Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 November 2007 at 22:35:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.32     8.03    55.59    45.35    71.25    84.21    91.74    98.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.06     7.29    48.26    34.69    66.03    82.62    91.59    98.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.54     8.88    10.33     0.50     2.40     7.03    14.53    39.69     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      73.02     8.27    33.82     4.53    14.20    30.08    48.56    79.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.16     8.01    40.77    10.38    28.22    51.32    69.19    90.37     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.83     8.25    38.29     3.11    11.43    25.88    43.84    75.51     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.16     8.84    19.70     0.99     4.07    11.29    22.27    53.11     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.05     9.01    13.63     0.31     1.55     4.50    10.04    30.67     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.85     8.52     8.72     0.07     0.28     1.09     3.02    13.57     0.04R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.25     8.77    16.82     0.07     0.54     1.89     4.86    18.34     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.35     8.31   -11.94     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.23     1.73     1.24R    0.00  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.82     7.89   -39.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    21.39R    1.18  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.87     8.21   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    10.86R    0.40  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.68     8.34    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.77     3.81R    0.11  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.20     8.58   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    17.28R    0.88  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.29     7.93   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    21.71R    1.38  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.86     7.52   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.44R    3.75  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.98     7.51   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.10R    3.19  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.72     7.57   -34.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.81R    6.10  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.44     5.32   -69.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.25R   83.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.94    10.14    28.00    31.30    56.66    90.54    64.24P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.01     9.42    50.36    43.40    68.75    95.14    77.66P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.73    10.38    15.34     5.14    13.58    53.72    24.38P    0.16R    0.01  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.16    10.09     0.92     1.05     3.67    28.41     8.58P    0.72R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      70.84    10.15     8.94     1.91     6.20    38.78    14.70P    0.44R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.12    10.53    31.33    11.10    27.73    73.64    39.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.33    10.31     8.75     1.36     4.36    30.69    10.90P    0.84R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.44    10.14    -7.16     0.31     1.25    15.62     3.86P    2.72R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      66.13    10.21     2.62     0.74     2.78    23.15     7.29P    1.47R    0.08  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.28    10.28    -3.78     0.45     1.76    15.50     4.59P    2.83R    0.19  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.55    10.27    10.76     0.95     3.60    28.27    10.37P    1.06R    0.05  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.62    10.26     5.89     0.54     2.28    22.54     7.20P    1.67R    0.11  
Burnley          15   21   +1      65.46    10.70     3.64     0.83     2.89    22.85     7.65P    2.01R    0.11  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.15    10.20    -4.99     0.10     0.54     8.63     2.37P    6.22R    0.45  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.95     9.70   -28.63     0.01     0.06     1.93     0.35P   20.24R    2.07  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.94    10.36    -3.93     0.14     0.76     9.83     2.69P    6.14R    0.45  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.58    10.82     5.87     0.31     1.34    14.13     5.61P    4.45R    0.33  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.87    10.22     5.60     0.22     0.98    13.69     4.09P    3.78R    0.32  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.49    10.83    -3.33     0.12     0.68     9.02     2.72P    8.63R    1.03  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.71    10.33   -20.13     0.01     0.06     1.52     0.36P   31.42R    4.84  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.29     9.65   -15.47     0.01     0.03     0.88     0.26P   31.32R    4.26  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.80     9.66   -31.89     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   52.46R   10.70  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.98     9.87   -12.86     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.33P   28.52R    3.83  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.66     8.31   -45.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.83R   70.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.32     9.90    36.13    17.76    38.29    87.47    53.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.55     9.91    -2.99     0.52     2.12    25.42     5.02P    0.77R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.28     9.51    48.00    31.72    57.12    94.13    70.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.47     8.73    59.56    37.40    64.12    96.57    76.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.55    10.27     7.85     0.96     3.56    34.06     8.49P    0.56R    0.01  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.75    10.38    30.76     7.68    19.72    72.83    32.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.48     9.85    11.97     0.85     3.11    33.55     9.52P    0.45R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.49     9.93    17.60     1.41     5.19    45.96    15.63P    0.18R    0.00  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.96     9.81     8.45     0.41     1.47    21.87     5.60P    0.99R    0.03  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.59     9.59   -14.12     0.02     0.13     3.67     0.68P    9.98R    0.56  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.87     9.74   -22.74     0.02     0.09     2.82     0.45P   14.76R    1.06  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.50     9.88    -7.07     0.03     0.19     6.65     1.40P    6.09R    0.29  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      67.91    10.57     9.12     0.65     2.31    26.80     7.10P    1.31R    0.06  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.23     9.72    -3.72     0.03     0.20     6.04     1.31P    5.95R    0.27  
Swindon          15   20   +6      67.19    10.42    13.43     0.44     1.85    25.12     7.05P    1.36R    0.05  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.58     9.53   -14.69     0.01     0.05     1.59     0.33P   19.25R    1.82  
Luton            16   19   -2      59.99    10.12    -2.39     0.05     0.30     7.92     1.70P    6.14R    0.44  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      54.88     9.76   -12.17     0.01     0.05     2.72     0.53P   13.77R    1.25  
Oldham           15   16   -3      56.05    10.26    -5.26     0.03     0.14     4.19     0.95P   12.18R    1.07  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.63     9.36   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   47.53R    9.50  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.58     9.52   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   45.70R    9.17  
Millwall         16   13  -11      41.11     9.04   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   65.05R   19.16  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.07     8.79   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.84R   25.84  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.49     8.97   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   75.09R   29.39  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.82     9.19    51.69    48.73    84.16    98.61    88.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.99     9.71    43.91    19.33    62.50    93.51    71.13P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.19     9.44    41.46    16.25    58.87    93.26    71.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.40    10.18    18.25     2.79    17.33    64.53    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      77.05    10.24    19.33     2.10    14.63    60.19    25.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      78.04     9.85    20.80     2.10    15.95    64.04    28.11P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.84    10.39    34.09     7.85    33.34    79.36    45.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.14    10.20     9.89     0.32     4.54    33.66    11.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.89     9.87     6.01     0.16     1.96    22.50     6.60P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.42    10.18     8.01     0.17     2.69    24.59     7.49P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.84    10.10    -1.59     0.04     0.89    12.73     3.30P    0.23R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.36     9.89   -16.46     0.01     0.15     3.31     0.75P    1.38R    0.28  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.88    10.06    -2.36     0.02     0.54     9.59     2.59P    0.35R    0.06  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.67    10.23    -5.40     0.02     0.55     9.57     2.32P    0.45R    0.09  
Stockport            16   19   -6      58.39    10.28   -10.26     0.01     0.30     6.44     1.37P    0.97R    0.21  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.10     9.82   -15.12     0.00     0.08     2.53     0.51P    2.11R    0.46  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.57    11.07    -1.33     0.09     1.31    14.41     3.95P    0.60R    0.16  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.80    10.05   -13.21     0.00     0.08     2.71     0.56P    2.27R    0.49  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.06    10.03   -15.70     0.00     0.09     2.33     0.52P    2.82R    0.71  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.45     8.56   -46.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.22R   20.61  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.84    10.42    -8.17     0.00     0.06     2.02     0.44P    4.59R    1.32  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.19     9.24   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.21R   11.27  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.29     9.46   -39.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.93R   22.16  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.37     8.53   -46.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.73R   42.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2007, Farsley_Celtic vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.36     8.67    36.81    25.55    89.08    40.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.50     8.36    54.70    42.99    94.88    55.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.39     8.68    33.09     9.01    72.33    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.02     8.75    32.42     5.72    62.75    20.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.66     8.91    29.06     4.66    55.90    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.48     8.56    45.01    11.62    77.88    31.94P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.11     8.92    12.37     0.20    12.29     2.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.34     8.80     7.45     0.09     6.09     1.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.86     8.40     4.65     0.00     2.26     0.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.26     8.69     4.69     0.03     5.03     1.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.90     8.86     8.78     0.05     6.48     1.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      65.93     8.93     2.58     0.04     3.84     0.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.10     9.03    -1.25     0.01     1.62     0.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.79     8.85    -4.90     0.01     1.21     0.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.36     9.07    10.65     0.03     4.33     1.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.10     8.84    11.10     0.01     3.03     0.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      60.06     8.97    -0.86     0.00     0.78     0.16P    0.15R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.16     8.33   -11.06     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.90R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      55.01     8.66   -12.29     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.58R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      19   17  -14      40.90     8.01   -37.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.58R    0.32  
Altrincham          19   15  -15      39.83     7.99   -39.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.00R    0.68  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.85     7.35   -47.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.61R    8.56  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.24     6.71   -68.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.59R   32.04  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.70     6.84   -69.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.45R   58.41