Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 November 2007 at 00:08:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.89     8.13    54.79    43.05    69.01    83.02    90.91    97.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.15     7.29    48.57    36.11    66.24    82.94    91.73    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.24     8.77     9.95     0.40     2.07     6.12    13.11    37.85     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      73.08     8.22    33.85     4.64    14.40    29.71    48.26    79.25     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.44     8.03    41.35    11.05    29.78    52.78    70.43    90.58     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.77     8.22    38.32     3.02    11.21    25.68    43.49    75.57     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.35     8.90    20.00     1.13     4.63    11.73    22.91    53.76     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.11     9.02    13.79     0.43     1.77     4.81    10.67    30.74     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      57.01     8.63     8.99     0.06     0.33     1.21     3.16    13.94     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.43     8.88    17.08     0.08     0.54     1.91     4.95    19.33     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.32     8.32   -12.01     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.30     1.75     1.37R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.45     7.84   -40.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    23.03R    1.18  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.38     8.19   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    11.93R    0.49  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      44.08     8.25    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.67     3.45R    0.08  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.05     8.42   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    17.47R    0.83  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.51     7.79   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    20.48R    1.30  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      32.14     7.55   -35.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.31R    3.32  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.90     7.48   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.78R    3.17  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.90     7.43   -34.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.67R    5.62  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.27     5.31   -70.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.37R   84.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.86    10.13    27.81    30.64    56.53    90.68    64.27P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.14     9.42    50.50    43.91    69.21    95.07    77.98P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.86    10.41    15.60     5.04    13.70    54.39    24.32P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.27    10.16     1.10     1.18     3.97    29.05     9.11P    0.70R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      70.40    10.16     8.31     1.80     5.74    37.10    13.46P    0.52R    0.02  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.24    10.57    31.51    11.59    27.95    74.07    40.39P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      67.98    10.24     8.24     1.24     4.13    29.53    10.40P    0.82R    0.02  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.55    10.14    -7.08     0.31     1.38    15.65     4.15P    2.68R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.63    10.23     1.77     0.68     2.58    21.82     6.80P    1.65R    0.09  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.48    10.37    -3.43     0.42     1.79    16.43     4.73P    2.97R    0.19  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.70    10.32    11.06     1.01     3.66    28.96    10.72P    1.09R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.22    10.30     5.22     0.49     2.11    21.56     6.68P    1.88R    0.09  
Burnley          15   21   +1      65.35    10.57     3.44     0.75     2.71    22.41     7.41P    1.94R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.29    10.28    -4.80     0.10     0.59     8.90     2.54P    6.42R    0.48  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.56     9.73   -29.45     0.01     0.04     1.78     0.28P   22.01R    2.25  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.92    10.48    -4.01     0.13     0.74    10.33     2.83P    6.33R    0.43  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.59    10.68     5.93     0.26     1.22    14.28     5.58P    4.20R    0.30  
Colchester       16   17   +0      62.10    10.23     6.02     0.22     1.00    14.35     4.29P    3.69R    0.31  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.12    10.76    -2.36     0.19     0.81     9.77     3.09P    7.71R    0.76  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      49.01    10.27   -19.65     0.02     0.09     1.51     0.37P   30.73R    4.35  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.41     9.66   -15.24     0.00     0.02     0.85     0.22P   31.07R    3.90  
QPR              15   15  -10      44.18     9.58   -31.17     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   50.76R    9.32  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      49.07     9.77   -12.65     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.32P   28.43R    3.36  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.07     8.05   -46.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.24R   73.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.36    10.05    36.26    18.26    38.64    87.65    53.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.69     9.84    -2.85     0.57     2.14    26.23     5.00P    0.69R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.13     9.51    47.73    31.39    56.17    94.18    70.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.52     8.82    59.59    37.35    64.57    96.58    77.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.59    10.14     8.00     0.95     3.47    34.61     8.39P    0.39R    0.01  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.83    10.41    30.87     7.66    19.90    74.04    33.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.56    10.12    12.15     0.89     3.45    35.01    10.21P    0.42R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.13    10.11    17.13     1.47     5.31    45.49    15.57P    0.20R    0.01  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.44     9.80     7.73     0.32     1.22    20.73     5.05P    1.02R    0.02  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.72     9.55   -13.94     0.03     0.15     3.91     0.75P    8.61R    0.53  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.76     9.62   -23.07     0.02     0.07     2.90     0.40P   13.08R    0.86  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.90     9.84    -6.56     0.03     0.22     7.37     1.45P    4.92R    0.28  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.38    10.59     9.91     0.54     2.39    29.06     7.47P    1.11R    0.04  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.22     9.70    -3.67     0.04     0.21     6.29     1.33P    5.16R    0.19  
Swindon          15   20   +6      67.02    10.32    13.18     0.45     1.82    24.72     7.00P    1.12R    0.03  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.30     9.62   -15.16     0.01     0.04     1.70     0.32P   18.83R    1.76  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      55.21     9.79   -11.65     0.01     0.06     3.09     0.57P   12.00R    1.02  
Oldham           15   16   -3      56.05    10.48    -5.20     0.02     0.14     4.62     1.12P   11.76R    0.99  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.23     9.35   -35.41     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.02P   46.65R    9.81  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.74     9.51   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   42.64R    8.76  
Millwall         16   13  -11      40.99     8.91   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.61R   18.28  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.37     8.99   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.18R   24.43  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.51     9.12   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   72.47R   28.49  
Luton            16    9   -2      49.89    10.12    -2.55     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.25P   26.10R    4.46  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      97.11     9.10    52.14    50.47    84.96    98.80    89.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.37     9.70    42.92    17.49    59.92    92.80    68.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.54     9.40    41.95    17.00    60.55    93.76    72.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.17    10.06    17.94     2.58    16.73    64.21    27.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      77.07     9.95    19.35     1.90    13.95    60.76    24.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.65     9.92    20.14     1.96    15.39    62.82    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.37    10.13    34.97     7.67    34.81    81.64    47.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.70    10.01    10.68     0.38     4.92    35.16    12.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.70    10.10     5.75     0.15     2.27    22.28     6.99P    0.08R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.55    10.09     8.22     0.22     2.72    25.02     7.64P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.88    10.08    -1.62     0.04     0.92    12.72     3.32P    0.18R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.37     9.78   -16.36     0.01     0.17     3.32     0.75P    1.33R    0.21  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.65     9.88    -2.67     0.02     0.46     8.62     2.25P    0.33R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.71    10.16    -5.24     0.03     0.55     9.43     2.23P    0.61R    0.13  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.71    10.18   -11.57     0.00     0.21     5.41     1.12P    1.18R    0.27  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.00     9.71   -15.21     0.00     0.05     2.32     0.44P    2.19R    0.51  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      61.91    11.14    -2.35     0.07     1.17    13.38     3.75P    0.70R    0.17  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.91    10.08   -13.03     0.00     0.09     2.80     0.66P    2.37R    0.50  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.18    10.10   -15.48     0.00     0.09     2.38     0.52P    2.92R    0.78  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.40     8.51   -46.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.46R   20.97  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.85    10.40    -8.19     0.00     0.06     2.22     0.56P    4.43R    1.25  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.08     9.23   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   28.30R   11.90  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.51     9.49   -38.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   44.75R   23.07  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      32.08     8.64   -44.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.10R   40.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.37     8.61    36.84    25.49    89.29    40.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.43     8.44    54.47    42.95    94.58    54.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.05     8.85    32.48     8.95    70.62    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.08     8.71    32.48     6.06    62.78    20.47P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.89     8.83    29.41     4.71    57.40    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.27     8.62    44.63    11.30    77.26    31.42P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.28     8.90    12.69     0.23    12.63     3.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.43     8.99     7.60     0.10     6.77     1.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.89     8.32     4.73     0.01     2.17     0.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      67.81     8.78     4.05     0.04     4.71     1.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.76     8.96     8.58     0.07     6.45     1.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.04     8.95     2.72     0.03     3.84     0.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.29     8.87    -0.91     0.01     1.61     0.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.73     8.75    -5.04     0.01     1.23     0.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.47     9.14    10.80     0.04     4.66     1.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      64.95     8.90    10.92     0.01     3.03     0.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      59.87     8.97    -1.15     0.00     0.78     0.19P    0.17R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.17     8.33   -11.08     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.95R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      55.20     8.70   -11.90     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.51R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      41.09     8.03   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.21R    0.28  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      40.09     8.09   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00P   18.45R    0.59  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.97     7.41   -47.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.51R    8.27  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.12     6.68   -68.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.08R   32.21  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.63     6.72   -69.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.92R   58.66