Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 November 2007 at 22:35:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.90     7.99    54.77    43.35    69.21    83.08    90.94    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      83.98     7.32    48.41    35.20    65.15    81.64    90.77    98.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.86     8.84    10.89     0.57     2.67     7.22    14.54    39.98     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      73.53     8.17    34.63     5.17    15.70    31.83    50.30    80.69     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.26     7.85    40.92    10.65    28.67    51.03    69.22    90.46     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.89     8.25    38.39     3.27    11.49    25.71    43.41    74.99     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.49     8.90    20.30     1.25     4.71    11.87    22.73    53.42     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.88     9.02    13.38     0.38     1.50     4.35     9.70    29.62     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.82     8.77     8.71     0.07     0.35     1.32     3.35    13.71     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.21     8.87    16.73     0.09     0.53     1.84     4.68    18.17     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.40     8.33   -11.96     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.26     1.69     1.35R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.46     7.84   -40.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.55R    1.21  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.59     8.24   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    11.46R    0.42  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.62     8.45    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.68     4.11R    0.14  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.35     8.52   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    16.32R    0.84  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.32     7.90   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    21.21R    1.50  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.75     7.55   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.88R    3.70  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.65     7.47   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.66R    3.51  
Wigan           13    8  -13      30.06     7.52   -34.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.29R    5.61  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.48     5.38   -69.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.08R   83.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      88.02    10.13    28.14    31.79    57.10    90.77    64.92P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      89.77     9.50    49.98    42.37    67.66    94.57    76.79P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.70    10.31    15.34     4.98    13.28    53.97    23.83P    0.13R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.22    10.20     0.97     1.07     3.90    28.79     9.16P    0.79R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.12    10.10     9.32     2.11     6.49    39.14    15.13P    0.39R    0.02  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.29    10.52    31.65    11.61    28.35    74.00    40.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.56    10.25     9.12     1.47     4.75    31.20    11.24P    0.72R    0.02  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.92    10.29    -6.51     0.36     1.50    17.06     4.37P    2.35R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.68    10.17     1.93     0.64     2.45    21.72     6.63P    1.57R    0.08  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.20    10.30    -3.95     0.42     1.64    15.35     4.58P    2.80R    0.18  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.77    10.35    11.17     1.08     3.86    29.26    10.74P    0.94R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.57    10.22     5.80     0.53     2.17    22.16     7.09P    1.64R    0.11  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.80    10.58     2.65     0.63     2.40    20.57     6.47P    2.30R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.06    10.32    -5.19     0.12     0.55     8.62     2.46P    6.58R    0.43  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.73     9.81   -29.06     0.02     0.09     1.88     0.34P   21.48R    2.28  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.04    10.48    -3.76     0.16     0.76    10.45     2.86P    6.01R    0.43  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.91    10.68     6.36     0.31     1.35    14.44     5.48P    4.07R    0.36  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.66    10.17     5.19     0.16     0.86    13.00     3.89P    3.88R    0.30  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.90    10.79    -2.63     0.15     0.69     9.30     2.81P    7.93R    0.82  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.78    10.38   -20.10     0.02     0.08     1.58     0.43P   31.32R    4.72  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.36     9.66   -15.17     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.21P   30.78R    4.06  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.69     9.76   -32.12     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.08P   52.50R   11.06  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.79     9.76   -13.10     0.00     0.04     0.95     0.26P   28.83R    3.88  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.52     8.23   -46.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.95R   70.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.44    10.04    36.28    18.56    38.51    87.61    53.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.73     9.91    -2.66     0.52     2.11    26.57     5.16P    0.65R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.02     9.47    47.55    30.59    55.78    94.10    70.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.64     8.67    60.09    37.83    64.98    96.87    77.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.85    10.19     8.41     0.94     3.44    35.44     8.39P    0.41R    0.02  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.86    10.35    30.93     7.46    19.81    73.90    33.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.55     9.82    12.10     0.84     3.11    34.32     9.85P    0.33R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.48    10.14    17.61     1.71     5.72    46.66    16.15P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.68     9.82     8.00     0.27     1.27    21.57     5.27P    0.94R    0.03  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.47     9.52   -14.35     0.03     0.12     3.62     0.65P    8.94R    0.56  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.66     9.64   -23.30     0.01     0.07     2.58     0.37P   13.12R    0.96  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.67     9.87    -6.86     0.04     0.23     7.10     1.49P    5.21R    0.26  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.12    10.64     9.43     0.64     2.48    27.75     7.19P    1.21R    0.05  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.67     9.80    -3.06     0.04     0.20     6.91     1.53P    5.05R    0.26  
Swindon          15   20   +6      66.99    10.44    13.13     0.51     1.97    24.48     7.18P    1.21R    0.04  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.35     9.46   -15.20     0.01     0.03     1.54     0.28P   17.85R    1.74  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      55.06     9.84   -11.84     0.00     0.05     3.07     0.58P   12.33R    1.08  
Oldham           15   16   -3      55.87    10.38    -5.38     0.02     0.11     4.18     0.91P   11.86R    1.13  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.44     9.43   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P   45.88R    9.06  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.70     9.49   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   42.53R    8.88  
Millwall         16   13  -11      41.04     8.98   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    63.13R   17.95  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.07     8.92   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   70.12R   24.99  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.42     9.21   -37.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   72.54R   28.67  
Luton            16    9   -2      49.75    10.13    -2.79     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.26P   26.51R    4.29  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      97.00     9.27    52.09    50.07    84.48    98.64    88.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.43     9.61    42.92    17.60    60.04    93.15    69.52P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.26     9.50    41.57    16.28    59.41    93.00    71.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.27    10.19    18.07     2.80    17.36    64.16    27.94P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      77.22    10.02    19.60     1.89    14.37    61.13    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.95    10.00    20.64     2.27    16.42    63.78    28.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.98    10.50    34.29     7.95    33.85    79.80    46.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.63    10.08    10.67     0.50     4.85    35.21    12.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.50    10.04     5.40     0.16     2.13    21.41     6.60P    0.08R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.46    10.37     8.13     0.25     3.08    25.26     8.03P    0.08R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.85     9.99    -1.48     0.05     0.84    12.42     3.15P    0.29R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.53     9.84   -16.27     0.01     0.15     3.48     0.76P    1.37R    0.23  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.91    10.01    -2.33     0.02     0.56     9.53     2.47P    0.36R    0.08  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.30    10.15    -5.99     0.02     0.47     8.84     2.03P    0.61R    0.11  
Stockport            16   19   -6      58.14    10.34   -10.87     0.01     0.26     6.32     1.29P    1.17R    0.24  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.04     9.79   -15.12     0.00     0.08     2.40     0.54P    2.26R    0.52  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.35    11.20    -1.61     0.12     1.44    14.30     4.08P    0.58R    0.11  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.69    10.16   -13.45     0.00     0.09     2.64     0.57P    2.57R    0.64  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.42     9.90   -15.07     0.00     0.09     2.48     0.51P    2.51R    0.59  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.93     8.58   -45.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.68R   19.31  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.60    10.29    -8.65     0.00     0.04     1.96     0.46P    4.66R    1.33  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.13     9.17   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.99R   11.65  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.30     9.48   -39.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.47R   22.83  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.59     8.56   -45.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.31R   42.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.52     8.55    37.05    25.81    89.75    41.31P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.46     8.39    54.47    42.77    94.83    54.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.22     8.79    32.79     9.14    71.15    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.02     8.66    32.34     5.85    62.40    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.80     8.88    29.27     4.58    56.61    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.42     8.59    44.95    11.35    77.65    31.72P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.13     8.85    12.43     0.17    12.11     2.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.58     8.92     7.85     0.10     6.60     1.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.54     8.39     4.26     0.02     2.08     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.27     8.76     4.65     0.06     5.14     1.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      69.09     8.91     9.06     0.06     6.70     1.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.00     8.92     2.68     0.03     3.88     0.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      61.94     8.92    -1.52     0.01     1.41     0.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.78     8.87    -4.94     0.01     1.22     0.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.34     9.07    10.68     0.03     4.24     1.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.35     8.87    11.50     0.01     3.24     0.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      59.85     9.00    -1.20     0.00     0.77     0.15P    0.14R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.37     8.37   -10.64     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.88R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      54.90     8.70   -12.42     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.58R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      40.78     7.96   -37.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.42R    0.32  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      39.99     8.00   -39.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.73R    0.62  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.90     7.39   -47.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.37R    8.09  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.12     6.67   -69.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   32.33  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.59     6.78   -69.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.68R   58.63