Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 November 2007 at 22:35:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.29     8.10    55.55    45.27    70.91    84.27    91.71    98.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.11     7.20    48.55    34.78    66.21    83.13    92.04    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.49     8.66    10.28     0.50     2.15     6.42    13.70    38.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.79     8.23    33.43     4.33    13.48    29.09    47.79    78.73     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.24     8.09    41.01    10.53    29.48    52.13    70.25    90.26     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.68     8.30    37.89     3.15    11.25    25.89    43.60    75.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      66.88     8.94    19.29     0.96     4.06    11.09    21.84    52.19     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.01     8.91    13.52     0.32     1.51     4.44    10.10    30.78     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.97     8.60     8.95     0.02     0.26     1.20     3.26    14.36     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.66     8.89    17.38     0.12     0.68     2.24     5.38    20.13     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.33     8.35   -12.16     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.21     1.71     1.27R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.57     7.81   -40.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.41R    1.14  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.46     8.16   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    11.77R    0.37  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.87     8.30    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.77     3.69R    0.08  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.47     8.66   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.15    16.59R    0.84  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.36     7.94   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    21.61R    1.50  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      32.03     7.63   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.95R    3.55  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.87     7.59   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.50R    3.44  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.89     7.58   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.87R    6.09  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.44     5.35   -69.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   82.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.90     9.94    27.93    31.08    57.28    91.19    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      89.92     9.49    50.21    43.50    68.56    94.96    77.56P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.49    10.36    14.98     4.94    12.93    53.30    23.30P    0.14R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.23    10.16     1.03     1.06     3.91    28.97     9.24P    0.72R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.32     9.93     9.58     2.03     6.57    40.21    15.43P    0.30R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      79.85    10.71    30.86    11.22    27.60    72.56    39.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.18    10.36     8.49     1.41     4.39    30.17    10.93P    0.88R    0.04  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.56    10.12    -7.09     0.37     1.44    15.83     4.08P    2.53R    0.13  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.94    10.21     2.26     0.75     2.71    22.58     7.03P    1.64R    0.08  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.46    10.29    -3.52     0.43     1.63    16.08     4.73P    2.86R    0.20  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.55    10.36    10.84     1.04     3.76    28.70    10.70P    1.09R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.32    10.39     5.38     0.60     2.32    21.77     6.93P    1.87R    0.14  
Burnley          15   21   +1      65.11    10.60     3.14     0.62     2.47    21.68     7.09P    2.15R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.29    10.36    -4.80     0.13     0.64     9.14     2.70P    6.52R    0.43  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.64     9.66   -29.24     0.02     0.08     1.81     0.35P   21.60R    2.35  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.65    10.39    -4.43     0.11     0.60     9.42     2.42P    6.45R    0.44  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.67    10.65     6.02     0.31     1.30    14.10     5.52P    4.06R    0.31  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.91    10.17     5.70     0.20     0.87    13.71     3.81P    3.76R    0.29  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.29    10.82    -2.00     0.15     0.79    10.11     2.98P    7.68R    0.77  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      49.21    10.29   -19.25     0.02     0.08     1.57     0.41P   30.09R    4.33  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.13     9.64   -15.45     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.24P   32.09R    4.08  
QPR              15   15  -10      44.08     9.69   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   51.15R   10.17  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.91     9.67   -12.86     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.27P   28.78R    3.58  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.31     8.18   -46.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.59R   72.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.17    10.06    35.91    17.84    38.05    87.18    53.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.49     9.89    -3.04     0.58     2.07    25.66     4.71P    0.72R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.34     9.52    48.21    32.20    57.13    94.35    70.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.46     8.72    59.56    36.98    64.48    96.73    77.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.63    10.31     8.00     0.95     3.51    35.00     8.53P    0.47R    0.01  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.72    10.37    30.76     7.39    19.39    73.37    32.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.28     9.83    11.74     0.75     2.94    33.35     9.54P    0.33R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.75    10.06    17.94     1.77     5.85    47.90    16.91P    0.19R    0.00  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      67.01     9.95     8.58     0.37     1.60    22.98     6.05P    0.96R    0.02  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.40     9.54   -14.31     0.02     0.12     3.61     0.72P    9.19R    0.50  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.91     9.72   -22.89     0.02     0.09     2.97     0.44P   12.98R    0.97  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.70     9.70    -6.78     0.03     0.20     6.79     1.27P    4.86R    0.23  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.15    10.61     9.55     0.59     2.39    27.97     7.36P    1.12R    0.04  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.33     9.76    -3.54     0.04     0.20     6.53     1.43P    5.26R    0.24  
Swindon          15   20   +6      66.94    10.42    13.03     0.44     1.77    24.61     6.81P    1.17R    0.05  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.36     9.53   -15.24     0.00     0.04     1.61     0.31P   18.42R    1.77  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      54.67     9.78   -12.57     0.01     0.06     2.84     0.50P   13.08R    1.17  
Oldham           15   16   -3      56.53    10.27    -4.52     0.01     0.10     4.72     1.10P   10.32R    0.86  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.54     9.50   -34.92     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   45.38R    9.40  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.63     9.57   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   42.97R    8.91  
Millwall         16   13  -11      40.68     8.97   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.42R   19.38  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.65     9.05   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   68.12R   23.25  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.49     9.05   -37.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.01R   28.47  
Luton            16    9   -2      49.68    10.23    -2.82     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.31P   26.97R    4.71  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.89     9.15    51.76    48.90    84.47    98.76    88.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      90.01     9.50    43.84    18.86    61.91    94.18    71.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.61     9.39    42.05    17.15    61.05    93.87    72.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.17    10.18    17.90     2.64    16.97    64.09    27.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      76.99     9.97    19.19     1.93    13.87    60.66    24.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.68    10.00    20.23     1.97    15.58    63.08    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.70    10.41    33.82     7.62    32.98    79.33    45.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.21    10.22    10.10     0.40     4.74    33.77    11.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.73     9.81     5.77     0.11     1.94    22.01     6.59P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.30    10.21     7.80     0.22     2.54    24.60     7.25P    0.08R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      63.09    10.17    -1.23     0.05     1.02    13.67     3.46P    0.20R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.35     9.76   -16.37     0.00     0.10     3.22     0.64P    1.43R    0.26  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.81    10.00    -2.50     0.03     0.51     9.37     2.36P    0.38R    0.05  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.50    10.13    -5.65     0.02     0.51     9.17     2.17P    0.57R    0.11  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.92    10.23   -11.10     0.01     0.23     5.94     1.21P    1.23R    0.29  
Brentford            16   19   -6      53.70     9.82   -15.70     0.00     0.07     2.35     0.52P    2.48R    0.66  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.38    11.09    -1.57     0.06     1.25    14.30     3.87P    0.64R    0.15  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.85    10.10   -13.17     0.01     0.12     2.96     0.67P    2.37R    0.56  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.63     9.80   -14.78     0.00     0.07     2.37     0.49P    2.43R    0.53  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.55     8.60   -45.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.90R   21.16  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.67    10.42    -8.41     0.01     0.06     2.18     0.59P    4.75R    1.44  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.25     9.27   -32.08     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.01P   27.62R   11.61  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.61     9.51   -38.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   44.35R   22.00  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.79     8.57   -45.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.49R   41.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.30     8.55    36.69    25.09    89.44    40.74P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.48     8.37    54.49    43.41    94.75    55.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.14     8.71    32.75     8.79    71.22    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.05     8.68    32.37     5.82    62.67    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.72     8.78    29.15     4.47    56.33    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.47     8.55    44.84    11.86    77.87    32.10P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      71.92     8.87    12.03     0.15    11.78     2.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.40     8.95     7.58     0.13     6.60     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.92     8.30     4.76     0.02     2.20     0.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.39     8.68     4.90     0.04     5.21     1.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.95     8.88     8.86     0.10     6.55     1.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.15     8.98     2.92     0.05     4.03     0.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.01     8.98    -1.40     0.01     1.61     0.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.64     8.86    -5.22     0.00     1.21     0.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.37     9.07    10.69     0.04     4.39     1.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.30     8.90    11.43     0.03     3.17     0.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      59.96     8.96    -1.02     0.00     0.75     0.17P    0.16R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      51.86     8.27   -11.43     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.00R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      54.99     8.67   -12.23     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.59R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      41.06     8.07   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    0.31  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      40.05     8.00   -39.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.28R    0.60  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.84     7.31   -47.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.26R    8.51  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.09     6.69   -69.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.11R   33.01  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.85     6.82   -68.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.53R   57.57