Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 30 November 2007 at 22:35:04 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2007, Blackburn vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 13 33 +19 84.34 7.91 51.28 44.60 65.98 79.41 88.23 97.25 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 14 30 +16 79.90 7.10 42.54 18.05 41.29 62.29 78.10 95.07 0.00 0.00 Man_City 14 29 +4 63.78 8.14 7.30 0.35 1.46 3.92 8.46 29.29 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 14 28 +12 74.18 7.78 34.89 6.16 16.43 31.29 48.87 81.28 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 13 27 +16 80.70 7.22 47.27 22.24 47.72 67.44 81.14 95.48 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 14 27 +11 71.96 7.69 34.40 3.73 11.20 22.45 37.84 72.85 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 14 26 +12 73.22 7.83 39.99 4.57 14.45 28.57 45.48 77.63 0.00 0.00 Everton 14 23 +10 61.48 8.14 20.45 0.18 0.82 2.57 6.20 23.28 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 14 23 +0 60.33 8.02 7.52 0.07 0.39 1.28 3.51 16.68 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 13 19 +8 56.33 8.43 14.08 0.05 0.24 0.77 2.05 9.97 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 13 18 -2 45.94 7.84 -16.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.58 1.20R 0.01 Fulham 14 13 -4 39.42 7.83 -15.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 7.64R 0.22 Reading 14 13 -14 34.78 7.30 -40.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 21.82R 1.00 Tottenham 14 12 -1 45.03 7.92 -2.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.53 1.76R 0.02 Bolton 14 11 -6 36.12 7.53 -17.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 15.02R 0.61 Birmingham 14 11 -9 35.43 8.00 -24.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 19.27R 1.03 Middlesbrough 14 10 -14 29.22 6.88 -41.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.23R 5.66 Sunderland 14 10 -15 30.81 7.01 -39.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.43R 3.53 Wigan 14 8 -15 29.27 7.35 -34.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.52R 5.92 Derby 14 6 -28 16.34 5.23 -68.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.08R 82.01Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2007, Plymouth vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Watford 18 36 +9 82.05 9.50 20.98 17.33 39.55 81.05 48.57P 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 18 34 +20 89.97 8.69 48.49 55.77 76.61 96.55 83.10P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 18 31 +6 72.93 9.61 11.33 4.26 11.94 48.25 20.82P 0.12R 0.01 Wolverhampton 18 30 +4 73.83 9.27 12.30 3.62 11.50 52.36 22.45P 0.10R 0.00 Ipswich 17 28 +10 77.79 9.87 26.53 9.82 25.43 68.87 36.50P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_City 18 28 -1 65.11 9.54 -2.98 0.61 2.45 19.42 5.93P 1.38R 0.08 Plymouth 18 27 +4 70.05 9.65 11.12 1.99 6.99 38.04 14.91P 0.44R 0.04 Stoke 18 27 +2 68.02 9.51 5.74 1.25 4.74 29.23 10.22P 0.66R 0.05 Hull 18 26 +5 68.66 9.43 11.65 1.33 4.95 32.46 12.43P 0.55R 0.03 Barnsley 18 26 -2 63.97 9.46 -2.92 0.40 1.72 16.47 4.61P 2.02R 0.21 Burnley 17 25 +2 68.44 9.70 7.63 1.37 4.88 31.41 11.28P 0.62R 0.06 Coventry 18 25 -6 57.28 9.07 -15.99 0.04 0.30 4.61 0.99P 7.84R 1.01 Sheff_Utd 18 24 +3 68.57 9.53 12.32 1.19 4.76 32.59 12.08P 0.66R 0.06 Sheff_Wed 18 23 -2 60.57 9.64 -3.44 0.19 0.83 10.04 2.80P 4.70R 0.46 Southampton 18 23 -10 53.34 8.99 -25.27 0.02 0.10 2.03 0.42P 16.66R 2.87 Leicester 17 21 +4 64.42 9.67 10.06 0.65 2.39 19.43 8.07P 1.57R 0.15 Scunthorpe 18 21 -3 56.84 9.30 -6.79 0.04 0.27 4.75 1.33P 8.79R 1.29 Crystal_Palace 18 20 -2 54.49 9.23 -7.41 0.01 0.15 2.94 0.86P 12.63R 2.04 Cardiff 17 19 -3 53.86 9.74 -11.01 0.04 0.17 3.10 0.86P 16.47R 3.25 Colchester 18 17 -2 56.07 9.55 -1.67 0.04 0.21 4.59 1.28P 10.46R 1.92 Blackpool 17 16 -6 51.05 9.64 -13.58 0.01 0.07 1.50 0.42P 24.34R 6.07 QPR 17 16 -12 41.77 8.63 -33.53 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 64.52R 27.48 Preston 18 15 -8 43.76 8.79 -21.31 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 53.58R 18.67 Norwich 18 15 -12 40.00 8.32 -32.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 71.82R 34.26League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swansea 17 31 +11 85.68 9.28 34.84 16.29 36.29 88.56 50.07P 0.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 17 31 +0 70.15 9.51 -1.79 0.83 2.77 30.85 6.08P 0.37R 0.00 Nottm_Forest 16 30 +18 91.54 9.17 49.12 40.91 63.79 96.03 75.58P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 16 29 +12 85.46 9.65 35.98 17.05 36.58 87.18 50.91P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds 17 26 +18 87.28 8.63 53.08 21.28 46.12 92.74 64.08P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 17 26 +6 69.69 9.59 12.13 0.67 2.67 31.37 8.29P 0.40R 0.01 Brighton 17 26 +5 69.80 9.59 11.47 0.64 2.48 31.77 8.32P 0.40R 0.01 Southend 17 26 +2 69.03 9.75 6.82 0.59 2.31 28.53 6.70P 0.61R 0.02 Tranmere 17 24 +4 71.13 9.66 15.15 0.80 3.09 37.27 11.81P 0.29R 0.01 Walsall 17 24 +2 63.61 9.35 2.39 0.12 0.58 12.50 2.90P 1.80R 0.06 Swindon 16 23 +7 68.09 10.07 13.39 0.58 2.25 27.58 7.69P 0.78R 0.02 Crewe 17 23 -4 55.40 9.21 -15.39 0.01 0.07 2.60 0.43P 11.04R 0.74 Huddersfield 17 23 -8 52.10 9.05 -25.12 0.00 0.01 1.15 0.13P 20.46R 1.97 Yeovil 17 22 -4 56.72 9.38 -10.33 0.01 0.06 3.68 0.67P 8.77R 0.53 Hartlepool 17 21 +0 63.49 9.72 4.53 0.13 0.50 13.72 3.07P 2.41R 0.09 Oldham 16 19 +0 61.36 10.04 2.61 0.08 0.37 10.25 2.51P 4.29R 0.28 Northampton 17 19 -4 48.61 8.95 -21.05 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.06P 31.74R 4.42 Bristol_Rovers 17 19 -5 53.12 9.21 -13.22 0.01 0.02 1.56 0.30P 16.59R 1.49 Gillingham 17 19 -14 49.55 9.30 -29.94 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.06P 30.61R 4.74 Millwall 17 16 -10 44.03 8.73 -28.19 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 52.25R 11.88 Cheltenham 17 15 -11 43.81 9.09 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 53.24R 13.31 Bournemouth 17 13 -13 41.61 8.92 -31.66 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 62.57R 19.16 Luton 17 12 -1 51.65 9.68 -1.10 0.00 0.01 1.29 0.31P 20.77R 2.96 Port_Vale 17 12 -11 36.91 8.36 -34.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 80.61R 38.30 Adjustments: Leeds -15 Luton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2007, Wrexham vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Milton_Keynes_Dons 17 35 +17 93.08 9.02 46.71 33.23 71.02 97.47 78.77P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 17 33 +16 90.92 8.95 42.39 23.12 63.25 95.93 74.83P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 17 33 +9 81.06 9.65 21.71 4.64 21.85 75.15 34.18P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 17 32 +14 87.20 9.36 38.88 13.96 46.40 91.11 58.78P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 17 31 +14 84.96 9.42 37.42 9.53 37.03 87.02 50.46P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 16 30 +13 86.73 9.84 38.87 13.74 45.05 89.08 56.81P 0.00 0.00 Chester 17 29 +7 75.10 9.67 16.84 1.29 8.64 53.09 18.27P 0.01R 0.00 Wycombe 17 26 +4 68.89 9.72 9.11 0.23 2.43 28.09 8.46P 0.04R 0.00 Barnet 17 24 +0 60.59 9.39 -4.64 0.03 0.28 7.47 1.58P 0.43R 0.07 Morecambe 17 24 +0 64.65 9.63 1.70 0.04 0.94 15.33 3.93P 0.15R 0.02 Bury 17 23 +2 65.04 9.64 5.36 0.05 0.98 16.41 4.07P 0.15R 0.03 Accrington_Stanley 17 23 -3 57.79 9.68 -11.04 0.00 0.16 4.97 1.04P 1.13R 0.24 Shrewsbury 17 22 -3 60.96 9.80 -4.38 0.02 0.40 8.66 1.93P 0.55R 0.12 Rochdale 15 21 -1 64.01 10.61 -0.39 0.10 1.23 15.96 4.18P 0.42R 0.07 Macclesfield 17 21 -4 57.71 9.79 -9.78 0.01 0.14 4.98 1.03P 1.28R 0.30 Stockport 17 20 -6 57.75 9.70 -10.49 0.01 0.14 4.74 0.83P 1.36R 0.33 Bradford 17 19 -4 53.38 9.55 -13.00 0.00 0.04 2.01 0.37P 3.29R 0.86 Brentford 17 19 -13 47.08 8.91 -32.26 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.05P 11.71R 3.89 Notts_County 17 18 -7 49.58 9.50 -20.36 0.00 0.01 0.83 0.16P 7.23R 2.30 Grimsby 17 14 -9 46.68 9.38 -21.22 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.07P 13.55R 5.25 Dag_&_Red 17 14 -16 37.44 8.28 -43.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.92R 25.63 Mansfield 16 12 -4 49.10 9.97 -11.10 0.00 0.01 1.00 0.21P 9.23R 3.33 Lincoln_City 17 12 -14 35.68 8.37 -40.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 56.37R 32.11 Wrexham 15 11 -12 38.13 9.59 -37.02 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 45.20R 25.44Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 29 November 2007, Woking vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Aldershot 20 46 +16 94.97 8.33 38.10 27.84 93.94 43.48P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 20 45 +22 98.20 7.99 56.51 48.18 97.48 60.83P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 20 41 +14 89.72 8.35 35.07 11.39 83.72 31.93P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 20 39 +19 88.16 8.37 41.91 8.47 80.41 29.37P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 20 37 +13 83.36 8.51 30.72 2.93 60.37 17.01P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 20 37 +10 78.74 8.60 20.02 0.88 36.44 6.90P 0.00 0.00 Histon 20 32 +6 71.39 8.49 11.76 0.10 11.19 2.50P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 21 32 +1 67.06 8.14 2.52 0.02 3.76 0.80P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 20 31 +6 68.58 8.53 8.41 0.03 6.94 1.44P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 20 31 +6 71.06 8.68 12.53 0.11 11.28 2.53P 0.00R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 21 29 +2 63.11 8.15 2.79 0.00 1.51 0.38P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 20 29 -1 65.21 8.61 -0.05 0.02 3.09 0.67P 0.01R 0.00 Kidderminster 20 28 +0 62.76 8.69 -2.65 0.00 1.94 0.39P 0.06R 0.00 Salisbury 20 27 +1 62.52 8.63 0.19 0.00 1.70 0.31P 0.03R 0.00 Halifax 20 26 +4 65.64 8.83 10.09 0.01 4.18 1.01P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 22 25 -4 53.37 7.74 -10.14 0.00 0.06 0.02P 0.50R 0.01 York 20 24 -5 57.62 8.44 -9.48 0.00 0.37 0.06P 0.24R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 20 23 +2 61.21 8.67 6.09 0.00 1.31 0.34P 0.10R 0.00 Weymouth 20 22 -3 57.29 8.53 -4.28 0.00 0.30 0.05P 0.34R 0.00 Farsley_Celtic 20 17 -17 39.16 7.69 -41.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.40R 1.41 Altrincham 20 15 -16 40.10 7.92 -36.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.70R 1.58 Droylsden 20 10 -25 28.57 7.00 -59.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.74R 21.02 Stafford_Rangers 20 9 -21 29.14 7.17 -47.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.87R 18.62 Northwich 20 6 -30 22.98 6.69 -64.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.96R 57.37