Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 December 2007 at 22:35:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2007, Liverpool vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         14   36  +20      86.28     7.32    53.17    48.84    72.91    85.99    93.28    98.77     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      76.12     7.46    36.55     6.81    19.44    38.19    59.23    87.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       14   30  +20      82.95     6.76    53.23    26.92    57.74    77.57    89.20    98.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +16      79.87     7.22    42.59    14.43    36.44    60.56    78.12    94.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.70     7.97     6.23     0.12     0.75     2.42     6.26    25.47     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      71.99     7.35    37.14     1.86     7.59    19.52    37.33    74.68     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.62     7.13    31.35     0.86     4.09    11.55    24.81    63.41     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.12     7.59     9.70     0.04     0.35     1.58     4.59    22.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      62.85     7.53    23.41     0.10     0.64     2.40     6.31    27.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.63     7.99    12.39     0.00     0.05     0.22     0.82     5.96     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   -4      44.21     7.52   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.31     1.87R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   14   -8      40.62     7.66   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     5.75R    0.10  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.15     6.90   -42.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.20R    1.20  
Fulham          14   13   -4      39.26     7.86   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     8.12R    0.23  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.37     6.69   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.17R    1.98  
Tottenham       15   12   -2      41.59     7.43    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     3.78R    0.07  
Bolton          15   11  -10      33.65     7.23   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.36R    0.94  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.27     6.42   -39.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.98R    4.14  
Wigan           15    9  -15      30.05     7.02   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.41R    3.83  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.75     4.87   -67.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R   87.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Blackpool vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          19   36   +8      79.08     9.14    17.20    12.13    29.51    72.55    38.75P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        19   35  +20      89.19     8.46    47.74    57.38    76.62    96.21    83.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   33   +5      74.96     8.92    12.53     5.13    15.20    56.77    26.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         19   31   +4      69.30     9.12     5.82     1.87     6.06    32.65    12.20P    0.32R    0.02  
Bristol_City     19   31   +0      68.07     9.10     0.09     1.16     4.22    27.28     8.95P    0.48R    0.02  
Plymouth         19   30   +7      73.09     9.22    16.29     4.19    12.61    50.21    22.57P    0.11R    0.00  
Stoke            19   30   +3      69.34     9.28     6.28     1.81     6.22    33.41    12.12P    0.40R    0.02  
Ipswich          18   29  +10      76.88     9.47    25.13     8.89    23.73    66.25    35.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          18   28   +4      72.29     9.40    12.86     3.49    10.90    46.45    19.73P    0.20R    0.02  
Hull             19   27   +5      67.30     9.27    10.04     1.22     4.09    26.74    10.13P    0.68R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        19   27   +4      70.18     9.05    13.16     1.86     6.56    37.39    14.58P    0.27R    0.03  
Barnsley         19   27   -2      64.56     9.02    -1.09     0.39     1.82    16.72     4.96P    1.30R    0.09  
Southampton      19   26   -9      57.13     8.88   -20.71     0.06     0.26     4.11     0.89P    7.87R    0.81  
Coventry         19   25   -7      55.60     8.72   -17.32     0.03     0.14     2.66     0.65P   10.31R    1.11  
Sheff_Wed        19   23   -3      57.78     9.01    -6.64     0.05     0.33     5.09     1.38P    6.65R    0.70  
Leicester        18   21   +3      60.29     9.12     5.36     0.18     0.73     8.88     3.31P    3.59R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace   19   21   -2      55.56     8.83    -5.14     0.01     0.14     2.93     0.81P    9.26R    1.17  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -6      53.61     8.94   -12.69     0.02     0.10     1.86     0.45P   15.15R    2.54  
Colchester       19   20   -1      58.94     9.21     1.43     0.08     0.48     6.90     2.00P    5.53R    0.75  
Cardiff          18   20   -3      54.62     9.43    -9.58     0.04     0.22     3.11     0.90P   13.53R    2.12  
Blackpool        18   19   -5      52.20     9.26   -13.07     0.02     0.07     1.68     0.44P   19.83R    3.60  
QPR              18   16  -13      40.68     8.27   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   70.00R   30.44  
Preston          19   15   -9      42.60     8.36   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   59.56R   20.46  
Norwich          19   15  -13      39.37     8.05   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.88R   35.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          17   31  +11      85.41     9.35    34.41    15.61    35.43    87.87    49.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    17   31   +0      70.29     9.53    -1.53     0.91     3.05    31.78     6.44P    0.33R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     16   30  +18      91.59     9.20    49.18    41.86    64.78    96.12    76.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         16   29  +12      85.36     9.72    35.81    17.32    36.46    86.82    50.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   26  +18      87.13     8.62    52.79    20.69    45.70    92.87    64.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        17   26   +6      69.78     9.59    12.30     0.69     2.76    32.14     8.62P    0.38R    0.00  
Brighton         17   26   +5      69.55     9.62    11.10     0.60     2.48    31.38     8.14P    0.44R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      68.84     9.69     6.51     0.57     2.25    28.18     6.40P    0.62R    0.02  
Tranmere         17   24   +4      70.77     9.63    14.69     0.75     3.06    36.12    11.01P    0.37R    0.01  
Walsall          17   24   +2      63.52     9.43     2.30     0.14     0.56    12.86     3.04P    1.90R    0.06  
Swindon          16   23   +7      68.20     9.96    13.53     0.67     2.41    28.03     8.13P    0.76R    0.01  
Crewe            17   23   -4      55.38     9.21   -15.39     0.02     0.07     2.61     0.52P   11.29R    0.73  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.19     9.06   -25.01     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.13P   20.52R    1.78  
Yeovil           17   22   -4      57.11     9.39    -9.80     0.01     0.08     3.87     0.71P    7.93R    0.49  
Hartlepool       17   21   +0      63.41     9.61     4.34     0.09     0.49    13.36     2.87P    2.32R    0.09  
Oldham           16   19   +0      61.22     9.98     2.43     0.05     0.34    10.11     2.43P    4.39R    0.24  
Northampton      17   19   -4      49.19     9.13   -19.96     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.14P   29.95R    4.12  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.39     9.26   -12.75     0.01     0.04     1.76     0.29P   15.82R    1.36  
Gillingham       17   19  -14      49.45     9.21   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.04P   31.02R    5.07  
Millwall         17   16  -10      43.90     8.82   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   53.46R   12.56  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.76     9.01   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   53.95R   13.24  
Bournemouth      17   13  -13      41.32     8.91   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   63.66R   20.04  
Luton            17   12   -1      51.78     9.72    -0.93     0.00     0.01     1.36     0.33P   20.78R    2.94  
Port_Vale        17   12  -11      37.09     8.39   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.11R   37.24  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Rochdale vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   17   35  +17      92.97     9.00    46.47    32.42    70.51    97.46    78.39P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   33  +16      91.51     9.13    43.37    25.65    65.34    96.04    76.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   33   +9      81.28     9.63    22.07     4.61    22.52    76.37    35.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             17   32  +14      87.09     9.28    38.59    13.02    45.45    91.04    58.62P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   31  +14      85.10     9.32    37.56     9.38    37.30    88.05    50.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   30  +13      86.66     9.79    38.69    13.27    44.43    89.37    56.39P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              17   29   +7      75.06     9.60    16.71     1.12     8.25    53.47    18.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              17   26   +4      68.92     9.80     9.11     0.25     2.56    28.61     8.64P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      64.27     9.18     0.31     0.03     0.62    13.34     2.99P    0.14R    0.02  
Barnet               17   24   +0      60.51     9.50    -4.83     0.03     0.33     7.73     1.69P    0.51R    0.12  
Morecambe            17   24   +0      64.64     9.47     1.69     0.07     0.83    15.02     3.55P    0.12R    0.01  
Bury                 17   23   +2      64.79     9.74     4.92     0.07     0.96    16.82     4.09P    0.17R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   17   23   -3      57.96     9.61   -10.77     0.01     0.21     5.06     1.08P    1.05R    0.24  
Rochdale             16   22   -1      61.64    10.04    -3.12     0.04     0.48    10.41     2.36P    0.63R    0.15  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      54.62     9.23   -14.63     0.00     0.04     2.25     0.43P    2.50R    0.71  
Stockport            17   20   -6      57.56     9.68   -10.91     0.01     0.09     4.47     0.73P    1.51R    0.38  
Bradford             17   19   -4      53.43     9.53   -12.92     0.00     0.05     2.02     0.41P    3.35R    0.96  
Brentford            17   19  -13      46.82     8.93   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   12.76R    4.48  
Notts_County         17   18   -7      49.52     9.41   -20.36     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.18P    7.65R    2.44  
Grimsby              17   14   -9      46.52     9.25   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   14.02R    5.38  
Dag_&_Red            17   14  -16      37.45     8.40   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.20R   27.37  
Mansfield            16   12   -4      49.33     9.98   -10.78     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.21P    8.99R    3.29  
Wrexham              16   12  -12      38.89     9.06   -34.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   41.84R   22.20  
Lincoln_City         17   12  -14      36.06     8.47   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.53R   32.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2007, Salisbury vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           21   49  +20      98.31     7.79    45.36    39.88    97.61    55.03P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.94     8.00    55.85    40.38    97.22    54.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.65     8.37    34.96     9.02    83.23    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.42     8.37    42.34     7.38    80.58    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.54     8.28    30.91     2.27    60.30    15.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.96     8.70    20.36     0.87    36.84     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              21   35   +7      72.62     8.23    12.10     0.10    12.98     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        21   32   +6      70.33     8.22    12.02     0.03     8.42     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      66.74     8.15     2.05     0.01     3.54     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.37     8.67     7.97     0.04     6.56     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.44     8.21     3.24     0.00     1.63     0.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.39     8.57     0.13     0.01     3.04     0.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.90     8.56    -2.49     0.00     1.99     0.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           21   27   -3      59.15     8.32    -7.45     0.00     0.49     0.08P    0.11R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.63     8.72     9.97     0.01     3.78     0.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.53     7.72    -9.98     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.37R    0.00  
York                21   25   -5      57.70     8.11    -8.62     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.18R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   20   23   +2      60.77     8.68     5.41     0.00     1.06     0.27P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.68     8.60    -3.64     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.22R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.42     7.71   -41.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.65R    1.17  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.21     7.61   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.38R    1.55  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      27.92     6.67   -48.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.34R   19.24  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.88     7.04   -58.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.62R   18.27  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.36     6.33   -64.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   59.76