90     1.93    13.20    68.39    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   30  +13      86.99     9.88    39.29    12.81    43.32    89.52    55.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              18   27   +4      69.73     9.39    10.73     0.17     2.12    30.07     8.47P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            18   27   +1      65.88     9.23     2.19     0.05     0.80    16.62     3.85P    0.09R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      64.44     9.40     0.45     0.04     0.61    13.67     3.18P    0.23R    0.05  
Barnet               18   24   -3      56.64     8.99   -11.92     0.00     0.05     2.76     0.52P    1.45R    0.31  
Bury                 18   23   +1      61.02     9.33     0.03     0.01     0.28     7.57     1.74P    0.54R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   17   23   -3      57.81     9.50   -11.03     0.00     0.09     4.39     0.84P    1.40R    0.39  
Rochdale             16   22   -1      61.19     9.91    -3.84     0.03     0.39     9.11     2.05P    0.73R    0.19  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      55.16     9.15   -13.69     0.00     0.04     2.17     0.38P    2.66R    0.78  
Stockport            18   20   -8      53.53     9.17   -17.71     0.00     0.01     1.54     0.21P    3.86R    1.19  
Bradford             17   19   -4      53.71     9.49   -12.46     0.00     0.04     1.96     0.42P    3.80R    1.21  
Brentford            18   19  -14      45.21     8.51   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   20.00R    8.19  
Notts_County         18   18   -8      48.80     9.06   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P   10.16R    3.62  
Wrexham              17   15  -11      42.83     8.94   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   28.70R   14.63  
Lincoln_City         18   15  -12      41.38     8.44   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.44R   16.27  
Grimsby              18   14  -13      43.62     8.75   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   25.37R   12.19  
Dag_&_Red            18   14  -17      36.96     8.06   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.32R   36.08  
Mansfield            16   12   -4      49.26     9.86   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.18P   11.23R    4.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2007, Rushden_&_D'monds vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           21   49  +20      98.23     7.79    45.17    39.40    97.50    54.59P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.82     8.04    55.55    39.78    97.00    54.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.74     8.30    35.14     9.10    82.69    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.98     8.37    43.16     8.45    81.54    30.20P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              22   38   +8      74.88     7.97    14.09     0.14    18.04     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.49     8.39    30.81     2.35    58.95    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.68     8.70    19.86     0.72    34.71     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.47     8.29    12.17     0.02     8.52     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      67.02     8.23     2.37     0.00     3.61     0.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.43     8.62     8.11     0.02     6.34     1.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.18     8.29     2.92     0.00     1.43     0.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.23     8.57    -0.13     0.00     2.79     0.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.90     8.55    -2.48     0.00     1.76     0.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.15     8.15    -7.43     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.63     8.79    10.02     0.01     3.69     0.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.38     7.76   -10.22     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.42R    0.00  
York                21   25   -5      57.76     8.15    -8.52     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.22R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   21   23   +1      58.73     8.20     3.23     0.00     0.43     0.10P    0.14R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.48     8.57    -4.04     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.28R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.34     7.65   -41.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.52R    1.22  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.34     7.61   -36.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.95R    1.56  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      27.93     6.61   -48.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.58R   20.07  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.83     7.10   -59.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.32R   19.34  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.71     6.40   -63.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.38R   57.80