Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 November 2007 at 22:34:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2007, Blackburn vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         13   33  +19      84.47     7.89    51.64    45.26    66.30    79.92    88.58    97.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +16      80.19     7.13    42.89    19.05    43.02    63.86    79.02    95.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        14   29   +4      64.11     8.30     7.81     0.41     1.77     4.61     9.64    31.09     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +12      74.19     7.88    34.93     6.46    16.78    31.50    49.02    80.60     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   27  +16      80.41     7.22    46.80    20.61    45.73    65.86    80.20    95.15     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   27  +11      71.55     7.75    33.60     3.49    10.37    20.97    35.69    70.93     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      14   26  +12      73.40     7.66    40.43     4.49    14.58    28.62    46.21    78.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton         14   23  +10      61.64     8.10    20.78     0.16     0.86     2.67     6.26    23.84     0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       14   23   +0      60.03     8.04     7.06     0.05     0.35     1.23     3.34    16.09     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        13   19   +8      56.30     8.36    14.11     0.03     0.23     0.73     1.94     9.90     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       13   18   -2      45.84     7.82   -16.09     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.63     1.25R    0.02  
Fulham          14   13   -4      39.33     7.79   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     7.50R    0.23  
Reading         14   13  -14      35.08     7.44   -39.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    20.84R    1.12  
Tottenham       14   12   -1      44.78     7.86    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.45     1.91R    0.03  
Bolton          14   11   -6      36.15     7.60   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    14.92R    0.60  
Birmingham      14   11   -9      35.65     8.03   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.65R    0.95  
Middlesbrough   14   10  -14      28.96     6.83   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.24R    6.06  
Sunderland      14   10  -15      30.66     7.04   -40.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.01R    4.11  
Wigan           14    8  -15      29.18     7.24   -34.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.82R    6.01  
Derby           14    6  -28      16.55     5.32   -68.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   80.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2007, Plymouth vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          18   36   +9      82.22     9.54    21.25    17.85    40.90    81.84    49.59P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        18   34  +20      90.11     8.70    48.81    56.31    77.10    96.80    83.53P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         18   31   +6      72.95     9.48    11.39     4.02    11.50    49.03    20.43P    0.10R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    18   30   +4      73.49     9.24    11.79     3.36    10.97    51.28    21.67P    0.11R    0.00  
Ipswich          17   28  +10      77.76     9.82    26.38     9.41    25.31    69.23    36.83P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City     18   28   -1      64.89     9.37    -3.29     0.49     2.15    18.53     5.47P    1.41R    0.13  
Plymouth         18   27   +4      70.05     9.56    11.14     1.94     6.89    38.00    14.88P    0.33R    0.02  
Stoke            18   27   +2      67.94     9.47     5.58     1.16     4.44    29.28    10.12P    0.70R    0.06  
Hull             18   26   +5      68.86     9.45    11.87     1.52     5.21    33.39    13.05P    0.52R    0.03  
Barnsley         18   26   -2      63.65     9.40    -3.45     0.39     1.59    15.69     4.37P    2.15R    0.26  
Burnley          17   25   +2      68.64     9.72     7.89     1.45     5.27    32.47    12.06P    0.71R    0.05  
Coventry         18   25   -6      57.52     9.07   -15.67     0.06     0.26     4.94     1.01P    7.66R    0.90  
Sheff_Utd        18   24   +3      68.30     9.51    11.89     1.12     4.52    31.98    11.59P    0.61R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed        18   23   -2      60.67     9.68    -3.25     0.20     0.92    10.61     3.09P    4.65R    0.57  
Southampton      18   23  -10      53.64     9.04   -24.70     0.01     0.08     2.06     0.44P   16.41R    2.80  
Leicester        17   21   +4      63.88     9.62     9.34     0.57     2.12    17.93     7.37P    1.96R    0.19  
Scunthorpe       18   21   -3      56.79     9.25    -6.91     0.04     0.25     4.51     1.16P    8.72R    1.25  
Crystal_Palace   18   20   -2      54.93     9.22    -6.73     0.02     0.14     3.30     0.89P   11.83R    1.82  
Cardiff          17   19   -3      53.45     9.66   -11.79     0.03     0.13     2.67     0.67P   17.57R    3.48  
Colchester       18   17   -2      56.03     9.53    -1.76     0.02     0.20     4.42     1.25P   10.73R    1.90  
Blackpool        17   16   -6      51.00     9.73   -13.57     0.02     0.06     1.67     0.42P   25.15R    6.41  
QPR              17   16  -12      41.95     8.67   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   64.11R   27.21  
Preston          18   15   -8      43.87     9.01   -21.24     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.06P   53.61R   18.99  
Norwich          18   15  -12      40.23     8.39   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   70.89R   33.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          17   31  +11      85.38     9.40    34.36    15.43    35.26    87.53    48.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    17   31   +0      70.23     9.44    -1.70     0.82     2.89    30.97     6.26P    0.33R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     16   30  +18      91.78     9.07    49.53    42.11    64.97    96.38    76.70P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         16   29  +12      85.59     9.64    36.22    17.17    36.73    87.52    51.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   26  +18      87.26     8.66    53.03    21.03    45.89    92.72    64.27P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        17   26   +6      69.48     9.62    11.82     0.59     2.55    30.72     8.28P    0.43R    0.01  
Brighton         17   26   +5      70.00     9.42    11.73     0.54     2.32    32.38     8.13P    0.36R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      69.09     9.78     6.93     0.64     2.39    29.11     6.86P    0.54R    0.01  
Tranmere         17   24   +4      71.34     9.73    15.44     0.88     3.50    38.35    12.06P    0.30R    0.01  
Walsall          17   24   +2      63.23     9.38     1.90     0.11     0.43    11.94     2.63P    2.00R    0.07  
Swindon          16   23   +7      67.85    10.00    12.94     0.46     1.96    26.89     7.31P    0.85R    0.03  
Crewe            17   23   -4      55.22     9.25   -15.63     0.01     0.07     2.45     0.43P   11.70R    0.88  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.35     9.03   -24.75     0.00     0.03     1.23     0.15P   19.63R    1.58  
Yeovil           17   22   -4      57.22     9.36    -9.71     0.01     0.08     3.84     0.70P    8.17R    0.58  
Hartlepool       17   21   +0      62.98     9.56     3.69     0.09     0.41    12.42     2.56P    2.45R    0.10  
Oldham           16   19   +0      61.46    10.20     2.81     0.09     0.46    11.17     2.92P    4.34R    0.28  
Northampton      17   19   -4      49.10     9.13   -20.21     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.12P   30.13R    4.08  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.03     9.29   -13.32     0.01     0.03     1.63     0.32P   16.93R    1.54  
Gillingham       17   19  -14      49.32     9.16   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.05P   31.26R    4.85  
Millwall         17   16  -10      44.20     8.76   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   51.69R   11.43  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.81     9.07   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   53.42R   13.19  
Bournemouth      17   13  -13      41.25     8.95   -32.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.08R   20.32  
Luton            17   12   -1      51.64     9.63    -1.08     0.01     0.02     1.31     0.28P   21.06R    2.81  
Port_Vale        17   12  -11      36.94     8.43   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.31R   38.21  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.77     9.23    51.74    49.08    83.87    98.50    88.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.70     9.58    43.42    18.52    60.72    93.49    69.92P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.48     9.34    41.90    16.84    60.12    93.71    72.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.60    10.12    18.62     2.67    17.84    65.41    28.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      77.26     9.98    19.66     2.00    14.48    61.31    25.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.75     9.95    20.29     2.01    15.50    62.78    27.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.87    10.47    34.00     7.89    33.77    79.38    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.20    10.12    10.03     0.41     4.57    33.34    11.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.77     9.99     5.85     0.13     2.18    22.19     6.76P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.73    10.15     8.53     0.24     2.92    25.73     8.04P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.99    10.17    -1.35     0.05     1.02    13.09     3.41P    0.25R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.48     9.75   -16.18     0.00     0.13     3.35     0.73P    1.32R    0.23  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.68    10.01    -2.60     0.03     0.49     8.99     2.36P    0.40R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.00    10.14    -6.52     0.02     0.42     8.37     1.85P    0.70R    0.12  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.85    10.11   -11.22     0.01     0.24     5.54     1.08P    1.14R    0.25  
Brentford            16   19   -6      53.89    10.00   -15.46     0.00     0.07     2.59     0.49P    2.49R    0.55  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.59    11.21    -1.34     0.09     1.43    14.50     4.05P    0.69R    0.15  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.54    10.23   -13.64     0.00     0.07     2.97     0.63P    2.55R    0.58  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.00    10.01   -15.68     0.00     0.06     2.30     0.50P    2.93R    0.71  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.81     8.72   -45.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.30R   20.17  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      52.22    10.44    -7.61     0.00     0.09     2.31     0.58P    4.26R    1.15  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.54     9.34   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.69R   10.80  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      35.92     9.57   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.26R   24.37  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.91     8.56   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   65.89R   40.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 November 2007, Stevenage vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           20   46  +16      94.98     8.33    38.13    27.26    93.62    43.07P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             20   45  +22      98.36     7.96    56.88    48.64    97.57    61.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       20   41  +14      89.75     8.24    35.25    10.71    83.79    30.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           20   39  +19      88.38     8.37    42.18     8.97    80.53    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       20   37  +13      83.55     8.45    31.04     3.09    60.44    17.41P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        20   37  +10      78.44     8.68    19.44     1.00    34.76     6.60P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              20   32   +6      71.55     8.59    12.02     0.12    11.54     2.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    20   32   +2      69.22     8.52     4.61     0.04     6.88     1.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              20   31   +6      68.31     8.66     7.92     0.05     6.44     1.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        20   31   +6      71.11     8.58    12.71     0.09    10.56     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      21   29   +2      63.25     8.19     3.05     0.00     1.58     0.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          20   29   -1      64.98     8.51    -0.48     0.00     2.82     0.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster       20   28   +0      62.82     8.63    -2.57     0.01     2.01     0.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Salisbury           20   27   +1      62.51     8.75     0.12     0.01     1.90     0.39P    0.04R    0.00  
Halifax             20   26   +4      65.66     8.75    10.11     0.01     3.68     0.83P    0.02R    0.00  
York                20   24   -5      57.46     8.50    -9.78     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.28R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'monds   20   23   +2      61.06     8.67     5.90     0.00     1.17     0.32P    0.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            20   22   -3      57.24     8.52    -4.36     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.27R    0.00  
Woking              21   22   -5      50.89     7.98   -12.31     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.30R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      20   17  -17      39.40     7.66   -41.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.53R    1.29  
Altrincham          20   15  -16      40.21     7.91   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.33R    1.50  
Droylsden           20   10  -25      28.53     7.00   -59.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.82R   20.82  
Stafford_Rangers    20    9  -21      29.14     7.15   -47.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.10R   18.39  
Northwich           20    6  -30      22.87     6.67   -64.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.14R   57.98