Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 November 2007 at 22:35:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.08     7.97    55.08    43.93    70.22    84.12    91.94    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.11     7.36    48.32    35.95    66.37    82.88    91.49    98.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.33     8.92    10.03     0.55     2.45     6.89    14.23    38.61     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.83     8.18    33.45     4.15    13.69    28.93    47.48    79.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.18     8.03    40.90    10.73    28.91    51.22    69.15    90.27     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.89     8.22    38.43     3.11    11.46    26.31    44.53    75.99     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.16     8.92    19.72     1.02     4.37    11.77    22.46    52.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.80     8.82    13.16     0.35     1.45     4.34     9.42    29.34     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.77     8.62     8.62     0.06     0.36     1.23     3.25    13.75     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.81     8.84    17.71     0.15     0.70     2.23     5.69    20.43     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.44     8.36   -11.79     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.25     1.86     1.28R    0.02  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.51     7.87   -40.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    23.01R    1.30  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.60     8.23   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.11    11.35R    0.44  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.91     8.41    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.84     3.79R    0.10  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.24     8.71   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.11    17.87R    0.99  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.26     7.86   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    21.58R    1.62  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.81     7.58   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.91R    3.83  
Bolton          13    8   -7      31.36     7.58   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.18R    3.16  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.86     7.43   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.70R    5.62  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.50     5.36   -69.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.21R   82.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      88.13    10.17    28.31    31.47    57.18    91.07    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.14     9.39    50.61    42.94    68.69    95.17    77.75P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.89    10.40    15.61     4.96    13.47    54.90    24.68P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.20    10.20     0.97     1.05     3.84    28.57     8.96P    0.77R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.25    10.16     9.47     2.18     6.74    40.00    15.39P    0.35R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.22    10.66    31.57    11.55    27.75    74.04    39.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.13    10.46     8.44     1.34     4.39    30.20    10.86P    0.91R    0.01  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.53    10.08    -7.16     0.28     1.31    15.51     3.83P    2.46R    0.16  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.55    10.13     1.61     0.60     2.38    21.19     6.42P    1.55R    0.05  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.27    10.27    -3.85     0.43     1.56    15.41     4.36P    2.85R    0.19  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.67    10.35    10.98     1.12     3.67    29.02    10.64P    1.14R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.61    10.37     5.82     0.55     2.20    22.62     7.08P    1.75R    0.10  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.91    10.57     2.80     0.60     2.47    20.94     6.71P    2.08R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.23    10.14    -5.00     0.09     0.49     8.72     2.27P    6.18R    0.36  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.86     9.61   -28.81     0.01     0.08     1.85     0.33P   20.39R    2.07  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.25    10.42    -3.39     0.14     0.69    10.50     2.78P    5.95R    0.40  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.50    10.61     5.81     0.31     1.26    13.72     5.09P    4.21R    0.28  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.84    10.25     5.54     0.19     1.03    13.67     4.24P    3.80R    0.28  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.95    10.75    -2.55     0.16     0.72     9.29     2.91P    7.89R    0.78  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.76    10.36   -20.07     0.01     0.05     1.41     0.36P   31.68R    4.64  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.63     9.57   -14.83     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.21P   29.50R    3.62  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.52     9.60   -32.39     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   53.55R   10.99  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.75     9.84   -13.28     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.27P   29.40R    3.93  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.36     8.18   -46.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   93.42R   71.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.19     9.97    35.90    17.12    37.70    87.27    52.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.62     9.86    -2.81     0.60     2.11    25.68     4.97P    0.71R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.31     9.49    48.04    32.14    56.97    94.28    70.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.58     8.68    59.79    37.81    65.08    96.63    77.88P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.63    10.27     8.01     0.93     3.26    34.49     8.25P    0.57R    0.02  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.72    10.32    30.67     7.40    19.60    72.90    32.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.61     9.86    12.21     0.88     3.24    33.93     9.85P    0.37R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.13    10.00    17.08     1.37     4.92    44.22    15.08P    0.19R    0.01  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      67.12     9.86     8.71     0.41     1.58    22.42     5.80P    1.01R    0.03  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.56     9.61   -14.12     0.03     0.12     3.68     0.68P   10.31R    0.56  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.75     9.72   -22.99     0.01     0.06     2.72     0.36P   14.73R    1.06  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.75     9.90    -6.65     0.04     0.20     7.11     1.42P    5.72R    0.21  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.14    10.73     9.55     0.61     2.49    27.61     7.69P    1.33R    0.05  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.47     9.64    -3.32     0.05     0.18     6.12     1.27P    5.52R    0.26  
Swindon          15   20   +6      66.68    10.54    12.67     0.54     1.99    23.50     6.78P    1.68R    0.06  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.40     9.60   -15.07     0.00     0.05     1.53     0.32P   20.05R    1.92  
Luton            16   19   -2      59.96    10.20    -2.45     0.06     0.29     8.12     1.68P    6.24R    0.42  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      55.06     9.88   -11.95     0.01     0.05     3.05     0.55P   13.77R    1.19  
Oldham           15   16   -3      55.95    10.22    -5.34     0.00     0.10     4.09     0.97P   12.39R    1.05  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.46     9.30   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   48.07R    9.76  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      46.06     9.61   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   43.52R    8.63  
Millwall         16   13  -11      41.03     9.03   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   65.79R   18.82  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      38.98     8.94   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.73R   26.34  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.37     9.06   -37.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.26R   29.59  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.77     9.26    51.52    49.25    83.72    98.62    88.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.70     9.73    43.39    18.88    61.04    93.46    70.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.14     9.41    41.38    16.15    59.22    93.41    71.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.23    10.07    18.01     2.58    17.25    64.18    27.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      76.70    10.14    18.78     1.94    13.93    58.89    24.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.50    10.11    19.93     2.01    15.44    62.40    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      83.04    10.50    34.46     8.13    34.75    80.06    46.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.42    10.18    10.31     0.45     4.88    34.54    12.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      67.19    10.07     6.45     0.19     2.45    23.76     7.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.65    10.20     8.36     0.20     2.81    25.38     7.84P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.73    10.14    -1.77     0.05     0.98    12.71     3.28P    0.26R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.16     9.75   -16.77     0.01     0.14     3.05     0.64P    1.40R    0.26  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      61.10     9.98    -2.02     0.02     0.56     9.58     2.46P    0.33R    0.04  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.31    10.36    -5.95     0.01     0.56     9.08     2.26P    0.75R    0.15  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.97    10.19   -11.10     0.02     0.25     5.65     1.15P    1.13R    0.22  
Brentford            16   19   -6      53.84     9.87   -15.43     0.00     0.09     2.56     0.55P    2.33R    0.53  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.84    11.33    -0.90     0.10     1.67    15.42     4.47P    0.63R    0.13  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.74    10.07   -13.37     0.00     0.11     2.73     0.63P    2.47R    0.48  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.37    10.00   -15.19     0.01     0.10     2.39     0.54P    2.93R    0.79  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.77     8.71   -45.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.84R   20.77  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.72    10.30    -8.38     0.00     0.06     2.01     0.58P    4.44R    1.23  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.18     9.25   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.10R   11.54  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.59     9.45   -38.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.70R   21.82  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.76     8.67   -45.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.55R   41.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.57     8.52    37.09    26.11    90.01    41.28P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.46     8.32    54.49    42.93    94.85    54.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.02     8.76    32.48     8.48    70.65    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.33     8.69    32.88     6.38    63.70    21.22P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.58     8.85    28.87     4.48    55.70    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.30     8.57    44.66    11.13    77.24    31.31P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.21     8.82    12.50     0.20    12.37     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.36     8.92     7.44     0.11     6.53     1.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.45     8.33     4.15     0.01     1.94     0.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.44     8.72     4.90     0.04     5.29     1.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      69.04     8.89     9.01     0.05     6.50     1.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      65.99     8.90     2.63     0.02     3.76     0.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.31     8.96    -0.98     0.01     1.68     0.35P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.50     8.81    -5.38     0.00     1.03     0.20P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.15     9.16    10.32     0.02     4.28     1.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.45     8.95    11.61     0.02     3.44     0.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      60.12     9.08    -0.80     0.01     0.81     0.19P    0.16R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.09     8.41   -11.11     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.94R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      54.88     8.61   -12.47     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.58R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      40.98     8.01   -37.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.87R    0.29  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      40.00     7.99   -39.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.07R    0.63  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.65     7.25   -47.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.75R    8.45  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.28     6.69   -68.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.82R   32.20  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.76     6.74   -69.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R   58.43