Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 November 2007 at 22:35:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         12   30  +17      84.92     8.08    54.74    43.72    69.71    83.16    91.02    97.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      84.10     7.29    48.43    36.19    66.56    82.96    91.72    98.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        13   26   +3      64.70     8.78    10.61     0.57     2.58     7.08    14.62    39.94     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +10      72.82     8.18    33.44     4.26    13.71    29.29    47.45    78.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       12   24  +13      77.11     8.01    40.62    10.48    28.58    51.36    69.18    90.24     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      13   23  +10      71.82     8.33    38.21     3.26    11.92    26.61    44.36    75.31     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       12   22   +4      67.17     8.84    19.71     1.00     4.32    11.46    22.65    53.01     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     12   21   +4      61.76     9.08    13.09     0.35     1.66     4.66    10.15    30.05     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         13   20   +4      56.84     8.66     8.69     0.07     0.33     1.27     3.35    13.85     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham        12   18   +8      58.65     8.80    17.42     0.11     0.60     2.05     5.15    19.63     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       12   18   +1      47.37     8.35   -11.95     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.25     1.83     1.39R    0.01  
Reading         13   13  -13      35.53     7.82   -40.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    23.03R    1.19  
Fulham          13   12   -4      38.47     8.15   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    11.78R    0.40  
Tottenham       13   11   -1      43.88     8.39    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.75     3.80R    0.09  
Birmingham      13   11   -7      37.38     8.62   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    17.07R    0.88  
Sunderland      13   10   -9      35.69     7.96   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.40R    1.33  
Middlesbrough   13   10  -11      32.14     7.59   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.45R    3.47  
Bolton          13    8   -7      30.92     7.56   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.73R    3.39  
Wigan           13    8  -13      29.93     7.46   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.74R    5.44  
Derby           13    6  -26      16.22     5.34   -69.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.47R   83.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 November 2007, Coventry vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          16   36  +11      87.95    10.04    28.01    30.63    56.94    90.96    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        16   30  +19      90.20     9.35    50.61    43.99    69.22    95.50    78.25P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         16   28   +7      74.63    10.48    15.18     5.20    13.57    53.30    24.03P    0.13R    0.00  
Bristol_City     16   27   +1      68.49    10.12     1.32     1.11     3.89    30.18     9.45P    0.69R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   26   +3      70.74    10.03     8.80     1.74     5.84    37.99    13.95P    0.36R    0.02  
Ipswich          15   25   +9      80.03    10.78    31.25    11.36    27.67    73.20    39.68P    0.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         16   24   +4      67.98    10.51     8.22     1.44     4.44    29.95    10.90P    1.08R    0.03  
Coventry         16   24   -4      63.24    10.10    -7.60     0.28     1.27    15.11     3.79P    2.79R    0.14  
Stoke            16   23   +0      65.82    10.24     2.10     0.75     2.78    22.40     7.00P    1.63R    0.09  
Barnsley         16   23   -2      63.09    10.32    -4.14     0.38     1.57    15.36     4.46P    3.07R    0.19  
Hull             16   22   +4      67.41    10.26    10.63     0.80     3.35    28.43    10.30P    1.10R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        16   21   +1      65.70    10.27     5.93     0.53     2.15    22.89     7.04P    1.70R    0.11  
Burnley          15   21   +1      64.98    10.76     2.88     0.77     2.74    21.92     7.27P    2.26R    0.10  
Scunthorpe       16   20   -2      59.44    10.20    -4.59     0.11     0.61     9.13     2.62P    6.07R    0.39  
Southampton      16   20   -9      51.98     9.64   -28.56     0.01     0.09     1.98     0.43P   20.34R    1.66  
Sheff_Wed        16   19   -3      59.96    10.48    -3.92     0.17     0.70    10.13     2.81P    6.38R    0.42  
Leicester        15   17   +2      61.67    10.73     6.02     0.33     1.33    14.15     5.41P    4.48R    0.33  
Colchester       16   17   +0      62.06    10.15     5.92     0.20     0.94    14.18     4.15P    3.52R    0.23  
Blackpool        15   16   -3      58.96    10.91    -2.60     0.16     0.76     9.64     3.01P    8.25R    0.79  
Cardiff          15   15   -4      49.08    10.35   -19.56     0.02     0.07     1.53     0.40P   30.80R    4.21  
Preston          16   15   -5      48.40     9.58   -15.13     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.21P   31.20R    3.85  
QPR              15   15  -10      44.15     9.61   -31.37     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P   51.24R    9.40  
Crystal_Palace   16   14   -4      49.05     9.73   -12.63     0.01     0.03     0.98     0.27P   28.73R    3.66  
Norwich          16    9  -16      30.02     8.12   -46.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.08R   74.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2007, Hartlepool vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle         15   28  +12      86.36    10.16    36.24    18.48    38.70    87.17    53.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    16   28   -1      68.62     9.85    -2.90     0.54     2.07    25.59     4.96P    0.76R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     15   27  +16      90.16     9.50    47.68    31.51    56.40    94.15    70.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            16   26  +19      91.42     8.83    59.55    37.05    64.03    96.31    76.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         16   26   +3      70.68    10.21     8.04     0.95     3.44    34.49     8.39P    0.56R    0.01  
Swansea          15   25   +9      80.71    10.43    30.66     7.43    19.79    72.85    32.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         16   25   +5      70.28     9.91    11.71     0.69     2.97    33.07     9.44P    0.39R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   24   +5      73.33    10.14    17.44     1.69     5.66    45.60    16.06P    0.24R    0.00  
Doncaster        16   23   +4      66.81     9.88     8.26     0.34     1.45    21.39     5.62P    1.11R    0.03  
Crewe            16   23   -2      56.70     9.59   -13.88     0.03     0.14     3.78     0.71P    9.88R    0.64  
Huddersfield     16   23   -7      54.78     9.72   -23.04     0.02     0.07     2.64     0.39P   14.74R    1.13  
Yeovil           16   22   -3      59.76     9.90    -6.72     0.03     0.21     7.18     1.43P    5.90R    0.30  
Hartlepool       15   21   +2      68.08    10.64     9.42     0.60     2.37    27.31     7.25P    1.30R    0.06  
Walsall          16   21   +0      59.50     9.78    -3.30     0.06     0.22     6.49     1.39P    5.71R    0.30  
Swindon          15   20   +6      67.19    10.36    13.46     0.47     1.94    24.74     7.14P    1.33R    0.07  
Northampton      16   19   -2      52.58     9.45   -14.65     0.01     0.05     1.56     0.31P   19.00R    1.67  
Luton            16   19   -2      59.99    10.22    -2.40     0.08     0.36     8.28     1.83P    6.21R    0.47  
Bristol_Rovers   16   19   -4      54.71     9.78   -12.49     0.01     0.05     2.78     0.53P   14.54R    1.29  
Oldham           15   16   -3      55.56    10.32    -5.91     0.01     0.07     3.91     0.86P   13.44R    1.29  
Gillingham       16   16  -15      45.71     9.42   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   47.13R    9.68  
Bournemouth      16   13  -10      45.71     9.54   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   45.25R    9.03  
Millwall         16   13  -11      41.07     8.84   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   65.67R   18.55  
Port_Vale        16   12   -9      39.21     8.94   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   72.09R   25.84  
Cheltenham       16   12  -12      38.60     9.15   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   74.69R   29.61  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   16   35  +18      97.00     9.20    52.10    50.11    84.51    98.68    88.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             16   31  +14      89.79     9.69    43.56    18.48    61.03    93.53    70.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           16   30  +15      89.39     9.38    41.77    16.59    60.18    93.68    72.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            16   30   +7      78.45    10.10    18.39     2.67    17.56    64.86    28.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   28   +7      77.18     9.96    19.49     1.95    14.38    61.12    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              16   28   +7      77.70    10.08    20.23     2.01    15.60    63.18    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         15   27  +12      82.69    10.46    33.78     7.29    33.11    79.17    45.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   26   +5      70.68    10.17    10.70     0.41     5.06    35.80    12.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               16   24   +3      66.50    10.02     5.48     0.17     2.03    21.67     6.55P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury                 16   23   +3      67.22    10.24     7.65     0.15     2.66    24.27     7.32P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           16   22   -1      62.52    10.15    -2.10     0.03     0.83    12.31     3.21P    0.30R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   16   22   -3      55.48     9.84   -16.20     0.01     0.20     3.38     0.80P    1.26R    0.21  
Morecambe            16   21   -1      60.68     9.93    -2.59     0.01     0.45     9.03     2.31P    0.35R    0.05  
Macclesfield         16   20   -4      60.62    10.21    -5.48     0.03     0.51     9.25     2.08P    0.62R    0.14  
Stockport            16   19   -6      57.90    10.09   -11.22     0.02     0.25     5.58     1.14P    0.97R    0.20  
Brentford            16   19   -6      54.00     9.71   -15.13     0.00     0.06     2.33     0.46P    2.29R    0.48  
Rochdale             14   18   -2      62.68    11.16    -1.11     0.07     1.35    14.77     4.06P    0.71R    0.19  
Bradford             16   18   -4      53.73    10.09   -13.32     0.00     0.11     2.77     0.59P    2.55R    0.56  
Notts_County         16   18   -6      53.33     9.88   -15.24     0.00     0.05     2.25     0.41P    2.56R    0.58  
Dag_&_Red            16   13  -16      36.49     8.60   -46.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.89R   21.04  
Mansfield            15   12   -3      51.76    10.48    -8.40     0.00     0.09     2.25     0.60P    4.59R    1.35  
Grimsby              16   11  -12      40.73     9.32   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.79R   10.16  
Wrexham              14   10  -12      36.36     9.54   -39.27     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.39R   22.69  
Lincoln_City         16    9  -15      31.57     8.58   -45.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.60R   42.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2007, Aldershot vs Rushden_&_D'monds; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           19   43  +15      93.42     8.58    36.91    25.69    89.42    40.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             19   42  +20      96.59     8.27    54.81    43.30    95.23    55.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       19   38  +13      87.28     8.78    32.96     8.96    71.59    26.27P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       19   37  +14      84.95     8.76    32.21     5.86    62.06    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        19   37  +12      83.76     8.87    29.27     4.64    56.92    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           19   36  +18      88.12     8.68    44.34    11.02    76.55    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              19   31   +6      72.13     8.89    12.42     0.22    12.27     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              19   30   +6      68.45     8.95     7.62     0.10     6.61     1.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic      20   29   +3      64.83     8.36     4.67     0.01     2.26     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    19   29   +1      68.10     8.74     4.50     0.04     4.99     1.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        19   28   +3      68.75     8.98     8.61     0.07     6.52     1.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster       19   28   +2      66.22     8.95     3.09     0.02     4.05     0.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury           19   26   +1      62.14     9.00    -1.18     0.01     1.80     0.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd          19   26   -3      61.31     8.83    -5.69     0.01     1.11     0.22P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax             19   25   +4      66.29     9.17    10.56     0.03     4.35     1.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   19   23   +3      65.24     8.91    11.36     0.02     3.16     0.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            19   22   -2      60.09     8.99    -0.74     0.00     0.88     0.19P    0.13R    0.00  
Woking              20   22   -3      52.12     8.39   -11.06     0.00     0.05     0.00P    1.00R    0.00  
York                19   21   -6      54.97     8.73   -12.30     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.64R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      18   16  -14      41.66     8.50   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.02R    0.30  
Altrincham          18   14  -15      40.53     8.40   -39.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.51R    0.68  
Stafford_Rangers    19    9  -20      29.81     7.40   -47.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.09R    8.50  
Droylsden           19    7  -27      23.39     6.76   -68.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.59R   30.76  
Northwich           19    3  -31      19.48     6.76   -69.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   59.75