Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 November 2007 at 22:35:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2007, Blackburn vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         13   33  +19      84.34     7.91    51.28    44.60    65.98    79.41    88.23    97.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +16      79.90     7.10    42.54    18.05    41.29    62.29    78.10    95.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        14   29   +4      63.78     8.14     7.30     0.35     1.46     3.92     8.46    29.29     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +12      74.18     7.78    34.89     6.16    16.43    31.29    48.87    81.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   27  +16      80.70     7.22    47.27    22.24    47.72    67.44    81.14    95.48     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   27  +11      71.96     7.69    34.40     3.73    11.20    22.45    37.84    72.85     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      14   26  +12      73.22     7.83    39.99     4.57    14.45    28.57    45.48    77.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         14   23  +10      61.48     8.14    20.45     0.18     0.82     2.57     6.20    23.28     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       14   23   +0      60.33     8.02     7.52     0.07     0.39     1.28     3.51    16.68     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        13   19   +8      56.33     8.43    14.08     0.05     0.24     0.77     2.05     9.97     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       13   18   -2      45.94     7.84   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.58     1.20R    0.01  
Fulham          14   13   -4      39.42     7.83   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     7.64R    0.22  
Reading         14   13  -14      34.78     7.30   -40.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.82R    1.00  
Tottenham       14   12   -1      45.03     7.92    -2.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.53     1.76R    0.02  
Bolton          14   11   -6      36.12     7.53   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    15.02R    0.61  
Birmingham      14   11   -9      35.43     8.00   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.27R    1.03  
Middlesbrough   14   10  -14      29.22     6.88   -41.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.23R    5.66  
Sunderland      14   10  -15      30.81     7.01   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.43R    3.53  
Wigan           14    8  -15      29.27     7.35   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.52R    5.92  
Derby           14    6  -28      16.34     5.23   -68.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.08R   82.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2007, Plymouth vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          18   36   +9      82.05     9.50    20.98    17.33    39.55    81.05    48.57P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        18   34  +20      89.97     8.69    48.49    55.77    76.61    96.55    83.10P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         18   31   +6      72.93     9.61    11.33     4.26    11.94    48.25    20.82P    0.12R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   30   +4      73.83     9.27    12.30     3.62    11.50    52.36    22.45P    0.10R    0.00  
Ipswich          17   28  +10      77.79     9.87    26.53     9.82    25.43    68.87    36.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City     18   28   -1      65.11     9.54    -2.98     0.61     2.45    19.42     5.93P    1.38R    0.08  
Plymouth         18   27   +4      70.05     9.65    11.12     1.99     6.99    38.04    14.91P    0.44R    0.04  
Stoke            18   27   +2      68.02     9.51     5.74     1.25     4.74    29.23    10.22P    0.66R    0.05  
Hull             18   26   +5      68.66     9.43    11.65     1.33     4.95    32.46    12.43P    0.55R    0.03  
Barnsley         18   26   -2      63.97     9.46    -2.92     0.40     1.72    16.47     4.61P    2.02R    0.21  
Burnley          17   25   +2      68.44     9.70     7.63     1.37     4.88    31.41    11.28P    0.62R    0.06  
Coventry         18   25   -6      57.28     9.07   -15.99     0.04     0.30     4.61     0.99P    7.84R    1.01  
Sheff_Utd        18   24   +3      68.57     9.53    12.32     1.19     4.76    32.59    12.08P    0.66R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed        18   23   -2      60.57     9.64    -3.44     0.19     0.83    10.04     2.80P    4.70R    0.46  
Southampton      18   23  -10      53.34     8.99   -25.27     0.02     0.10     2.03     0.42P   16.66R    2.87  
Leicester        17   21   +4      64.42     9.67    10.06     0.65     2.39    19.43     8.07P    1.57R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       18   21   -3      56.84     9.30    -6.79     0.04     0.27     4.75     1.33P    8.79R    1.29  
Crystal_Palace   18   20   -2      54.49     9.23    -7.41     0.01     0.15     2.94     0.86P   12.63R    2.04  
Cardiff          17   19   -3      53.86     9.74   -11.01     0.04     0.17     3.10     0.86P   16.47R    3.25  
Colchester       18   17   -2      56.07     9.55    -1.67     0.04     0.21     4.59     1.28P   10.46R    1.92  
Blackpool        17   16   -6      51.05     9.64   -13.58     0.01     0.07     1.50     0.42P   24.34R    6.07  
QPR              17   16  -12      41.77     8.63   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   64.52R   27.48  
Preston          18   15   -8      43.76     8.79   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   53.58R   18.67  
Norwich          18   15  -12      40.00     8.32   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   71.82R   34.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          17   31  +11      85.68     9.28    34.84    16.29    36.29    88.56    50.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    17   31   +0      70.15     9.51    -1.79     0.83     2.77    30.85     6.08P    0.37R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     16   30  +18      91.54     9.17    49.12    40.91    63.79    96.03    75.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         16   29  +12      85.46     9.65    35.98    17.05    36.58    87.18    50.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   26  +18      87.28     8.63    53.08    21.28    46.12    92.74    64.08P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        17   26   +6      69.69     9.59    12.13     0.67     2.67    31.37     8.29P    0.40R    0.01  
Brighton         17   26   +5      69.80     9.59    11.47     0.64     2.48    31.77     8.32P    0.40R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      69.03     9.75     6.82     0.59     2.31    28.53     6.70P    0.61R    0.02  
Tranmere         17   24   +4      71.13     9.66    15.15     0.80     3.09    37.27    11.81P    0.29R    0.01  
Walsall          17   24   +2      63.61     9.35     2.39     0.12     0.58    12.50     2.90P    1.80R    0.06  
Swindon          16   23   +7      68.09    10.07    13.39     0.58     2.25    27.58     7.69P    0.78R    0.02  
Crewe            17   23   -4      55.40     9.21   -15.39     0.01     0.07     2.60     0.43P   11.04R    0.74  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.10     9.05   -25.12     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.13P   20.46R    1.97  
Yeovil           17   22   -4      56.72     9.38   -10.33     0.01     0.06     3.68     0.67P    8.77R    0.53  
Hartlepool       17   21   +0      63.49     9.72     4.53     0.13     0.50    13.72     3.07P    2.41R    0.09  
Oldham           16   19   +0      61.36    10.04     2.61     0.08     0.37    10.25     2.51P    4.29R    0.28  
Northampton      17   19   -4      48.61     8.95   -21.05     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.06P   31.74R    4.42  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.12     9.21   -13.22     0.01     0.02     1.56     0.30P   16.59R    1.49  
Gillingham       17   19  -14      49.55     9.30   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.06P   30.61R    4.74  
Millwall         17   16  -10      44.03     8.73   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   52.25R   11.88  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.81     9.09   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   53.24R   13.31  
Bournemouth      17   13  -13      41.61     8.92   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   62.57R   19.16  
Luton            17   12   -1      51.65     9.68    -1.10     0.00     0.01     1.29     0.31P   20.77R    2.96  
Port_Vale        17   12  -11      36.91     8.36   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.61R   38.30  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2007, Wrexham vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   17   35  +17      93.08     9.02    46.71    33.23    71.02    97.47    78.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           17   33  +16      90.92     8.95    42.39    23.12    63.25    95.93    74.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            17   33   +9      81.06     9.65    21.71     4.64    21.85    75.15    34.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             17   32  +14      87.20     9.36    38.88    13.96    46.40    91.11    58.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   31  +14      84.96     9.42    37.42     9.53    37.03    87.02    50.46P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         16   30  +13      86.73     9.84    38.87    13.74    45.05    89.08    56.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              17   29   +7      75.10     9.67    16.84     1.29     8.64    53.09    18.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              17   26   +4      68.89     9.72     9.11     0.23     2.43    28.09     8.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnet               17   24   +0      60.59     9.39    -4.64     0.03     0.28     7.47     1.58P    0.43R    0.07  
Morecambe            17   24   +0      64.65     9.63     1.70     0.04     0.94    15.33     3.93P    0.15R    0.02  
Bury                 17   23   +2      65.04     9.64     5.36     0.05     0.98    16.41     4.07P    0.15R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   17   23   -3      57.79     9.68   -11.04     0.00     0.16     4.97     1.04P    1.13R    0.24  
Shrewsbury           17   22   -3      60.96     9.80    -4.38     0.02     0.40     8.66     1.93P    0.55R    0.12  
Rochdale             15   21   -1      64.01    10.61    -0.39     0.10     1.23    15.96     4.18P    0.42R    0.07  
Macclesfield         17   21   -4      57.71     9.79    -9.78     0.01     0.14     4.98     1.03P    1.28R    0.30  
Stockport            17   20   -6      57.75     9.70   -10.49     0.01     0.14     4.74     0.83P    1.36R    0.33  
Bradford             17   19   -4      53.38     9.55   -13.00     0.00     0.04     2.01     0.37P    3.29R    0.86  
Brentford            17   19  -13      47.08     8.91   -32.26     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.05P   11.71R    3.89  
Notts_County         17   18   -7      49.58     9.50   -20.36     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.16P    7.23R    2.30  
Grimsby              17   14   -9      46.68     9.38   -21.22     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   13.55R    5.25  
Dag_&_Red            17   14  -16      37.44     8.28   -43.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.92R   25.63  
Mansfield            16   12   -4      49.10     9.97   -11.10     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.21P    9.23R    3.33  
Lincoln_City         17   12  -14      35.68     8.37   -40.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.37R   32.11  
Wrexham              15   11  -12      38.13     9.59   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.20R   25.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 29 November 2007, Woking vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           20   46  +16      94.97     8.33    38.10    27.84    93.94    43.48P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      98.20     7.99    56.51    48.18    97.48    60.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.72     8.35    35.07    11.39    83.72    31.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.16     8.37    41.91     8.47    80.41    29.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.36     8.51    30.72     2.93    60.37    17.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.74     8.60    20.02     0.88    36.44     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              20   32   +6      71.39     8.49    11.76     0.10    11.19     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    21   32   +1      67.06     8.14     2.52     0.02     3.76     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.58     8.53     8.41     0.03     6.94     1.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        20   31   +6      71.06     8.68    12.53     0.11    11.28     2.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.11     8.15     2.79     0.00     1.51     0.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      65.21     8.61    -0.05     0.02     3.09     0.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.76     8.69    -2.65     0.00     1.94     0.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury           20   27   +1      62.52     8.63     0.19     0.00     1.70     0.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.64     8.83    10.09     0.01     4.18     1.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking              22   25   -4      53.37     7.74   -10.14     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.50R    0.01  
York                20   24   -5      57.62     8.44    -9.48     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.24R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   20   23   +2      61.21     8.67     6.09     0.00     1.31     0.34P    0.10R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.29     8.53    -4.28     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.34R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.16     7.69   -41.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.40R    1.41  
Altrincham          20   15  -16      40.10     7.92   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.70R    1.58  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.57     7.00   -59.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.74R   21.02  
Stafford_Rangers    20    9  -21      29.14     7.17   -47.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.87R   18.62  
Northwich           20    6  -30      22.98     6.69   -64.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.96R   57.37