Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 December 2007 at 01:19:43 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         14   36  +20      86.47     7.16    53.53    53.60    76.19    88.04    94.52    99.11     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +13      75.94     7.36    36.09     7.18    20.74    39.46    60.01    87.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +16      80.08     7.23    43.10    16.69    41.79    64.00    79.44    95.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        15   30   +4      62.46     7.85     5.89     0.12     0.79     2.65     6.35    24.60     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   27  +16      80.48     7.31    46.76    19.02    45.38    66.45    81.23    95.43     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   27  +12      71.81     7.37    36.75     2.06     8.73    21.16    38.25    74.20     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   27  +10      69.69     7.22    31.53     1.10     4.99    13.24    26.97    64.57     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       15   26   +2      62.05     7.54     9.61     0.07     0.49     1.89     4.90    22.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton         15   24  +10      63.04     7.58    23.72     0.16     0.84     2.77     7.22    29.27     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        14   19   +7      54.97     7.98    12.99     0.01     0.05     0.30     1.04     6.76     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       14   18   -4      44.29     7.42   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.82R    0.01  
Reading         15   14  -14      33.48     6.88   -41.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.07R    1.11  
Fulham          14   13   -4      39.37     7.85   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.67R    0.16  
Sunderland      15   13  -14      31.17     6.57   -40.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.63R    1.88  
Tottenham       14   12   -1      45.49     7.98    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.56     1.77R    0.01  
Bolton          14   11   -6      36.00     7.59   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    16.15R    0.51  
Birmingham      14   11   -9      35.51     7.96   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.16R    0.88  
Middlesbrough   15   11  -14      29.52     6.41   -39.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.38R    3.66  
Wigan           15    9  -15      29.75     7.04   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.92R    3.92  
Derby           15    6  -29      15.54     4.83   -67.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.37R   87.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Blackpool vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          19   36   +8      79.05     9.11    17.20    11.44    29.25    72.80    38.61P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        19   35  +20      89.15     8.41    47.65    57.67    76.58    96.38    83.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   33   +5      75.18     8.98    12.84     5.52    15.98    57.67    27.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         19   31   +4      69.01     9.21     5.36     1.95     5.93    31.53    11.76P    0.36R    0.01  
Bristol_City     19   31   +0      68.17     9.17     0.23     1.15     4.21    28.03     8.91P    0.53R    0.03  
Plymouth         19   30   +7      73.23     9.11    16.45     4.17    12.71    50.54    22.73P    0.08R    0.00  
Stoke            19   30   +3      69.01     9.08     5.72     1.55     5.53    31.45    11.14P    0.38R    0.02  
Ipswich          18   29  +10      77.09     9.41    25.53     9.43    24.17    66.95    35.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          18   28   +4      72.30     9.43    12.93     3.44    10.92    46.32    19.68P    0.21R    0.01  
Hull             19   27   +5      67.19     9.10     9.86     1.08     3.81    26.04     9.77P    0.58R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        19   27   +4      70.22     9.01    13.25     1.73     6.61    37.96    14.73P    0.24R    0.02  
Barnsley         19   27   -2      64.38     9.07    -1.33     0.39     1.80    16.37     4.91P    1.51R    0.13  
Southampton      19   26   -9      57.02     8.85   -20.94     0.05     0.25     3.91     0.79P    8.06R    0.90  
Coventry         19   25   -7      55.60     8.75   -17.33     0.03     0.16     2.88     0.64P   10.27R    1.17  
Sheff_Wed        19   23   -3      57.65     8.98    -6.88     0.04     0.32     4.78     1.31P    7.05R    0.81  
Leicester        18   21   +3      60.25     9.26     5.25     0.20     0.80     9.13     3.44P    3.80R    0.44  
Crystal_Palace   19   21   -2      55.93     8.94    -4.54     0.01     0.17     3.46     1.01P    9.10R    1.07  
Scunthorpe       19   21   -6      53.36     8.98   -13.12     0.02     0.09     1.97     0.53P   15.72R    2.57  
Colchester       19   20   -1      58.62     9.12     0.88     0.06     0.41     6.41     1.81P    5.87R    0.77  
Cardiff          18   20   -3      54.76     9.43    -9.28     0.04     0.21     3.33     0.95P   13.32R    2.07  
Blackpool        18   19   -5      52.69     9.30   -12.27     0.01     0.10     1.93     0.52P   18.50R    3.34  
QPR              18   16  -13      40.54     8.27   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   70.68R   30.64  
Preston          19   15   -9      42.72     8.52   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   59.17R   20.41  
Norwich          19   15  -13      39.44     8.10   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.49R   35.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          17   31  +11      85.44     9.39    34.47    16.20    35.84    87.60    49.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    17   31   +0      70.33     9.36    -1.45     0.72     2.74    31.37     6.06P    0.26R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     16   30  +18      91.46     9.18    49.14    40.89    64.00    95.94    75.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         16   29  +12      85.28     9.63    35.70    16.74    35.75    86.94    49.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   26  +18      87.41     8.59    53.37    21.75    46.88    93.23    65.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        17   26   +6      69.88     9.59    12.43     0.71     2.74    32.01     8.73P    0.39R    0.01  
Brighton         17   26   +5      69.99     9.40    11.70     0.65     2.47    31.88     8.44P    0.32R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      68.94     9.77     6.68     0.62     2.36    28.06     6.67P    0.59R    0.01  
Tranmere         17   24   +4      71.17     9.72    15.26     0.82     3.33    37.38    12.05P    0.31R    0.01  
Walsall          17   24   +2      63.96     9.46     2.90     0.15     0.65    13.36     3.18P    1.71R    0.05  
Swindon          16   23   +7      67.92    10.01    13.12     0.55     2.18    26.53     7.53P    0.84R    0.02  
Crewe            17   23   -4      55.14     9.26   -15.89     0.01     0.07     2.45     0.45P   11.74R    0.81  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.23     8.95   -24.96     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.15P   19.56R    1.83  
Yeovil           17   22   -4      56.66     9.34   -10.53     0.01     0.07     3.54     0.73P    8.75R    0.57  
Hartlepool       17   21   +0      63.70     9.67     4.80     0.09     0.46    13.88     2.82P    2.31R    0.11  
Oldham           16   19   +0      61.38    10.21     2.67     0.08     0.40    10.43     2.53P    4.38R    0.28  
Northampton      17   19   -4      48.94     9.06   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P   30.58R    4.21  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      52.88     9.34   -13.58     0.01     0.02     1.61     0.28P   17.23R    1.58  
Gillingham       17   19  -14      49.64     9.09   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.04P   29.65R    4.52  
Millwall         17   16  -10      44.02     8.75   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   52.52R   11.71  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.75     8.95   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   53.56R   12.98  
Bournemouth      17   13  -13      41.33     8.93   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   63.72R   19.47  
Luton            17   12   -1      51.59     9.63    -1.14     0.00     0.02     1.37     0.34P   20.87R    2.89  
Port_Vale        17   12  -11      36.72     8.37   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.70R   38.93  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Rochdale vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   17   35  +17      92.82     8.97    46.18    32.19    70.04    97.39    77.90P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   33  +16      91.13     9.00    42.87    23.60    63.79    96.04    75.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   33   +9      80.91     9.62    21.44     4.28    20.95    74.86    33.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             17   32  +14      87.14     9.31    38.64    13.55    45.81    91.15    58.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   31  +14      85.19     9.48    37.61    10.18    38.18    87.42    51.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   30  +13      86.97     9.77    39.19    14.38    45.89    89.94    57.44P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              17   29   +7      75.27     9.69    17.06     1.28     8.88    54.09    18.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              17   26   +4      69.18     9.80     9.54     0.23     2.73    29.57     9.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           18   25   -1      64.09     9.39     0.03     0.04     0.62    13.52     3.12P    0.20R    0.05  
Barnet               17   24   +0      60.45     9.66    -4.95     0.03     0.36     7.90     1.86P    0.56R    0.12  
Morecambe            17   24   +0      64.32     9.51     1.23     0.07     0.67    14.28     3.43P    0.18R    0.03  
Bury                 17   23   +2      64.85     9.78     5.04     0.11     1.17    16.87     4.46P    0.18R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   17   23   -3      57.99     9.53   -10.64     0.01     0.16     4.89     1.00P    0.98R    0.17  
Rochdale             16   22   -1      61.77    10.11    -2.98     0.05     0.54    10.85     2.52P    0.64R    0.15  
Macclesfield         18   21   -6      55.17     9.23   -13.67     0.00     0.04     2.40     0.46P    2.09R    0.54  
Stockport            17   20   -6      57.54     9.59   -10.94     0.00     0.10     4.56     0.82P    1.40R    0.41  
Bradford             17   19   -4      53.25     9.64   -13.26     0.00     0.05     1.92     0.37P    3.77R    1.05  
Brentford            17   19  -13      46.81     8.88   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   12.84R    4.42  
Notts_County         17   18   -7      49.68     9.25   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.14P    7.04R    2.13  
Grimsby              17   14   -9      46.59     9.28   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   13.79R    5.49  
Dag_&_Red            17   14  -16      37.39     8.29   -43.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.38R   27.09  
Mansfield            16   12   -4      49.22     9.96   -11.04     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.23P    9.50R    3.58  
Wrexham              16   12  -12      38.81     9.09   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   42.02R   22.50  
Lincoln_City         17   12  -14      36.05     8.52   -39.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.38R   32.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2007, Altrincham vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           20   46  +16      94.83     8.33    37.81    27.52    93.62    43.43P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      97.96     8.07    55.94    47.09    97.29    59.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.77     8.34    35.19    11.58    83.88    31.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.61     8.36    42.60     9.51    81.80    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.35     8.36    30.65     2.94    59.84    16.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.61     8.60    19.75     1.04    35.58     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              21   35   +7      72.59     8.10    12.07     0.10    12.96     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      66.99     8.19     2.36     0.02     3.74     0.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.51     8.57     8.30     0.06     6.70     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        20   31   +6      71.05     8.58    12.55     0.10    10.56     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.26     8.07     3.04     0.00     1.51     0.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.37     8.57     0.05     0.01     3.09     0.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.68     8.49    -2.84     0.00     1.71     0.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury           20   27   +1      62.58     8.65     0.22     0.01     1.80     0.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.69     8.77    10.12     0.01     3.95     0.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.62     7.75    -9.77     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.39R    0.00  
York                20   24   -5      57.59     8.52    -9.59     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.25R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   20   23   +2      61.02     8.58     5.83     0.00     1.15     0.35P    0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.24     8.56    -4.33     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.25R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.42     7.62   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.07R    1.18  
Altrincham          21   15  -17      39.16     7.55   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.23R    1.35  
Stafford_Rangers    21   10  -21      28.11     6.77   -48.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.34R   19.32  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.59     6.98   -59.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.70R   19.99  
Northwich           21    7  -30      22.63     6.38   -63.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.59R   58.16