Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 November 2007 at 22:35:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      85.04     8.15    55.21    44.64    70.12    83.53    91.09    97.79     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      83.99     7.32    48.25    34.92    65.96    82.36    91.32    98.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.42     8.84    10.12     0.51     2.33     6.69    13.89    38.60     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.93     8.24    33.68     4.44    14.17    29.50    48.10    79.20     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.04     8.07    40.71    10.48    28.25    50.91    68.52    89.97     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      72.08     8.23    38.82     3.38    12.06    27.18    45.20    76.55     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.30     8.84    19.95     1.07     4.48    11.67    22.88    53.59     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      62.09     9.07    13.67     0.41     1.76     4.90    10.60    30.82     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.86     8.54     8.71     0.03     0.30     1.16     3.15    13.65     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.37     8.76    16.97     0.11     0.55     1.99     4.85    18.58     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.56     8.30   -11.71     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.30     1.87     1.08R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.42     7.82   -40.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.85R    1.31  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.47     8.06   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    11.39R    0.47  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.88     8.37    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.76     3.61R    0.10  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.69     8.55   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    15.88R    0.71  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.29     7.79   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    21.22R    1.44  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      31.61     7.50   -36.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    38.97R    3.91  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.93     7.53   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.39R    3.34  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.91     7.63   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.33R    6.13  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.52     5.35   -69.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.15R   82.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.78    10.06    27.67    30.62    56.11    90.58    63.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.22     9.36    50.71    44.39    69.80    95.19    78.38P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.25    10.37    14.62     4.53    12.45    52.30    22.76P    0.16R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.12    10.20     0.83     1.04     3.80    28.71     8.92P    0.85R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      71.45    10.03     9.75     2.04     6.72    40.60    15.69P    0.33R    0.01  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.06    10.68    31.29    11.39    27.72    73.18    39.80P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      68.20    10.37     8.51     1.35     4.54    30.61    11.04P    0.88R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.39    10.21    -7.31     0.33     1.43    15.43     4.06P    2.63R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      66.00    10.15     2.43     0.70     2.74    22.50     6.96P    1.48R    0.08  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.37    10.25    -3.63     0.42     1.68    15.72     4.55P    2.91R    0.19  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.63    10.28    10.89     1.05     3.70    28.57    10.55P    1.02R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.53    10.35     5.68     0.55     2.23    22.58     7.09P    1.73R    0.08  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.79    10.52     2.61     0.56     2.37    20.49     6.71P    2.27R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.59    10.20    -4.40     0.12     0.64     9.24     2.67P    5.73R    0.39  
Southampton      16   20   -9      52.00     9.69   -28.57     0.01     0.07     1.87     0.36P   20.29R    1.90  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      60.05    10.44    -3.77     0.17     0.76    10.50     2.90P    6.03R    0.38  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.61    10.79     5.96     0.35     1.36    14.38     5.55P    4.29R    0.34  
Colchester       16   17   +0      61.84    10.26     5.54     0.17     1.02    13.98     4.20P    3.87R    0.27  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      59.48    10.67    -1.69     0.17     0.77    10.06     2.93P    6.90R    0.59  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      48.62    10.24   -20.40     0.01     0.05     1.34     0.35P   31.83R    4.52  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.29     9.61   -15.37     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.21P   31.18R    3.82  
QPR              15   15  -10      43.63     9.62   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   52.91R   10.65  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      48.92     9.75   -12.96     0.00     0.02     1.04     0.29P   28.91R    3.65  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.23     8.10   -46.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.72R   72.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.55     9.94    36.54    18.62    39.01    87.80    54.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.87     9.95    -2.38     0.64     2.32    26.28     5.34P    0.68R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.09     9.43    47.59    30.47    55.38    93.92    69.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.74     8.70    60.25    38.16    65.12    96.71    77.82P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.58    10.30     7.87     0.88     3.33    33.85     8.15P    0.54R    0.01  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.87    10.30    30.89     7.30    19.55    73.09    32.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.72     9.86    12.40     0.90     3.32    34.17     9.91P    0.42R    0.00  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.42    10.01    17.50     1.43     5.14    45.49    15.09P    0.24R    0.01  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.78     9.87     8.16     0.31     1.38    21.25     5.44P    1.11R    0.04  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.36     9.67   -14.48     0.03     0.13     3.56     0.70P   10.52R    0.71  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.48     9.70   -23.57     0.01     0.06     2.53     0.35P   15.31R    1.17  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.52     9.87    -7.09     0.03     0.21     6.59     1.27P    5.89R    0.29  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.43    10.79     9.98     0.73     2.64    28.51     7.75P    1.32R    0.05  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.11     9.68    -3.86     0.03     0.17     5.87     1.18P    5.90R    0.29  
Swindon          15   20   +6      66.94    10.36    13.10     0.37     1.71    23.43     6.50P    1.40R    0.03  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.25     9.51   -15.37     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.21P   19.81R    1.95  
Luton            16   19   -2      59.81    10.27    -2.66     0.06     0.32     7.77     1.69P    6.39R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      55.05     9.76   -11.90     0.01     0.06     2.94     0.54P   13.19R    0.98  
Oldham           15   16   -3      56.22    10.42    -4.95     0.01     0.13     4.35     1.03P   12.14R    1.01  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.59     9.51   -34.94     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   47.55R    9.71  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.84     9.62   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   44.15R    9.00  
Millwall         16   13  -11      40.81     9.01   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   66.19R   19.76  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.30     8.88   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   71.60R   24.61  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.30     9.03   -37.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   75.59R   29.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      96.87     9.14    51.70    49.55    84.06    98.71    88.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.63     9.59    43.27    17.83    60.49    93.41    69.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.62     9.39    42.18    17.54    60.85    93.80    72.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.47    10.06    18.34     2.72    17.57    64.90    28.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      76.83    10.02    18.95     1.80    13.62    59.64    24.11P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.66     9.95    20.22     1.83    15.49    62.57    27.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.99    10.40    34.24     7.69    33.88    80.03    46.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.62    10.16    10.66     0.47     5.03    35.14    12.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.83    10.02     5.90     0.18     2.22    22.49     7.07P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.39    10.26     8.00     0.19     2.78    24.84     7.52P    0.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.76    10.06    -1.63     0.04     0.83    12.44     3.17P    0.26R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.32     9.80   -16.45     0.01     0.16     3.32     0.71P    1.39R    0.31  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.73     9.94    -2.70     0.03     0.54     9.07     2.41P    0.37R    0.05  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.48    10.33    -5.71     0.02     0.51     9.46     2.12P    0.67R    0.15  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.93    10.15   -11.13     0.01     0.23     5.83     1.20P    1.04R    0.27  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.18     9.82   -14.95     0.01     0.08     2.63     0.54P    2.25R    0.46  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.31    11.21    -1.75     0.09     1.37    14.08     3.89P    0.72R    0.19  
Bradford             16   18   -4      54.02    10.16   -12.91     0.00     0.14     3.03     0.73P    2.23R    0.43  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.51    10.02   -14.93     0.00     0.08     2.41     0.52P    2.70R    0.64  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.49     8.56   -46.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.22R   20.90  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.72    10.38    -8.44     0.00     0.07     2.06     0.50P    4.33R    1.21  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.07     9.27   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.20R   11.25  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.32     9.67   -39.27     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.19R   23.52  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.77     8.63   -45.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.27R   40.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Aldershot vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.53     8.44    37.06    25.53    89.95    41.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.50     8.38    54.60    43.17    94.88    55.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.05     8.70    32.54     8.79    70.46    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      85.25     8.74    32.74     6.10    63.57    20.66P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.77     8.78    29.20     4.38    56.46    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.48     8.55    45.01    11.46    77.97    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.18     8.90    12.52     0.21    12.13     2.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.38     8.93     7.46     0.13     6.40     1.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.56     8.34     4.29     0.01     2.05     0.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.02     8.71     4.29     0.04     4.72     1.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.62     8.92     8.36     0.07     6.20     1.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.29     8.94     3.22     0.02     4.06     0.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.00     8.96    -1.44     0.01     1.57     0.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.67     8.81    -5.05     0.01     1.13     0.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.39     9.06    10.73     0.04     4.37     1.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.28     8.83    11.37     0.03     3.09     0.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      59.87     8.98    -1.16     0.00     0.75     0.12P    0.14R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.10     8.39   -11.04     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.97R    0.01  
York                19   21   -6      55.14     8.67   -12.02     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.62R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      18   16  -14      41.69     8.44   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.33R    0.29  
Altrincham          18   14  -15      40.41     8.41   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.52R    0.73  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.67     7.28   -47.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.88R    8.50  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.37     6.73   -68.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.55R   30.77  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.55     6.75   -69.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.83R   59.70