Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 November 2007 at 22:34:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2007, Fulham vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         13   33  +19      84.74     7.82    52.09    46.47    68.40    81.80    89.98    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   30  +16      79.96     7.21    42.92    18.60    42.49    63.93    79.38    95.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        14   29   +4      63.40     8.31     6.84     0.31     1.48     4.01     8.79    29.13     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +12      74.26     7.79    35.24     6.23    17.36    32.97    51.05    81.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   27  +16      80.66     7.23    47.22    21.77    47.68    67.91    81.90    95.71     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      14   26  +12      73.73     7.65    41.19     4.86    15.57    31.26    50.20    80.49     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   24   +7      65.68     8.31    20.86     0.81     3.20     7.67    15.33    42.14     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         14   23  +10      61.53     8.00    20.64     0.20     0.82     2.55     6.37    24.31     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       13   23   +4      65.97     8.42    18.69     0.72     2.81     7.23    15.19    43.59     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        13   19   +8      55.71     8.41    13.23     0.02     0.18     0.64     1.72     9.15     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       13   18   -2      45.54     7.79   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.50     1.52R    0.01  
Fulham          14   13   -4      39.40     7.92   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     8.27R    0.24  
Reading         14   13  -14      35.55     7.37   -38.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.14R    0.74  
Tottenham       14   12   -1      45.10     7.84    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.48     1.72R    0.03  
Bolton          14   11   -6      35.76     7.52   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.58R    0.66  
Birmingham      14   11   -9      35.29     7.91   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    20.01R    0.93  
Middlesbrough   14   10  -14      29.09     6.82   -41.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.43R    5.52  
Sunderland      14   10  -15      31.32     7.05   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.13R    3.18  
Wigan           14    8  -15      29.37     7.29   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.75R    5.04  
Derby           14    6  -28      16.13     5.16   -69.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.38R   83.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Blackpool vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          18   36   +9      82.04     9.43    20.96    19.76    40.76    81.19    49.32P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        17   31  +19      87.93     9.18    46.70    48.33    69.47    93.97    77.85P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         18   31   +6      73.27     9.63    11.89     5.09    13.43    50.36    22.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Ipswich          17   28  +10      77.83     9.82    26.55    11.22    26.50    69.50    37.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City     18   28   -1      64.81     9.40    -3.41     0.57     2.14    18.35     5.40P    1.50R    0.12  
Plymouth         17   27   +5      71.81     9.83    12.80     3.96    10.51    45.09    19.24P    0.29R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    17   27   +3      71.84     9.85    10.85     3.30     9.85    44.43    19.09P    0.27R    0.01  
Stoke            18   27   +2      68.03     9.58     5.71     1.52     5.01    29.79    10.56P    0.72R    0.07  
Hull             18   26   +5      68.50     9.53    11.38     1.65     5.28    32.05    12.44P    0.70R    0.06  
Barnsley         18   26   -2      64.09     9.51    -2.69     0.53     2.12    16.98     4.99P    1.95R    0.17  
Burnley          17   25   +2      68.41     9.69     7.52     1.54     5.27    31.18    11.52P    0.68R    0.07  
Coventry         18   25   -6      57.65     9.24   -15.44     0.07     0.38     5.33     1.26P    7.93R    0.94  
Sheff_Utd        18   24   +3      68.20     9.49    11.75     1.29     4.74    31.40    11.59P    0.70R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        18   23   -2      60.54     9.50    -3.47     0.17     0.75     9.80     2.78P    4.57R    0.49  
Southampton      18   23  -10      53.15     9.01   -25.50     0.01     0.11     1.95     0.38P   17.85R    3.04  
Leicester        17   21   +4      64.32     9.77     9.89     0.76     2.49    19.17     8.16P    1.92R    0.18  
Scunthorpe       18   21   -3      56.62     9.21    -7.20     0.04     0.24     4.45     1.19P    9.20R    1.42  
Crystal_Palace   18   20   -2      55.02     9.29    -6.60     0.04     0.18     3.30     0.91P   11.91R    1.91  
Cardiff          17   19   -3      53.75     9.80   -11.19     0.05     0.22     3.08     0.90P   17.09R    3.51  
Colchester       17   17   -1      57.63     9.83    -0.36     0.08     0.49     6.80     1.93P    8.67R    1.50  
Blackpool        17   16   -6      50.70     9.65   -14.01     0.02     0.07     1.50     0.38P   26.08R    6.67  
QPR              17   16  -12      42.19     8.69   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   63.04R   26.35  
Preston          18   15   -8      43.86     8.84   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   53.38R   18.74  
Norwich          18   15  -12      40.16     8.42   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   71.33R   34.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2007, Swansea vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          17   31  +11      85.43     9.33    34.51    15.45    35.76    87.97    49.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    17   31   +0      70.30     9.44    -1.53     0.78     2.81    31.59     6.15P    0.35R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     16   30  +18      91.64     9.17    49.25    41.98    64.46    96.13    76.12P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         16   29  +12      85.16     9.74    35.48    16.61    35.56    86.25    49.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            17   26  +18      87.16     8.76    52.82    21.43    46.25    92.29    64.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        17   26   +6      69.72     9.50    12.18     0.64     2.75    31.33     8.47P    0.40R    0.01  
Brighton         17   26   +5      69.67     9.48    11.28     0.59     2.42    31.11     8.18P    0.40R    0.01  
Southend         17   26   +2      69.10     9.79     6.93     0.64     2.43    29.05     6.83P    0.60R    0.02  
Tranmere         17   24   +4      71.36     9.78    15.51     0.89     3.51    38.46    12.34P    0.30R    0.00  
Walsall          17   24   +2      63.67     9.42     2.50     0.16     0.65    13.02     3.11P    1.68R    0.05  
Swindon          16   23   +7      67.92     9.99    13.07     0.65     2.28    26.87     7.64P    0.78R    0.03  
Crewe            17   23   -4      55.32     9.27   -15.47     0.00     0.05     2.51     0.41P   11.68R    0.83  
Huddersfield     17   23   -8      52.30     9.09   -24.88     0.00     0.03     1.29     0.17P   20.24R    1.92  
Yeovil           17   22   -4      57.08     9.42    -9.84     0.02     0.10     4.18     0.86P    8.16R    0.56  
Hartlepool       17   21   +0      63.28     9.62     4.06     0.08     0.51    13.03     2.84P    2.32R    0.08  
Oldham           16   19   +0      61.28    10.10     2.51     0.08     0.41    10.33     2.64P    4.40R    0.29  
Northampton      17   19   -4      48.97     8.99   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P   30.29R    3.90  
Bristol_Rovers   17   19   -5      53.32     9.32   -12.95     0.00     0.02     1.73     0.32P   15.90R    1.47  
Gillingham       17   19  -14      49.71     9.27   -29.64     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.08P   29.95R    4.61  
Millwall         17   16  -10      43.80     8.82   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   53.68R   12.61  
Cheltenham       17   15  -11      43.84     9.01   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   53.26R   12.91  
Bournemouth      17   13  -13      41.24     8.82   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.28R   19.52  
Luton            17   12   -1      51.73     9.63    -0.95     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.32P   20.52R    2.78  
Port_Vale        17   12  -11      36.77     8.36   -35.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.83R   38.39  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      97.20     9.24    52.31    50.92    85.01    98.65    89.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.69     9.56    43.35    17.91    60.92    93.59    70.05P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.45     9.34    41.84    16.29    60.52    93.79    72.73P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.14    10.00    17.87     2.49    16.55    63.92    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      77.23    10.13    19.61     2.09    14.76    61.30    25.58P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.78     9.98    20.34     1.96    15.73    63.64    27.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.64    10.47    33.74     7.31    32.61    79.05    44.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.51    10.11    10.48     0.40     4.83    34.76    12.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.70     9.96     5.70     0.20     2.27    21.79     6.78P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.32    10.33     7.82     0.23     2.84    24.65     7.75P    0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.77    10.09    -1.73     0.05     0.93    12.51     3.31P    0.21R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.46     9.81   -16.21     0.00     0.15     3.38     0.67P    1.30R    0.27  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.54    10.02    -2.87     0.03     0.49     9.16     2.28P    0.37R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.55    10.16    -5.60     0.02     0.51     9.12     2.18P    0.53R    0.09  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.87    10.23   -11.23     0.01     0.27     5.80     1.20P    1.14R    0.25  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.55     9.93   -14.46     0.00     0.09     2.93     0.63P    2.10R    0.46  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.51    11.11    -1.45     0.09     1.34    14.36     4.10P    0.59R    0.16  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.99    10.14   -12.97     0.00     0.09     2.98     0.67P    2.34R    0.54  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.31     9.90   -15.24     0.00     0.05     2.27     0.48P    2.62R    0.63  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.61     8.53   -45.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.88R   19.48  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.77    10.40    -8.36     0.00     0.05     2.22     0.55P    4.41R    1.26  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.56     9.31   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.19R   10.31  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.09     9.50   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.00R   23.35  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.35     8.52   -45.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.15R   43.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.45     8.54    37.03    25.99    89.67    41.19P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.40     8.28    54.36    43.01    94.86    55.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      86.95     8.76    32.35     8.71    70.38    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.30     8.70    32.78     6.24    63.50    20.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.79     8.89    29.29     4.68    56.50    14.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.21     8.51    44.49    10.83    77.17    31.17P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.10     8.88    12.36     0.19    12.23     2.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.28     8.90     7.31     0.10     6.30     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.72     8.49     4.49     0.01     2.37     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.13     8.72     4.50     0.05     5.07     1.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.94     8.90     8.89     0.08     6.35     1.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.05     8.91     2.83     0.03     3.79     0.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.06     8.94    -1.35     0.02     1.62     0.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.34     8.84    -5.61     0.00     1.14     0.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.41     9.14    10.72     0.04     4.60     1.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.50     8.94    11.72     0.02     3.36     0.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      60.23     9.02    -0.60     0.00     0.88     0.14P    0.15R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.16     8.39   -11.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.92R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      54.91     8.65   -12.43     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.60R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      41.04     8.01   -37.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.78R    0.33  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      40.06     8.09   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00P   18.37R    0.60  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.62     7.35   -47.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.12R    9.09  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.28     6.77   -68.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.45R   32.59  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.90     6.80   -68.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.43R   57.38