Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 November 2007 at 22:36:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.89     8.08    54.69    43.80    69.60    83.42    91.19    97.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      83.93     7.37    48.10    35.42    65.82    82.25    91.30    98.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.43     8.80    10.30     0.54     2.37     6.75    14.02    38.66     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.96     8.09    33.65     4.40    14.10    29.78    48.13    79.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      76.93     8.18    40.50    10.57    28.55    50.77    68.10    89.38     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.94     8.33    38.50     3.63    12.37    27.21    45.14    75.64     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.10     8.83    19.64     1.03     4.32    11.15    22.05    52.57     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.11     9.12    13.75     0.43     1.81     4.99    10.77    31.22     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      57.14     8.66     9.21     0.06     0.40     1.30     3.40    14.51     0.05R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.61     8.85    17.33     0.11     0.65     2.28     5.53    19.52     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.63     8.40   -11.35     0.01     0.02     0.07     0.28     1.84     1.34R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.65     7.83   -39.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    21.79R    1.14  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.36     8.16   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    11.94R    0.49  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.43     8.28    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.57     4.05R    0.09  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.72     8.68   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    16.04R    0.80  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.39     7.96   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    21.45R    1.52  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.75     7.51   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.17R    3.73  
Bolton          13    8   -7      31.04     7.62   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.88R    3.48  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.88     7.59   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.94R    5.99  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.56     5.36   -69.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.26R   82.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.69    10.15    27.58    30.45    55.73    90.28    63.56P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      89.89     9.51    50.02    43.07    68.07    94.68    76.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      75.04    10.24    15.86     5.03    13.67    55.05    24.74P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.37    10.23     1.20     1.18     4.18    29.19     9.39P    0.84R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.51    10.24     9.83     2.24     6.93    41.00    16.00P    0.40R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.24    10.57    31.71    11.89    28.23    73.76    40.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.14    10.39     8.46     1.34     4.38    29.86    10.75P    0.92R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.54    10.11    -7.03     0.32     1.28    15.45     3.88P    2.49R    0.15  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.58    10.21     1.73     0.66     2.56    21.18     6.70P    1.63R    0.07  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.42    10.38    -3.60     0.50     1.81    16.02     4.72P    2.87R    0.21  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.84    10.33    11.22     1.09     3.87    29.18    10.93P    0.98R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.87    10.22     6.29     0.60     2.44    22.96     7.33P    1.44R    0.07  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.80    10.50     2.59     0.61     2.37    20.42     6.54P    2.15R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.30    10.26    -4.73     0.13     0.58     8.84     2.49P    6.06R    0.35  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.62     9.56   -29.37     0.00     0.05     1.65     0.27P   21.11R    1.86  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.98    10.46    -3.88     0.18     0.72     9.93     2.80P    6.18R    0.40  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.57    10.64     5.92     0.32     1.28    13.73     5.18P    4.03R    0.28  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.79    10.23     5.45     0.20     0.97    13.37     3.90P    3.75R    0.27  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.27    10.86    -2.13     0.16     0.75     9.84     3.03P    7.67R    0.80  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      49.02    10.30   -19.70     0.02     0.07     1.38     0.34P   30.26R    4.15  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.05     9.63   -15.69     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.17P   31.92R    3.96  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.73     9.59   -31.97     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   52.41R    9.98  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      49.02     9.84   -12.75     0.01     0.03     1.13     0.35P   28.60R    3.26  
Norwich          16    9  -16      29.86     8.13   -47.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.11R   73.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.72     9.94    36.64    19.05    39.77    88.49    54.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.87     9.91    -2.34     0.59     2.27    27.07     5.37P    0.61R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      89.94     9.53    47.36    30.41    55.58    94.05    70.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.67     8.69    60.12    38.12    65.24    96.80    77.93P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.84    10.14     8.39     0.88     3.36    35.61     8.53P    0.42R    0.00  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.81    10.28    30.85     7.33    19.52    73.74    32.75P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.60     9.84    12.20     0.83     3.15    34.73    10.10P    0.31R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.09     9.98    17.05     1.39     5.08    45.16    15.24P    0.17R    0.01  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.55     9.79     7.85     0.29     1.23    21.07     5.18P    1.04R    0.04  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.64     9.58   -13.98     0.02     0.14     3.78     0.70P    8.70R    0.48  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.59     9.63   -23.40     0.00     0.06     2.60     0.35P   13.52R    0.89  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.99     9.92    -6.35     0.03     0.24     7.61     1.56P    4.85R    0.22  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.11    10.62     9.47     0.56     2.19    27.93     7.15P    1.20R    0.08  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.21     9.61    -3.72     0.03     0.17     6.20     1.30P    4.90R    0.25  
Swindon          15   20   +6      66.87    10.35    12.98     0.45     1.84    24.42     6.71P    1.18R    0.05  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.50     9.49   -14.88     0.00     0.03     1.60     0.30P   17.68R    1.64  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      55.18     9.79   -11.77     0.00     0.05     3.12     0.53P   12.15R    1.03  
Oldham           15   16   -3      55.79    10.37    -5.58     0.01     0.06     4.20     0.93P   11.92R    1.03  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.34     9.37   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.01P   46.20R    9.48  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.86     9.56   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   42.18R    8.18  
Millwall         16   13  -11      41.13     8.97   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   62.68R   17.75  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.12     8.90   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   70.28R   24.54  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.09     9.05   -38.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   74.38R   30.05  
Luton            16    9   -2      50.01    10.07    -2.31     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.26P   25.58R    4.25  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.92     9.33    51.89    49.92    84.30    98.49    88.60P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.89     9.61    43.72    19.02    61.90    93.69    71.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.23     9.35    41.56    16.05    59.65    93.59    72.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.04    10.07    17.69     2.46    16.59    63.87    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      76.78    10.05    18.90     1.83    13.77    59.41    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.63    10.00    20.17     2.04    15.66    62.77    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.90    10.38    34.16     7.53    33.86    80.07    46.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.40    10.14    10.31     0.46     4.95    34.37    11.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      67.00     9.92     6.20     0.17     2.20    23.01     7.01P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.51    10.27     8.20     0.25     2.88    25.34     7.98P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.75    10.04    -1.75     0.06     0.94    12.60     3.25P    0.22R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.55     9.84   -16.12     0.01     0.15     3.50     0.73P    1.35R    0.28  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.97     9.85    -2.26     0.03     0.55     9.25     2.56P    0.26R    0.05  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.36    10.14    -5.88     0.03     0.50     8.89     2.14P    0.56R    0.12  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.65    10.26   -11.55     0.01     0.23     5.69     1.21P    1.17R    0.25  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.53     9.78   -14.36     0.00     0.09     2.63     0.56P    1.87R    0.40  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.79    11.17    -0.96     0.13     1.50    15.16     4.29P    0.58R    0.15  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.99    10.24   -13.01     0.01     0.13     3.07     0.72P    2.42R    0.54  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.40     9.96   -15.12     0.00     0.09     2.49     0.54P    2.70R    0.67  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.61     8.53   -45.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.70R   19.79  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.57    10.39    -8.70     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.43P    4.66R    1.25  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.29     9.33   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.31R   11.11  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.11     9.49   -39.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.04R   23.50  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.57     8.54   -45.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.05R   41.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.41     8.52    36.90    25.47    89.63    40.77P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.42     8.42    54.41    43.10    94.64    54.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.09     8.74    32.67     8.83    70.74    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.39     8.73    32.97     6.26    63.71    21.31P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.57     8.90    28.89     4.43    55.47    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.43     8.53    44.78    11.36    77.72    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.21     8.93    12.56     0.21    12.65     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.22     8.95     7.19     0.10     6.19     1.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.70     8.46     4.50     0.02     2.24     0.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.09     8.73     4.40     0.06     4.77     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.99     8.93     9.00     0.07     6.58     1.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.17     8.93     3.04     0.03     4.04     0.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      61.86     8.96    -1.66     0.01     1.51     0.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.38     8.90    -5.60     0.01     1.15     0.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.55     9.26    10.95     0.03     4.69     1.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.30     8.81    11.42     0.02     3.22     0.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      60.42     9.01    -0.27     0.00     0.88     0.17P    0.14R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.09     8.48   -11.12     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.99R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      55.16     8.63   -11.99     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.53R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      40.94     8.04   -37.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.11R    0.36  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      39.99     8.03   -39.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.41R    0.63  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.71     7.37   -47.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.15R    8.82  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.16     6.73   -69.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.83R   32.26  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.73     6.74   -69.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   57.92