Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 November 2007 at 22:34:33 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.98     8.06    54.92    43.81    69.92    83.61    91.26    97.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.10     7.31    48.44    35.81    66.56    82.88    91.62    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.61     8.83    10.47     0.55     2.35     6.89    14.44    39.44     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.87     8.11    33.54     4.32    13.76    29.20    47.78    79.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.22     8.02    40.94    10.63    29.00    51.72    69.55    90.24     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.81     8.30    38.09     3.27    11.68    26.50    43.98    75.27     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.41     8.76    20.10     1.12     4.25    11.42    22.89    54.23     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.10     9.03    13.69     0.37     1.67     4.69    10.26    30.84     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.92     8.44     8.93     0.04     0.25     0.94     2.93    13.07     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.41     8.83    17.14     0.09     0.55     2.04     4.94    18.63     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.47     8.32   -11.76     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.27     1.84     1.19R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.41     7.78   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    23.23R    1.27  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.51     8.19   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    11.67R    0.49  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.73     8.35    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.74     3.96R    0.07  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.26     8.48   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    16.87R    0.75  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.33     7.79   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.92R    1.46  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      32.07     7.51   -35.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.55R    3.29  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.99     7.50   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.97R    3.34  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.88     7.60   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.96R    5.75  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.35     5.26   -69.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.57R   83.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.91    10.14    27.98    30.99    56.60    90.82    64.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.16     9.42    50.59    44.13    69.41    95.29    78.29P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.52    10.41    15.01     4.80    12.99    53.42    23.65P    0.14R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.07    10.12     0.75     1.00     3.80    28.41     8.86P    0.79R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      70.93    10.05     9.05     1.79     6.10    39.31    14.55P    0.35R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.02    10.69    31.23    11.28    27.84    73.39    39.77P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.24    10.36     8.62     1.48     4.54    30.70    11.18P    0.82R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.31    10.03    -7.41     0.25     1.24    15.13     3.75P    2.61R    0.17  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.63    10.16     1.76     0.68     2.47    21.71     6.72P    1.68R    0.11  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.44    10.28    -3.62     0.42     1.75    16.22     4.82P    2.73R    0.14  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.49    10.29    10.72     0.98     3.72    28.58    10.51P    1.00R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.64    10.21     5.86     0.50     2.23    22.30     7.03P    1.66R    0.11  
Burnley          15   21   +1      65.25    10.55     3.32     0.63     2.56    22.05     7.27P    2.17R    0.10  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.19    10.27    -4.97     0.16     0.67     9.00     2.73P    6.18R    0.44  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.83     9.63   -28.88     0.02     0.10     1.83     0.36P   20.94R    1.89  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.18    10.37    -3.48     0.15     0.64    10.33     2.66P    5.93R    0.43  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.54    10.57     5.82     0.32     1.34    13.63     5.30P    4.22R    0.33  
Colchester       16   17   +0      62.11    10.19     6.01     0.24     1.08    14.18     4.19P    3.57R    0.26  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.18    10.86    -2.22     0.17     0.82     9.99     3.01P    8.03R    0.82  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.95    10.27   -19.76     0.00     0.04     1.30     0.29P   30.62R    4.52  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.38     9.71   -15.31     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.24P   31.16R    3.92  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.89     9.73   -31.91     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   52.15R   10.30  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.93     9.86   -12.90     0.01     0.04     1.07     0.29P   29.37R    3.66  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.23     8.09   -46.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.79R   72.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.44    10.14    36.40    18.96    39.03    87.29    53.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.36     9.84    -3.31     0.51     2.06    25.02     4.85P    0.72R    0.03  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.30     9.53    48.02    31.56    56.53    94.29    70.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.50     8.73    59.62    37.10    64.49    96.60    77.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.89    10.28     8.47     0.90     3.50    35.44     8.67P    0.57R    0.01  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.90    10.09    30.86     7.13    19.15    73.77    32.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.38     9.75    11.80     0.80     2.97    32.86     9.30P    0.42R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.13    10.20    17.09     1.46     5.38    44.71    15.59P    0.29R    0.01  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.95     9.86     8.44     0.39     1.52    21.75     5.67P    1.14R    0.04  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.22     9.59   -14.61     0.03     0.12     3.37     0.70P   10.76R    0.67  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.71     9.74   -23.14     0.01     0.07     2.80     0.40P   15.20R    1.21  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.92     9.82    -6.49     0.04     0.22     7.26     1.48P    5.46R    0.27  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.23    10.57     9.65     0.54     2.34    27.59     7.21P    1.40R    0.04  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.36     9.66    -3.53     0.03     0.15     6.26     1.29P    5.66R    0.22  
Swindon          15   20   +6      67.06    10.31    13.27     0.46     1.93    24.21     6.89P    1.33R    0.04  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.54     9.62   -14.95     0.00     0.04     1.65     0.34P   19.65R    2.00  
Luton            16   19   -2      59.51    10.34    -3.11     0.05     0.31     7.72     1.62P    7.12R    0.55  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      54.87     9.69   -12.17     0.01     0.05     2.73     0.48P   13.56R    1.17  
Oldham           15   16   -3      55.89    10.32    -5.34     0.02     0.12     4.11     1.04P   12.66R    1.22  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.38     9.37   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   48.36R   10.17  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.84     9.63   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   44.50R    9.37  
Millwall         16   13  -11      41.14     8.91   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   65.13R   18.69  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.37     8.97   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   71.67R   25.48  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.60     8.94   -37.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.37R   28.80  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.83     9.26    51.84    49.76    84.30    98.71    88.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.52     9.61    42.97    18.26    60.79    93.30    69.85P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      88.93     9.46    41.12    16.17    58.36    93.19    70.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.25    10.18    18.02     2.87    17.71    63.97    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      76.76    10.01    18.88     1.90    13.69    59.31    24.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.67    10.04    20.22     2.17    16.11    62.69    27.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.92    10.43    34.15     7.75    34.39    80.02    46.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.72    10.16    10.80     0.46     5.22    35.42    12.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.70    10.04     5.71     0.25     2.37    22.20     6.97P    0.08R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.45    10.17     8.02     0.22     2.80    25.15     7.69P    0.06R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.79    10.24    -1.71     0.05     0.94    12.96     3.31P    0.34R    0.08  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.40     9.73   -16.44     0.01     0.15     3.33     0.68P    1.41R    0.21  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      61.07    10.09    -2.12     0.02     0.58     9.93     2.75P    0.39R    0.08  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.83    10.11    -5.12     0.01     0.56     9.64     2.23P    0.49R    0.12  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.95    10.22   -11.04     0.01     0.29     5.88     1.23P    1.21R    0.27  
Brentford            16   19   -6      53.92     9.90   -15.35     0.00     0.10     2.61     0.61P    2.32R    0.56  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.33    11.14    -1.62     0.08     1.39    14.27     4.18P    0.69R    0.17  
Bradford             16   18   -4      54.15    10.16   -12.63     0.01     0.12     2.98     0.71P    2.26R    0.45  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.10     9.97   -15.59     0.00     0.06     2.31     0.43P    2.98R    0.73  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.58     8.53   -45.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.96R   20.99  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.40    10.47    -9.01     0.00     0.05     1.99     0.53P    5.26R    1.61  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.58     9.30   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.91R   10.77  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.80     9.68   -38.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.98R   22.21  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.80     8.53   -44.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.66R   41.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.34     8.51    36.71    24.50    89.65    40.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.75     8.34    55.23    44.37    95.19    56.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.11     8.73    32.63     8.60    70.73    25.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.48     8.75    33.07     6.54    64.26    21.53P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.67     8.82    29.05     4.37    55.79    14.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.33     8.54    44.70    11.08    77.28    31.13P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.35     8.97    12.69     0.23    12.86     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.31     8.94     7.32     0.11     6.38     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.61     8.42     4.34     0.01     2.15     0.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.26     8.67     4.74     0.04     4.99     1.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.73     8.84     8.51     0.05     5.93     1.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.03     8.88     2.76     0.02     3.66     0.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.20     8.93    -1.10     0.00     1.57     0.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.51     8.77    -5.37     0.00     1.06     0.19P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.42     9.16    10.72     0.04     4.50     1.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.16     8.88    11.18     0.02     3.02     0.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      59.87     9.02    -1.25     0.00     0.79     0.17P    0.15R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      51.96     8.28   -11.29     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.98R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      54.89     8.66   -12.44     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.58R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      41.00     8.06   -37.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.55R    0.34  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      40.26     8.05   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    0.66  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      30.05     7.45   -46.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.46R    7.82  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.20     6.69   -68.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.96R   31.40  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.49     6.76   -69.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.87R   59.78