Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 3 December 2007 at 22:34:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2007, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         14   36  +20      86.58     7.22    53.74    49.56    73.56    86.38    93.57    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   33  +18      80.74     6.81    43.22    15.60    39.78    64.48    81.43    96.65     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      76.02     7.28    36.36     6.08    17.68    35.81    57.50    87.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   30  +20      82.88     6.69    53.26    25.80    55.64    76.60    88.60    98.13     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.36     7.88     5.67     0.13     0.60     1.98     5.16    23.16     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      72.07     7.33    37.38     1.73     7.49    19.21    37.19    74.62     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.85     7.20    31.95     0.92     4.21    11.69    25.14    63.98     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.27     7.57     9.91     0.07     0.36     1.41     4.49    22.45     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      62.86     7.65    23.44     0.10     0.64     2.24     6.17    27.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.71     7.91    12.60     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.73     5.99     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   -4      43.74     7.37   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     2.03R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   14   -8      40.64     7.79   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     6.17R    0.12  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.21     6.79   -42.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.48R    1.24  
Fulham          15   13   -6      38.39     7.62   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     9.24R    0.25  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.50     6.68   -39.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.35R    1.73  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.70     7.37    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     3.57R    0.08  
Bolton          15   11  -10      33.87     7.32   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.09R    1.05  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.30     6.39   -40.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.90R    4.27  
Wigan           15    9  -15      29.91     7.04   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.87R    4.13  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.65     4.90   -67.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   87.12  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2007, Scunthorpe vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          19   36   +8      79.07     9.09    17.18    11.66    29.39    72.59    38.53P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        19   35  +20      89.17     8.54    47.78    57.58    76.35    96.19    83.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   33   +5      75.43     8.90    13.14     5.71    16.23    59.06    28.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         19   31   +4      69.29     9.13     5.81     2.08     6.07    32.60    12.25P    0.39R    0.02  
Bristol_City     19   31   +0      68.24     9.10     0.36     1.15     4.21    28.06     9.08P    0.43R    0.02  
Plymouth         19   30   +7      73.19     9.28    16.42     4.26    12.97    50.44    22.98P    0.08R    0.01  
Stoke            19   30   +3      69.23     9.13     6.03     1.61     5.86    32.87    11.77P    0.32R    0.01  
Ipswich          18   29  +10      76.80     9.41    25.03     8.77    23.40    66.08    34.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          18   28   +4      72.19     9.34    12.79     3.39    10.76    45.64    19.36P    0.16R    0.01  
Hull             19   27   +5      67.03     9.16     9.62     1.03     3.81    25.75     9.74P    0.70R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        19   27   +4      70.02     9.11    12.96     1.83     6.74    37.20    14.51P    0.29R    0.01  
Barnsley         19   27   -2      64.36     9.05    -1.41     0.45     1.73    16.16     4.66P    1.51R    0.12  
Southampton      19   26   -9      57.08     8.84   -20.76     0.05     0.25     3.80     0.76P    8.04R    0.88  
Coventry         19   25   -7      55.48     8.78   -17.55     0.02     0.14     2.72     0.59P   10.38R    1.28  
Sheff_Wed        19   23   -3      57.88     9.07    -6.50     0.06     0.32     5.16     1.34P    6.81R    0.77  
Scunthorpe       20   22   -6      52.78     8.47   -13.34     0.00     0.04     1.19     0.29P   15.66R    2.31  
Leicester        18   21   +3      60.59     9.31     5.69     0.20     0.89     9.83     3.76P    3.74R    0.36  
Crystal_Palace   19   21   -2      55.74     8.96    -4.86     0.03     0.15     3.23     0.89P    9.48R    1.18  
Colchester       19   20   -1      58.64     9.14     0.92     0.06     0.41     6.67     2.02P    5.65R    0.71  
Cardiff          18   20   -3      54.75     9.40    -9.35     0.04     0.21     3.11     0.93P   13.28R    2.05  
Blackpool        19   20   -5      52.32     8.98   -12.24     0.00     0.05     1.51     0.40P   18.49R    3.19  
QPR              18   16  -13      40.57     8.35   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   70.36R   30.74  
Preston          19   15   -9      42.50     8.50   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   60.00R   21.19  
Norwich          19   15  -13      39.49     8.04   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.17R   35.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          17   31  +11      85.76     9.23    35.02    15.85    36.57    88.82    50.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    17   31   +0      70.18     9.39    -1.75     0.76     2.72    30.79     6.00P    0.33R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     16   30  +18      91.56     9.23    49.26    41.04    64.02    96.05    75.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         16   29  +12      85.45     9.64    35.99    17.28    36.50    87.08    50.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   26  +18      87.22     8.70    52.99    21.41    45.77    92.80    63.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        17   26   +6      69.66     9.55    12.12     0.71     2.69    31.39     8.26P    0.40R    0.02  
Brighton         17   26   +5      69.91     9.50    11.69     0.75     2.60    31.94     8.46P    0.34R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      68.61     9.78     6.19     0.51     2.12    27.43     6.32P    0.62R    0.02  
Tranmere         17   24   +4      71.24     9.59    15.30     0.78     3.19    38.16    11.92P    0.24R    0.00  
Walsall          17   24   +2      63.88     9.58     2.75     0.17     0.70    13.74     3.37P    1.90R    0.06  
Swindon          16   23   +7      67.90    10.01    13.08     0.54     2.05    26.87     7.57P    0.86R    0.03  
Crewe            17   23   -4      54.97     9.10   -16.15     0.01     0.05     2.18     0.39P   12.01R    0.86  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.37     9.11   -24.74     0.00     0.03     1.27     0.19P   19.80R    1.88  
Yeovil           17   22   -4      57.19     9.38    -9.72     0.02     0.07     3.75     0.66P    8.13R    0.51  
Hartlepool       17   21   +0      63.59     9.59     4.63     0.09     0.51    13.47     2.92P    2.19R    0.09  
Oldham           16   19   +0      61.13    10.01     2.28     0.08     0.37    10.02     2.52P    4.28R    0.26  
Northampton      17   19   -4      48.90     8.89   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P   30.18R    3.74  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.02     9.24   -13.40     0.00     0.03     1.59     0.27P   16.73R    1.60  
Gillingham       17   19  -14      49.60     9.23   -29.76     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.07P   30.43R    4.68  
Millwall         17   16  -10      44.02     8.80   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   52.46R   12.26  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.99     9.10   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   52.70R   12.74  
Bournemouth      17   13  -13      41.44     8.94   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   63.46R   19.56  
Luton            17   12   -1      51.29     9.68    -1.60     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.28P   22.10R    3.21  
Port_Vale        17   12  -11      36.80     8.41   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.82R   38.47  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Rochdale vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   17   35  +17      93.14     8.92    46.70    33.11    71.24    97.51    78.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   33  +16      91.17     8.99    42.86    24.16    63.76    96.11    75.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   33   +9      81.08     9.62    21.74     4.50    21.34    75.51    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             17   32  +14      87.27     9.18    38.81    13.32    46.08    91.64    59.12P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   31  +14      85.06     9.34    37.43     9.46    36.97    87.51    50.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   30  +13      86.84     9.77    39.04    13.74    45.25    89.76    57.08P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              17   29   +7      75.35     9.70    17.24     1.22     9.06    54.28    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              17   26   +4      69.03     9.81     9.23     0.24     2.60    29.14     8.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      64.09     9.33     0.02     0.03     0.62    13.06     2.88P    0.15R    0.03  
Barnet               17   24   +0      60.51     9.45    -4.82     0.01     0.29     7.33     1.58P    0.51R    0.12  
Morecambe            17   24   +0      64.56     9.61     1.58     0.08     0.84    15.06     3.71P    0.13R    0.03  
Bury                 17   23   +2      64.79     9.75     4.92     0.07     1.05    16.49     4.08P    0.17R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   17   23   -3      57.85     9.57   -10.90     0.01     0.15     4.75     0.87P    1.05R    0.20  
Rochdale             16   22   -1      61.80    10.02    -2.97     0.04     0.50    10.39     2.40P    0.53R    0.14  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      55.00     9.17   -14.03     0.00     0.04     2.23     0.44P    2.07R    0.49  
Stockport            17   20   -6      57.97     9.74   -10.24     0.00     0.14     5.02     0.87P    1.38R    0.29  
Bradford             17   19   -4      53.54     9.50   -12.63     0.00     0.04     1.89     0.39P    3.16R    0.95  
Brentford            17   19  -13      46.93     8.90   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   12.25R    4.07  
Notts_County         17   18   -7      49.72     9.40   -20.10     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.15P    7.06R    2.12  
Grimsby              17   14   -9      46.41     9.30   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   13.98R    5.58  
Dag_&_Red            17   14  -16      37.10     8.29   -43.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.38R   27.70  
Mansfield            16   12   -4      49.02     9.90   -11.24     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.18P    9.27R    3.40  
Wrexham              16   12  -12      38.79     9.19   -34.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.64R   22.17  
Lincoln_City         17   12  -14      35.70     8.38   -40.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.28R   32.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2007, Salisbury vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           21   49  +20      98.40     7.74    45.49    39.56    97.81    54.79P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      98.17     8.02    56.39    40.84    97.37    55.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.64     8.28    34.99     8.79    83.52    29.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.66     8.42    42.69     7.71    81.44    29.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.34     8.33    30.57     2.17    59.41    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.75     8.70    20.01     0.76    36.20     6.71P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              21   35   +7      72.65     8.11    12.09     0.08    12.71     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.22     8.25    11.79     0.03     8.22     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      67.01     8.20     2.36     0.00     3.61     0.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.67     8.65     8.51     0.04     7.08     1.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.35     8.25     3.13     0.00     1.74     0.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.14     8.60    -0.34     0.01     2.83     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.79     8.58    -2.63     0.00     1.77     0.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.20     8.22    -7.40     0.00     0.47     0.08P    0.09R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.65     8.80    10.05     0.00     3.87     0.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.21     7.66   -10.34     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.45R    0.00  
York                21   25   -5      57.60     8.13    -8.84     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.14R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   20   23   +2      61.06     8.65     5.88     0.00     1.18     0.26P    0.09R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.51     8.59    -3.94     0.00     0.44     0.10P    0.26R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.10     7.63   -42.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.13R    1.42  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.13     7.64   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.27R    1.54  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      27.78     6.69   -48.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.38R   20.91  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.78     7.03   -59.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.08R   19.75  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.99     6.41   -63.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.04R   56.37